저자: Alex · 외국인
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결론: 테슬라 주가가 6개월 내 450달러까지 하락할 것이라는 약세 전망. [핵심 주장 - 기술적 약세 신호] 테슬라는 고점 대비 약 39~40% 하락한 상태이며, 캐시 우드의 69,000주 매수는 오히려 매도 신호라고 주장. 거래량 다이버전스: 이번 바닥(이중바닥)에서 매수세가 이전 저점 대비 약 15% 감소. RSI 다이버전스: 같은 가격대에서 이전 50 이상 대비 현재 약 45로 약세. [근거 수치] - 목표가: 450달러 (1차 지지 499달러 언급) - 기간: 6개월 내, 다음 주부터 30일 내 시작 가능 - 피라미드 형태(하락 패턴) 및 헤드앤숄더 형태 언급 - MACD 상승 신호는 기울기가 약해 단기 반등에 그칠 것이라 평가 [근거 수치 - 거시·기타 요인] 비트코인 약 50% 폭락 언급, 테슬라가 비트코인에 15억 달러 투자 보유 중이며 지난 분기 이익 상당 부분이 비트코인 평가이익이었다고 주장. 10년물 금리: 당분간 8월경까지 일시 정체 예상하나 장기적으로 금리 상승 우려가 주가에 선반영되어 있다고 봄. [조건/리스크] 시장 여건에 따라 단기간 내 하락 시작 가능, 시장 전반이 약세로 갈 수 있다고 언급. 다만 강세 전환 시점이 오면 매수로 전환할 수 있다고 유보. [출연자 전망 및 기타] 채널 자체 홍보 및 코칭 프로그램 유료 상담 유도가 많음. 과거 테슬라·비트코인·이더리움 폭락 예측이 적중했다고 주장하나 검증 불가. [그 외 자산] 비트코인: 이미 폭락했다고 언급하며 추가 하락 가능성 함축. 최신 비트코인·이더리움 분석 영상 제작 가능성 언급.
다듬은 글
where is tesla stock headed next what is my exact price target and prediction and how can you ultimately make money based on the material in this video let's find out the answer to these questions and ultimately answer is tesla headed to the moon or back down to earth let's get started so let me just start off by saying in this video i'm giving you my exact prediction for tesla stock you can love me or you can hate me for what i'm about to say but the point is we're not here to be your friend we're here to make money so if that suits your style subscribe to this channel because we're going to be honest transparent and real here tesla prediction drop to 450 points within the next six months and this can actually take place literally starting next week and going into the next 30 days you obviously want to be a part of our coaching team or not our coaching team but be one of our coaching members so i can actually help you trade this but guys this is going to be an a you know phenomenal trading opportunity a lot of money will be made and so i'm going to do my best to break it down in this video and show you why tesla will continue lower so you can see tesla stock is down 39 currently from the peak a lot of people are looking at this as a buying opportunity tesla to the moon kathy wood bought 69 000 shares yesterday and so supposedly that's supposed to be bullish are you [ __ ] kidding me if anything when when kathy wood buys i sell you want to know why because kathy wood bought here she bought here she bought here she bought here here here here here here okay so trust me that is the last reason you should ever want to be bullish on tesla now let's actually get into some of the bearish factors we can point out here uh and just get into really what a lot of people are thinking right a lot of people are thinking tesla's a bargain it's down 40 percent buy the dip imagine where it'll be in 10 years okay little do they realize is they've been buying the div just like kathy would on the way down and they're down so big that you know most of them are out of cash at this point especially if you're a retail investor second supposedly everyone's buying the dip right well think twice okay look at this chart it's very easy to see look at the volume here last dip there's way more buyers coming in now look at this week okay this is all the buyers that we had coming to tesla so you can clearly see the volume discrepancy right here supposedly everyone's buying the dip what you actually see is a 15 decrease in buyers this time around on this double bottom which is supposed to be once again a bullish chart pattern right so everyone thinks it's bullish everyone thinks they're going to the moon buy the div by the dip and little do they realize you have a volume divergence at this level you also have an rsi divergence which if you don't know what that is we go very in depth in the course over this you can see here uh at this level okay you can actually see a clear rsi divergence where last time the rsi was over 50 okay now we're at the same exact level actually a little bit higher and the rsi is at 45 okay so what that tells you is that the exact same level tesla stock is actually weaker this time around and we can obviously see that through the volume right so once again when you hear everyone's buying the dip look at the [ __ ] charts nobody is buying the dip this time around so don't get it twisted for that reason this is not bullish now let's talk about the best case scenario for tesla okay what you could see is it bounce a little bit more we do have a bullish indication in the macd which signals a conversion to the upside uh in a temporary uptrend but what you have to understand is the strength of this macd signal it's extremely weak it's got a very low slope and for that reason whatever upward movement we may be receiving here in tesla in the short term it's going to be short-lived and it's going to be pretty weak in relation to the downward swings that we've been receiving so once again if all you do is listen to the news the media and some of the most popular youtubers right they make it seem like they're buying the [ __ ] out of this dip but once again it's so easily proved as long as you have two eyes and the ability to type in stockcharts.com ticker symbol tsla you can clearly see just not nearly as much buyers coming in at this level this time around and so think about it last time at this level they bought the [ __ ] out of this dip and we still came back down this time barely anyone's buying that dip so why should it go much higher than last time right so you already know that's a confirmation of downtrend so you have this high right here followed by the lower high and once again with less buyers coming in here we know that it's highly unlikely for this next leg up higher in tesla to exceed this level because once again he had way more people buying it last time at this level so why would it go higher this time on lower volume that just doesn't make sense okay so once again getting back to the point of a lot of people running out of cash heck if you're watching this video right now you might be out of cash to buy tesla at this point you probably ran out of money buying the dip a long time ago and so if that sounds like you then you know i'm right about this right so combining just a couple technical facts right this is a fact that we have less buyers coming in at this level it is a fact that according to the rsi we are weaker at this level right that's literally just two indications there's so many more things we could go over right but just literally two facts you know do you realize how much that puts you ahead of the game because 99 percent of people don't even look at a chart they just follow the news and they wonder why they get crushed if you can just understand how to read these charts you're not going to have to rely on these news and you're not going to have to rely on kathy woods dog [ __ ] calls okay so boom just off that i hope you can see some of the reasons we are bearish on tesla still at this point on top of that you have basically a head right here and a shoulder right here now you don't actually have a left shoulder here because the thing went parabolic but at the same time this formation right here which we also call a pyramid formation is highly bearish when you go higher run out of gas and come right back down once again it's the pyramid formation highly bearish and very hard to recover from right so when you combine these three factors the rsi divergence the volume divergence and the pyramid formation you know those are some three just extremely strong indications that for me are going to trump any kathy would buy signal any cnbc news okay so those are facts now let's dive into some speculative reasoning here uh that can't necessarily be proven but is worth mentioning uh number four reason we're going over being bearish on tesla in this video is because bitcoin has officially crashed just as we predicted now obviously tesla had a 1.5 billion dollar position in bitcoin and i think we can all agree when that thing crashes you know over 50 percent that's obviously not bullish for your position and considering the fact that a large portion of the profits last earnings quarter came from the profits they booked in bitcoin that's obviously not a good sign it's going to be very hard for them to have a great quarter next quarter unless they sell a ton of cars or unless they surprise us and maybe they're actually collecting a bunch of profits up here in bitcoin but you know if you believe elon musk and once again i don't believe him necessarily but according to his tweet uh you know tesla has diamond hands and if that's the case then that's not [ __ ] good so i don't know why he would say that but he did so that's reason number four reason number five rising interest rates now we are expecting to see a pause in the 10-year yield temporarily i think until about august so since we don't expect any crazy moves in the 10-year right now it's not necessarily too bearish at right now right but investors and the market are efficient they're going to think ahead and if the interest rates are going to continue to rise if people foresee uh you know rising interest rates that's obviously not going to be good for the price of tesla whether that interest rate spike happens later in the year in a year from now two years from now right that's all being priced into the price of tesla so important to understand that so that's five reasons we're bearish on tesla and why we believe it's going to drop to 450 obviously uh keep an eye on this level here 499 is where you could probably get some support now the time frame of this move how soon can it happen it could literally start as soon as this you know this coming week depending on the market conditions and now we do have reason to believe that the market could be getting very bearish here but if you want more on that make sure you subscribe to this channel so it can keep you up to date now guys don't get it twisted although we are bearish on tesla right now we will not shy away from being bullish when the time is right to be bullish now a lot of you are new to the channel so you probably didn't even know we called this tesla crash here you can literally go back and watch your video four months ago if you think i'm joking we also called the bitcoin and ethereum crash in these three most recent videos check that out if you haven't already the feedback was incredible guys um i had some amazing phone calls with some of you who said you know some of you saved 500 000 because of the call we made on the channel some of you said 250 000 i mean once again i had calls from all over the world even right because you know crypto you got people all over the world on this and i had some guys saying they say 500 000 200 000 80 000 50 000 8 000 i mean everyone's got different account sizes but to be able to get those calls and people just was so happy on the phone and telling me that they bought back in at a low price guys that was incredible so once again congratulations to everyone recently on this call that we made it was awesome and i'm so so happy for everyone now look i know a lot of you okay probably saved a lot of money as well and some of you probably didn't even leave a comment or schedule a call but guys that's the joy of this that's why we do it and so if you have any questions you can schedule a 20-minute call especially if you now see our analysis and you you know you're interested in trading and you see what i'm saying but you're not exactly sure on when to pull the trigger when to get in and when to get out or maybe you're busy at work right maybe you have a day job and you can't actually trade this during the day so you're wondering okay then how do i profit off of it and you're not there to monitor your position on the screen so you don't want to leave it you feel a little nervous all right basically you don't have the confidence to pull the trigger and actually profit on what we've shown you in this video once again schedule a 20-minute call we can walk you through it and also figure out what it is that you might need help with now guys on this call it is not to sell you on anything okay the only way we're going to sell you on anything is if you want to join a program so here look it literally says if you're looking to join a coaching program you don't need to fill out the question in detail we'll discuss that instead okay but if you just need genuine help then schedule that 20-minute call okay because once again we're not trying to sell you [ __ ] on this call unless you want to join a program which obviously we offer some incredible uh paid services but what you got to understand is guys of course we have paid services but we also give you so much for free i mean this training idea can make you so much money if you take advantage pull the trigger we've got some incredible predictions guys literally save 500 000 and some guys save 200 000 some guys made you know 50 000 some guys bought back in lower right so you know what we give you for free is incredible so i just hope you guys see what we're doing here and uh let me know if you need an updated video on bitcoin and ethereum we can definitely do that but changing it up here talking about this tesla drop in prediction we foresee so that being said guys don't forget to drop a like on this video make sure you subscribe let's make some money on this prediction here it's going to be beautiful and once again if you need help please feel free to reach out through the phone call through email or through the comment section down below we're here to help you so thank you guys so much for watching can't wait to talk to some of you especially if you save like five hundred thousand even ten thousand i don't care how much you save because once again everyone's got different account sizes but if our predictions and our calls that we made last week were able to help you guys that's what i love to hear so once again shout out to all the guys i talked to this weekend and on friday you know over all the money that was saved and made on our calls guys that's why we do this and that's all free material so we provide insane value we keep it real and for that reason you should be subscribed to this channel and that being said plenty more predictions and videos coming out soon so let me know if you want that bitcoin and ethereum updated video and we can do that so thank you guys so much for watching my name is alex and we will see you on the next video take care let's talk soon bye you
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