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Jim Cramer breaks down spec stocks of Enphase, Virgin Galactic, Ballard Power and Plug Power

CNBC Television · 2020-02-20 · 유튜브 시청 67,324 · Board Views 4 · International

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저자: JimCramer · 외국인

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2020년 2월 20일 기준 스펙 성장주 과열 경고와 분할 매도 권고 영상. 핵심 결론: 버진 갤럭틱, 발라드파워, 플러그파워 등 투기성 종목 급등은 코로나 공포와 무관하게 과열된 상태이며, 일부 차익실현이 바람직하다는 주장. 투기 옹호 및 자금 관리: 크레이머는 투기 자체는 필요하다고 보며, 은퇴자금이 아닌 별도의 'Mad Money' 포트폴리오 일부에서 소액으로 투기 종목을 매매하라고 권고. 테슬라: 과거 80달러대 매수를 추천했고, 현재 주가가 자신의 초기 목표가에 도달했다고 언급. 2020년 누적 약 120% 상승. 원칙상 절반 정도 매도 후 나머지는 보유 권고. 시가총액은 약 1,600억 달러로 포드·GM 합산을 넘어섰다고 언급. 버진 갤럭틱(SPCE): 모건스탠리는 우주 산업에서 희소한 자산이라며 긍정적 평가, 2030년 EBITDA 기준 밸류에이션이 합리적이라고 분석. 크레디트스위스는 12.43달러 목표가와 함께 높은 리스크(예상보다 낮은 수요, 첫 상업비행 지연, 사고 가능성)를 경고. 크레이머는 소셜미디어·레딧의 과열 열기를 우려. 발라드파워·플러그파워: 수년간 적자를 이어온 수소연료전지 기업으로, 대체에너지 호재 때마다 함께 급등하는 경향 지적. 솔라 관련: 엔페이즈(ENPH)는 매출·출하량 호실적으로 급등 언급. 솔라엣지는 수요 대응에 어려움을 겪을 만큼 호조. 실물 태양광 기업 선호 의견. 테슬라 배터리 데이 등 향후 이벤트 기대감 언급. 기타: 시더페어(FUN) 실적 긍정 평가, 시스템 리스크 관련 코로나 영향 언급. 리스크: 투기주 과열 및 급락 가능성, 초기 실적 미달 시 급락 위험, 개인 투자자의 추격 매수 경계.

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01. men pay America I won and try to put this one in context call m the average is rebounded nicely today thanks to the newfound hope that the coronavirus is something we can deal with meet the new flu same as the old flu except the spreads faster and more easily the doubt getting 116 points this would be climbing 0.47% and then as that pole-vaulting point eights ever since the ladders to closings record eyes but you know what you know where the real action was it was in the highest of flyers in the basis of specular stocks and that's what we need to focus on port bug is just totally out of sync with the coronavirus panic experience history in part because a lot of the old guys will say you know what this is a top I don't think that but I'm giving them their due so what am I talking about that I'm talking bout n face how about Virgin Galactic Ballard power plug power and countless others have become darlings for younger investors you go look at my Twitter feed go read reddit they're pumping these stocks in some cases even hold them rather than just ran the rezar cuz they believe taking profits is for losers for getting this and you distressed it I'm Pro speculation I think it's good even essential essential to speculate on dicey stocks with part just part of your discretionary money market the money made money proposed so you've got the retirement money it's that which is just completely wrong to speculate on then you have a Mad Money portfolio of a group of stops within that group of stocks you can have some speculative stocks one or two so I won't try to talk you out of trading like this if only because that would make me a hypocrite I never would have gotten positive and told you to buy the stock of Tesla in the high to 80s if I had a problem of speculation I wanted to help you try to make money rather than being some kind of way T Tauri purists who believes it's not fair to make money in a stock like Tesla and you can only honor index fun because you be stupid I don't feel like that that's many others should do not me people want ballistic though at the time and I recommended Tesla because I was so late I was obviously chasing but given the tests up more than 600 points from there I think I did a pretty good job it was bringing a call I argued this stock really wasn't overvalued stock and should stop being compared to the value of Ford Motor in fact I told you at that time to wake me up when Tesla's market cap is more than double the capitalization of Ford and GM taking together well wake me up here we are test is now a one hundred sixty billion dollar company GM's were fifty four s worth thirty two billion if you listen to me when I got buy the stock last fall I think it makes sense right now since we got past the level that I said it could get to now I think it is time I think you take a little off little schnitzel leave the rest Tesla's now reached my initial price target the thing that's about speculation is that you need to be somewhat disciplined I would sell maybe as much as half here is water what I said but then let the rest run why half because Tesla's at a spectacular movements up nearly 120 percent for 2020 and discipline says that when the stock reaches your price target you have to let some go you can't just revise that target up like a lot of the analysts do because that's a recipe for disaster and lacks any rigor sell you have your Tesla here and it's from if you bought it to eighties and guess what will happen lordy you'll be playing with the houses money which is the best way to invest you're working with pure profit so you'll never be the fool boy does that put you in good company because in the immortal words of those stocks ages and I'm not talking about Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger I'm talking about the main ingredient everybody plays the fool sometime no exception to the rule maybe facts will may be cruel let everybody else play the fool I didn't go to college to get stupid so that mine are you playing the fool if you buy Virgin Galactic up here oh my Virgin Galactic we gotta talk about Virgin Galactic symbol spice like spice of life this one's tough if you want to go to space and you got a lot of money burn well you got to go Virgin Galactic I don't think you can get there with the Spirit Airlines I don't think the I don't think the United goes what expects to have Sir Richard Branson in orbit for the end of the year good work they're targeting 115 space flights in 2021 yep space tourism is about to become a big thing and what I can tell it's not an extremely full flight now Morgan Stanley's been incredibly thoughtful in this one arguing that Virgin Galactic occupies it and I quote extremely scarce real estate in the publicly traded space economy no no kitty lastik they published a piece arguing that the company quote might dominate or even monopolize space whereas a man quote sounds good how speculative is this thing well Morgan Stanley argued that the valuation was quite reasonable quite reasonable when you look at the potential earnings before interest taxes depreciation and amortization in 2030 that's right they needed to look 10 years out in a clear day I can see forever I said with Barbra Streisand years ago it just side of this thing and since then the stocks rallied another fourteen bucks now yesterday they published a piece after the stock serves twenty one percent last Friday this time they noted that the driver here was a not very important test flight but that hasn't stopped Virgin Galactic stock from Rory this thing has made a lot of people look like geniuses Credit Suisse tried to bring you back to earth on this they published a piece using a twelve dollar and forty three seven price target when this stock was ready nine in November and you couldn't give it away but listen this list of brick factors the risk factors quote given the unprecedented in largely untested nature of this business model in product offering there are significant risk to investing in spice these risks include lower than expected demand schedule slippage of the first commercial flight higher than expected flight costs or an operational accident end quote still that was enough to scare away people are very very very very very very very very very very excited about this thing I know this because I've seen Virgin Galactic Pumped relentlessly relentlessly or my Twitter feed and then on the incredibly I like to say cannon of gospel even of stock thinking reddit these are bad places to get information but this is some of the stuff quote virgin galactic spice is going into orbit have that one for free kramer oh thank you poster thank you so much jimmy chill says then there's quote I'm up 300% in spice in like three months don't you like to like in like three months thinking about dropping out of college you know what maybe I should or maybe get a grammatical lesson that one that encapsulates on with anyway this one says quote I don't know Jim Cramer but I have a bad case of FOMO and just bought some spice now in quote the amazing thing is the guy made a killing I mean if you reading the register he made a lot of money but do you think you did listen for all I know space towards new computer not be a real industry but for heaven's sake if you own virgin clock hey the guy had the FOMO guy and the guy who's thinking about dropping out of college don't quit your day job either chief I think you're gonna bring the register on some of this stuff I don't get greedy and believe me I'm telling you thank me you don't do it all but just some and look it's not just this one stock you got any phased energy it's up by a cool forty two percent today why not this is a company that makes micro converters returnees solar power into electricity and face this report a true blowout quarter 210 million sales 2.1 million micro convertor shipped vintage you may have net income now what are the stock code fire guy you know what I mean oh hey this one's not done going higher yeah I would still trip a little but I think go heart you see anytime you see anything positive in solar you also get the fellow travelers like Ballard power and plug power you never allowed to say a bad thing about those they always advanced this kind of juice they are hydrogen fuel cell companies that have been losing money for ages yet no one can resist them when something good happens in alternative energy space if you owned them once again I recommend reading the register after these moves but I know you want you'll just hate me that's okay too because I'd be Jimmy chill of course they aren't all full of hot air solar edge technologies killing it worldwide with this innovative equipment they're having a hard time meeting demand high quality problem hey if you want to bet you want to bet on some sort of solar pin action I would stick with the real solar companies and then there's the very best the Worshipful the golden calf that dothan in the ten commands of the neversea Robinson he worshiped yes I'm talking about Tesla Tesla itself with a solar business that was supposed to be a millstone even an albatross around the company's neck turns out it's incredibly exciting when you combine the Tesla solar solutions with the new batteries that musk intends to come up with you have the possibility of a car that can run absolutely off that electric grid that is priority by 28 percent coal and all that NAT gas all the things that you and I hate if we keep the earth is a stakeholder those batteries might not even need that much charging I mean he lives when we know more hahaha Tesla's quote unquote battery day which is on some undeclared date in April I bet I'll be nuts international battery day call me in get me Stubb up okay look I know these specula stocks are all very exciting they're a lot more interesting than something like Kramer family fav octa or Broadcom salesforce Nvidia let alone I'm not kidding they're even more exciting than resent row or get this Z scaler but here's the bottom line if you want to specular stock that shot through the roof today please take something off the table and you don't you guys need to go buy yourself a beautiful cat we're sweater as my mom we said you had to do after big win at the ponies that way you have something to show for it if these high fliers give back through games fill up the North Carolina fill up thanks for taking my call sir mockable I've got a sizable position in Cedar Fair I've owned it over five years this morning morning to earnings report was representing in all respects how do you feel about it sir Cedar Fair is a first-class operation and against that I would say Six Flags is a sixth best operation I think that these the people who run Cedar Fair are gonna do a good job 6.8% you look I like it what is that song oh my there we are the main ingredient I thought it was that thing that Buffett and Munger put together but it turns out no ok I get it it's exciting to watch I fly expects stocks take off day after day is it discipline says maybe some katinka ching man tonight wing stops dropped me into earnings does the company don't wing in a prayer ha ha or is there nothing from hope for investors throw the seal and the way we shop buy and pay is changing so can the payment processors turn plastic into cash I'm going off the charts to find out and as the corona virus outbreak appears to be cause for concern on my own one company is working to guide organization through the crisis don't miss my exclusive with yes ever bridge stay with spice space space base base and stay with space and Cwo mad money does cnbc.com you

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