저자: 미상 · 외국인
요약 보기
결론: 롱 기간 옵션 숏 전략(스트래들 매도)으로 큰 변동 없이 수익을 노릴 수 있다는 교육 영상. 전략 개요: 워런 버핏도 옵션 셀러로 수익을 낸다는 주장으로 시작한다. 주요 설정: 만기 약 1년(2023년 12월 만기)의 니프티 옵션 기준, 행사가 18000의 콜과 풋을 동시에 매도하는 숏 스트래들. 당시 가격: 니프티 현물 약 18127, 18000 콜 LTP 약 1800, 풋 약 1190, 프리미엄 합계 약 3000포인트. 손익분기 구간: 하단 약 15000, 상단 약 21000 사이에서 만기까지 머물면 수익. 수익 규모 예시: 포인트당 50 곱하면 약 15만 원 수익 가능, 투입 자금 약 1~1.5억 원 가정(원문 단위 혼용). 과거 백테스트: 2022년 초 17500 기준 숏 시 프리미엄 약 2500포인트를 받았고, 2022년 11월 시점 잔여 프리미엄 약 1100으로 이미 약 1400포인트 이익이 났다고 주장. 수익률 50% 이상이라고 강조. 리스크/조건: 시장이 구간을 벗어나면 손실. 변동성이 극단적인 시기라 불안하면 부적합. 중간에 수익 실현 후 청산 가능. 은행 니프티는 유동성 부족으로 제외. 출연자 전망: 니프티가 1년간 15000~21000 박스권에 머문다는 암묵적 전제. 구체적 방향 예측은 없음. 수치 유의: 자막 자동인식 오류 가능성이 높고, 영상은 2022년 11월 기준 교육 사례이며 현재 시점과 무관.
다듬은 글
Good morning everyone, I hope you are doing well. Today we are going to talk about an option strategy in which you will not need to watch the market daily or repeatedly, you do not need to watch the market for weeks and months, of course, yes, there will be long term expiry strategies, but you would only short in this if you have the patience to hold on to the situation, or you do not watch the market repeatedly, the volatility of the market, which is currently at a very extreme level, would make you nervous, if you are already nervous, then you can make a handsome profit by shorting in this strategy, so without taking much time, let us move towards strategies, this strategy is the same strategy in which you must have heard of Warren Buffett, who does not know the name of Mr.
Warren Buffett, today Mr. Warren Buffett also makes money by working very well in this strategy, people think that Warren Buffett is only an investor, okay, he only invests money in the market, in shares, and when those stocks give returns in the long term, then They make money but it is not like that, they are also the world's largest option seller, you know that option sellers have a little capital more retirement, that is why they are the biggest option sellers in the world, okay, they short in this strategy, this strategy is called lip options, okay lip options, this strategy is called lip options, how can we short in lip options, what capital will be required, what is the discount, what is the reward, we are going to understand all this in this video, so without taking much time, let us go to our charts and our tools, what can we do in it, so to short in this strategy, first of all what you have to do is look at the option chain, look here, in it you have to see the data, what is the expiry, so let me clarify for you before that, in this strategy we will short in long term options, whatever is the current expiry, like this November, right now the video is being shot in November, so it is November 2022, so we will not short in November 2022, we are going to short in this long term.
Expiry means we will short in the 1 year expiry like November 22 is currently running in the market, so we will short in it, we will select the expiry of December 2023, 1 year from here, okay, the second rule in this is that we will short only in Nifty because you will not get liquidity in Bank Nifty stocks, if you get liquidity then there may be concern in it tomorrow, so why will we short in Nifty, within Nifty you have to select the expiry here, December 2023 and you have to create a short status, many people nowadays have become so aware that everyone knows what a short status is, but I will still tell you that we have to short both call and put options of Aate D Mani, I have to short both call and put, which means you have to sell both, okay, margin is more in BSNL, but we will also talk about Discovered, how much fund will be utilized in it and what is going to be the return in it, we will also talk about that here, okay, so now between the two If it is not added then let me tell you once, Aate D Mani means where the market is, where the underlying is, where the Nifty is, if Nifty is currently trading at 18000 then sell both the call and put of 18000, so this is your short short strategy, if you buy both then it becomes a long stride, okay, so if we reduce Aate D Mani then what you have to do is, I will take you back to the NSC option chain, right here you can see the current expiry is 10th November, after that let's talk about, as we talked about, next year we will reduce the expiry of January and next year we will reduce the expiry of December, so here it is 28th December 2023, okay, let us see once what is the current price of Nifty, what is the current price of Nifty, look here, this is your chart of Nifty.
The current price of Nifty in the market is around 18000. Look here, the current price of Nifty is 18127. This is Nifty spot. Nifty is trading at 18127. Okay, so we will see that 18000 is the most popular gem. Look here, you will see a change in color. Okay, so we will reduce it to 18000. What we have to do is this 18 gem.
Look at the LTP here. Last traded price. This is your current price. Okay, the call of 18000 is trading around 1800 and the put of 18000 is trading around 1190. If we see this as 1200 in round figures, then 1800 + 1200 becomes around 3000. Okay, 1800 + 1200 = 3000. So it is down by 3000 points. I am yours because as I told you above, we will sell a call of 18000 and we will also short a put of 18000, so you are in the market till around 3000, if the market goes below 3000 then your loss, if it goes above 3000 then your loss means if we remove 3000 from 18000 then your loss becomes around 15000 on the bottom and 3000 on the top becomes 21000, if you understand the situation from 15000, if your Nifty remains between 15000 to 21000 till December 2023 then you will get a ball in it and how much can the ball be, if the market comes back to 18000 then 3000 points means okay, so as the market is currently running at 18000, okay, you can see if I talk about the previous January and also talk about the data, then the streets are going to be more clear that January 22 What happened in 2019 or what happened in January 21, okay, so 18000 is running, so here around you have 1800 call option running and your put option is 1200, if you short both of these then you do not have any risk in the market till 3000, so the graph of short position is something like this, if 18000 is here then this is your break and here it becomes 15000 and here this 21 and we were also told that this market is on one side, it does not go up like this, the market will always go in a zigzag, even if it goes up then it comes back down, so if the market remains in this range then you will make a good profit, the profit will be around 3000 * 50, then you can make a profit of 1.5 lakh, the capital invested in this will be capitalized around 1 lakh, your capital will be between 1 lakh to 1.5 lakh, if I talk about it, friend, if you get even 70000 on a capital of 1.5 lakh then it is still a lot The returns are handsome.
If you compare it with any other FD mutual fund, it will give a higher return. So let's understand that if we had invested in this in the year 2022, what would have been our profit or loss. Let's understand that once. Go to NSC and see here. If you simply search derivative historical data on Google, the first link will come up.
You have to click on it. As soon as that link opens, we will select the instrument. For example, if we invest in Nifty, then the index option symbol is Nifty 50 year. Because 2023 will come now, we are looking at the back of 2022. If I had opened a position in January this year, 2020, in January first week, because we would have opened a position at the beginning of the year or we can open it earlier also.
If we had opened a position in January first week, then what would have happened to us? We have told you the expiry, you have to keep the expiry of the last week of December. So, we have taken the expiry of 29th December, where we look at the call. It is also important to understand what was the market at that time.
If we look at the market at that time, we are going to sell in the market. If we want to short the market at that time, then we will see what the market was like in January 2021. In the environment of January 2021, we want to short the same market. So, let us see once here, this is of 2022, sorry, what was the market like here in 2022, look at this point, this is your market, January 3rd.
See, January 3rd, January 1st. If I take the end of the year also, if we had opened a position in December, then the market would have been around 7500, 70000, 600, okay, so 7576, so I consider it as 17500 in round figure. Here I need data for 365 days and get the data. So, look at January 3rd, January 3rd, here 2022 is gone.
This point is January 3rd, 2020. On that day, the premium was running around 1600 okay your premium was running around 1600 this is the premium of your call side putka we can also see what was the premium running in put because we have to short both the call reports so the premium of put was running on January 3rd or if we talk about 31st December then 22 here April-March this enemy is ok this is your 31st December on 31st December it was running 1150 your gutka and call was running because I had taken that sorry January 3rd first week I will talk only about year end ok so here this premium was running Arun 1400 okay so if we had shorted 1100 and 1400 premium then what would have been your break even ok it is around 2500 nifty was running 17500 so what is your safety in this if it goes down to 17500 you will mine 2500 because 2500 is your premium If it is there then it is your safety because you have to receive the premium, so your break even at the bottom is around 15000, okay, and your break even at the top, as far as your safety is concerned, is around 20000.
If you had created this position last year, then you would have created the position at air starting, then the market was safe between 15000 to 20000, okay, and if your market expires around 70000 in December, then you will get 2500 points, 2500 multiplier buy, so the maximum gain you can have in this can be around 1.25 lakh, but let me say that it is not that the market expires around 70000, but if I had seen in this, then we would have understood what money would have been made, okay, from a premium of 25 points, and today we would have understood what that premium is, see here, I have taken an expiry of 22, if I had reduced it then we would have done on 29th December.
We will take the expiry because that is the last Thursday of your year, the expiry date is 17500, if I had shorted it at this time, okay, then what is its premium on today's date at the time of expiry, see here, LTV is 945, okay, 945, so its premium was taken and 162 is left in it, if I sum these two, that is 940 + 160, then around 1100, the premium of 1100 is still in the market, okay, the premium that we sold was 2500, so how much profit or loss are we in now, 2500 was our total premium which I had to receive, 1100 is now, so 2500 - 1100, so we have already received the premium of 1400, that is θ, which we have already received, so it is 1400 and 50, so around 70000, again you have not even opened the market yet and tried the whole year because this year The market's low was around 1500 and the market's high in the previous year was around 18600.
You did not even open the market and you made 70000 from the market on an investment of ₹1 lakh or 1.5 lakh, so your almost return is 70000 on an investment of 70000, the return you made is 70000, so your return in this is almost more than 50%, if the return is absolutely friends, more than 50%, if the return is and you did not even look at the market, then there is no risk because you are getting a break of 3000 or 200500 points on both sides, so Nifty is fine, if it moves up and down, then you will get a good return because a decent return can be made in it, okay, we will see that too, so we will take this, now in this the expiry of December 2023, okay, right now where is the market moving, around 1800, so we We will make a short streidal of 1800 here, okay, see this 1800, so come D Mani, what all has happened, your call option is running at 1800, your put option of 1800 is running around ₹1190, so this is running at ₹1200 in round figure, so you are getting a range of 1800 plus 1200 ₹3000, so if you short both the streidal call and put of 18000, if you short both, then you have a breakeven point of 3000 below and 3000 above, so if you short the breakeven point of the lower one, it will be 15000 above, it will be 21000, if the market is 15000 to 21000, this is the range of 6000 points of Nifty, the market remains in between this, You can make a lot of money, and it's not like you'll make money in December either.
After a month or a half, the premiums will have shrunk further in the market, and you'll be right there. It's totally up to you. You want to book that profit and exit the market, or you can hold it patiently until December. The longer you hold, the better the profit you can make in the market. Okay, I think it's pretty clear what lip options are.
How can you make money as an investor or trader in lip options over a long period of time? The biggest advantage is that you get a wide range. You do n't have to watch the market daily, nor do you have to worry about the quality of the market. You simply have to make a short term trade with a long expiry, a very distant expiry, in which you can make a very good profit.
So, I hope I'm clear now. We'll be posting a lot more videos on our channel. So, to stay connected with us, please subscribe to our channel, like it, and share it as much as possible to motivate us. We will keep getting it and we will keep bringing many videos in front of you, so let's complete the video, thank you so much gas.
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