저자: EugenioBenetazzo · 외국인
요약 보기
결론: 비트코인 ETF 승인 기대로 시장이 움직이고 있으며, 향후 비트코인 강세 가능성이 있다는 입장. 첫째, 미국에서 비트코인 선물 기반 합성 복제 ETF 승인이 사실상 기정사실화되며 위험자본 유입의 문을 연다는 주장. 이후 여러 암호화폐 바스켓 ETF도 등장할 것으로 봄. 둘째, 마이클 버리가 비트코인 숏 포지션을 노리고 있으며 2008~2009년 사태를 근거로 경계를 강조. 합성 인버스 ETF(LTF)도 나와 시장이 더 정교해지고 기관 중심으로 추세가 결정될 것이라는 전망. 셋째, 옵션 포지셔닝 분석 기준으로 현재 투자자 대부분이 상승 베팅 또는 헤지를 하고 있으며, 7만~10만 달러 구간 상승이 예상된다고 언급. 넷째, 마이크 노보그라츠(Galaxy Digital 펀드)의 연말 비트코인 10만 달러 전망이 옵션 포지셔닝상 설득력 있다고 평가. 다섯째, 4만 달러 이하 행사가 옵션은 쉽게 내가격(ITM)이 될 수 있다고 설명. 거래량은 얇아 해석에 주의 필요. 리스크: 알고리즘에 무조건적 신뢰를 두는 것의 시스템 리스크 경고. 이전 콜이 성과를 보였다는 자화자찬성 언급 포함. 출연자 전망: 비트코인 강세 쪽 기울기, 이더리움 등 기타 코인 동조 여부는 불확실하다고 봄. 홍보: 목요일 라이브 방송에서 Eugenio Sartorelli와 비트코인·이더리움 옵션 분석 예고.
다듬은 글
As you can see from this chart, Reuters this morning is literally emphasizing how the market is currently running on the back of news that is now almost taken for granted, almost for granted, linked to the approval of a first synthetic replication of Bitcoin in the United States, thus resorting to positioning through futures contracts.
This will effectively represent the opening of Pandora's box because it will act as an attractor of risk capital, especially from other financial sectors that will then be able to position themselves without much difficulty on the queen of krypton. It will only be a matter of time before the ETFs will arrive that will replicate with the same methodology, using futures contracts to baskets of cryptocurrencies, perhaps the top five, top seven, top eight by capitalization, and recalling one of the fears that Dr.
Michael Berry, well known to those who follow the financial markets, is currently highlighting. He especially studied what happened in 2008 and 2009. How do you short sell Bitcoin? The question is really based on a very short time because once an ETF is available that replicates a synthetic replication ETF with a position exclusively bullish has then come the antithetical LTF which will replicate the inverse exposure thanks to the rollover with short positions on bitcoin futures so in that case the market will become even more sophisticated and on the truth will now be taken away from the hands of the institutions because at that point it will be the institutional players who count the whales but not the bitcoin whales but the whales of the regulated markets that will dictate the trend of the most famous cryptocurrency in the world don't miss the super live this Thursday with my namesake Eugenio Sartorelli we will focus on bitcoin and ethereum exclusively looking at the options and already now I can tell you that if we go on an expiry roughly a month ahead of us look at what strike and what open mister est ratios are starting to be perceived that is to say that that famous that famous call made by Mike New Graz and through the Galaxy Digital fund of bitcoin at 100,000 dollars by the end of the year at the close of the historical cycle post Holding appears plausible, I repeat, it appears plausible based on the positioning that can be highlighted at this time on the next one of the next maturities of a certain importance.
Note the 4: 3 to 1:4:1 ratio, even if we read the volumes are substantially thinned out, non-existent, strikes under 40 thousand dollars, they easily go in the money. They are cars and hands. For now, most of the investors are bullish positions or possibly hedging on an expected rise between 70 thousand and 100 thousand dollars, so at that point it will be significant to understand what kind of expectation there could be on the rest of the cryptocurrency, hoping it will follow in its wake or if the volumes will actually concentrate exclusively only on bitcoin.
Discretion, as always, is the link to go away, to register, to put Thursday's live on your agenda, not to be missed because I don't think there is anyone in Italy who stops to analyze the market data using the analysis and metrics, positioning with the options and then also given that it has been particularly successful, it has been much appreciated by those who had lost the profit on the earth moon which makes us understand the systemic risks that are behind the two sti and also at the one when we place unconditional trust in the algorithms
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