저자: JuniorTrader · 외국인
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엔비디아 공매도 잔고 급증(36~37%)으로 숏 스퀴즈 가능성을 주장하며 130 돌파 시 급등 예상. AMD·SMCI·Broadcom·Micron도 기술적으로 상승 구조 유지로 판단. 개인 도구·지표 기반 차트 해석 중심이며 투자 권유가 아님을 밝힘.
다듬은 글
AMD smci arm.com and Micron well also I want to point you to my junior Trader dividend investing Channel if you are interested in following along this public facing portfolio that I have been building how my profits are looking like all those updates I share over here I have my Nvidia position here Amazon position here Tesla's Financial ETFs Health ETFs pick any utilities energy ETFs everything all information is over here check it out if you want to follow along all right please subscribe here as well and ll right now also none of this is any Financial advice it's only for education purposes every tool every video every content of mine is only for education purposes please do your own thing I'm just sharing my opinion and that's pretty much it all right now Nvidia the thing that I want to talk about is Will will we blow up short sellers again right why so because if I take you to the short volume data now this is something I touched base on in the morning as well and what I have been seeing is that from last two days like this is the first on Nvidia never have I ever seen before such high short volume person interest on Nvidia 36 and 37% but and also as I talked about over the weekend as well even short sellers coming in at high 28% here I told you they are making a mistake here right we because the structure was just not supporting any downside and I told you they might get end up squeezing up right we got the squeeze they are doubling down though 36% then 37% the following day so are they very smart that they would really break and videas back over here and will bring it much more lower or are we going to as Bulls are we going to end up squeezing them out and above of this 130 why am I saying as a bull because we are in the bullish structure because technically things are in my opinion and technically what I'm seeing is not in their benefit of the short sellers yes they came in doubling down 37 as well that's also the highest I have ever seen on Nvidia but the follow through is not coming right and as we go above this 130 it's going to be an exponential squeeze in my opinion because now now it's just piled up so much right like huge quantity so let's see what happens and I'll be providing you levels to watch for that and um so yeah let's let's let's do that now as you know we are still overall in the bullish structure nothing has changed on Nvidia and that's just my another tool that shows you the structure in the color coding way now we are we stayed about 127 good strong close the way I still think that we're going to end up blowing up these short sellers right I think 130 and above we going to go and these short sellers will end up covering in my opinion and that's going to add exponential Fu and also even let's say for some reason we stay below 1030 today's seta will data will come in the evening if you have my tool you can plug and play and see what things are looking like as for today's short data but uh if anytime let's say tomorrow if you lose one 127 until 12239 cents in my opinion is just a pullback we still have good support at 50 days moving average and 118 overall still and I don't think that before earnings we would break 1180 and I don't think this is the move short sellers will be happy with just uh5 $6 move when they're piling up in such a high quantity 36 37 they they would be only happy if they get like a huge massive move like $40 $50 from here right um they they're not going to be happy with this5 $6 move so there's just so much bullish support still sitting in my opinion for NVIDIA that I think these short sellers will end up you know biting their teeth here and uh they might end up getting squeezed just my opinion as for how things to me are looking like technically you don't have to agree with me but that Al well yes do whatever you do uh it's up to you what I'm saying is that it all comes down to to the levels but even if we break some nearby levels eventually there's still lot of support sitting in my opinion right now if we lose those levels then yes but to have that happen right now well I'm not seeing that in the structure here if I will see that I'll talk about it but right now I'm not seeing that in the price action of those breakages let's go to the hourly interval so and there's a good point that can be made oh hey can we get ahead of everyone else well but for that also you have to see the price setion confirmation that's what my whole point is that the price section is just not confirming that for example okay let's go back to the Daily interval and what I want to do is uh turn on this my um indicator again and let's also turn on the short volume person dat here so when we were retesting this Supply Zone 29 short volume person on a pullback candle and then for subsequent days we didn't see a retest back up here and eventually we turned red in the structure that's when you know this is acting as a strong Supply zone right in this particular case we are in an uptrend already and right now we just recently got above 50 days recently got above 20 days so they will we even don't have a second test of 20 days moving average right now over here we were crawling our way into the weakness already so you get my point right like this is 36 and 37 you are seeing as if it's coming over here here which was 22 back then so this just not structural you know setup that I'm seeing that benefits these short sellers at 36 and 37 and that's what my point is here all right so let's me turn back off the short volume data and let's clean up the chart let's go back to the hourly interval now so what are the levels to watch for intraday and for tomorrow and how price action is looking like so price action is um still looking strong today was overall still an upside day you can see we still remain overall green for the day uh pullbacks eventually were bought back up today so today was a good day for the Bulls overall in the structure still and for tomorrow as long as we continue to stay above 20 and 50 hours moving average also about 127 Nvidia just is a Long play below 127 only I would consider intraday cool off but as I showed you on daily interval we still have good structural support around 122 50 days moving average somewhere here so yeah we we still have good support on Nvidia until earnings I think Nvidia will remain strong and we'll see what happens after earnings but earnings are end of the August which is 28th of August next week just a week away from now I think until then Nvidia will remain strong just my opinion though all right so that's Nvidia let's take a look at AMD AMD is still strong that's what I have been saying yesterday sell off is not changing the structure we are still today we are we closed strong as well above 200 days moving average and right now this is fullon bullish I don't even have to go much inail on this we are just playing bullish on hourly interval yeah um as long as we about 50 hours moving average it's just an upside play you can yeah like see clearly it's still just holding strong let's also pop on my tool structural tool and you can see today's structure was already turned bullish in the pre-market and then through the day it was just a follow through and through the pullback structure stayed just bullish here so um the candles and everything yeah so all in all still a strong day on AMD and in my opinion even today oh sorry tomorrow it may remain strong as long as we don't start to lose 156 and 37 cents but I would put it on 50 hours moving average also eventually so still strong AMD right smca let's go back to the Daily interval first so as I was saying that that this is just a pullback in my opinion and until this as long as we have a 595 no problem you can see pullbacks are just getting bought back up and in my opinion I think the next big move is about to happen to the upside and that could be 662 or 200 days moving average is very simple um let's take a look at that pullback got bought back up structure Still Remains technically bullish and um yeah we are just getting bought back up at that underneath of 20 days moving average support 26 and 31 cents above structure is still well it's in an uptrend and we can continue higher in my opinion on hourly interval um the way it closed actually so it was looking weaker in the morning I get it I that's what I talked about as let's turn on my structure so here's the thing so structure technically is still in the sideways it's trying to stabilize in the cloud which it's doing a good job of this is still a weakness this is still technically a rebound only in the structure but we in my opinion we are not far away from turning that structure this structure again to intraday also bullish and I think that will be just right out of this Cloud now things will start to turn green in my opinion we'll see but yeah it's I think this rebound is strong enough in my opinion that we are intraday about to turn bullish already and on The Daily interval as I showed you structure remained bullish already right so you can use multiple time frame confidence which you should you have to there's a layout you can use you can divide your chart into two layouts three layouts or whatever and have daily interval hourly interval five minutes interval three charts at least while trading to have a understanding of from daily interval how things are looking like then going down to the hourly interval in five minutes and then accordingly make your decisions on the five minutes if you're doing intraday trading right so you still have to use those uh principles of trading all right so yeah today was just a pullback candle and just just getting bought back up eventually on our as well still strong all right let's go to broadcom so broadcom is still strong no problem there and we are still in this just a bullish structure today also just getting bought back up that's pretty much it it's still bullish guys I'm not seeing any uh weakness here right now 161 and2 cents is just still a support if we break below it maybe some structal weakness would come but then the next level it's not going to change overall sentiment though we still have 20 days moving average support coming it's bullish this is this was the area where we really turned around the things right around that area somewhere right let's change my structure so okay overall confirmation came right around here uh and then this was pretty much the rebound so I gave you an advance as well some areas of the bullish play but that was the first leg up right and then there was like a strong good confirmation to the upside there all right so uh that's that let's now um and actually I let me turn this off so now let's go to the um Micron so Micron good stabilization technically still remaining in the uptrend and the we has closed today I think it will continue higher in my opinion and level by level is the target what we are watching so yeah Micron is looking strong as well all right o uh ll right guys I'll see you in my next videos take care bye
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