저자: 미상 · 외국인
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팔란티어는 2022년 4분기 실적(2월 13일 발표) 전 성장률 둔화가 예상되어 단기 약세 요인이 있으나, 미국·동맹국의 공급망 재편과 AI 수요로 중장기 성장 잠재력이 있다고 봄. 애널리스트 목표가는 $4.5~$15 범위이며 평균 약 $9.13. 흑자 전환은 2025년경 예상되지만 현 성장률로는 어려워 2025 말~2026 초로 보수적 전망. 부채가 없는 점은 긍정적. 상대 밸류에이션(P/S 약 9.4배)은 동종 대비 양호. 개인 비중은 5% 이내로 제한.
다듬은 글
pltr stock in this video we will be analyzing four articles and the article we are on right now we will be discussing their latest news updates and then after that we'll be going over their latest price predictions among professionals experts analysts and what investors think that this company could be worth over the next few months after that we'll be moving on to more of a analytical topic to where we are going to project when this company will become a profitable and how this could positively impact their overall share price and then lastly we will see how palantir Technologies compares to their overall competition and whether or not this company is a buy rating a hold rating or a sell rating over the next year so for more videos on palantir Technologies which would include news updates price targets what analysts are saying and the overall technical analysis of the company remember have quickly let's catch you up because palantir Technologies is going to be releasing their earnings report for the full year and quarter four of 2022 and that will be released on February 13th many investors are quite anxious about this earnings report because this could dictate where the future share price is headed at least in the short term I also want to make you aware that recently their overall Revenue guidance and earnings per share have been adjusted and it doesn't look too good for this company in the short term and of course we will be analyzing these estimates to see what I think of these also if you weren't familiar already the CEO who is Alex carp held a private event for palantir Technologies partners and overall customers on top of that palantir also signed a 50 million dollar deal with sampo Holdings which is an insurance company over in Japan and this means in the short term due to the private event as well as the company Landing a contractor that's worth 50 million dollars this caused originally the share price to Surge however after this initial surge many professionals believed the company could actually fall after their earnings report and here's why currently Wall Street professionals and analysts estimate that the company is going to show growth slowdown for a quarter four of 2022 to where they're going to bring in a growth rate of only 16.7 which is directly in line with Management's midpoint guidance of 16.6 percent the reason this is somewhat negative and bearish is because overall the company was supposed to be bringing in anywhere between a 20 to 30 percent cagr over the next four to five years and as of right now they are not meeting that particular projection and estimate from their management so this tells investors that management is not necessarily keeping their promises but because management has reiterated that their growth will slow investors should not be anticipating a large earnings or Revenue beat in the upcoming earnings report on February 13th however this does mean that if they do bring in revenues or earnings that's over their current projections this could cause the overall share price to increase but as of right now there's more of a bearish negative tone for their upcoming earnings report I also want to make you aware that investors should not expect this company to appreciate more in price until after the first quarter of 2023 because according to their current forecasts the company has received less than impressive overall contracts over the past few months and of course this is going to negatively impact their future revenues but that is all in the short term what if we move to a medium to long-term lens when viewing this company by looking through a longer term investment Horizon we can actually see that global companies right now worldwide are trying to reassure and restore their overall technological and Manufacturing capabilities in-house what does this mean essentially instead of companies hiring China and offshoring their manufacturer ring to other companies or countries that can do it cheaper these companies want to be efficient enough to do everything in-house to where globally worldwide we are experiencing somewhat of a new deglobalization era and this is because many countries are moving away from relying on China for their overall manufacturing as well as that company's overall supply chain and this is going to take many decades but this means that companies that want to do this and become self-actualized that they will need technology that palantir can provide because palantir is one of the best companies in regards to getting an organization's supply chain on point and also they're one of the best AI which is artificial intelligent developers so using Ai and their supply chain technology this will allow companies to no longer be reliant on China to manufacture their products at a cheap price and instead they can use palantir Technologies to become a self-sustaining so this is going to reflect very positively on palantir Technologies and on top of that now the big news in my opinion is that Microsoft azure's recent integration with palantir highlights the opportunity for palantir to expand their foundry's adoption worldwide so overall this is phenomenal and this should lead to long-term or mid-term stock price appreciation for palantir Technologies considering that palantir has one of the most technologically advanced artificial intelligence driven operating systems because they've been working on this operating system for the past 20 years hand in hand with the United States government so looking forward to the medium or long term this company could pay off for sure but in the short term we could see the share price fall from the current share price which we will get into in the next article when we talk about their price predictions however right now I really want to talk about the Rivalry between the United States and its allies between China the United States and the US's allies as a result of this rivalry palantir's main mission is to empower the West which would be the United States and our allies against various adversaries and I think a Bloomberg reporting on what palantir has said about this between the Rivalry between the west and the East is something that investors need to be aware of and I quote our products and this is palantir talking are actually also weapons of war and we are not going to sell them directly or indirectly to adversaries this made us enormously controversial in Silicon Valley but quite frankly it's one of the decisions I'm most proud of we are a company whose most important purpose is to empower the West to even higher Heights in the commercial and government context end quote and I 100 support palantir and it's also one of the reasons why I have invested into this technology because I want to support the United States the author also believes that for the medium-term recovery for the pltr share price that we could see great strength in overall commercial and government segments within the company especially as more commercial clients rely more heavily on artificial intelligence so where does this put palantir in the short term well let's look at some current stock prices well now let's look over at some stock price Targets on this slide I want to make you aware of the high-end price predictions and the low end price predictions and how this has evolved over time starting all the way back in April of 2023 to where forward projections are pointed for January of 2024.
right now we have low end price predictions that range anywhere between ten dollars and a four dollars and fifty cents with the most recent bearish analyst saying this company is worth just four dollars and fifty cents well the most positive bullish analyst recently says the company could be worth around fifteen dollars this would either equate to a 37 percent down downside potential or a 42.3 percent upside Potential from the shares current price as of right now the current share price trades for around 8.43 and professionals on average believe this company should be worth around nine dollars and 13 cents by January of 2024.
again like we said earlier in the short term this company is going to have a lot of problems specifically in their share price and this is not only going to be due to their upcoming earnings report but also when this company is set to achieve profitability for instance let's talk about their current projections for profitability as you know when a company achieves profitability this is a very important Milestone however due to the company's recent announcement of a loss of 520 million dollars for the full Financial year or at least those are estimates this has then move the company further away from achieving a profitability which investors are not excited about so this then begs the question when will palantir Technologies Break Even well that's an excellent question according to the current professionals who are covering this company the consensus is that the break-even point is near according to them they expect the company to post a final loss in 2024 right before returning a profit throughout the year of 2025 of around 85 million so right now current projections say that in two years the company could become a profitable however what is the problem with this well if we work backwards this would mean that the company would have to grow at around a 69 percent compounding annual growth rate year over year on average to achieve a profitability otherwise the company will become a profitable even later than originally anticipated to put this into perspective the company recently grew or is projected to grow in the recent quarter by around 16.6 however according to these projections the company would have to grow by around a 69 percent from now over the next two years for them to achieve profitability by 2025 or during 2025 and right now that just doesn't look very feasible so as of right now I would say maybe by the end of 2025 or the beginning of 2026 would be the best bet unless palantir has some secret plan to cause them to Skyrocket in overall profitability which is exactly what could happen if multiple government agencies as well as commercial clients adopt their AI technology now although that is pretty negative news I do want to mention and give investors the benefit of the doubt because palantir Technologies currently has no debt on their balance sheet which is absolutely amazing it is extremely rare for a loss making Growth Company such as palantir Technologies to not have a high level of debt this means that they are very strong and they can weather the storm of a recession and overall the company will be around for the next decade so far the company has been operating a purely off of its Equity investment and does not have a debt burden which puts them leagues ahead of a lot of their or competition but now let's actually compare them to their competition to see how other growth and technology companies stack up against palantir Technologies so according to their peers their price to sales ratio is competitive however the price to sales ratio versus the industry and the price to sales ratio versus the fare ratio is rather negative now on top of that apparently according to some analysts and fair value estimates the company's trading below their fair value because many experts believe the company could be trading between at nine to ten dollars right now but this also has to be weighed against the analyst forecasts that we looked at earlier which is quite bearish but again it just depends on who you listen to for their price to sales ratio which is an accounting ratio that shows the company's annual revenue compared to their overall market cap the company's trading at around 9.4 times which is rather high now depending on how quickly a company is growing you can take on a prior price to sales ratio while adequately still managing your overall risk right now they are set to bring in 1.83 billion dollars and the market cap is one 1.29 billion dollars however their price to sales ratio does compare pretty favorably to some of the other companies such as paycom software Unity software and HubSpot paycom software is trading way above their peer average which is 10.6 and because palantir is only trading at 9.4 this puts palantir on the better end of their overall peers and if you're not familiar with these accounting ratios ideally we would want these ratios to be as low as possible because that makes them a better buying opportunity so when we compare palantir to their direct competition we can see that palantir does stack up very nicely and they can be considered undervalued however with that being said they are not anticipated to achieve profitability for quite a while considering that it's been offset and more time is needed before they become profitable which is a Debbie Downer for investors and the last bit of bad news is that their upcoming earnings report could be quite negative but the long-term fundamentals of this company is still intact remember them to go and practice proper risk management by not over exposing yourself to this company I myself do not have more than a five percent initial allocation into this company because there are so many other fantastic companies to buy on the stock market right now but if you want more news updates on palantir Technologies from an unbiased Source Smash that like button and I will see you in the next YT video
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