저자: HueFinNews진행자 · 외국인
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테슬라 주가가 한 달간 약 30% 상승해 S&P500(−6%)을 크게 앞섰고, 옵션 시장은 추가 약 9% 상승을 베팅 중이다. 기사 인용: 옵션 트레이더들이 테슬라 상승에 베팅하며, 11월 16일 만기 행사가 340달러 콜옵션이 풋 대비 10:1 비율로 압도적 강세다(약 6,100계약). 콜 매수자의 손익분기는 356달러, 360달러 행사가 콜은 368달러다. 애널리스트 전망: 4분기 주당순이익 추정치가 4배 이상 올라 2.35달러가 되었고, 매출 추정치도 5% 상향됐다. 작성자 Michael J Cramer는 본인과 고객이 테슬라 주식을 보유하고 있다고 공개했다. 차트 분석: 월봉 기준 하락 추세선 부근에서 반등했고, 상승 시 거래량이 늘었다. 다만 이번 달 들어 상승할수록 거래량이 줄어드는 점이 우려다. 356~360달러는 저항 구간으로 도달 가능성이 있다고 봤다. 진행자 결론: 단기적으로 355~360달러 도달은 개연성이 있으나, 거래량 감소가 지속되면 상승 가능성이 낮아진다. 370달러 도달은 확신이 없다고 밝혔다. 리스크: 거래량 감소, 주요 저항선(356~370달러) 돌파 실패.
다듬은 글
welcome everyone to - news today's November 1st 2018 the home of the two-minute price prediction is as well as give me all the news according to the charts and what do we have in store for you today is an article about Tesla ok the article reads Tesla traders bet stock will keep soaring higher and as always we're going to look at the price chart to make sure that what is being mentioned in this article is in fact relating to the price chart ok obviously by the title you can tell that the overall sentiment is for Tesla to continue to move higher in price so definitely wants to look at the price chart we need to see if that is in fact what we're seen the article was written by Michael J Cramer on November 1st 2018 and obviously you can see a note right here in in parentheses the author of this fundamental analysis is a financial writer and portfolio manager he and his clients own shares of Tesla so already got they're disclosing the fact that they may be a little bit biased as to how high Tesla can move in price for us we are not owners of any Tesla stock so we are literally have no dog in the fight in order what the ricin tesla goes at this particular moment now as we continue to read on this particular article you can see here that tesla has increase in price nearly 30 percent over the past month now that is a huge contrast compared to the S&P 500 with a decline of 6% even even more important is the fact that option traders are betting that the stock is going to continue to move higher at least by another 9% in the come weeks okay scroll down a little bit further you can see here this is a chart of the difference in price change between the sp500 and Tesla you can see here over the month period that Tesla has seen an increase of thirty five point five six percent and the plot sp500 is down five point three four so obviously Tesla has been a very good profitable opportunity for those who are in this particular trade as you continue to read you can see here that the call options for expiration on November 16th at the strike price of $340 are overwhelmingly bullish there the calls outweigh the puts by a ratio of 10:1 that has about 6100 open contracts now a buyer of those particular calls would need to start to rise to 356 dollars in order to earn a profit so we're gonna look at the price chart to see exactly where 356 dollar lies to see if the market has the ability to come up there to that particular price and again you can see here on the article even more bullets is the increase in number bullets bets at 360 in order for a buyer of the of these call options at 360 dollar strike price definitely they need to start to increase to three hundred sixty-eight dollars in order for them to make money so remember 356 in three hundred and sixty dollars once we look at the price chart now I'm not even gonna talk about this chart because this is nothing but confusion why do you need to have all of these lines all of these indicators on your chart just to see where price is likely to go we do not bog you down with all this information it is literally pointless and it benefits you not one bit to see all of this so we're just going on extras out and contain a move down now they continually analysts always change their estimates this is another reason why we do not listen to what articles read what videos say because they continually change them that's why we only pay attention to the price charts and you need to learn how to do that too they have increased their fourth quarter rnase estimates by over fourfold to two dollars and thirty five cents per share and have increased their revenue SMS by five percent okay so literally they are feeling a little bit bullish regarding the strength for Tesla stock so now let's go ahead and look at the price chart to see if in fact Tesla has the ability to contain a move higher in price now this is the weekly chart for Tesla I'm sorry the monthly chart for Tesla and you can see he'll at his last previous month that we did overcome a lot of weakness in this space we came and even bounced on our descending line here and when it's able to close towards a higher bar the volume has been increasing every time that we continue to move to the upside in price we're starting out this current month quite well but as you can tell we are literally coming towards some resistance areas in the market in Tesla looking at on the whoopi chart and at 3:56 is literally right here on our descending line so the call options that are around 356 definitely it seems probable because many of those call options was around $340 strike price and literally once it gets to 356 which is where this line is they will be in profit so it seems likely that Tesla can come up a little bit high in price to around 356 no problem matter fact they have come to 360 in order for because that's literally where the resistance area lies for Tesla the Devi price chart continue to show you one of the currents concerns I do see is the volume being reduced from us moving to the upside so we're losing some interest to high in prices but I think there's enough energy in this particular price chart in this particular stock to at least allow Tesla to come up here to 355 356 or even 360 okay so yes I still see Tesla moving higher in price but again going to 368 is questionable okay 368 comes all the way up here to around $370 and as i zoom out that's literally a last climax of where Tesla came to hit resistance so is likely but it's a lot less likely for Tesla's come up to around a 370 stock price area but I could see it coming up to around 355 360 at least in the near term but again that volume is is worrisome okay if that volume does not maintain what we have here as average and it starts decreasing then the likelihood of Tesla container moving to the upside is dwindling okay so as of right now it's still probable for this particular stock to move higher but as we continue go out in time and you continue to see this light volume it's going to become less and less likely so I'm feeling pretty good for Tesla's to come up to our line here but to 370 I'm not too confident as as of this particular moment so tell us your opinion what do you guys think about Tesla stock do you think's gonna come up to 370 or what about even 356 do you think's gonna come up to 350 $6 I do but 360 I'm sorry 370 I don't so let us know your opinion with a comment in the comment section of this video we do appreciate it makes you go out
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