저자: 미상 · 외국인
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결론: 비트코인은 5만달러 저항 돌파 여부를 두고 공방 중이며 진행자는 이번 달 강세 가능성을 긍정적으로 본다. 제이미 다이먼(JP모건 CEO)의 비트코인 비판: 다이먼은 비트코인에 본질적 가치가 없고 규제가 강화되며 중국처럼 불법화될 수 있다고 주장했다. 진행자는 이를 과거 이미지(마약·인신매매·탈세 용도)에 기댄 발언으로 보고 'FUD'라 평가했다. 비트코인 기술적 흐름: 10월 4일 비트코인이 5만달러 근처까지 반등했고 공포탐욕지수는 23(1주 전)에서 54로 중립권으로 올라왔다. 4만8700달러가 주요 저항이며 5만달러 일일 종가 유지가 핵심 지지·저항 기준으로 제시됐다. 저점은 4만6963달러였다. 비트코인 상승 요인 4가지: ①인플레이션 헤지(뉴욕연은 1년 기대인플레 5.2%) ②기관 자금 유입(유럽·캐나다 ETF가 4주간 3000BTC 이상 매집) ③계절성(10~12월 강세 경향) ④SEC 선물 ETF 승인 기대(캐나다 현물형 ETF 승인, SEC 20여개 신청 검토). 진행자는 이 요인들이 10~12월 상승을 뒷받침할 수 있다고 봤다. XRP 소송: 판사가 XRP 보유자의 피고 참여는 불허하고 아미쿠스(법정 조언자) 지위만 인정했다. 진행자는 XRP에 부정적이며 이 사안을 지켜보자는 입장이다. 알트코인 차트: 이더리움은 3300달러 돌파 후 3600달러·4000달러가 다음 저항, 카르다노는 삼각수렴 구간, 라이트코인 167달러 지지·저항 공방, 도지코인 0.23달러 부근, 솔라나 168달러 부근, 스텔라 0.31달러로 언급됐다. 채굴주는 HIVE·비트팜스 등이 언급됐으나 방향성 뚜렷하지 않음. 진행자 전망: 비트코인이 5만달러 위에서 종가를 형성하면 지지로 전환되어 강세가 이어질 수 있으며 10월은 긍정적 달로 본다.
다듬은 글
hey guys welcome back hope you're having a great day so today's tuesday and we got some new stories we got a little bit of flood coming from jimmy diamond as always he's the ceo of uh what is that bank jpmorgan chase so let's get into the news stories here and then we'll look at the charts at the end uh obviously also bitcoin has went over 50 000 in it today which is good news and we'll look into that as well so jamie dimon says bitcoin is a little a bit of false gold here's what the miser had to say uh jimmy diamond jp morgan chase chairman and ceo remains a skeptic of bitcoin the largest cryptocurrency by market value here's what he says it's got no intrinsic value and regulators are going to regulate the hell out of it i'm sure they're going to regulate it but not the hell out of it damon said bitcoin will be around long term but i've always believed it will be made illegal some place like china made it illegal so i think it's a little bit of a false goal china is a totally different subject all on its own they do what they want to protect whatever their interests are then also said bitcoin should be regulated by the government they have to he told uh vendee high you can regulate everything a bank does in terms of moving money and now regulate what you would call money like cryptocurrencies you can call it a security or an asset or something like that but if people are using it for tax avoidance and sex trafficking and ransomware it's going to be regulated whether you like it or not diamond said so he's still you know going with that old adage where bitcoin is used for drugs and sex trafficking and tax avoidance and it's come a long way from those days when yes we had some of that problem there but obviously as adoption happens that becomes a very very very small percentage of what goes on in the market so i just wanted to point that out to you guys uh obviously jamie dimon has been no friend of uh cryptocurrency over the past couple years you know uh even went on to say um that he would fire anybody that invested in cryptocurrencies while working at his bank so but it could be just that he's trying to get a better price on it he's trying to drive it down um next story is bitcoin price tips are being bought up strongly but a 50 000 close remains key we touch 50 000 a day above 50 000 we're down a little bit we'll look at the chart here in a minute so analysts identify the key levels be uh btc needs to hold in order to see continuation about 50 000.
so bulls flex their muscle on october 4th and proof of this came as bitcoin's btc price rallied within 500 of 50 000 mark this move toward the key psychological resistance helps to pull the crypto fear and gear index out of the fear zone and into the neutral state on october 4th so that was yesterday so here's the charter for in green index we're at 54 we were like 23 um just a week ago or so uh last week we were at 26.
um so data from clinton telegraph markets pro and trading view shows that after an early morning attack by bears which pushed btc to a low of 46 963 bozo arrived with reinforcements and lifted the price back above 49 200 support resistance zone where they now battle for control so they're still battling obviously we still poked over 50 000 but we've come back down from it uh if we look at it here right now we're at yeah we're battling with it right now at 49 000.
um let me see what else here the 48 thousand 700 is a major resistance level traders showed an eagerness to buy up the most uh recent dip in btc price according to crypto nls incident student anonymous uh twitter wrecked capital who posted the following chart showing that btc recent dip was bought up strongly so you can see here was bought up pretty strongly at 48 000 it obviously went up daniels was quick to point out that the price is still wrestling with this red resistance area at 48 700 and needs to see it flipped to support if the bulls hope to push the price higher rex apple said this is the area that needs to flip to support for a revisit of fifty thousand plus here's uh zero hedge tweeted uh we have a clear support resistance zones i feel we need to see a close also above 50 000 k if we want to see all-time highs october is normally a great month for bitcoin to climb higher we have the right environment and technicals to reach all-time high this month in his opinion so what to keep an eye out and here are four factors that are moving the price up so four factors helping bitcoin to 50k as stock market declines so certain month price rallies are driven primarily by uncheckable fund flows one fund manager says so let's take a look at the data here bitcoin has recently decoupled from the weak stock markets reviving speculation that cryptocurrency may be uh may beginning to draw demand as a haven or inflation hedge asset since september 29th the largest cryptocurrency by market value has risen 20 to trade near 49 300 while the s p 500 wall street benchmark equity index has dropped by 2.6 percent to 4 300.
bitcoin's positive price action is in stark contrast to previous price corrections of this year which can coincided with the with an s p 500 decline of two percent or more industry experts said bitcoin's latest resistance stems from cryptocurrency store value appeal continued institutional inflows in the crypto market speculation that the us will soon approve future based between etf traded funds so let's look at the each factor so inflation hedge obviously inflation is here to stay and every household is starting to see price skyrocket for goods and services nationwide they recently released new york federal reserve service showed year ahead inflation expectations increased for the 10th straight month to 5.2 percent in august inflation expectations are also rising across the euro zone so we're seeing this that inflation is not transitory like they were saying in the beginning um we have a lot of stuff going on in the market that's you know creating this and a lot of it is just uh shipping delays and all that stuff that's going on there oh what else do we have here institution inflow so institutions and venture capital firms are pouring money into the crypto ecosystem having shown no signs of relenting during the recent bearish price trends a few funds we've spoken to have uh very strong new capital and flows this quarter takes the data from by tree asset management shows european and canadian etfs and the u.s and canadian closed-ended funds have accumulated over 3 000 bitcoins in the past four weeks so that is huge and according to jeff dorman chief investment officer at arc funds bitcoin and the broader crypto markets uh beginning of the month rallies are primarily driven by untraceable funds flows venture capital investments head funds head funds and direct purchases of digital assets via fidelity coinbase and others so and then you also have seasonality as possibly another one that's driving it so some investors could be buying the cryptocurrency and expectations that the final three months of the year will bring a more substantial rally as they have often done in the past so we've talked about this yesterday a little bit as far as october and november being far better months for uh price appreciation in bitcoin um so we'll have to see it obviously september has been pretty much a bad month for it so seasonality could be a self-fulfilling prophecy to some extent bk coins uh uh bettencourt said however particularly recording crypto the recent use flow is definitely the primary driver over histor over historical charts and then we have etf speculation obviously a new found optimism that the u.s securities and exchange commission will soon approve futures bctf also seems to be driving the market higher can canada of canada officially approved a crypto etf that includes both bitcoin and ether and usscc chair gary gensler showed support for futures bitcoin etf recently and has certainly been digested by investors as bullish sign it is uh bettencourt said the sec is re reviewing over 20 applications for etfs in future futures etf products linked to bitcoin and ethereum so those are possibly the four things that are moving along with the three things that we talked about yesterday which one of them was the seasonality part of it here so i think it's all good news um stuff from jamie dimon is just fud as always you know i think he's just being a little a little grumpy about it maybe not haven't seen the light of day and being able to invest in it earlier on and then finally we have a story here on xrp holders so judge rejects xrp hollers uh bid to join sec against ripple case as defendants so on monday u.s district judge and and eliza torres ruled that individuals holding the company's xrp token cannot act in ripples on going lawsuit as defendants the determination comes after a number of xrp token holders aimed to file friends of court briefs which would allow them to join the case as defendants and support republicans claims that the token does not violate securities law so obviously this is still ongoing judge taurus asserted that allowing xrp hodlers to join the suit would compel the sec to take an enforcement action against them she added that it would also delay the case which ripple and token hold holders have urged for a quick resolution to however the judge determined that token holders can participate as amicus curie a party that is not involved in litigation but is allowed by the court to advise or provide information to our side the court concluded that amiki status strikes a proper balance between permitting movement movements to assert their interest in this case and allowing the parties to remain in control of litigation so it's still ongoing i don't know why people would want to go in and be as defendants in the case with xrp i mean especially since they the sec could go against them as well i think they should just let this play out i don't know what's going to happen with it i'm not a big fan of xrp i've said this before but we'll just have to see what happens with it so that's all i got for you guys as far as news goes now we'll go into the topics at hand here obviously let me know what you guys think about jamie dimon i think i mean jamie dumas just being jimmy diamond uh he's always um you know pooping on bitcoin ethereum and all that so i think he's just uh grumpy oh man all right let's get into uh the charts here so bitcoin is obviously up uh nine hundred 494 five dollars right now it did go above the fifty thousand mark which was our resistance here prior and it is battling for that right now so if it closes above that it'll become our supports and then our next resistance line will be at around fifty two thousand seven fifty 750 3000 looks like that's where our resistance is right here uh volume is low right now it's obviously only been training for about 12 hours or so i'm still have to keep an eye on it if theorem is at 34 346 and it is above our resistance here at 3300 so now becomes our supports and our next resistance is probably going to be at like 3600 followed by going up to almost 4 000 then so to keep an eye on it obviously it's above the 50 day 20-day moving average in the 200-day moving averages cardano is stuck in this range here right now we are we're almost building a triangle here uh wedge almost so let's see if we can follow this down a little bit and then we have this here going like so so i think the next couple days we're going to possibly break out of this triangle and get back up to close to three dollars i think based on this it's obviously right now just below the 20-day moving average and it is battling with the 50-day as well since those have kind of joined almost together here uh hedera hedera coin continues to kind of go up in the last couple days it's gone up one two three four five six seven so the past week it has been in the green it is obviously the candlesticks are getting smaller and smaller i think we're either going to have a little correction here come back down to the 20-day moving average and then we may move back up we'll have to keep an eye on it as well litecoin is still battling with our support resistance at 167.
it is above it right now at 172. uh we'd like to see obviously close above it and go up higher from there it is a it is right now holding at close to the uh 200 day moving average with the 100 day moving average and dogecoin is at 23 cents it's pumping nicely it is at the what is that that is the 50-day moving average so it's at the 50-day moving average right now and it is holding at 23.
we had a nice wick up here to 20 almost 25 cents um we'll have to just keep an eye on this one um see how things correct over time see if we can get this better oh there we go so here's a good chart we're obviously way off from our highs but we do have some room to run so keep an eye out so lana is also up for the day was down yesterday it's at 168 dollars is above the 20 day 50 day and the 200 moving averages and it is looking like it's gonna do another run up possibly so i have to keep an eye on that one as well stellar's at 31 cents um and then let's take a look at the mining stocks really quick here so hive pre-market is at zero uh bit farms is down three cents hot i would expect to be that's not doing anything either it's up well hud was up uh 34 cents yesterday to 961 it is pre-marketed zero did a video on hut mining report for september that should be out before this one is out this video and you guys can take a look at that mara is up 75 cents pre-market and riot is up 35 cents free market all right guys that's all i got for you um not a bad day obviously bitcoin being up over 50 000 today is a good sign i think as long as we can close above it we'll be in really good shape and starting out to be a really good month so far for october so let me know what you think of the stories obviously jimmy diamond that's just damien diamond and then do you think the four factors are going to obviously increase the price going forward for the next quarter you know through october november and december and just let me know what your thoughts are i'll see you guys in the next one that's all i have have a great day until then bye
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