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결론: 전반적으로 약세 시장을 보며 엔비디아·AMD·테슬라·마이크론 등 고베타 성장주는 하락 가능성을 경계하고 풋/숏 포지션을 강조함. [엔비디아] 일봉에서 $197~195 구간 갭필·200일선 부근 지지 확인을 주시하며, 이 구간이 무너지면 $198대 하락을 예상. 주간봉은 7500 되돌림 하회, 다음 주 종가가 관건. 시장 하락 시 $187~195 가능성. 전반적으로 조심(스탑 설정) 권고. [AMD] 주간 약세 셋업으로 $9.43 재테스트 후 $8.65, $8.26 지지 주시. 장기적으로 $6.52 혹은 $7달러대 도달 가능성 언급. 일봉상 이동평균선 아래 하락 패턴 지속. [테슬라] 헤드앤숄더 패턴이 완성되어 목표치 도달했다고 평가. 주간봉에서 추세선과 상단 저항을 넘지 못해 하락 전개 가능성 제시, $200·$180 방향 언급. 단기적으로는 약간의 횡보 후 하락 가능성을 예상하며 숏 관점 유지. [마이크론] 일봉 고점 피벗 이후 횡보 중, 단기 되돌림 가능성 및 추가 하락 전 반등 가능성 언급. 피보나치 기준 약 $40 부근 목표를 제시하고, 주간 20일선 이탈 시 $46~43, $44, $40대 하락 및 이중바닥 재테스트 가능성 언급. 시장 하락 시 $37~40 가능. [시장 전반] S&P·나스닥·러셀 등 지수 풋 포지션 보유 언급, 최근 단기 매매로 큰 수익 실현. 뉴스보다 하락 필요 국면이라는 시각. 실적 발표 전 변동성 우려. [출연자 및 리스크] 개인 트레이더 채널로, 과거 콜/풋 매매 성과를 강조. 본인 설명상 손절 기준 및 자금관리 중요성 강조. 자막 기준 특정 종목 목표가는 대부분 기술적 분석 기반이며 기간은 주간·월간 단위로 제시됨.
다듬은 글
hello traders Johnny stock Bucky lash nd don't forget to tell him stock bookie sent you alright daily chart Nvidia seven dollars and thirteen cents read today three point two two percent down on the day the 16 million sixteen point five volume was okay okay it wasn't tear I mean I'd expect more like on this guy but then when this guy came in on this day you expect a little more volume but the one things we're watching now though is that we're closing below these key pivot areas here we got below it this time they jacked it up on us came right back in two candles later engulf this green candle closing and pretty much the lows of the day okay coming from this high pivot going down sideways we always talked about this pattern one two three four five six seven days sideways so you got some pretty good consolidation I'd like to see a little bit more but if this thing starts to fall that's not bad consolidation a couple more days I would like it more to get some real downward pressure but if this area cracks when we get some follow through on Monday Tuesday then we're definitely coming down to the 198 area this area hasn't hit the 200 ma in a long time we got to see what the markets are doing and let me throw me push this down you got a gap fill right here too I don't know why that's up there and then you also have a gap fill down there too at 193 so he got to yeah Phil's pretty darn close to each other so we're gonna have to really keep an eye on this area right in here around the 197 195 and see if we could get down there if this is coming straight down off this pattern so that's what we're watching for bowls you got to do the same thing the Bears dipped it in reverse gotta get above this trendline get above the moving averages and then we'll be on our merry way but if we first get you know maybe up to 232 to three then we start basing sideways that could be a better chance of this thing going higher remember you're coming off the high you're consolidating at that low channel that's not healthy for the stock but you know on fantasy land markets you know whatever anything's healthy for stocks it they just go up weekly chart we did close below that pivot we were looking at that we closed below the 7500 retrace as well let's see what the new weekly close next Friday will give us if the market sell we are definitely going into this area if they dump then we're gonna be at the 187 95 this is a high-flyer guys I mean this is just flat-out ridiculous it goes from you know 34 dollars in 2016 and to 50 I mean this is like the dot-com so anyways they're high flyers period we talked about the 20 a man the weekly you hit it then you talk about the 50 MA and the end of the day and the weekly I've been telling everybody wherever the 200 ma is that's gonna be target if this thing starts to fall right now it's at 70 dollars and 63 cents not that it's gonna get down there but I've seen I've seen stocks worse than this guys like like sky works that was one it went up up up up up and then they slapped it in the face but it sky works they do it's tough for Apple all right so this one NVIDIA I've been telling everyone put your stops in there especially if you're long don't turn a great train into a turd and market sell this one's going to 200 then 187 guys Marcus a buoyant like I said you got to get above at least 241 and then attack the all-time highs but yeah that's some selling pressure right there guys so let's see what happens next week see if we get some follow-through and then we'll take a look at Nvidia but we did buy some calls on that one that was great we got the heck out and done and we just bought puts guys we bought we got puts in the spy the IWM and the queues we bought them yesterday sold them today all for a hundred percent gains well maybe 95 the IWM was like a hundred and twenty percent 110 I honestly don't look guys I know I'm on much money I make I dumped I move on to the next trade I don't care as long as I'm making the same amount fifty percent 60 percent done out we had we had calls for about five days sold all those yesterday flipped it and went and when bought puts on the index isn't man Thank You Trump but you know we're do it's not even about the news anymore it's about we're due for selling so keep keep an eye on these markets all right so AMD guys coming off this high pivot same thing even on the weekly bearish setup Bo going down we retested lows at 10 bucks we actually went almost to 9 we retested the 943 we talking about that level and then the levels around 8 65 and 8 26 the slow pivot this is the weekly chart ultimately I still think we're getting to 652 or in the 7s not too far away on this one guys we've been saying that since this pattern on the daily we talked about the bearish pattern underneath moving averages look down sideways we talked this is a bearish go go back to 3:19 video 318 video here's a bearish pattern let's see if this thing plays out below the Amaze market cell then it really just starts going you get the bounce all the Bulls rejoice they get back in and chase they're gonna shake them out again this is where they take all the Bulls money all the bulls money they made in the last seven years they're gonna take it all in six months people people don't know money management all in oh my gosh here it goes I'm going all-in and then it clicks oh yeah here we go all you Bears are getting squeezed and also I'm doin XE know we're at the lows and they're retesting the eight dollar level so if you were along in this one just be very careful we are at the low end of the range but we did crack this area at this pivot here and we're back below it again so be careful and anything in these markets especially if your long weekly chart on this one is it's pretty much the same thing guys you got to get back above the moving averages get back above this trendline get back above the fifth EMA and make a run for it you got to have some volume we have a little bit of a tail but since this thing closed below these lows here on the weekly that's telling me lower prices guys be careful if this thing starts to go sideways for the next five six seven weeks here's your target wherever the 200ma is let's go back to the daily real quick yeah daily cash and you're consolidating in this lower end range man you're back below these pivots that that that's some technical damage guys and then slapping through that area again I mean stopped it here brought around stopped it there and then it even went through the 943 area remember this thing keeps knocking on the door eventually smashes the door down and goes one way watch for that 20 and the 50 ma if it gets back above here's your trendline and needs to recapture it gets above the trend line then we'll talk it's above their next big area resistance of course is that trendline these double top seven 5o gap-fill blah blah blah same old stuff different chart different day as well so yeah so if it consolidates down in here that's what we're gonna take a look at let's see what it gives us next week especially the Friday close this weekly close was kind of ugly we get another close like that below this low of 9 bucks like down in here even uglier we will be test in the seven dollar area mark my words guys Tesla Tesla guys we call we've been talking about this head and shoulder for a long time finally played out laid out two perfectly and he even gave us a even even brought us to the next level that I've been talking with for months it gets in it at 2:45 let everyone laugh look you're an idiot where do we go you know what yeah we're short and calls here shortened calls here shortened calls there we went long calls here ah oui oui oui I sold early again I'm not a pig I just take my money and I run I like to stay consistent if I get some home runs great but as long as I stay consistent here at stock bookie calm that's all man and that's all that matters I'm looking looking for that one big winner I'm looking for the 50 50 % winners you get 50 50 % winners and options even with even like shorting calls you you've got my gosh you do to $3,000 positions and you get 50% on 50 positions you're racking up the profits guys do you have five six seven losers it doesn't matter anymore you just had 50 winners guys so yeah we took calls here we shorted calls here shorted calls there made money on this one we we were we were like it's been it's been a great last couple weeks guys it's pretty amazing when you hit some of these technical analysis you know looking at level I mean look at this guy's I've been talking it go back to my videos a month ago that's the level I've been time is it technical trainer I have to step up and look what I got my gosh went to our target on her head and shoulder look at the head and you when you see a head and shoulder on all time frames that's a good head and shoulder there's there's other things I look at too that was a textbook now not now it really wasn't sorry but but this is this is exactly what you want to see okay it's it's to my members I'll explain this one how about that so yeah I mean this is right where you by looking went right there you couldn't oh my gosh and then boom boom boom so I mean we bled a little bit of to Dale's like is this thing gonna get going in and we tried they dropped it it was like ah went up we dumped it I was like I'm not sitting in this thing and if this thing comes right back down no way I think we were up 50% or 60% we pulled it these actually went up like 300% oh well I got my fifty it's a story of my life guys I getting these great trades they go but for me you know I take decent size positions and I'm not giving up gains you know I get a couple losers here and there guess what this just made up for that I had a Facebook trade though guys 150 percent I had three those puts we put on for all them around a hundred the IWM was a little bit more 100 percent one day before we bought yesterday so but anyways this one's right back in the resistance here right where the breakdown is the 305 79 that's like a brick wall guys so watch for a consolidation sideways on this next step you got to get above all this but I think what's gonna happen now you're just gonna you're just gonna do nothing and then probably start to fade going into earnings as people aren't really sure what's going on with all the bad news that was coming right here so I would expect a little fade job here but what to see what happens going into earnings I think earnings gosh probably four weeks on this one or so I'm not really sure I may have to start looking at what's coming up over the weekend so now what we're looking for especially if you're bullish just sideways consolidation for the next pop it goes into earnings right about in this area my guess is as good as everyone else is no idea that pops so we will be going short if it drops then we're gonna look for support areas for the next pop so again they look at a head and shoulder pattern played out perfectly perfectly guys so there's some traders out there and then I this was the worst call I ever had I mean really alright let's look at the weekly excuse me same thing you see it on there look at that so once we couldn't get above that trendline couldn't get above that trendline came right back in head and shoulder from a channel pattern oh my gosh and down sideways that's a bearish pattern inside bar inside a head and shoulder pattern and then another nother key trend line at boom boom couldn't get through couldn't get through when it came back down it was like holy crap this is the you know fifth tenth of this line if this head and shoulder playing oh if I'm just I'm hyped up right now guys look I mean a play go back to my videos you can see exactly what I said and there were some people actually trying to go long here unbelievable it's it just blows my mind why is this things flushing you're holding on to that wow that's that's pretty amazing how you can withstand that that loss so and it's probably no money management probably nothing you know so that's Tesla guys right now let's see what it gives us weekly close we did get back above these pivots here so it's not bad let's see if it chops around remember coming off this high pivot we're down here on the weekly let's see if we click over come here we start consolidating in this lower range we will be setting up for lower prices 200 180 here we come daily chart same thing right back into this we close above that 295 area so it's not terrible overall but my gosh look at that pattern can answer I mean technically that's a that's a good dream this is the only thing I don't like that it came down here and it breached this low but it was a tail candle so I you know I'd rather not have that but it still played out perfectly you couldn't ask for a better head and shoulder um let's go to em you so mu daily charts 79 million volume was okay dollar 38 down so really really didn't have a bloodbath today two point seven seven percent not too bad a little bit down after hours but right to the 600 guys it was consolidating we talked about this coming from a high pivot consolidation that can lead us a lower prices I'd rather see a couple more days a week of consolidation then the fall this is a little bit premature so we could probably get a bounce going up um let's take this fit I want to see what a short-term Fibonacci would be from here so from there wait a second here okay so to 500 odenie I went right to the 3/8 - well that's coming with the new pivot but that's a three and an old 3/8 - pulls it back yeah so this one here guys yeah you know we have a price target right around 40 bucks on this one if it makes it there maybe we'll be out of our short before that time we actually covered a half hour short went up on us a little bit came right back in so we're right back in the money again on the second half we're hoping for about I'll probably maybe a gap fill around 44 or 45 if we get there there's a nice little pivot here - around the 4632 area as well but right now we're gonna back below the MAS which is a good sign for the Bears and you wanted to see just let the single sideways again let the 20ma curl in the price and then BOOM we'll be down 40 bucks maybe lower - is market stumped we could hit to this 3755 we get down there may be a buyer maybe let's go to weekly I'll see if there's any more support on the weekly 3873 I got big support gosh there's a gap fill 40 33 or so I'm probably know a little hotter about 40 50 close enough for government work guys yeah right about there so about yes a 40 bucks yeah it's good support but man look at that weekly chart guys boom and golfing and then it two more in golf this one and it closed below Wow so always the 20ma will be the target that's your first one which is 46 43 it cracks that and telling you gonna go 44 right in here and then next area will be 40 and then I think we could retest the double bottom if the markets are dumping so watch for this one with them you if you were long it should have been out of this a little while back and now it's a fifty dollar stock again when it broke out yeah look good it was exciting market starting to sell I don't care what stock it is guys it's going down so so I'm used to locate on the weekly still above the Mas let's see what it gives us next week on the weekly close daily stanley's a little bit more beat down but you're coming in some big areas where we had a retrace and then the pop so this is gonna be really good support here real good support down here at the 4550 area then of course the 200m a right around forty sixty six and then double bottom here right it let's see 37:55 so right now guys looking weak markets stayed green this will should move up markets keep bleeding this will be a forty dollar stock alright so Bulls you got to get back above the mas get above the 7500 and keep going got a couple gaps to fill up here this pivot high around the 53:49 will be good resistance and there's great resistance right here too at the 50 so if we confirm below that to get down here we might hold this one go sideways and then boom right back down but we'll see this isn't a bad bounce area here but I still like this one a little bit better we still have the six one eight coming down so watch out for this one especially if you're long yet you know again just like the rest of them don't turn a great trade into a turd and then just what got in at 25 and I sold it 27 I still made money he could have sold it 63 markets don't go up forever and this one could retrace again earnings coming up 50/50 shot could just retrace back up to 63 or Maibaum back down and you know 37 50 or whatever that is so and if it really starts rumbling you got a big gap down here 34 and then you got another big gap down here 2795 so got a lot of big areas down there so just just keep an eye on what's going on in the overall market everything's a market trade guys and let's see what happens in these next week's action and you're going into options ax which is really going to be interesting so alright thanks for stopping by guys I really do appreciate it I'm hoping I'm helping some of you guys out there check out my website guys I got a bunch of these trades on their watch from my new video coming out where we took all these compositions and then we shifted them and went and bought puts and just wow flip them went long boom done and flipped them went short done so exciting times here guys it's been great so I'm a little bit wired so again don't forget to subscribe down here in the right-hand corner and guys god bless have a great weekend see you on the charts
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