저자: BlackJuan · 외국인
요약 보기
연준 9월 금리 인하 확률이 거의 100%이고 짐 크레이머의 강세 발언이 역지표일 수 있다. 비트코인 124k→121k 조정 중이나 이더리움은 4,700 돌파, 알트 시즌 신호로 BTC 도미넌스 데드크로스 가능성과 알트 시즌 지수 53을 제시. 이더리움 현물 ETF 유입 증가, 기관 트레저리 확대, 구글 트렌드 상승 언급. 목표가 7.5k~25k 제시하나 9월 단기 조정 가능성도 경고.
다듬은 글
Hey, guys. Welcome back everyone to Black Juan. Thank you for updating crypto news from this channel, friends. We are getting super positive news right now related to altcoins. One of the many things we'll explain here, folks, is the thing that's tarnishing our alt season cycle this time. The first is that this comes from The FET in America regarding the interest rate cut that will be implemented by the Fed in September.
There are probabilities here that are explained by this graph, 93.7% stating that at the next meeting, the Fed will definitely cut interest rates. So the chance is now approaching 100%. Cut in September. You are not bullish enough. But friends before I continue here there is one news that tarnishes the other positive news, namely coming from Jim Kramer.
Bullishness may not stop today guys. Suddenly he's bullish this Jim Kramer is here guys. We've known for years that when we talk about Jim Cramer, he often goes inverse, folks. And this time, in your opinion, if this inverse is true, try writing your opinion in the comments column, Black Chuan Friends.
I want to know because I was also invited to this discussion by one of my friends on Twitter, let's discuss this, bro. That's how it is. Well, so far there has been no rational analysis or indicators related to what Jim Kramer did or tweeted . But friends, often times it happens the opposite of what we expect.
Basically, when Jim Kramer came out with his comments, people were wary or initially made him a joke, but after a while, wow, Jim Kramer is already bullish that this market will go down like that, friends. So, even today, when we recorded the video, the Bitcoin price had slightly corrected from around 124,000 to now at 121,000.
However, what is interesting is Etherium. Ethereum finally settled at 4,700. Meanwhile, other coins also experienced increases, although they were still not significant, likely due to the rotation into Ethereum first. like that before finally scattering into other small coins, medium caps, small caps, or even tiny tiny caps.
And the potential of the current alt season is indeed increasingly real. Let's look at the long-term resistance line trend of BTC dominance. Here, Black Chuan's friend, we can see a McD pattern that seems to be heading towards a death cross. This is the opposite of a golden cross when the blue one is above, and when it is below, like the alt season that occurred in 2021, there was a decline in BTC dominance.
And this caused many altcoins to pump, even more than 10x, 20x, you name it. Anyway, the hype was really high at that time for altcoins, guys. And this time we have been given a sign. And this is for a 1 month time frame . So long friends, this is long for us to see all the seasons ahead. And for the all season index, it is currently at 53 points here, friends.
So, we're already far from the Bitcoin season in area 25. So, we consider this the death zone for all seasons. So if he stays here for a long time, the position here is for accumulation, friends. So if it goes up by half this much, how much will the altcoins increase? And if it does reach 75, it will be quite a long time before it can survive, especially if this financial rotation really happens.
Then, interestingly, Black Chuan's friend is the one who accumulates Ethereum Spot ETFs, and the inflow continues to increase here, friends. So, at one point, this ETF was considered a failure because it didn't perform like Bitcoin. However, Black Chuan's friends are more or less the same as Bitcoin.
Imagine that Bitcoin took several months until it finally experienced a very high pump pump pump, especially the inflow in Bitcoin ETFs. And that's what happened in Etherium. It's been quite a while since Ethereum launched its Ethereum ETF, friends. And finally we see this pump continues to happen, this inflow continues to happen.
Meanwhile, for purchases made on Binance itself, there is a wallet on Binance that makes hot wallet purchases. Here, friends, you made a purchase of 17 million US dollars to Ethereum. In fact, when Ethereum experienced this increase, it was posted on August 14, 2025, friends. And now with the news continuing to be positive, friends.
Lots of positive news. I take one of them here is the standard charted now seeing this Ethereum will hit will touch 25,000 in the next 30 months. And this year alone, it is predicted that it will reach 7.5K for Ethereum here, friends. from 4,000 it rose to 7,500 and in the future it will reach 25,000, the projection is in 2028 or 30 months, friends.
So we have more positive news here, Black Chuan friends. Next, here I want to show you about the resistance that has been a dangerous area for Ethereum or an area that is very difficult for it to penetrate, right here, friends. This is the 3,900 area or the 4K area because this area was touched before and then a correction occurred and finally in 2021 it also broke through here to the 4,700 area, right here, friends, then after that, a be market occurred here, then Ethereum, well, he struggled below here , then, friends, in 2024 he touched here again and he was stuck again.
Yes, he got off here. Then he touched it again. Basically, he touched this ceiling or resistance here three times. And finally in 2025, we succeeded in seeing Ethereum break through this level and finally, we waited for its confidence to create another new candle here. Make a new candle here. And if this happens 5,000 for Ethereum, it is certain to happen, friends.
with this bullish scenario it will continue until August. Let's see what the movements of Etherium are like. Then, my friend Black Chuan, and friends, Google Search for altcoins has reached or surpassed its 2021 peak. And the momentum here has already entered with the momentum ETF. Then corporate treasury expend.
In 2021, the strongest narrative was at that time, then there was NFT, and this time, the momentum is what's driving it. It seems that going forward, it will be ETFs, friends. ETF momentum, then there's corporate treasury expend here, friends. So, companies are starting to be interested in storing altcoins, which in this case, the alt season has started to be heralded in the news now.
And if we look at this directly to the trend, yes, here for this year's trend alone from Google Trends, here people who search for yes or terms for altcoins, there is a spike, friends. If we look at the past five years, it has surpassed what happened in 2021 here. So this is the 2021 area. Then now we are in the 2025 area and he continues to spike here.
If we hear the words of these people on Twitter, it will be 100x, Guys. Stay alert to all kinds of positive news like this. It could be that the orchestration for this news was deliberately released now so that he would vomu-vomu. Then, what if, what if, what if, what if, what if, what if, in September, we were given a mini correction there.
So I'm sure the people who are currently FOMU-FOMU bought a lot of altcoins and then got a correction in September. What's the story? We will link that to the conclusion of our video this time. But before that, I want to continue talking about Cardano here, friends. For Cardano Holders, up to now, from the oncha change or from the movement in this market, the long-term holders here are not willing to sell because they believe in the existence of something called an ETF, friends.
The ETF momentum we discussed earlier that will occur in these altcoins, my friends, is what long-term Cardano holders are anticipating, so they are not yet willing to sell their assets, their Cardano that they have accumulated since the market was launched. And I think there are quite a few Black Chuan friends who hold kardanu here.
Because in these times of market be, these two coins that we often talk about are Cardano and XRP, friends. And unfortunately, Kardanu hasn't moved as well as XRP. Closing our video this time, Friends, this is a warning or part of our vigilance. I'm not trying to scare you or ruin your mood like Jim Kramer did here, who stated that he is currently bullish, my friends, and the following analysis is part of our vigilance in observing the movements that will occur in the short term in the future.
So there's an analysis here for a total of three altcoins per BTC with a 1-week time frame stating that until now he's not confident here seeing the decline that occurred in the total here or in the BTC alt pair here, friends, because according to him, again, he said here, yes, as a reference for us, Black Cuan friends, until finally he touched the support area here, friends, which was previously touched in the 2018 Bullrun, the 2021 Bullrans until now has not touched this support area here and the momentum is a continuous decline here, Black Chuan friends.
And what happens when he bounces? This is a mini alt season that is happening. Then the mini all season happened like that, guys. And just like what happened before in 2019-2020, there was also a mini all season before he finally touched the support area here. And until this happens and touches this support, then he will confidently state that a real alt season will occur .
The true alt season happened to Black Chuan's friend. Well, this is the scenario I want to share with you as a reference only, not to scare you. Because there's a habit that occurs in September, there's a correction in altcoins or a bounce in BTC dominance, friends. So, when BTC dominance bounces in September, Ethereum will likely experience a slight correction or even bleed before finally rising to 7.5K as predicted by the standard charter, or even higher, perhaps even 10K, or even 15K for Ethereum.
However, this is what we need to be aware of going forward in September. I remain optimistic about this market being bullish in the long term, my friends. So if this scenario does indeed occur in September, we are given a correction, friends, with the assumption that until August, and the end of August, altcoins and Ethereum will continue to climb, and there will be an increase.
Then in September, we are given the momentum to make a correction there, who will use this moment or who will take advantage of it. Because after that, in the following months, Black Chuan Friends, if we imitate the events of 2021, a real alt season will occur here. The true alt season is coming. This, my friends, is what happened in 2021.
That's what we're waiting for through the alt season here, my friends. This is part of our vigilance and is further spiced up by the gym cramer . But overall, I'm very happy, I'm very happy because finally we see green in the market. Friends of Black Chuan, that's it for our video this time. Thank you for watching.
In the meantime, guys, let's enjoy the right guys. Greetings black. Peace my friend.
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