저자: 미상 · 외국인
요약 보기
브로드컴은 실적 발표 후 약 13% 하락했으나 매출(+48%)과 반도체 매출(+143%)이 강해 과도한 반응이라고 진단. 다음 분기 가이던스 160억달러가 애널리스트 기대 172억달러에 못 미쳐 매도가 촉발됐다고 설명. 고용지표 호조와 관세 충격 바닥 통과로 시장 반등 가능성을 언급. 종합 재무 점수 96점 중 목표 50 이상, 안전마진 41%, 7점 만점 중 4점으로 평가. EPS가 오르고 실적이 추정치를 상회하면 주가가 크게 오를 수 있다고 봄. 진행자는 종목 보유 여부와 무관하게 관심 종목 상위권이라고 밝힘.
다듬은 글
Broadcom is down about 13% since their earnings report. The question is, is this an opportunity to buy more or sell before the share price drops further? Let's get to it. So, what does Broadcom do? Well, there's a lot of ways Broadcom makes money, but I'm going to try to simplify it really into two main revenue streams or two main divisions.
The first one would be semiconductor engines. So, that's about 60% of their revenue, and how they make money is from switches and routers in data centers. And then they also make money from custom chips as well as chips in Wi-Fi and Bluetooth. The second main division would be infrastructure. That's about 40% of the revenue.
They bought VMware a few years ago. Essentially, it's a company that's competitive to like Azure or AWS. Essentially, you can log in, you can set up your servers, really handle all of your hosting from a cloud platform. And that's a strong recurring enterprise contract play. They make a lot of recurring revenue with that engine.
All right, latest news. This is really important for investors. We got some good news and maybe some good news, maybe some bad news, and how you take it. And here we go. So, total revenue was up over 48% year over year. If you can get over 10%, that's really good. And then get this, semiconductor revenue is up 143% year over year.
Now, here's the bad news if you want to take it that way. Well, you have every quarter guidance where you think things are going. Well, their guidance was they were targeting to make 16 billion in the next quarter, which is like this did not happen. This is what we think will happen. And analysts wanted to hear 17.2.
That's where that sell-off came from. It's a huge overreaction. We're seeing a lot of this right now. When we're in certain economies, like right now it's like at the verge of taking off in my opinion. The reason is jobs reports are looking really good. Tariffs have kind of bottomed out with the the worst reactions from the tariffs.
We're kind of at this point here, we're at the bottom. Stocks are still taking off, but they could really take off like a rocket. So, what institutions are trying to do is they're trying to find excuses to sell off stock a little more cuz what happens is when let's say an institution, they sell off, that triggers fear.
And what that does is it causes retail investors like you and I, as well as other businesses, to sell off further and drive that share price down even more, which creates an even better buying opportunity. It's exactly what's happening with this stock. Nothing wrong with the company, great financials, just this poor guidance, which is ridiculous cuz guidance is always what we think will happen, not what really happened.
So, that's what's happening with the stock. Now, well, there are three options at this point. Well, option one, you can stockpile. That's the strategy where you have strong businesses, share price falls, and you buy more, and you can make you can potentially make big returns. Option two is you can sell off thinking that uh-oh, sky's falling, I better sell more of Broadcom and get out of it.
Or option three, sit on the sidelines and don't do anything. Let's get to the facts, and this will kind of reveal where things will most likely go from here. All right, we're going to look at three things in Ticker. We've got a few ratings in Tinker. We try to make it super easy. The first thing is the score I'm going to direct you to.
This is the overall financial strength of a stock. The higher the score, the safer the investment. 96 out of 100 is very hard to get to. It's next to impossible. Getting over 50 is really the goal. So, overall financials in Broadcom are fantastic. Next up, margin of safety. We want to see a margin of safety 50% or higher.
We're pretty close, we're at 41%, but check this out. Share price 385 as of the recording of this video. Upside 649. A lot upside potential here. And then next up, we look at the score of all scores, which we call the seven. If you can get a five, six, or seven, that's outstanding. In this case, we're looking at a four.
It's very close. It would be a five if this if this 41% was a 50%. So, it's pretty close. So, what will most likely play out here? Well, we did see institutions do their sell off. They had their little tantrum to get that share price to fall off even more. And what's most likely going to happen here is let's go to Ticker, we'll go to financials, and then click on EPS.
And if we see this EPS increase, let's say it goes from you see here $1.96, $1.96, and it goes up to let's say $2, $2.05, or $2.10. And at the same time, they beat their earnings estimate, the share price could really take off like a rocket. So, what am I doing with this stock? Well, I don't hold Broadcom, but I really like Broadcom.
I've got a watch list of like a hundred or so stocks. I would put Broadcom probably in my top 10 favorites. I've got a nice focused portfolio of about 10 stocks. If I want to sell off any of those stocks, I may consider putting Broadcom in my portfolio. All right, so where do you see Broadcom going from here?
Do you think it's going to sell off further, or do you think this is a great stock piling opportunity? Now, if you want to find strong stocks like Broadcom, you can join Ticker for free. Simply go to ticker.com and click on start my free trial. Of course, don't buy and sell stocks based solely on what you hear.
Only buy and sell stocks that align with your own personal financial goals. Thanks for checking out this video. We'll see you soon. Bye for now.
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