저자: 미상 · 외국인
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결론: 엔비디아는 단기 약세 흐름으로 20일선·50일선 아래에 머물러 있어 갭업 등 상방 돌파 확인 전까지 숏 관점을 유지, AMD는 상승 탄력이 나왔으나 거래량 확인 전 단기 조정 가능성을 경계, 테슬라는 일봉 이평선 지지 중이나 주봉 종가 확인 전까지 중립. [엔비디아] 일봉상 20일선 아래, 200일선 위에 있어 상대적으로 약한 약세 흐름으로 진단. 최근 내부봉(inside bar) 형성, 하락 패턴 가능성 언급. 상방 돌파 조건: 201달러 수준의 내부봉 고점 돌파 시 50일선 상회 및 갭업 기대. 저항: 210달러 부근 갭 메우기 구간, 하단 추세선 부근. 주봉 기준 50일선 약 150달러, 146~145달러 부근 갭 메우기 지지 언급. 월봉 관점에서 118달러 방향 하락 가능성 언급, 연준 채권매입 축소 등 거시 요인 우려. 진행자는 보유 포지션 없음을 밝히며 숏 관점 유지 입장. [AMD] 일봉상 20일선 아래 약세 패턴 언급, 최근 상승 후 내부봉 형성. 거래량 증가 없이는 추가 상승 확신 어려움, 단기 횡보 가능성 제기. 지지선: 약 10달러 중반 수준 및 20일선 부근. 하방 이탈 시 9.43달러 재테스트 가능성, 9달러대 및 8.5달러 부근 하락 시나리오 언급. 상승 시 저항: 12~14.37달러 구간 숏 진입 고려, 상단 추세선 부근. 주간 종가 약 18.8~18.7달러 돌파 필요 언급. 롱 포지션은 손절선 상향 조정 권고. [테슬라] 일봉상 50일선, 200일선, 20일선 모두 지지 중이며 갭 메움 후 반등 확인. 단기 지지 확인 후 패턴 형성 또는 조정 여부 관찰 필요, 약세 시 주간 조정 가능성 언급. 상방 목표: 361달러 부근 언급. 주봉 20일선 하회 시 하락 위험, 상승 추세선 이탈 시 추가 하락 가능성. 주봉 종가 확인 후 판단 예정이며, 월봉 기준 333달러 돌파 시 강세 시나리오 강화. 월봉 기준 약 270~369달러 구간 관찰, 42달러 부근 장기 지지 언급. [기타] 진행자는 종목 추천보다 기술적 분석 중심이며 구독 및 질문 요청으로 마무리.
다듬은 글
a for NVIDIA daily chart we did have seven million on the day it was up six point sixty nine cents and point three five percent green we are still into the twenty ma we've talked about that and the inside bar at 201 this bar here with the volume just like the rest of them inside bar chopping around did make a higher low here so that's pretty good but we're still below the trend lines still below this channel where it was chopping around for a long long time for a couple months since back here in what was it mmm in May so we'll see if it continues to to just consolidate down here in the lower lower part of the trendline and below the 50 and the 20 ma so it's a little bit of a weak stance today yeah close close right on top of the 20 so let's keep watching this one and remember if we get above this inside bar at 200 then expect it to get above the 50 and we're probably looking for a gap up let's see if we get some news on this one gap it up maybe into this lower trendline here try to blast through and get this thing going once again it's Nvidia guys stock of the year you know so but right now still in a little bit weaker a slightly bearish stance below the mas still bullish because it's above the 200 but not as bullish so and it's inside bar this is a bearish pattern inside another inside bar so you have a couple things gap-fill the high here at 2:10 19 if this thing continues higher so you have some resistance now and you have support down here well so let's see what kind of a pattern it keeps going again it's making the higher and lows and let's see if it continues to do that I will stick this trendline in here too this will be important as well that'll be another one to watch if that comes down as well this is six one eight and the seven 500 with this low pivot here right around the one eighty ninety seven but again my targets on a lot of these stocks are gonna be the 200 ma on the daily and then the 200 ma on the weekly if they go down well not now the weekly here actually I should say the 50 ma on the weekly which is around 150 you have a big gap fill here at 146 45 so still still okay still above the MA so don't get don't get ahead of me here guys and let's see if this retrace is if it retraces back up here I will be writing calls again on this one and trying to play the decay I would like to see it go up to 2 225 or this upper trendline if it does make it there that's where I'll be making another trade on this one but right now we'll just uh stick with our short and just hold on and let's see if this thing can come in a little bit further let's go to the monthly monthly same thing high-flyer 118 would be the target right now if it started coming in so keep an eye on that wherever the 20 ma is that's what we're watching for an Nvidia when this starts to fall so we'll keep an eye on that still high-flying here you know just like just like Boeing just like the rest of them guys high fly and eventually they will be in this area just to hit the stake time their monthly charts we're fighting the fed trillions of dollars being pumped in bond buying all that good stuff that's all come coming to an end so NVIDIA that's what we got let's stick with the daily chart below the mas let's see what it gives us on the weekly close on Friday let's see what it gives us tomorrow if we stay below the 50 and the 20 ma watch for the gap up and I think that's the only way they're gonna get above this thing look at the cap up and then try to get it I mean they'd have to have a huge gap up but they can they can manage a couple dollar one to get it above the 50 ma so keep an eye on that for Nvidia AMD so we're back above the inside bar here the red bar here we talked about that it got above it get after pretty much on top of this line and kept it going they closed it above there to show everybody hey this thing's bullish we got back above the 20 ma but we kind of stalled out up here around the 11 dollar mark even number any other to 500 up here too as well holding this thing back a little bit and we're coming off this high pivot here with that well let me adjust that a little bit more yeah we'll come off at this high pivot right there so yeah we're right to the 2/5 hole retraced so bulls again you got to get you got to try to go for this one here the 50 MA and then this little bit of consolidation will be resistance with the 3/8 to retrace so that's what we're looking for to get into this area and get above that and then possibly higher prices now the bull or the Bears you want to stay inside this bar it got above it and closed but it's like I want to see more of an effort on more volume to get more to get a little more follow-through or we're gonna wait for pattern here so let's see if we could go 5 6 7 days a sideways maybe into the new year and then the pop or you know does it just come right back in and if it comes right back in then it's retesting the 20 ma which is support then you have a gap window with a gap fill that has support as well so good support good resistance let's see what pattern it gives us in the next couple days to see if this thing's gonna move up or down but right now it's ok you know if you bought it down here just tighten that stop you don't want this thing to come right back down blast through 7 and 70 or 972 and the next thing you know it's an $8 stack so be careful with this one I have no position so I could care either way with AMD I really want to go long down in here I don't know if it's gonna make 6 bucks but right now we have an inside bar a little bit of a bearish pattern you're below the 50 ma and the 20 oh man the weekly it's a little bit bigger timeframe you know we had 31 million shares traded on today wasn't the best wasn't the worst it was only up 3 cents so let's see what it gives us here weekly close it's got to close above like the 188 area 187 area and then that may then we'll have to wait for pattern but I mean it's retracing and you know lately you get this then you get the retrace right back to the highs I don't know if we'll get that but right now we'll just see if it gives us a patter and then up or maybe it reverses it comes right back down again there's not enough on the charts for me to really say you know this thing can go up or down but so far so good with this as long as it holds this area or holds a 10 I'm gonna say 10 83 and then the 50 ma around 10 57 it gets below 10 57 and this gap window then look out it could come right back down and then retest the lows and then and then we wait for another battery so it's pretty repetitive in this industry guys looking for patterns looking for good setups but this isn't a lower range - coming off a high so watch out for that with AMD again it gets below the 972 I think we're going to retest the 943 and then come down here in the $9 than the 850 area here and you might have a little gap to fill if not you have this low pivot with this high pivot where it came in and then busted out so you have support here from the side pivot and you have support here from this little pivot here before it blasted off so keep an eye on that and right now it's really just going up so if you can't capture this just tighten that stop you got a buck that's a 10% move for me I'd be done with this trade and over but a lot of people thinking you know maybe maybe another buck or two that does that then definitely tighten the stops guys just protect the trade for this is a great trading vehicle a little bit a little bit erratic with news and stuff like that but you could catch this up move and then it comes into this trendline and this big breakdown this is this is the area where we're going to be looking to short around 14 14 37 so keep an eye on that one with AMD right now nothing to do but if you're long just tighten those stops if you're short just hold just hold on you know if we get start getting back above 12 then you got to think about if you want to cover it but I think eventually we're gonna come right back down if we do retrace and then along with the markets - alright let's get into our favorite Tesla Tesla was down 2 bucks today nothing crazy but let's get into the daily chart so looking at the daily we're holding the 50 ma the 200 ma which is the red one and the 20 ma which is the yellow line here so we're holding all the mas we did come back and what we do we filled the gap today the gap was uh or that on twelve twelve eleven and held with the 200ma you have the 500 retrace as well good support in this area that's why you got the bounce so we're watching to see if we can hold this mas and now we're looking for pattern or a retrace if you're bearish you want this thing just to hold and then chop around down in here you know holding the mas and then maybe going for a week or so maybe a little longer to build up some pressure and then possibly downside a lot of times with these stocks though you're still above the mas and if it's chopping around this could just be a real weak choppy bullish pattern above the mas and then watch for volume you get some volume you get a nice little push on one day then possibly look for some more follow-through up to the 361 area stuff like that news drove this one up news drove this one down so you know you get into good news expect some upside you get some and okay news maybe just a chop if you get some bad news which I don't know that what that could be maybe another fire or something like that remember we haven't had a fire in a while just like Chipotle today with another you know person getting sick too so unbelievable stuff there so right now though Tesla guys holding the mas okay position let's go to the weekly chart weekly chart though we talked about this down sloping or up sloping trendline hit it 20 ma came right back in I told everyone last week I want to see what the weekly closing is on Friday before this one could possibly go higher everyone was getting really excited here and pretty much hit a brick wall came right back in if we closed below the 20 and blow this trendline it's okay I you know if we if we come back down here and close down here in golf this whole candle then they're gonna be in trouble this one's heading for lower prices oh I'm dreaming of this long right here guys probably starting here maybe at you know if it comes down you know you never know again this is another one just flying so but nice pullback so far on the weekly we still have two days left so it could damn well close above the 20 ma no problem but let's keep an eye on this one Thursday Friday see whether it's closed and then we'll do a weekend update on this and we'll try to figure out where this beast is going its Tesla guys and then the day or the monthly you know we're almost there you know it was a little bit stressed from 20ma I made 20 amazed at 270 369 and this day that's still 50 bucks away 60 bucks away so this thing could have one more Lake down to here fill this gap and then maybe bounce but I still like it down and this went down in this to 42:42 area and that's a great area if it got there guys so anyway so we'll be watching it and it depends how it comes down if it just flies down to it then we'll probably be looking lower but again if you're bullish you got to get you got to get going here again you got to get this thing back up and they tried it on this move here we went back into this trend that's that that's that up sloping trendline see how we hit it on the monthly and we came right back in got to get him over this bar at 331 98 - on a monthly close which would help the bullish case as well so keep an eye on this one - going into Friday's close we'll do another video on this one um come maybe Saturday Sunday we'll see a lot of stuffs going out with me with the holiday so I'm trying to squeeze this stuff in I usually take this month real light and December so you know what will be will be getting at it come the new year again be making videos and and we have a couple things coming up with what I want to do guys so so stick with it and gosh let's have some fun and let's try to make some money in these markets again guys please like my videos please subscribe to my youtube channel just down in here in this right-hand corner and hopefully I'm helping some traders out there with a little bit of technical analysis here and if you have any questions or comments send me an email at stock bookie at gmail.com and we'll take it from there guys
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