저자: JimCramer · 외국인
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메타 실적 발표 후 시간외 주가 급등 배경과 종목별 시사점을 다룬 영상. 결론: 메타는 매출 성장 둔화에도 일일 활성 사용자가 예상치를 웃돌아 긍정적으로 평가, 단기 과제는 있으나 장기 대응 가능하다는 시각. 메타 실적: 매출 성장률이 상장 이후 최저 수준이었으나 DAU는 예상 상회. 쇼트폼(릴스) 전환은 수익화가 덜 되지만 장기적으로 낙관. iOS 변경에 따른 신호 손실은 부담이나 AI 기술 투자로 대응 가능. 메타 전략 평가: 틱톡 대비 릴스의 타겟팅 광고 강점, 비용 통제 가능성, 애플 제3자 제약을 AI 모델링으로 우회하는 시도를 긍정적으로 평가. 브레이크아웃 수준 실적으로 해석. 지역별 사용자: 서구권 DAU는 정체, 인도네시아·인도가 성장 요인. 광고 정밀 타겟팅 측면에서 긍정. 엔비디아·반도체: 클라우드 자본지출 증가는 엔비디아·마벨·AMD에 긍정. 게이밍 둔화는 우려 요인이나 고성능 컴퓨팅 수요는 강세. 마벨은 주요 보유 종목. 애플 관련: 중국 봉쇄로 아이폰 공급 우려가 있으나 T-Mobile 판매 호조, 13 Pro 흥행 언급. 실적이 중국 영향을 말하면 시장 반응은 주가 안정 여부에 달림. 리스크: 메타 신호 손실, 중국 봉쇄, 게이밍 둔화, 주가 변동성. 출연자 전망: 메타 실적 및 AI·클라우드 투자 테마에 대해 전반적으로 낙관. 특정 목표가는 제시되지 않음.
다듬은 글
are going to begin with shares of meta surging in the pre-market profit and daily active users exceeding estimates despite the company's slowest revenue growth since going public nearly a decade ago mark zuckerberg outlined the challenges during the call last night i talked last quarter about some of the near-term challenges facing our business some are specific to meta like our transition to short form video which doesn't monetize as well for now but which we're quite optimistic about over the long term some are specific to our industry like signal loss resulting from apple's ios changes which is a meaningful headwind but we also expect that with the right technology investments will navigate okay over time jim bespoke this morning says this could be the third biggest gap higher on earnings since going public there was so much that was good here uh and a couple zuckerberg did three things right one is that i think that tick tock will indeed be on the run from reels by your end is predicted and that's because they're going to be able to measure exactly whether the return of investment for reals right now people like tick tock and say well i got a lot of influencers if i put it up people re no what mark is saying is look we can offer targeted reels and that's very very big deal even though he won't be able to make as much money who wouldn't one targeted the second thing is he really bring fences on the re on the cost i mean you know we thought the costs were going to be terrible he obviously given the fact he's already got a plan to beat tick tock he could cut back that and then the third he's talking about an ai solution to apple's third-party restrictions and i think that that's rather amazing because uh what that's going to say is you know what if you use us we can get around what apple says by modeling uh this is just science ai machine learning confident call uh a call where they believe that they that they didn't have to spend nearly as much we have no idea what the fam we are we've got this family of apps which is the one we're all familiar with and that was quite strong uh the reality lab is is a black box and it seems clear that zuckerberg feels like they're on the course already with with defeating tick tock so now it's time to go for the 2025 plan uh i love the call he also said you can watch this company dickman from europe if you want to see what people are doing but uh he's working very closely with nvidia uh because he talked about the idea that in the in the metaverse you'll be able to look at a digital twin that can be exactly like you that's the nvidia product that's jensen wong that's interesting because today b of a talks about cloud capex one of the bright spots in the quarter and they do say it's positive for nvidia marvel amd and others exactly and actually i would actually do it network nvidia's got the most high performance computing now people don't like nvidia anymore because they say well it's got gaming and crypto crypto they shouldn't think about but there is a slowdown in gaming we know that from microsoft the other day uh amd's got pcs that people worry about but they're really not low end that's intel i don't know when i look at what's going on in high performance computing i really want to be there and marvel is the one it's my largest the second largest position after qualcomm in the semis because they're 5g which so far we know from qualcomm is very very strong in their high performance computing but matt murphy's got the right uh he really really has the the right combination which shuts up a duck bucket would you argue that going into the fb print last night people were afraid it would be this colossal land mine that could unnerve the tape oh absolutely i mean we thought that the daily average users would be would not go up now by the way just for sure um western world daily average users kind of flat indonesia and india were the two bright spots so you've got flat and then those two no i mean as they would tell you legitim indonesian indian matter they don't think don't asterisk they matter and those were the ones that were where things were driven off uh it was a very encouraging call because from the very beginning everyone was skeptical about tick tock versus reels when i work with them what's interesting is is that you can now get uh you can see who you can you can make it so that reels is for who you need whereas tick tock you just blast it out so i call it like day a day time for uh precision bombing which is which is what zuckerberg is offering saturation and i'd rather have daylight precision any day of the week yeah so given that going into apple amazon tonight right i mean are you are you more convinced that 4200 roughly is a floor well look i mean apple's got its own issues there's clearly a notion that you've got this lockdown in china how do you whether that be asterisk if people can't go out to buy the phone but you know yesterday we had t-mobile at 1.3 million editions and they get the auditions by uh by giving you the phone and it makes me feel once again that the 13 pro was a breakout phone people tend to see uh 12 the 13 pro enabled you to be able to do tick tock really really well and people want to do tick tock they want to do reels too but i think that what i it wouldn't surprise me if tim cook said look if it weren't for china we'd have great numbers and how does the market take that uh if the stock supported it then it's not so great but if it uh if the stock calms down then it's okay
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