저자: 미상 · 외국인
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결론: 비트코인은 투기적 버블 양상이며 장기 보유 시 일부 익절을 권하고, 알트코인 중 일부가 더 나은 선택지일 수 있다는 취지의 영상. 비트코인 가격 급등: 코인베이스 등 거래소 성장 언급. 비트코인은 세 차례 급등 후 수직 상승 곡선을 보이며 지속 가능성이 낮다고 평가. 버블 논쟁: 다우지수와 비교 시 비트코인 가격은 비정상적으로 빠르게 상승했으며, 내재가치는 약 1,000달러 수준이라는 주장. 기술주 버블과 유사하다고 봄. 가격 전망: 일부 출처의 14만~15만 달러 전망을 제시하나 출처 신뢰도에 의문을 제기. 세금·규제 리스크: 비트코인 수익에 대한 세금 신고 의무를 강조하고 미신고 시 큰 불이익 가능성 경고. 대형 은행의 비트코인 선물 접근 차단과 일부 은행의 암호화폐 매수 제한도 언급. 보안·본질 평가: 비트코인은 보안 취약성과 범죄 악용 사례가 있어 화폐가 아닌 투기 수단이라는 평가. 대안 제시: 스마트 컨트랙트 기반 알트코인이 장기적으로 더 나을 수 있다고 제안하고, 일부 알트코인은 과대평가되었다고 지적. 출연자 전망: 비트코인은 단기적으로 교정이 필요하며, 장기 보유 시에도 일부 매도를 권고.
다듬은 글
everybody welcome to stock abilities today I'm gonna be talking about the cryptocurrency as well as the US dollar what I hope going on with the futures market and everything and kind of an inflation you're seeing on the cryptocurrency Bitcoin and there's some all coins that are kind of jumping up as well and we're gonna be getting into this here it's a long video so make sure what you like subscribe and get ready to listen in this is a discord channel if you guys want to check it out then talk more about Bitcoin and what I'm discussing here all the channel the link will be in the description below but we're gonna get right into it here bitcoins been growing and growing and growing yeah as coinbase claims here of the a billion dollar plus in digital currency exchange 32 countries supported in 10 million customers served shelling this one here because this is one of the bigger ones this is coinbase in particular if you're not familiar and it's a place to buy and sell digital currency as it says bitcoin theories from litecoin others other ones that you can purchase as well in different various markets we're gonna get into a bitcoin is initially here though so decentralized currency that uses peer-to-peer technology which enables all functions such as currency issuance transaction processing and variation to be very relatively by the network essentially it's a digital currency it's free from as they say government manipulation or interference problem is that there's no central authority to ensure that things run smoothly or to back the value of a bitcoin you essentially minded and minded minded and as the years go by there's gonna be less Tamiya and then it's gonna take a cap if it lasts that long we're gonna go a little more detail here this is the current life of Bitcoin as you can see it was rather bland it's in the early years and then they went up and up and up in 2016-17 it kind of spikes up here almost on a vertical line which is not exactly a good sign you can see here to the Dow Jones it's been close to the value of that and the comparative value doesn't really make sense the Dow Jones took literally years and years to get to this point that a big jump 95 to 2000 and then from there it's been going up but this is a core foundation of the market the Bitcoin is more of a speculation currency at this point rather hyper-inflated you got the SP index apparently ad per surrogate there's more value the intrinsic value of Bitcoin is more like a thousand dollars a little bit further you can go into the definition of what a tech bubble is as they go into detail adhere announced an unsustainable market audience attributed to increased speculation and technology stocks so you're kind of seeing that with Bitcoin and a lot of articles I'll be getting into here in a little bit tech bubble is highlighted by rapid share price growth and high valuations based on standard metrics like price earnings ratio or price and sales there's no-one really buying or selling crypto it's more like a gold silver investment no one's really using it in that sense the bubble theory is that ever rise in the market prices of an asset class and above its true values as you can see from the chart I was showing a little earlier it's pretty much a vertical line up as of the last couple years it's not very sustainable and it's going up and up and out further the based on the cryptocurrency it's kind of a new concept you don't know if it's gonna continue or if it's gonna implode on itself but historically no matter what whether it's tech or whatever it may be it always inevitably implodes on itself we go here and some of these high particles here where it's gonna reach a multi trillion dollar value from the Winklevoss twins if you guys aren't familiar these are the people that said that the Facebook guy stole their idea but they had a very limited view of Facebook and the value of Facebook and all that kind of stuff and now they're claiming they're these geniuses because they put a lot of money in it sploded on that and they're basically the first celebrity billionaires as you could say the ultimate answer is that when you have the Winklevoss twins and you have a seeking alpha as some of the two biggest sources of those 'no kidding to get into bitcoin it's not very promising for its future we're projecting here 140,000 150,000 then might be a little bit more realistic and before it includes and then as you can see here the end date of when mining becomes the profitable determines the maximum value of Bitcoin while the mining is gone and it's just people trading back and forth there's no real incentive to continue mining the value and the costs for the tech and everything you're still using using US dollars and you're still transferring that money a little bit further here funny enough the same source here I'm shaking out when and if us move separately to spend digital currency the ensuing panic and lack of liquidity will cause to chill currency so lose most of their value and this is from the same exact people that were just typing it earlier they change back and forth all the time with their opinions so having seeking alpha as one of the main sources for the hype among variety of other questionable sources makes Bitcoin investment a little bit iffy if you're holding from a very low value I could see the reason why you'd want to hold but it's still speculative nonetheless a little bit further here you get gold yes silver you got some platinum you got plenty of other mispronouncing that the short answer is a although these are charts dating back in 1986 gold silver platinum and all these have been in trading for years and years and years just like spices and all of these things they've been around forever Bitcoin and cryptocurrency he's been around five ten years at this point and for most of the time other than the last couple years it didn't really do much going a little bit further here you have to keep in mind that whether we want to believe that Bitcoin is truly not really government backed or anything like that you still gotta pay taxes on a deed Bitcoin the other transactions that you make then what have you it's a very highly text Mada T as you can say so there is taxes associated and ignorance of these taxes will not end well for you as this particular part of what puts ignore the IRS at your own peril only a hundred eight hundred two people reported Bitcoin profits to the IRS in 2015 all these fees are going to come back to you and but you have leaves so even if you have one a Bitcoin of value as you say and you're not really paying the taxes on it it's going to end up eating up most of that profit that you're gonna receive overall so I wouldn't be ignoring this they will catch up to you and if cryptocurrency and Bitcoin and all the Mars really is transparent as they say I'd be a very very big worried bit worried rather than haha in regards to this scenario a little bit further this is kind of a little bit of an aggressive article but as they refer to a Bitcoin is like something else the fallacy is so prevalent frankly because Bitcoin really isn't much like anything else there is similarities between bitcoins a US dollar or gold or even torch but the difference is far away the similarities foss comparison between dissimilar things an example of the boss ontology the point is secured and now bitcoin she has a red particles who said criminals or money rampant with all kinds of scheme going on about a millions of dollars here getting stolen many dogs their systems being cracked into it's not as secure as they say even three basics also engineering and people being a little silly with their money as they say bitcoin is money it's not really true not so it's Bitcoin it smiley is a speculative vehicle sort of like Tesla and you're investing in Gila and musk there's no guarantee that this is gonna be going up and up in the future it's good to take some profit and hold it for the long term if you think speculations gonna prove to be that it goes up and up but I wouldn't just told a hundred percent of it you're in profit I would sell a portion while you can Bitcoin has intrinsic value outside of its mine ability that's not really true people initially that we're investing in Bitcoin they're mining it because of the value of it there is some tech behind it that's looking promising in the future but that's cryptocurrency in general Bitcoin itself is becoming a little bit unsustainable going a little bit further here you got some articles here about big banks block cloning access to somebody's Bitcoin futures so people can't even buy into the Bitcoin futures because they're afraid of the questionable legal aspects to it a little bit further this is just a steaming article it doesn't really mean much but guys telling you a little story about how his friend invested it or tried to but his bank wouldn't allow him to in regards to association with fraud going a little bit further TD Bank grants customers from buying Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies you can find a whole bunch of articles like this online a lot of banks restricting it TD Bank is no small bank there's bigger banks than TV that aren't accepting crypto as well a little bit further you can go in and read about smart contracts smart contracts is not a new concept as you could see 1996 according to Wikipedia going a little bit down further here but they're trying them more evolved these smart contracts but coining urethra and all these ones it if they're if they really should say are getting more into it if there's a little bit more stable so if you're looking and want to get into I try to focus more on that than Bitcoin bitcoins only popular because it's the first of its kind now there's other associations it's doing but it's getting to a point of unsustainability where it's gonna have to do a correction of some sort now a little bit more positive cryptocurrency in general individuals crypto currencies are digital cannot be counterfeited or raised first arbitrarily by the sender as with credit card charge backs yet immediate settlement no delays we got lower fees yeah better identity that protection because of how it works and he got access to everyone you got decentralization which can be argued isn't good or a bad thing and you get recognization at a universal level now keep in mind not very many people even know what bitcoin is so it's still rather new in cryptocurrency in general still rather new so if you own the street and you ask someone chances aren't they're not gonna know what you're talking about a little bit further here we're gonna go and go right into fiat money this is like USD yen and all that stuff it has both its positives and negatives it has a backing from the bank's from these other people from these financial institutions from the government and from the ones that essentially put the money the problem is that this can create hyperinflation and then they could make your currency worthless there's been mortgage crisis they've been banking crisis essentially and sustainable inflation hyperinflation to be particular the FDIC backs up your bank deposits up to $250,000 so if you put a lot of money in you got some backing and regards that if you do this with cryptocurrency you're basically out of the block if anything happens to it there's no security there's no backing it's decentralized decentralized completely and there's just nothing to support it or sustain it least you got at least some kind of backing even though it's subject to the same issues as cryptocurrency with hyperinflation and potential crash of it all but that's just something you got to deal with no matter what currency you use a little bit further you can look into more about the financial system to institutions that you use if you were curious about the security of them your bank rate not really promoting it or anything I just found it as a good valuable source to read more about your bank how secure it actually is they go up and down sort of like depending on which I Co initial coin offering you invest in can be more secure or less secure an alternative at coins to Bitcoin I'm going a little bit further hyperinflation if you guys aren't familiar is one there's a continuing often accelerating rapid increase in the amount of money that's not supported by corresponding growth an output of goods and services cryptocurrency and Bitcoin is more of a speculative sow holding mada tea not really uses it normally you've back like with the gold and silver they back literally with gold and silver and the fdic to back your money and keep it more secure be a hedging and all that kind of thing beyond that there's a threat of the bitcoin features here there's if people say it's going to pop it's gonna go down it's gonna go left it's gonna go right yeah no one's really sure what the future of Bitcoin in the futures market and all that will happen something to keep in mind is that only this smaller one it's not really small just opened it on the 10th the bigger one the largest one as they say the largest derivatives exchange in the world opens on the 18th so looking forward to the 18th and into the next year is when you'll really know whether it's going to be shorted or not so far it's going up which is good it's not really bad ultimately when you want to look for is support as you can see here with Putin and the etherium guy here I can't recall his name at the moment but you want to look for support you want to look for government contracts you want to look for some kind of tech backing and supporting the idea of the cryptocurrency you don't want to just hop in and do whatever you don't want to hop in with Bitcoin its intrinsic value is way less than what it's trading it you want something sustainable you want something that's gonna grow over time there em and there's a lot of other altcoins that are looking pretty good it coins a little bit overvalued so I'd look into the secondary it ones I mean if you hold the coin I'd hold it at this point you're holding way way lower but I would still sell portions because as with any investment there's always a speculative aspect to it yes like this video I believe I'm gonna be ending it at this parts here you can not stop by my discord channel let me know you can leave comments in the comment the YouTube video below if you have any more questions or you want to share your home put make sure own input make sure to leave it in the comments below as well thanks for stopping by and have a nice thing
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