BLACK MONDAY CRASH PREDICTED BY JIM CRAMER! (12 Hours Left) 😱 Elon Musk Talks De-escalation!

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관세 정책 충돌로 1987년형 대폭락 가능성이 SNS에서 확산. Jim Cramer는 관세 정책을 비판하며 최악의 경우 1987년형 폭락을 거론, Max Kaiser는 폭락 시 비트코인 급등 시나리오를 제시. 진행자는 두 시나리오 모두 실현 가능성이 낮다고 언급. Elon Musk는 미·유럽 간 무관세 자유무역 지대를 제안한 것으로 소개. 진행자는 비트코인 거래소 링크 홍보 포함.

다듬은 글

※ 자동 자막 원문(다듬기 전)

01. A Black Monday crash, comparable to the Black Monday collapse of 1987, could very likely happen again this Monday. That was the most severe stock market crash in US history. And now this is back in play. At least that's what Jim Kramer says. And this story is currently going viral on social media. Elon Musk has also chimed in with his opinion how this could be prevented.

02. Max Kaiser says that it wouldn't be bad for Bitcoin, but rather that Bitcoin could shoot up to $220,000 because we are currently seeing the decoupling with Bitcoin somewhat detaching from the stock market. Jim Kramer is considering the worst case scenario that we might see a massive crash this Monday because we have similar indicators as back then when we had a bad market on Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday.

03. Then everyone thought, okay, it's recovering and on Monday, it went down significantly again. We need to take a very close look at this scenario and why this scenario could potentially be bullish for Bitcoin, but very, very bad for the overall market. But if you don't believe me, then listen to what Jim Kramer has to say here.

04. This is not my thesis, but Jim Kramer's thesis. The implosion of our markets continues and it's so obvious that this is a man-made obliteration. It's probably not over. Today's action, Dow plunged 2,231 points. S&P plummeted 2.97%. NASDAQ only knows D 4 5.82%. Remind you that we're in one of three modalities.

05. Okay, we could be in for the grips of a quick bare market outlaw the CO 220 model. We could be in for a 2000 style bare market where tech was laid to waste for a very long time. Or it might be the big kahuna. That's the one of October of 1987 where the market went down hard for three days, Mon, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, and then it went even harder on a day we call Black Monday where the market fell 22%.

06. If the president doesn't try to reach out and reward these countries and companies that play by the rules, then the 1987 scenario, the one where we went down 3 days and then down 22% on Monday has the most coency. We will not have to wait out too long, will we? We'll know by Monday. So he said, if President Donald Trump doesn't back down here and doesn't retract his tariffs and revises his blatant tariff policy here, then this scenario will occur.

07. He goes through various scenarios here. the co scenario, the 2000 scenario, and then the 1908 and 1987 scenario, and it will happen if Donald Trump stubbornly continues his course. He's talking about a 20% correction. So that's significantly more severe. We had instances where the major indices dropped by about 4, 5, 6% in the last few days, but a 20% correction is quite a different story, a much more severe.

08. And that's what Jim Kramer is suggesting here. And Jim Kramer has generally been a Donald Trump fan, but he doesn't really like the tariff situation. But there are also other people who say that Jim Kramer is a contrarian indicator because most of the time when Jim Kramer says something, the opposite happens.

09. Therefore, I'm not sure if this can be taken seriously. I don't really think this will happen, but a lot of people do think it will happen. It's being shared a lot on social media right now. So, I don't want to cause any panic here, but we still have the other potential scenario because Max Kaiser says here, Jim's loss is Bitcoin's gain.

10. So, the entire loss from the stock market, Bitcoin will top it up. A mega crash in the style of 1987 will drive Bitcoin to $220,000 this Monday as trillions of wealth seek the ultimate safe haven, Bitcoin. And that would be the big decoupling scenario. When panic completely breaks out here, everyone is looking for a safe haven and then Bitcoin will be catapulted to $220,000 on Monday.

11. It will be propelled upwards. I think that's the other extreme which also won't happen. That's probably too bullish. get. Feel free to let me know in the comments whether you agree with Max Kaiser's bullish scenario or if you side with Jim Kramer's worst case scenario. You can also write in the comments what you think of my new beard.

12. Really bullish thickening beard. No, I'm just at the beach right now and I'm completely covered in sand. I need to jump into the sea right now. There was even another piece of news here. And if this turns out to be true, then it would be quite intense. We'll also take a look at what Elon Musk has to say about it because Elon Musk mentioned something that could potentially deescalate the whole situation.

13. But Mike Alfred says, "Yes, definitely." Sources in the White House say President Trump received hundreds of calls today from US business leaders and heads of state from over 100 countries. But the president is playing golf and is determined to stick to the tariffs even if it crashes the global economy.

14. He might even want to crash the global economy. Yesterday, Howard Lutick said in an interview, "No, the plan is not to crash the dollar or the economy and so on." But we all know that Donald Trump has a refinancing problem. He actually needs to crash the economy to force the Fed to lower interest rates.

15. And if it's true of course about the golf appointment and playing golf and so then that would really be something here. A real boncho. I'll show you the awesome location where I am right now at the beach. Great here totally relaxed. I'm right here under the tree. And yes, I'm soaking up the last hours of sun and we'll jump into the sea again shortly.

16. But let's listen further to what Jim Kramer has to say. Here's his explanation of why this Monday is going to be such a big deal. So listen very carefully because what he's saying is really, really interesting. And later we'll also look at Elon Musk to see how this can potentially be deescalated. What the heck is going on?

17. Well, I'm let down because I Yes, I'm not a free trader. I'm a fair trader. Always have been from the days when I when you work with me at CNBC. Yep. And what I was hoping was a coordinated thing where if you are charging us 20%, we charge you 20. Uh instead of a car where we're only making you pay two and a half and you're not letting us in, we try to get things better.

18. But I said on a specific thing you go if they're 10 on a car, you go 10 on a car. But I I went deep on the numbers today and the numbers did not make any sense. And I I I was actually You did you made I was doing like bananas in Vietnam. You did crime America. Well, I did I just said, you know, it's one of these things where if I'm doing 100 billion and I'm I'm let you're letting me do 10 billion and I'm letting you do 100 billion.

19. There was a way to be able to make it work, but the numbers that they did and they had this ridiculous I mean I was that was the chart that they had with the with the mathematical equation. I mean, are you kidding me? How about just like it looks like an Einstein? I know. How about the fact that it was just wrong?

20. And that's also what many people have said that here the reciprocal tariffs that they are were completely fabricated, meaning that they are simply incorrect calculations and so on that they are also unfair calculations. He actually assumed that there would be a fair calculation here, meaning the tariffs that the USA imposes on other nations or that another nation imposes on the USA, the USA would then also impose on the other nation.

21. But then it turned into a very very complicated formula with trade deficits and surpluses and whatever. And yes, he simply says he doesn't like it even though he is actually a Donald Trump fan. And that is definitely debate criticism. But it goes even further. Why he says here there might be an action coming.

22. Listen in like an Einstein. I know. How about the fact that it was just wrong and what bothered me was that they really did over and over again the president said listen it's going to be reciprocal. So you do it, we do it you. And that was going to be so good. And I really believed in it and I feel like a sucker tonight because I am not a free trader and I do not believe in free trade and I was just as tough if not tougher than his people.

23. But they screwed it up and they really made they did it a totally ill-advised way and I was very let down as someone who really truly believes the free trade is awful for the American working person. This is what they came up with. Jeez, come on. Have some gumption. Have some math. They assured us over and over again, Erin, that they were going to do the thing that would make it so that the tariffs would come down and the countries would would that were bad actors would change their their ways.

24. And then so then Israel decides to get rid of tariff and they tariff them anyway. Vietnam decides to cut their tariff and they still got the highest tariff. It was it it was such a shame because they missed the opportunity and now they have to pay the price. And it's funny too because none of this stock market none of this had to happen.

25. And I feel bad because a lot of people lose money when this happens. I hope people just be calm and be constructive. But the way that they handled it was so bush league that I was surprised. He is not for free trade and actually doesn't think free trade is good. And yet he criticizes what Donald Trump is doing.

26. I mean, I'm in the free trade camp here. I don't think all these pillars are good anyway. So even if it's somehow a fair tariff rate or something, but someone will always, I would say, complain, you can't make something like this 100% fair anyway. It's best to just learn via zero. So, no taxes, no tariffs or anything like that.

27. That's always the best. But now comes his bold statement that nothing would have happened in all the stock markets if Donald Trump hadn't escalated things like that. And if Donald Trump had just left things well enough alone, that means he's definitely blaming the entire stock market crash on Donald Trump.

28. And that's why he also assumes that if nothing changes now, then things will really crash here on Monday. But now Elon Musk has a very, very good idea or a very, very good take on how the whole situation can be deescalated. And I can only agree with that. Let's take a look at what Elon Musk has to say about it.

29. I hope I hope that the United States and Europe uh can establish a very close partnership. Uh we obviously are there's an alliance already, but I'm hopeful that there can be a very close relationship with America and Europe. Um and uh I'm hopeful for example with the tariffs that that uh at the end of the day it I hope it is agreed that both Europe and the United States should move ideally in my view to a zero tariff situation effectively creating a free trade zone between Europe and North America.

30. Um and uh that that would be my that's what I hope I hope occurs. Um and also uh more more freedom of people to move between Europe and North America if if they wish if they wish to work in Europe or wish to work in America they should be allowed to do so in my view. Um so that that has certainly been my advice to the president.

31. So if you ask me this is a very very reasonable statement. He says he hopes there will be free trade here, that tariffs will be completely eliminated, that there will be a 0% tariff policy, not only a 0% tariff policy, but also that people can travel freely, that they can go back and forth that they can work in Europe, that they can work in the USA.

32. I mean, that would be the best case of all. It somehow doesn't make sense that we have any map and then someone draws a line through it, marks on a map. Okay, here's the border and up to this point, the rules apply. On the other side, the rules apply there. We must always remember that we are all one.

33. We are all one human family. There is no such thing as separation. That's only in our minds. And that's why we argue because we think we are separate. But no, that's not true. We are one human family. And that's what people should realize again. Then there wouldn't be so much conflict. Then we could also accept each other more because then there are those who believe in one god and others who believe in another god and then they bash each other's heads in instead of just accepting that there are different people, different beliefs and we are simply open to each other and also accept when other people are different and then we can just live together here.

34. I mean, this goes even further like what Elon Musk says, but that would be the option. And the crazy thing is that not only Europe benefits from it, but the USA also benefits from it because Donald Trump thinks that by raising tariffs really high, he benefits greatly from it. And other countries, they don't benefit as much from it.

35. But if we had a zero tariff policy here, then we would have the win-win situation for everyone. Then Europeans would be better off than Americans would be better off. If the big crash actually happens here on Monday, then I would definitely recommend you sign up at 21 Bitcoin. I'll put a link below for you.

36. Here you can use the code to get up to 20% off the fees when buying Bitcoin. I don't think the big crash will happen, but some people actually expect, so you can definitely prepare for it. I mean, a lot of people look forward to crashes. It's always just a matter of perspective. Some people are pissed off, but people who want to buy more are of course happy about crashes.

37. That's why you can always take advantage of such situations. So folks, see you then. Keys out.