저자: Andrew · 외국인
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2022년 10월 10일 반도체 급락장에서 SOXL·엔비디아 바닥 반전을 여러 번 노렸으나 연속 손절, 하루 큰 손실. 시장은 52주 신저가 행진 중이며 연준 긴축과 인플레이션이 주가를 누르고 있다고 진단. 반도체는 모멘텀이 없어 당분간 반등 확신이 없고 매매를 중단한다고 밝힘. 경기침체·채권시장 위기 등 거시 악재를 나열하며 약세 관점 유지.
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so what I saw and so excel at the open I didn't trade at the open I came in and eventually saw you know some sort of a bottoming in action around 8 15 I tried to catch a reversal on that it popped up kind of stopped out you know I get another pop-up you know government luck and I got it stopped out so that was a really bad loss on it all right guys this is uh Andrew good morning everybody uh Happy Thanksgiving to all of my Canadian friends in Canada it's Thanksgiving and it's holiday but U.S is open I think it's Columbus Day in U.S as well some places are closed but the market was open really bad day of for the market really bad day for my trading I had a couple of bad losses so the semi the market is gapping down obviously like everyone it's been a year that the market is gapping down every day and it's just going down we hit the new 52 52-week low on a lot of uh indexes semiconductors are really really having a bad day like nvda is down five percent AMD is down three percent uh apparently there is a news coming on Nvidia on some panel regulation on exporting the semiconductors so semiconductors are already really beaten up so as when you look at this so Excel is at from the high of 70 is down at you know below eight dollars so what I saw and so excel at the open I didn't trade at the open I came in and eventually saw you know some sort of a bottoming in action around 8 15 I tried to catch a reversal on that it popped up gotta stopped out you know again another pop-up you know government log and I got it stopped out so that was a really bad loss on it uh a couple of Trades that I did you know none of these double bottom really actually worked because it's just way too weak and it actually got it stopped out and I tried again at eight I went long again and see if they do the eight is making us this double bottom and I got it stopped out again at 790 so it just doesn't seem that there is any bottom on the soxl just keeps going down and it was really hard to find any reversal of that even though I was waiting until 10 30 because until the Rave of sell-off continues uh really hard and I had a really bad loss on that same as Nvidia Nvidia had a really serious loss until 10 o'clock I tried to catch a reversal couple of times just constantly stopping me out every level was really breaking down S4 was nice pop but again I couldn't really catch a nice one on it and it just dropped all the way to 114 so it's just I couldn't you know there was no strength for the reverse of nothing every pop just being sold off on that and I turned out to be my day with a very bad last 7 500 I just I don't know what else I could do really uh you know the for you know you see it you know big wash out and you find a double bottom you want to catch that you know I just couldn't do it possibly you can have as the reversal on that but maybe you have to wait probably until you know the 15 minutes uh chart starts to give you some signal and then five minute chart makes a new high and then these moving averages start tangling to each other and then maybe you can get catch a reversal on that but at this stage it's just I'm done with it five six trades on it all just constantly hi announcing Mentor project joint venture the market doesn't do really well this week we have Security Solutions sorry just making this uh yeah the market really doesn't do well probably we have another 10 15 drop on it uh until the inflation comes down everything is going down I mean the Federal Reserve wants to break things down they want five percent in unemployment they want you know the collapse of the stock market until the inflation comes down and it just all comes from that stupid way of handling uh covid-19 you know the whole world has just uh you know you locked down the whole world and then you open up the whole world in a second you know nothing you know the supply chain cannot handle that reopening of the fast economy and then you have the surge of inflation and that's the price that investors have to pay anyways that's my trades uh what do you would you trade how did you trade in uh Brian I know usually that's open well it was I mean there was I took a number of Trades and like little pot little Pops I thought I'd catch a Direction but then you know I get the first move and a partial and then stopped out like on AMD for example but uh I did get one good trade in and that was uh I had two bad trades at the open with Lyft and uh Tesla taking them long and then they just uh reversed so I ended up getting stopped out of those for a loss but then I shorted Tesla and uh around uh 222 and then got a move nice move down through 220 and then 219 and uh and then again it reversed and stopped me back out I took got back out at 221 so um that was probably my best trade um yeah other than that it's been uh yeah pretty choppy pretty choppy price action I did trade my Tesla for opening range break car we just came right out there for the break of fire today I went long uh popped up I added more and eventually got to stop that so I really didn't make much of the money on Tesla but most of my trades up was all of this double bottom caching reversals on this week's stocks and it really didn't work out so you look at this you know I found the bottom here go stop that long it stopped out it just seems that uh semiconductors are just you know slowly setting off through this moving averages uh I don't know Jared got him and when I when I got uh when that bottom got put in on Tesla Jared got a nice reversal on that one right yeah he did so he actually shared that I didn't know so so from S3 he got a really nice bottom on that all the way up to 226 so that was a really nice bottom on that yeah all right guys there you go that was a really bad day for me um I'm gonna stop trading I don't trust I mean there is eventually gonna be a bounce on these uh semiconductors so Excel but I don't know if it's uh really uh time or not see it every time it comes throughout moving averages selling off it doesn't have any momentum to the upside I don't think anyone is interested in buying semiconductors today they're really under pressure and semiconductors are really really really written up they're more than indexes like Nvidia part of it is because of the crypto when the crypto is Roblox and vda high of 340 is now trading at 114 AMD high of 180 I think 170 now it's trading at 56 it's just they're constantly making 52 weeks though uh Market is making new laws uh so yeah this is just the whole world economy is in collapsing that there's a bond market crisis in Germany right now Russia doesn't step back the energy crisis is happening China is going to a recession so there's a lot of bad news and it's all came from that stupid uh covet anyways uh uh it was a fun time 2022 and 20 21 and 22 but I'll see how it goes I've got to pay the price for it okay the only thing that we can do is we spend less spend less do your part in lowering your inflation otherwise your 401k is just going down which is actually horrible because if you're near retirement you know a 30 draw 40 drop you know a typical 60 40 portfolio for hedge fund managers are down like 30 40 percent it's the bond market dropped like over 60 and that's bad for a lot of people who are near retirement this is really really bad that's why the hedge funds are going uh blow up all the time um awesome thank you so much and have a good day uh cheers guys cheers
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