저자: DanIves · 외국인
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결론: 테슬라 수요 저점 통과와 2024년 반등을 기대하며 주가 상승 여력을 보는 낙관론 영상. Dan Ives(Wedbush)는 테슬라 목표가 310달러를 유지하며, 중국 수요가 2024년 안정·개선될 것이라 봄. 마진도 저점을 통과했다고 평가하고, 수요가 회복되면 테슬라 주가 랠리가 상당할 수 있다고 주장. 캐시 우드(ARK)는 올해 테슬라를 매도했으나 설명이 납득 가능하다고 언급. 여름 테슬라가 150% 오른 뒤 리밸런싱 차원에서 일부 매도했고, 실적 발표 후에는 매도하지 않았다고 설명. 캐시 우드는 GM·포드의 EV 전략 후퇴로 테슬라의 5년 점유율이 예상보다 높아질 것이라 보며, 펀더멘털에 우려가 없다고 함. 금리 인상 사이클 종료를 근거로 매수도 진행 중이라 밝힘. 테슬라 독일 공장 직원 인터뷰 소개(업무 만족도 긍정적), 스웨덴 노조 파업 불참 언급. 방향성 판단과 직접 관련 없는 내용. 테슬라가 유튜브 유료 광고를 처음 집행했다는 소식과 모델3 재고 할인 소식을 전함. 가격 인하가 계속될지는 불확실하나 목요일 밤 가격 변경이 잦아 당일 인하가 없으면 다소 강세 신호라고 언급. 테슬라가 호주 전기 소매 사업 진출 계획을 확인, 지붕형 태양광·배터리·EV 결합으로 기존 사업 모델을 흔들 것이라 설명.
다듬은 글
your most recent price Target on Tesla I love to always get that from you yes so look 310 and and I and I do believe it was an air pocket that they've gone through of growth I mean I just came back from Asia for two weeks I believe you're actually going to see demand start to you know stabilize to actually improve into China going in 2024 cyber trucks you know that's some where delivery should start November 30th I think margins trough out and I think this is a stock that continues to move higher from here I think that's why you're seeing the resilience in the stock is many look into 2024 if Dan IES is right about Tesla's demand and the margins not going lower anymore I think we could see a fairly big Tesla stock rally and Kathy Wood was just on TV again and she talked about why she sold Tesla's stock and this time her explanation actually makes a lot more sense on her cm NBC appearance I don't think she did that good of a job explaining it when we're talking about consumption we're talking about concerns you would think it's going to affect one of your top Holdings and that is Tesla and we've been hearing some commentary from the company that is not that positive it's Fallen to third in your portfolio is that why so what we did earlier this year it was especially in July summer months we looked at Tesla up 150% and many of our multiomic Nam in the life science base they were negative for the year and we this is portfolio management kind of 101 uh huge profits there losses here let's do some uh rebalancing and so we did that but we did not sell after their quarter you'll notice that the GM and Ford have basically pulled back on their EV strategy and said we can't we can't do this unless it's profitable well this is Chicken and the Egg it can't be profitable for them just like it wasn't for Tesla until they scale so if they're not going to scale they won't be profitable uh meanwhile we do think the consumer preference shift towards electric vehicles is in full force and uh you know the there there will be demand destruction on the uh internal combustion engine side of the business it it it won't disappear here overnight but uh the share gains will go to Electric so no fundamental qualms on Tesla no um in fact the the GM and Ford pulling away tells us Tesla's market share in our five-year investment time Horizon is going to be higher than we thought so absolutely not have we bought any back well uh as I mentioned many stocks during the summer period had you know water Falls especially in the multiomic space uh because they tend to be earlier stage much earlier than Tesla so you preferred to buy there we buying because we really do believe we're at the end of the interest rate move knowing that Kathy Wood owns many different stocks this explanation actually makes sense to me here's a Tesla employee in Germany speaking about her experience working with Tesla my name is norico I am associate manager for the paint shop started 2021 here as a quality technician so one of the first technicians who joined the Giga team 7 months after my manager approached me and then I decided to become a supervisor job was open for associate manager so I applied so to associate manager it's one year 11 months my daily tasks are keep the production running to get cars out of the shop here you have no barriers you can just be open and creative here it's fun it's crazy here every day is not the same every day is different every day is challenging you with other tasks I'm proud of many people here it's on you what you make out of your career here she seems to be pretty happy working at Tesla just like these workers in Sweden that are not going on strike Tesla just made another big move and it is now officially advertising on YouTube this is Tesla's first ever paid video ad YouTube has more than 2.7 billion active monthly users are about 34% of the global population Tesla is also running a YouTube short ad which is not optimized for the vertical screen sadly but I'm sure Tesla will make that change later right now they just want to test it as quickly as possible generally Tesla stock investors are really excited about this a great thing about YouTube is that you can easily track your results I advertised with YouTube before and it's really good it looks like Tesla has discounts on new in inventory model 3s they aren't huge discounts though but the model y still has no discounts it is important to remember that the model 3 will have a refresh very soon and many people already know about it so it is natural that the model 3 would have some discounts but this is not a signal that there will be no more price Cuts going forward Gary black though reminds us to remember that Tesla inventory discounts are very different than configurator discounts as they relate to valuation inventory discounts go into analyst models for that quarter only configurator discounts are incorporated into analyst models in perpetuity which with Tesla that's a little bit of a mistake I believe because Tesla adjusts configurator prices a lot overall though I would agree with James a lot more Gary black is probably right about how analysts approach these and there is Merit to discounting inventory versus the headline price from a brand and consumer psychology perspective but at the end of the day price sold is price sold income statement does does not care but I personally if I was to buy a model 3 I would definitely wait until the refresh is here before buying it Tesla though almost always changes prices on Thursday night so if there are no price Cuts today then that's a somewhat bullish Sign O this is sort of big news Tesla has now confirmed its plans to take on electricity retailers in Australian it will also happen in many other countries saying it will seek to combine rooftop solar batteries and EVs and disrupt the business models of traditional incumbents but you know Tesla is just a car company so we're going to move on
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