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1 ๐Ÿš€ Investissement dans la valeur - Benjamin Graham - Warren Buffett

El khader ยท 2022-09-26 ยท ์œ ํŠœ๋ธŒ ์‹œ์ฒญ 3,503 ยท Board Views 0 ยท International

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์ด ์˜์ƒ์€ ๊ฐ€์น˜ํˆฌ์ž์˜ ์ฐฝ์‹œ์ž ๋ฒค์ €๋ฏผ ๊ทธ๋ ˆ์ด์—„์˜ ํˆฌ์ž ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•๋ก ๊ณผ ๊ทธ์˜ ์ œ์ž ์›Œ๋Ÿฐ ๋ฒ„ํ•์˜ ์„ฑ๊ณผ๋ฅผ ์†Œ๊ฐœํ•˜๋Š” ๊ต์œก์šฉ ์˜์ƒ์ด๋‹ค. ๊ฒฐ๋ก : ๊ฐ€์น˜ํˆฌ์ž๋Š” ๊ธฐ์—…์˜ ๋‚ด์žฌ๊ฐ€์น˜์— ๊ทผ๊ฑฐํ•ด ํˆฌ์žํ•˜๋Š” ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์ด๋ฉฐ, ํˆฌ๊ธฐ์™€ ๊ตฌ๋ถ„๋˜์–ด์•ผ ํ•œ๋‹ค. ๊ทธ๋ ˆ์ด์—„์˜ ์ƒ์• ์™€ ๋ฐฐ๊ฒฝ: 1894๋…„์ƒ, 1976๋…„ ์‚ฌ๋ง, 1914๋…„ ์ปฌ๋Ÿผ๋น„์•„ ๋Œ€ํ•™ ์กธ์—…, 1928๋…„ ์ปฌ๋Ÿผ๋น„์•„ ๊ฒฝ์˜๋Œ€ํ•™์›์—์„œ ๊ฐ€์น˜ํˆฌ์ž๋ฒ•์„ ๊ฐ€๋ฅด์ณค๋‹ค. ์ดˆ๊ธฐ์—๋Š” ์ฒญ์‚ฐ ์ค‘์ด๋˜ ๋ณตํ•ฉ๊ธฐ์—…์„ ์‚ฌ์„œ ๊ฐ ๋ถ€๋ฌธ ๊ฐ€์น˜ ํ•ฉ๊ณ„๋ฅผ ํ‰๊ฐ€ํ•ด ์ฃผ๊ฐ€๋ณด๋‹ค ํ›จ์”ฌ ๋†’๋‹ค๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์„ ํ™•์ธํ•˜๋Š” ์‹์˜ ์†Œ๊ทœ๋ชจ ์„ฑ๊ณต์„ ๊ฑฐ๋’€๋‹ค. 1929๋…„ ๋Œ€๊ณตํ™ฉ๊ณผ ํŽ€๋“œ ์šด์šฉ: 1929๋…„ ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ ํญ๋ฝ์œผ๋กœ ์žฌ์‚ฐ ๋Œ€๋ถ€๋ถ„์„ ์žƒ์—ˆ๋‹ค. 1926๋…„ ์ œ๋กฌ ๋‰ด๋จผ๊ณผ ํ•จ๊ป˜ ๋งŒ๋“  ํˆฌ์žํŽ€๋“œ๋Š” ์ดํ›„ 30๋…„๊ฐ„ ์—ฐ 17% ์ˆ˜์ต์„ ๋ƒˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ์†Œ๊ฐœ๋œ๋‹ค(์˜์ƒ ์ž๋ง‰์ƒ ์ˆ˜์น˜, ์›๋ฌธ ํ™•์ธ ํ•„์š”). ์ด ํŽ€๋“œ๋Š” ์นœ๊ตฌ๋“ค์˜ ๋„์›€๊ณผ ๊ทธ๋ ˆ์ด์—„ ๊ฐœ์ธ ์ž์‚ฐ ๋งค๊ฐ์œผ๋กœ 1929๋…„ ์œ„๊ธฐ์—์„œ ๊ตฌ์ œ๋˜์—ˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ํ•œ๋‹ค. ๋ฒ„ํ•์˜ ์„ฑ๊ณผ: ๊ทธ๋ ˆ์ด์—„์˜ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์„ ๋ฐฐ์šด ์ œ์ž ์›Œ๋Ÿฐ ๋ฒ„ํ•์€ ๊ทธ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์œผ๋กœ ์„ธ๊ณ„ ์ตœ๊ณ  ๋ถ€ํ˜ธ ์ค‘ ํ•˜๋‚˜๊ฐ€ ๋˜์—ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, 2021๋…„ 5์›” ํฌ๋ธŒ์Šค ๊ธฐ์ค€ ์žฌ์‚ฐ 100์–ต ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ๋ผ๊ณ  ์–ธ๊ธ‰๋œ๋‹ค. ๊ทธ์˜ ํˆฌ์žํšŒ์‚ฌ ๋ฒ„ํฌ์…” ํ•ด์„œ์›จ์ด๋Š” 40์—ฌ ๋…„๊ฐ„ S&P500, ๋‹ค์šฐ ๋“ฑ ์ฃผ์š” ์ง€์ˆ˜๋ฅผ ์ƒํšŒํ–ˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ์„ค๋ช…๋œ๋‹ค. ํ˜„์žฌ ์‹œ์žฅ ๊ด€๋ จ ์–ธ๊ธ‰: ์˜์ƒ ์ œ์ž‘ ์‹œ์ ์˜ ์‹œ์žฅ ๊ธ‰๋ฝ์—๋„ ๋ฒ„ํฌ์…”์˜ ํ•˜๋ฝํญ(๊ณ ์  ๋Œ€๋น„ ์•ฝ 24%)์€ ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ์ข…๋ชฉ ๋Œ€๋น„ ์ž‘์•˜์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์ด๋Š” ํฌํŠธํด๋ฆฌ์˜ค์˜ ์•ฝ 40%๋ฅผ ์ฐจ์ง€ํ•˜๋Š” ์• ํ”Œ ์ฃผ๊ฐ€๊ฐ€ ๊ณ ์  ์ˆ˜์ค€์„ ์œ ์ง€ํ•œ ๋•๋ถ„์ด๋ผ๊ณ  ์„ค๋ช…๋œ๋‹ค. ํ•ต์‹ฌ ์ฒ ํ•™: ๊ทธ๋ ˆ์ด์—„์˜ ์ €์„œ ใ€Žํ˜„๋ช…ํ•œ ํˆฌ์ž์žใ€(1949)๋Š” ๋ฒ„ํ•์ด ํˆฌ์ž ๋ถ„์•ผ ์ตœ๊ณ ์˜ ์ฑ…์ด๋ผ ํ‰ํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์†Œ๊ฐœ๋œ๋‹ค. ํˆฌ์ž์ž๋Š” ๊ธฐ์—… ๊ฐ€์น˜์— ์ฃผ๋ชฉํ•ด ๊ณต์ •๊ฐ€์น˜ ์ดํ•˜์—์„œ ๋งค์ˆ˜ยท๋ณด์œ ํ•˜๋Š” ๋ฐ˜๋ฉด, ํˆฌ๊ธฐ์ž๋Š” ์‹œ์žฅ ๋ณ€๋™๊ณผ ๋งค๋งค ํƒ€์ด๋ฐ์—์„œ ์ˆ˜์ต์„ ์ถ”๊ตฌํ•œ๋‹ค. ๋‚ด์žฌ๊ฐ€์น˜์™€ ์ฃผ๊ฐ€์˜ ์ฐจ์ด๋ฅผ '์•ˆ์ „๋งˆ์ง„(margin of safety)'์ด๋ผ ๋ถ€๋ฅธ๋‹ค. ๋Œ€์ƒ ์ž์‚ฐ ์˜ˆ์ธก: ๋ฐœํ™”์ž๋Š” ํŠน์ • ์ž์‚ฐ์˜ 1~3๊ฐœ์›” ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์˜ˆ์ธก์„ ์ œ์‹œํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์•˜๋‹ค. ์• ํ”Œ ์–ธ๊ธ‰์€ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์œ ์ง€ ์‚ฌ์‹ค ์„ค๋ช…์— ํ•ด๋‹นํ•˜๋ฉฐ ์˜ˆ์ธก์ด ์•„๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ฆฌ์Šคํฌ/์กฐ๊ฑด: ์˜์ƒ์€ ๊ต์œก ๋ชฉ์ ์ด๋ฉฐ ๊ฐœ๋ณ„ ์ข…๋ชฉ ๋งค์ˆ˜ยท๋งค๋„ ๊ถŒ์œ ๊ฐ€ ์—†๋‹ค. ์ˆ˜์น˜ ์ผ๋ถ€๋Š” ์ž๋ง‰ ์ž๋™์ธ์‹ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์ด๋ฏ€๋กœ ์›๋ฌธ ๊ฒ€์ฆ์ด ํ•„์š”ํ•˜๋‹ค. ์ถœ์—ฐ์ž ์ „๋ง: ํŠน์ • ์‹œ์žฅ ์ „๋ง ๋ฐœ์–ธ ์—†์Œ. ๊ฐ€์น˜ํˆฌ์ž ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•๋ก ์˜ ์žฅ๊ธฐ์  ์œ ํšจ์„ฑ์„ ๊ธ์ •์ ์œผ๋กœ ์„ค๋ช…ํ•˜๋Š” ์ž…์žฅ์ด๋‹ค.

๋‹ค๋“ฌ์€ ๊ธ€

โ€ป ์ž๋™ ์ž๋ง‰ ์›๋ฌธ(๋‹ค๋“ฌ๊ธฐ ์ „)

01. I would like to introduce you to an investor, Benjamin Graham, who is very well-known worldwide for his investment method that focuses primarily on the value of the company, or what is called value investing. I will present the main points of this method in a simplified way. This investor was born on May 8, 1894, and died on September 21, 1976.

02. He graduated from the University of Colombia in 1914. In 1928, he taught his value investing method at the Colombian Business School. Previously, he had some small successes on the stock market, such as buying a conglomerate that was in liquidation at the time and evaluating the sum of its various parts.

03. He found that its value was much higher than the stock market price. The 1929 stock market crash caused him to lose most of his fortune. In 1926, he created an investment fund in partnership with Jerome Newman and over the 30 years following the creation of this investment fund, with no annual return, was valued at 17%.

04. This investment fund, created in 1926, was saved during the 1929 crash by the help of his friends and the sale of some of Benjamin Graham's personal assets. This 1929 crash taught him many lessons to refine his value investing method. One of the women who learned a great deal from his method, and who was also his student, is Warren Buffett.

05. Thanks to his investment inspired by Benjamin Graham's method, he ranks among the world's wealthiest people. In May 2021, his fortune reached $10 billion according to Forbes. His investment fund, called Berkshire Hathaway, has outperformed the world's best indices, such as the SNP 500 and the Dow Jones, for more than 40 years.

06. Even now, with the current stock market crash, his investment fund maintains a strong upward trend over the long term, despite the various crises that can be identified in It's hard to see this trend if I take, for example, the current market crash. We see that there's been a roughly 24% drop since the highest point, which could be interpreted as good resistance because most others have seen drops exceeding 50% or 60% during this crisis.

07. But in the case of this particular fund, what's supporting this resistance is the Apple stock price. This investment fund, managed by Warren Buffett, is composed of approximately 40% Apple stock, and if we look at the performance of this stock during this crisis, we see that it's still at its peak valuation.

08. Let's look at the philosophy behind this investment method. Benjamin Graham published his book, *The Intelligent Investor*, in 1949, which later became even more famous. For Buffett, it's the best book ever written on investing. The most important concept to emphasize, according to Benjamin Graham, is the distinction between investing and speculating.

09. So, what's the difference between these two concepts? First, an investor is someone who takes a close interest in the company they invest in, while a speculator is primarily interested in market fluctuations and how to position themselves to profit from them as much as possible. An investor's goal is to acquire and hold securities purchased at their fair value, or at that value.

10. The difference between a price below a company's intrinsic value is called the margin of safety. A speculator, on the other hand, is primarily interested in profiting from market fluctuations and identifying the right moments to buy and then the right moments to sell and make profits. I will elaborate further on this value investing method in what follows.

์›๋ฌธ ๋ณด๊ธฐ ยท ๊ธ€ ๋‚ด๋ ค ์ฃผ์„ธ์š” ์‹ ์ฒญ

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