저자: ChamathPalihapitiya-제목기준출연자,영상내발언인용 · 외국인
요약 보기
결론: 영상의 핵심 메시지는 비트코인 가격 방향 예측이 아니라, 챠마스 팔리하피티야의 발언 소개와 시장 단기 기술적 약세 신호 전달이다. [챠마스 발언] 2013년 약 100만 BTC(당시 약 80달러대) 매수 후 현재 가치 90억 달러 이상이라고 소개. 포트폴리오의 1%를 비트코인에 넣고 잊으라고 권유하며, 정부의 잘못된 정책 대응에 대한 '보험' 성격으로 설명. [챠마스 견해] 비트코인 성공은 정부 실패가 누적된 결과이며, 성공 시 세계적 경제 파국이 될 수 있다고 경고. 그는 비트코인이 실제 글로벌 통화보다는 가상 결제 수단 중 하나에 머물 것이라고 봄. [시장 상황] 영상 촬영 시점 비트코인 약 9,100~9,300달러, 이더리움 약 230달러, XRP 약 0.18달러, 공포탐욕지수 40(공포 구간). [기술적 분석] 비트코인이 최근 하단 지지선 위에서 횡보하며 반등에 실패. 클라우드 지표가 약세 전환되었고, 9,500달러 재테스트 후 저점을 낮추면 중간 8,000달러대 하락 가능성을 언급. 과거 해당 지표 약세 전환 직후 3월 8,000달러대에서 3,800달러까지 폭락한 사례를 근거로 제시. [머니그램·리플] 머니그램이 싱가포르 온라인 서비스 확대, 말레이시아 검토, 한국 Global Money Express와 제휴 발표. 리플의 ODL 기술을 일부 사용하나(멕시코 송금 거래량의 약 10%), 구체적 확대 시점과 XRP 활용 범위는 미확인. 디지털 거래 급증(1분기 전년비 57% 증가) 언급. [조건·리스크] 9,500달러 저항 확인 시 하락 시나리오, 지표 약세 전환 상태. 영상 내 개인 투자 전략(매집 또는 관망)은 질문 형식으로만 언급. [출연자 전망] 챠마스: 비트코인은 장기적 헤지 수단이나 실사용 통화로는 한계, 성공 자체가 파국적일 수 있음. 진행자: 단기 기술적 약세 우려, 9,500달러 저항 관찰.
다듬은 글
the billionaire Chamath polyup attea says he bought 1 million Bitcoin in 2013 and warns that bitcoins success will spell a global economic catastrophe if it ends up concede succeeding MoneyGram is rolling out payment system in asia and our ripple and XRP ready for the launch and bitcoin is dropping right now the last time this indicator emerged Bitcoin dropped 50% and it's back so bitcoin is dropping a little bit today the price of Bitcoin right now as I record this is 9100 so well dive into this and see what's kind of going to happen with the price action but with that said let's start here if you guys could like the video for me that would be greatly greatly appreciated and let's just dive right into this because this is some interesting interesting stuff today guys to say the least so Chamath palea Pattaya used Bitcoin as financial doomsday insurance the 43 year old billionaire a federal convention capitalist and chairman of spaceflight company Virgin Galactic says on the Unchained podcast that investors should a portion of 1% of their portfolio to Bitcoin and hope it never pays off by the way guys this article is so great and to the point that almost everything is highlighted and it's all like it's all worth reading which is great so it's rare that you find an article that it doesn't have much fluff in it so he says I just think that if people have been working on have been hard working with their heads down they should have an opportunity to make sure that they don't get wiped out if the government itself just continues to make a string of bad decisions that then have rising consequences and Bitcoin to me is the only thing that I've seen so far that is really fundamentally uncorrelated to that decision-making process into that decision-making body because at the end of the day any other asset class such as equities debt real estate or commodities they're all tightly tightly coupled to a legislative framework in an interconnectedness in the financial markets that brings together many of the government's that are sort of behaving this way as it is like a phenomenal way to put it he says and so it's almost like a bet against the ruling class in some ways and making sure that you have a small amount of insurance insurance is something that pays off a thousand bucks to a buck you want these massive massive asymmetric payoffs because you want to be sure that a small amount of insurance can basically make you whole and that's why I think that you should just take one percent of your portfolio put it into Bitcoin and never look at it and hope that one percent goes to zero poly apetito recently made headlines criticizing the US government's coronavirus bailout he called on lawmakers to let hedge funds and billionaires get wiped out instead guys when I didn't know that when I read that my respect for this guy I'll let me let me say first and foremost I don't really know anything about poly apatheia at all I I've never really watched any interviews of him I think I maybe I watched it I think he was on Joe Rogan and I watched maybe 20 minutes of that but I really don't know the guy so I'm just saying based off this statement alone but I would have to say I agree and I'm also surprised that him as a billionaire is calling for billionaires to get wiped out because they should guys when when you lose your job or when your business get white gets wiped out the government doesn't come bail you out so why should our government be bailing out the largest hedge funds corporations companies in the world I mean the if they they've managed to build companies that big and they need bailouts come on now rather he says bitcoins success will rely on the sum of many bad decisions by governments in how come he says no one should want to happen he says if your Bitcoin pays off it will be cataclysmically destructive for the world and that will have enormous consequences to many people we all know and care about who weren't hedged in Bitcoin and so you almost don't want it to happen Polly apetito doesn't really see any other path to Bitcoin success other than that complete financial breakdown and get this guy so the only path to Bitcoin success that he sees is a complete financial breakdown and he believes there are much easier to use products that will serve as virtual payment mechanisms interesting guy so he's basically saying that bitcoin is kind of like that apocalyptic thing that will take off be if basically if shtf right if hit the fan but there's other coins that are easier than Bitcoin for peer-to-peer transactions business-to-business trench at transactions he basically sums it up is what we have here virtual payment mechanisms insane guys so he's literally admitting that he doesn't see Bitcoin is being used as the currency of the world right though our global currency or whatever he doesn't see it which is you know kind of interesting he also says his first investment in Bitcoin was a purchase of 1 million Bitcoin back in 2013 when the crypto was valued at around $80 and today that sum is worth more than 9 billion that is crazy guys and here's kind of his little story he goes over and says it so there's a well-known person in the Bitcoin ecosystem his name is when Cisco saris he was that he was the one that introduced it to me in 2010 and we were actually going to Las Vegas for his 40th birthday and that's when he pitched me on it and I remember landing 3 days later and I called my family office and said buy a million Bitcoin that's how I started it was $80 or something at the time and it just sounded kind of really interesting but then it took me a few years to really understand it I didn't totally understand all the mechanics of it and to be honest with you I've forgotten most of the mechanics now I studied it I made an underwriting decision to buy and to never think about it again and by and large I've never thought about it again I remember my family office flipped out when Bitcoin was 20k a coin they were like oh and I was like guys don't tell me I don't want to know she's take it off the balance sheet don't ever look at it keep it at the cost and don't get psychologically affected by this number come on guys this is some interesting this is an interesting read this is a really interesting read if you don't think so I don't really know what's wrong with you because I was I was pretty excited to reading this but that said if you guys like daily cryptocurrency news consider subscribing to the digital investor community make sure you guys like the video so we can get this out to more people get more people in the crypto space and learning about this technology like I said earlier bitcoin is at 91-93 aetherium is at 2:30 XRP is at 18 cents guys actually I checked this earlier and I saw XRP and I saw Heather's dollar and for a second I thought XRP was a dollar but no it's at 18 cents a Bitcoin cash at 2:30 Cardno is at 8 cents and a chain link is at 471 fear and greed index for today is at 40 so we're still in fear and get into this MoneyGram news so the leading payment company launched an online presence in Singapore in February and Anil Kapoor the company's head of asia-pacific in South Asia tells digital news Asia that the company is now exploring whether it should bring the money gram app to Malaysia MoneyGram has also recently announced the partnership with a global money Express one of the largest money transfer and payment FinTech companies in South Korea the World Bank reports that South Korea's p2p payments and remittance market has approximately thirteen point four billion in annual remittance outflows the new partnership will particularly benefit customers who send money from South Korea to China and South Asia according to MoneyGram although money grim is a top user of ripples xrp based remittance product known as odl the company has not revealed which corridors it plans to support in the future to date ripple has officially launched ODL in Mexico Philippines Australia and Brazil on the way as we know Brad Garlin house talked to the head of banking in Brazil I think not even a month ago so I think I think that's coming relatively soon I guess we'll see what happens now the company says it plans to launch across Asia Pacific Europe in Middle East Africa and Latin America this year that's incentive that's all quite the roundup guys but has not released any specific dates on when that may happen in the last two months the texas-based MoneyGram has seen its digital transactions surge amid the corona pandemic in the quarter ending March 31 2020 money terms digital transactions through 57 percent year-over-year while walking transactions dropped 6% yes see where it's going digital guys the world's going digital as I say almost every video in addition digital transactions represented 18% of all MoneyGram remittances at the end of the first quarter in April the company's digital transactions rose 81 percent year-over-year his online remittances grab 28% of Monogram transactions and in May the company reported 100 percent year-over-year digital transaction growth the company says it's utilizing XRP to power 10 percent of its transaction volume between Mexico and the US I wonder when they're going to start using xrp to power more and to start operating in other corridors I'm really not sure when it's going to happen as we know ripple has come out and said that the banks aren't ready so by banks is you know is MoneyGram kind of considered a-- is that why they're only using 10% in this in a single corridor i don't know i guess we will see what happens but it would be interesting if XRP is being used in some way in this corridor has basically this article says suggesting our ripple and XRP ready for the launches of the article is suggesting that ripple and XRP are in some way going to be a part of this however through reading it it doesn't look like there's a decisive answer as they're not really making these announcements again there we don't know what's going on in the background guys there there could be MDAs that there could be contracts there could be private client clients you we don't really know how that the whole back-end work so there's I'm sure there's a lot of things that we don't see in that week that they basically just can't tell us so the last time this indicator emerged Vic 1 dropped 50% and it's back and before we dive into this I want to know guys if Bitcoin drops will you be accumulating or will you be walking away and you know taking some time off let me know will you be taking some time off or will you be accumulating no wrong answer I've definitely taken time off before however I've been in this market long enough now to just know to just buy when there's blood and that's what I do so Bitcoin does seem degrading technical strength throughout the past several days and weeks this weakness has come about as a result of it largely hovering above its lower range boundary over the past several days it hasn't been able to post any decisive bounce from this region despite briefly being pushed beneath its support one indicator that just flipped a bearish seems to suggest that that decline beneath this crucial support is imminent the last time this fact this indicator flipped from bullish to bearish was right before Bitcoin crashed from over 8,000 to lows of 3,800 in March at the time of writing Bitcoin is trading down marginally at its current price of 9200 this is around the level at which it has been trading over the past day one analyst is noting that one bearish scenario he is watching entails Bitcoin Rita 9500 to print a lower high and then plunging down into the mid $8,000 range he says this would be the bearish scenario that I would be watching to play out over the coming day likely we could see another retest of 9,500 as it prints another lower high watching this chart very closely so here's the range the Bitcoin is currently in and we're sitting right here now a retrace to 9200 and he's saying a backtest of 9,500 which is right here this would confirm this as resistance and then we would look to make our way down and ultimately print a higher low so ever since Bitcoin began rebounding from its mid-march lows the cryptocurrency cloud indicator has been firmly bullish helping it to establish a clear uptrend so as we could see guys bullish is when this cloud here is green and right now it is tightening down looks like we're about to go red so as we can read here the inability to break above 10k in the multi week about of tight range bound training has caused this indicator to flip to bearish for the first time since it crashed a few months ago so okay that's a it has crushed there's yep there where you can actually see it so the indicator has crossed the bearish one analyst put forth a chart showing this trend at marking the historical significance of a bearish cloud flip and that is the article so guys if this comes down if this if this cloud and it's already crossed bearish and it starts to really open up and we get some downward price action and we come in to write down in here with a six thousand dollar range or so will you guys be accumulating let me know in the comments with that said if you're still around hey consider subscribing to the channel purchase a daily video on cryptocurrency if you like news like this I think you'll like my future videos feel free to watch any of these previous videos they're all free and if you guys could like the video that is also free thank you guys so much thank you for the support thank you for 2400 subscribers and I'll see you all on tomorrow's video have a great day guys
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