저자: JimCramer · 외국인
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8월 시장이 과열(froth) 조짐을 보인다는 경고로 시작하며, 7월 러셀1000 상위 15개 종목을 점검해 실체 있는 상승인지 거품인지 가려냄 [과열 정의와 배경] 과열은 실적이 나쁜 기업이 계속 오르는 현상으로, 밈 주식(게임스탑) 같은 사례가 대표적이라고 설명 [종목별 판단] 퀀텀스케이프(+66%): 적자 지속·매출 없음, 매도 권고(위험) 로쿠(+50%): 광고 플랫폼 성장으로 실체 있음, 다만 적자라 지금 추천은 어려움 웨스턴얼라이언스·Zions: 예금 유출 우려 해소, 실제 순유입, 과열 아님 탠덤 다이어베티스: 흑자 거의 없음, 과열 의심 코인베이스: 규제 판결 엇갈림, 실적 발표 전 관망 프로스펙트·Pinnacle·KeyCorp: 예금 상황 양호, 과열 아님(KeyCorp 6% 배당 매력) 리프트: 새 경영진, 수익성 개선 기대, 다소 과열 팔란티어: 분기 실적 우수, 과열 아님, 추가 상승 여지 로빈후드: 캐시우드 매도 영향으로 상승분 일부 반납 가능, 과열 뉴렐릭·Comerica 등: 과열 아님, 실적·브랜드 기반 상승 [결론] 15개 중 퀀텀스케이프·로빈후드·일부만 거품, 대다수는 실체 있는 반등으로 판단 [출연자 의견] 해외 시청자 질의응답에서 넷플릭스 광고 요금제 확대로 주가 상승 전망, 체위(Chewy) 긍정적, J&J 분사 긍정, 할리데이비슨은 에피소드성 주식이라 비추천
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everybody Welcome to cramerica I'll be with my friends I'm just trying to make you a little money my job is not just to entertain you but to educate and teach you so call me at 1-800-743 cmbc or tweet me at Jim Cramer August a tricky month to begin with and this this one could be especially tricky because the Market's getting a little too frothy for my taste now what does frothy really mean Beyond some sort of pejorative connotation involving over enthusiasm if they were the down gained 71 points s p backslip 0.27 and NASDAQ declined 0.43 this is something we need to address first fourth is hard to Define for some it means stocks and companies that are doing poorly keep going higher and higher like how Bed Bath and Beyond spiked many times before the business vanished send those substance they were pure froth signposts of a market that lacks or whenever you get a GameStop situation a paradigm of its own where a bunch of Home Gamers join forces to push up heavily shortened stocks they should get really really frothy very fast the stock went from four dollars to 400 before falling off the cliff again they were obliterated and it's been lasting enmity for my call to sell GameStop at 400.
I'm regarded by some as the person who pures the bogus bubble which I must say I'm very proud which again is a curse word in this business because worth means lots of people are trying to make money in a completely unsustainable way if you want to spot froth you need to keep an eye on the stocks that are soaring and figure out if there's anything real behind those moves or if they're phony but before we get too naked maybe it would pay to do a little investigating maybe not everything is faulty maybe some stocks actually deserve to trade higher can you imagine hey maybe many of them do well why do we do it let me I gotta let's do this let's go over the 15 best performers in the Russell 1000 large cap business this month that was the most robust or frothy of the indices to see which of these moves are fraught and which actually have substance so we can draw conclusions about how dangerous this moment really is let's start with Quantum scape that was the biggest winner it was up 66 this is a Battery Technology Company geared toward electric vehicles it's stock jumped because they brought in new president from Western Digital given that there was no other news this one feels completely ridiculous to me ridiculous quantum's case we're losing money like crazy for years doesn't have any Revenue stocks got a 22 short position and the shorts got busted last month my verdict sell sell sell danger zone Will Robinson okay fourth death come one second Roku ah wait a second these guys report a dramatic upside surprise because their platforms become indispensable for the big screaming networks we got that number last Thursday evening and the stock rallied 31 on Friday ending the month up 50 crazy as it sounds I actually think this one makes sense Roku have been written off as irrelevant that was clearly wrong much better situation than we thought might even be worth buying but I can't recommend it here because companies losing money hand over fist still roku's platforms flourishing with consumer packaged Goods ads it's incredible I'd say here foreign from 71.26 in a three-day period March right after Silicon Valley Bank blew up Western Alliance was thought to be a corner with deposits fleeing turns out they had genuine deposit growth this quarter nothing looks even remotely like a bank run this Phoenix base I love the idea of Phoenix just you know literally too a Regional Bank fooled everyone including the short sellers who bet against it I think the Stock's 42 probably less about this Justified especially when you remember it's still down huge from its highs no fraud same goes for number four Zion's bag that's from Salt Lake City I can't tell you how many times I heard from people because they know I've got shows that this bank was bleeding deposits from their eyeballs again hedge funds bad against it with 11 short position just like Western Lions Zions had actual net inflows so even though the stock was up 42 last month I bet it could have more room to run no froth number five tandem diabetics care very tricky this company just got FDA approval for what they say is the world's smallest durable automated insulin pump but Tanners had positive net income only once in the last six years with the sales for the last three years hmm not so hot reports this Thursday stock was up 42 percent last month to frothy right here tandem no thanks coinbase the sixth best Gator up 38 caught a break last month when a Federal Court ruled that cryptocurrency sold the individuals ours not Securities as part of a long-running battle between the SEC and an alpha Court Ripple the ruling gave coinbase permission to keep doing what it's been doing which is merchandising a lot of coins yesterday though another federal judge judge raycock powerful guy said the exact same said in the exact same court by the way said the opposite position in a different case so this is far from settled tough one coinbase reports on Thursday and now I want to wait even as there is a 23 short position enough to send the stock to the stratosphere if the numbers are good jury's out right there until yesterday I would have said that so far the seventh Biggest Gainer was up on pure speculation that student loans would come back as a huge business but it turns out that so far took in a tremendous amount of deposits when other Banks were seeing deposits fully so if I had 6.2 million members now we interviewed CEO Anthony when the stock was at four bucks not that long ago and asked in point black if you needed to issue Equity if his balance she was in trouble he said unhesitatingly no he said business was actually booming he was right bears were wrong stock jumped 37 last month probably not done no fraud so far the banks that have rallied deserved it but both Pinnacle Financial and key Court numbers eight nine deliver weaker number weaker yeah and some optimal deposits yeah in this environment with such negativity toward the already downtrod and Regional Banks it didn't really matter both their stocks rallied 34 and 33 respectively last month might seem frothy but in the case of key with that six percent yield I need to be bought their stocks just never should have gone where they went to can't be frothy too cheap right here I think Lyft Lyft number 10 is going up because that is a new management that's committed to making a profit I like CEO David richer he's The Late Late of Amazon and I I think consumers want more than one ride sharing company Uber just supported a profitable quarter people didn't like about it was Lyft reports next week after the stocks 33 run last month some on the backs of the shorts I'm going to say frothy sorry David I have to say call it like I see it David being a reference to David Richard who's watching the show and I have to address that because he's one of our viewers number 11 palantir this had a terrific quarter this is a real cyber security company with real customers that has real money as real sales even though it's stock jumped 29 in July I bet it is actually is more upside not frothy even as it seems to be because you can see in the morning on that thing underneath the TV it looks like it's always going up that's what can I do I think that palantir is right here medium froth Robin Hood number 12.
I believe rally not because of its new retirement program which is what some people think but because high profile money manager Kathy Wood bought a ton of it before switching and being a seller and blowing out a lot of it yesterday you know what I think that'll take the air out of this giant money losing stock I was very nice there by saying that and it could give up much of the 29 game from last month froth number 13 new relics gotta take over a bit For Heaven's Sake remember that's Lou cerniest and anagram totally justified it's 28 gain but now it's done Uber non-froth I snipped when I saw a new number 14 on the list rallied 28 in July as this consumer Products company has been a disaster for years and years but you know what it's new management is able to generate a huge amount of free cash flow and it owns some terrific Brands including Sharpies Calphalon and Rubbermaid plus it's probable I think dual's not frothy and can work its way higher I can't believe I said that but I like this management team finally we've got Comerica a story bank that actually again did pretty well on a recent deposits it rallied 27 last month and I bet it has more upside given the fact that it's got innate earnings power and it's got a great brand name anti-froth amazing the bottom line when you look at the biggest winners in the Russell 1000 last month I am very happy to say that the vast majority of these stocks aside from quantumscape and Robin Hood represent real substances not just thin gruel fraud later in the show we'll document some real proof but these stocks I think most are reasonable staff Back stories that deserve the July gains amazingly it sure seemed like froth when I went in but when you go into the hood it's a lot more grounded than we thought being in Florida it hey Jim big boy up in Florida oh good to have you and what's going on oh just living the life that's what I said this last night when I studying at 11 o'clock when I was looking at different stocks I said this is the life that I have chosen go ahead there you go investor Club number as well but yes Jim I wanted to ask you about um Netflix um what's your thoughts on Netflix online I okay I think Netflix has got this second tier that they're doing the ad tier with a little bit of sub that is so first of all I want the Netflix guys to come on because I review them and I'm absolutely and I got to tell you I am sick and tired of them not wanting to come on because I like them so much I think it was a good quarter I think stock goes higher let's go to Tony in Florida Tony hey Jeff Tony remember and it will be a club member for Life yes we are doing so much for the club are you kid I got an off-site our money it's 42 days of Club 42 days of Club just kidding but getting good to have you what's up and also is in a world that's so friendly and knowledgeable and they help us out with everything we need and I want to thank you it was um this company is getting better each um quarter and I have a small position and hopefully you'll buy a lot of stuff before you what do you think about Chewie if I should add to it all right so Chewie look on that b is this close to home because you know we lost Marley my wife's got another dog coming we got you know we got we got Ragu this one's going to be Tony from an Alabama Kill Center reggaetoni get that and I'm telling her we got to get pictures from Chewie the new dog she's saying listen we'll just go buy the usual food I am a big believer from Chewie and so is Ben Soto who has a dog by the name of Riggins but he always says Lee Reagan's out of there so I like chewy and New York Ed hey Jim it's Ed Northport I was wondering what's going on with j and Jane the spin-off okay okay so cam view is now it look there you it's a really interesting split off where they're gonna have a big buyback that comes from kenview uh but the problem with jnj as I said yesterday is not J J it's one of my absolute favorite companies in the world the problem is the plants bar and their inability to be able to settle to make it so that the people who are most needy get the money and everybody can move on so one of the Great American companies has left the portfolio and it drives me crazy because I really think J is fantastic Trey in Texas Trey Jim in an effort to break my dangerous habit of texting and driving I bought a motorcycle traditionally you wear helmet do you wear a helmet I certainly do Jim okay then you're cool let's go ahead I just wanted to let you know I'm currently forming a retirement focused bike club the sons of 401.
um holy cow how do you like that now um I think the 401 should not put Harley David you know Ira I would not recommend Harley-Davidson I'll tell you why because it's episodic and I don't like episodic stocks I like secular growth stocks and unfortunately Harley doesn't have it so I'm gonna have to say no to that by the way Ed Club member unbelievable Tony Club member these guys understand that all I do is work for the club someone's trying to tell me I have to go faster I'm second anyway I think most of these stocks to store these stories are actually reasonable reasonable snapbacks deserving it's not really frothy I'm not kidding it's not five uh play money tonight what do we have we have Rockwell Automation now that stock fell awfully today if you're missing currently expectations we got to get to the plot of what happened there and then we are continuing short week where the heck is my Shark for everything shark week and we are going to be with FIB Queen she's the old she's finally coming here to the studio you do not want to miss it because Shark Week continues on mad money and don't forget Pinterest they report after the Bell what could be gleaned from the social media company report I'm running the numbers with the company's top draft
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