저자: 미상 · 외국인
요약 보기
테슬라 주가 상승 이유와 단기 조정 가능성을 다룬 영상으로, 결론은 단기적으로 380~390달러 지지선 확인 전까지 약세 가능성이 있다는 것이다. [상승 배경] 2018년 8월 머스크의 '420달러 비공개화' 트윗 이후 기억되는 재료라는 언급이 있으나, 이를 상승 원인으로 단정하지는 않았다. 흑자 분기 실적으로 추가 자금조달(부채) 가능성이 낮아졌다는 점을 기사 인용 형태로 설명했다. 머스크가 경영에 더 집중하고 트윗 절제가 늘었다는 해석이 제시됐다. 숏커버링(공매도 청산)이 상승을 밀어올렸다는 해석이 제시됐다. 상하이 기가팩토리 신차 출시로 시장점유율 확대 기대가 언급됐다. [시장 경계론] 사상 최고가 근처에서 차익실현 매물과 경계심이 커질 수 있다는 기사 인용이 있다. 다음 분기 실적이 부진하거나 추가 부채 조달 뉴스가 나오면 급락 가능성이 있다고 봤다. 기술적으로 과매수 상태이며, 과거 같은 가격대에서 매번 큰 하락이 있었다는 분석이 소개됐다(가장 작은 하락폭 20%). [차트 분석 및 전망] 이전 영상(12월 13일) 대비 약 12.5% 수익이 났다고 밝혔다. 주간·월간 차트는 상승 흐름이 양호하나 주간에서는 매도 압력 신호가 보인다고 했다. 일봉 기준 380달러 부근이 핵심 지지·저항 구간이다. 시간봉(3시간) 기준으로는 약세가 보여 단기 하락을 예상했다. 380달러 하향 이탈이 목표이며, 390달러 부근에서 약 2.9% 수익 목표(TP)를 제시했다. 390달러 지지가 유지되면 장기적으로 상승 지속을 기대한다고 했다. [리스크] 실적 미스나 부채 조달 뉴스가 악재가 될 수 있다. 과매수 해소를 위한 조정이 필요하다는 점이 강조됐다.
다듬은 글
welcome everyone to HSN today is December 22 2009 teen the location to where we trade different and we give you all the trusted source of financial news according to the price are this is your first time watching our video you guys see how easy it is on our speech and our jargon and our price chart and you definitely like to see more of this information go ahead and hit that subscribe button like and share the video join us on Instagram Twitter Facebook our website he financial com just to make it easier for each and every one of you we went ahead and placed a link in the description of this video now today is gonna be a video about Tesla stuck and the real reason why Tesla stock is rising okay I think a lot of people may have forgotten something that occurred back in 2018 with Elon Musk that could be the cause while the stock price is moving higher we're gonna talk about that look at this article and then towards the end of this video as always we're gonna give you our latest price update and Tesla stock and how the market has transacted from our previous video in Tesla and then we'll update you on a future price movement of our expectations in this company alright so this article was uploaded to a Yahoo Finance yesterday with Tesla stock is at a record high but a crash maybe right around the corner that is always the case when you see stocks making all-time highs the expectation of the market begins to become more pessimistic and a little bit more worrisome as people continue to see an area that the market hasn't traded before so you would expect some people to take some profits off the market you would expect some people to become a little bit more lair as to how high the market is going to go and this is the reason why this article is being posted on Yahoo Finance plain and simple okay so real quick this is the real reason that could be why Tesla stock is rising up in price you remember Elon Musk did a tweet back in 2018 August 17th 2018 to be specific with the words I'm considering taking Tesla private at $420 funding secured many people aren't talking about that today it was huge news at that particular time of August 2018 that even made the SEC become involved where they sued Elon Musk and they actually came to an agreement at that particular time but nevertheless it was a big hoopla about that tweet coming out of Elon Musk taking Tesla private here we are today Tesla is trading around $400 not too far for $420 if you guys can't remember this could be the real reason why the value of Tesla stock is increasing of course this article tries to go into a couple more reasons as to why this price is moving higher first one is because Tesla had earned a quarterly profit and that quarterly profit has reduced the likelihood of this company going out to raise more money ie getting more debt so the expectations has risen somewhat in regards to this particular company Tesla making money and becoming less and less dependent on loans and debt so that's it that's good and then the investors in Tesla may be feeling that Elon Musk is becoming more focused on operating Tesla he's becoming more discipline in how he tweets and more emphasis is placed on him making Tesla a success and actually running a successful car company that's the second reason and in turn those two reasons is crushing the many short sellers that are against Tesla stock moving higher and buy this particular stock moving higher they had to cover those positions that they expected Tesla to move lower on and as they covered meaning they simply had to buy back those shares that they sold at a higher price it pushes the value of Tesla stock higher that's another reason as to why Tesla could be seeing higher prices this is what Dan levy said and our quote given a solid wave of positive data points tesa stock has been driven higher amid short-covering and likely with some long buying as well fourth reason is because Tesla knew Giga Factory in Shanghai in China is rolling out new vehicles at Tesla models thereby increasing the market share increasing the competitive outlook of Tesla in new markets that could be another positive reason why Tesla is seeing higher prices and as always the article get to give us the other side of the story and don't get too excited okay despite the onslaught of positive news it doesn't mean that Tesla stock is poised to go up another 50 percent in two months I don't know where he grabbed that number from a 50 percent moving in two months but some people know Wall Street as you would expect is advising that caution is needed in light of Tesla making all-time highs then Levy says and I quote yet amid this run expectation for Tesla have likely risen and to the extent a soft data point emerges that's all this going to take for a major correction to occur in Tesla stock if they miss the next quarterly earning they do not make a profit if they come up with another news headline saying they got to take on more debt this stock will crash is what Dan is trying to say analysts are going to be looking for another profitable quarter for Tesla when he announces fourth quarter fourth quarter results in 2020 given the volatile paths in Tesla there is no guarantee that it will have two consecutive quarters of profits trading in all-time highs very minimum chance of Tesla stock consecutively having profitable quarters is the market being prepared for a correction from a technical and his perspective it appears to be severely overbought one of the technical analysts named Matt Molly notes that Tesla has tested at current price level on four other occasions over the past year in each time it was followed by a serious decline the smallest one being by 20 percent okay so now the reason why Tesla stock could be moving higher it's because Neil ons may be trying to take the company private because of the proper quarter he had and because of the new facility that is open in Shanghai the gigafactory is because the short sellers are covering their positions and the market continues to move higher or maybe simply that investors believe in Elon Musk eek again all of those things is what from this article is trying to insinuate is pushing this stock higher right so now as always we're going to give you our perspective our results of - what we expected the market to do and the last time we did our video and Tesla was on the 13th of December you guys can see right there with expectation into the market that Tufts is going to contain a move higher now originally we only had the market at 380 because like the technical analyst said and his article is where the market hit his head multiple times and we saw Corrections right so that's why we just played that on the safe side but the overall movement and Tessa was a given that is gonna move higher and if you're still into the market now in Tesla from our video from the 13th you'll be up 12 of an half percent right now we saw the market movement with anticipation of higher prices and it played out precisely as what we expected so with that being said let's go ahead and get rid of that and what I'm going to do we are going to update you on what we're noticing into the market in Tesla okay now all time highs has been going on for most of this week for this particular stock not surprised we are seeing some weakness into the market right now but I want to be the first one to tell you that support and the movement down in Tesla stock is going to be at 380 dollars right around that particular area so you can see 380 was hit as resistance multiple times so what we're going to do to make our chart a little bit more prevalent we're going to bring this support area up to 380 now okay so now we understand that when the market in Tesla moves to the downside it has to hold that particular area for support take a look at Tesla on the weekly time frame since it's the last day of the week you all can see right here that we have pretty good movement to the upside in price all eyes need to take pay attention to where we closed today in the market in Tesla okay obviously from the weekly perspective I am seeing some indication that sellers are grabbing profits out the market which is natural and then on the monthly timeframe a very good look in this particular stock to see those higher prices as well okay breaking it down to an hourly timeframe again you can see right here that we definitely see some profit-taking going on into the market now this is the overall strength and Tesla stock okay this is how strong the market in Tesla is on the four-hour basis so with the expection with the expectation of Tesla continue to see those lower prices you would expect us to find some type of support area around 390 maybe at around 380 dollars okay so the three hour chart looks awfully weak as well - we want to play the market in Tesla to continue to see some lower prices but in order to preface that we are going to just play it on the three hour chart okay we need to allow the market actually give us a definitive price move on a daily basis in order to really grab where the market is going to go in the future okay so we are looking at what many technical and in this pose as overbought meaning that we overshot a realistic movement in this particular stock so we have to come back into an area of equilibrium to where the market can actually trade and sell okay so we will be looking for the market in Tesla to move floor but that's only on at the three hour basis okay the weekly the monthly the daily we had to come back in and do another update video to see precisely in the long term where this stock is going to go okay so let's go ahead and create a movement to the downside in Tesla stock real quick and like I said 380s the ultimate support area in the market for Tesla so we're gonna break it all way down to 380 but we'll TP the market at 390 which will be around 2.9 percent profit okay in that particular move so let's look at this going forward over the next couple of days and see how the market in Tesla actually trades if we definitely hold 390 and support in this movement to the downside then the expectation will be for a continuation of movement higher in the long term so that's what we're gonna be focused on as we see Tesla continue to trade in the market so this is it updated price prediction for Tesla give us your thoughts about why do you think Tesla continued to see higher prices do you think we're gonna see some weakness come in over the next couple of days let us know with the comment and in comment section this video as well make sure you always maintain your profitability and I will see you on the next one
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