Sell The Greed or Follow the Trend? (SPX breakdown with NVDA, ROKU Plays)

요약 보기

결론: 진행자는 단기적으로 상승 흐름을 보며 SPX 상승 가능성에 무게를 두고, 금융 섹터(XLF) 강세와 채권 흐름을 함께 본다. 시장 전망: S&P500(SPX)이 강한 저항선을 돌파해 상승 모멘텀이 나타났다고 봤다. 다음 저항선은 약 2876 부근, 이후 2900 및 사상 최고치 부근으로 제시했다. 내일 갭 상승 후 되돌림 또는 갭 메우기 두 시나리오를 설명했다. 금융 섹터: XLF가 약 2.45% 상승했고, 진행자는 XLF 콜을 보유했다가 이번 달 일부를 매도했다고 밝혔다. XLF가 200일 이동평균선까지 갈 수 있고, 채권(금리) 조정 후 추가 상승 가능성을 언급했다. 미국기술주/엔비디아(NVDA): 기존 롤 콜 포지션을 청산했다고 밝혔다. 180달러 부근 눌림목을 기다렸다가 1개월 만기 콜로 재진입하고, 목표는 195달러 부근이다. 180달러 이탈 시 다음 지지는 178달러다. 상승 깃대형(bull flag) 돌파를 기대했다. 로쿠(ROKU): 최근 숏 포지션으로 손실을 봤지만 1개월 만기 풋을 보유 중이다. 내일 70달러 저항에서 거부가 나오면 풋을 추가 매수하고, 70달러 돌파 시 손절 후 재매수 계획을 밝혔다. 77달러 부근도 언급했다. 리스크/조건: 시장이 현재 흐름을 유지할 때의 시나리오이며, 단기 상승만 보고 하방은 정의하지 않는다고 밝혔다. 자산별 조건부 시나리오 위주다. 출연자 전망: 진행자 본인이 단기적으로 상승 쪽에 무게를 두는 입장이다.

다듬은 글

※ 자동 자막 원문(다듬기 전)

01. hey guys welcome back to stock up or trading in this video we have to reposition ourselves into a bullish momentum and let me catch you let me go god you guys do this today we surpass a very strong resistance at 20 a 60 and we did have been struggle to close above it we in fact closed at 28 is 67 this is a very Polish move so when you look at what's our next resistance back in October the next resistance looking at 28 76 and then eventually 2900 and the all-time high so what would you well what would you do tomorrow there are two scenarios and you look at first we might gap open and then they go above the 20s 76 and they a.m.

02. and then fall back down the p.m. but bounce above this range second scenario that we are going to come down to touch the 28th 60 and eventually filters gap at 20 a 40 why is that because on the history of the stock market gaps are always always always gets filled just a matter of time when gaps on again fill so those are the two signals I will do it if we call down showed us gap I'm gonna buy this I'm gonna loan this into our all-time high that's why I'm going to do when the gap gets filled doesn't matter if we came down I'm going to define this let this market wants to go higher and higher so when you look at our correlation between the xof the financial sectors and our bond markets so what we must know is that the XRF up about two point four five percent and I myself have some x XL F calls in it but then I sold around this month we launched I was not the best I hate Oscar bacon so we need to look at what's going to happen with the bond market and how high can XO f go so let me just adjust the settings so you for me personally I look at this way I look X are the bound I had a parabolic move to the upside and now just coming down retrace it and then we go higher on the extra sim concept we drop so much and now we got bounced back and earning that coming up for banks and choice so how high do I think xof gonna go I think XO I was gonna touch the 200-day moving average and the bond it's gonna come down come back down to a hundred and forty seven inch ticks before we bounce higher this is the one I'm looking for so just be cautious when the X so if keeps on going it's going to carry out SP to higher levels now let's talk about to trade higher chance of winning chance opportunities on video calls and Roku puts if it rejects sending box tomorrow and let's talk about in video right quick for NVIDIA I exited my loan position calls today again I was feared that a mock account drop so I accepted my Nvidia I was long the call since hundreds in the a box made at all I don't know like thousand younger bucks on it just a five contracts not much so what I am going to do is to wait for a pullback to 180 ones I know intraday that one eighty bounced off I'm gonna getting again my may may second me I think was mid second whatever is good a month out calls get a month out May June and then targets 195 level if Nvidia breaks 180 the next support I 178 still get in cuz uh we are going to this is a bull flag we are going to break out on video very soon so just be killed just just by this dip dip like this and then that's why you get one mouth outs and video calls the next one I want to talk about is Roku this little crap line ran about a percent today as how they presented a I enter some shorts on Friday I got burned I'm still holding because I have about one month outs puts so tomorrow if I see a rejection at the 70 bucks level I'm gonna add him more this is the previous rejection we are going to reject if we reject I'm going to add him more everyone passed 70 bucks and we don't come down I'm gonna get out call my loss and I'll buy it again when it goes to autumn ha so this is my all-time video if tomorrow we reject around this level or come down to all 68 bucks if we does not reject and keep going we're talking all-time high there's two scenarios that I want to be playing so the other my are looking at 77 bucks most likely what happen if the market stays this polish us recap on SPX I will not again our now shortest in the short term I will only be defined as to the upside thank you guys for watching I'll see you in the next video