저자: 미상 · 외국인
요약 보기
테슬라는 단기 반등 가능성이 있으나(250 돌파 시 320~340 목표) 장기적으로는 훼손된 차트로 본다. 애플은 단기적으로 218→226 반등 가능성 70%를 제시하나 장기 매수는 선호하지 않는다. 엔비디아는 하락 추세선 돌파 전까지 적극 매매를 꺼리며 장기 매도 신호를 언급한다. PLTR은 포물선 추세 이탈 시 선형 추세선(약 90대 초반)까지 조정 가능성을 말하며 단기 90~125 매매 구간을 제시한다. 자막 기준 2025년 3월 22일 방송 추정.
다듬은 글
buy sell or hold let's take a look at Tesla Nvidia apple and paler four of the most widely held stocks and I'll show you my thoughts on where those stocks are likely to go in the short term and longer term and in doing so I'm going to teach you how to read charts in a quick easy manner ultimately you can read a stock chart in 10 seconds or less if you understand some simple Concepts so we'll go through those now all right let's dive into the charts first one here is Tesla and you can see that it's obviously had a major sell off moving from 480 down to 240 so that's a 50% haircut all right first thing we have to understand is the trend on The Daily time frame the trend is down now notice how I've drawn that trend line I've cut across the tops all right notice also that we are far below the trend line that means the stock is oversold anytime you run away from the trend line up or down you are oversold that makes it likely that the stock will bounce back in the short term so to understand the shortterm we need to go to the short-term chart let's do a one month 60-minute chart and here you can see I'm going to do the same thing I'm going to draw a trend line and you can see that this trend line was broken this week however it is still stuck under this resistance level so if the stock can break through 250 then it should start that shortterm comeback does that mean the stock is out of the woods no for the longer term we are still suffering from heavy damage so I think that in the short term there's a very good chance we'll see it move from that 250 level maybe up to 320 340 that's a great trade if you're a short-term Trader if you're a longer term investor it's not likely that we're going to get back to these levels anytime soon and here's why another simple rule when a market runs up and then pulls back it shouldn't pull back more than half of what it ran up if it pulls back more than half then the chart is broken this is called the 50% retracement rule so you can see that the pullback from here to here compared to the run up from here to here is like 80% and that means the chart's broken and that's why the sentiment stock score is pretty low so basically then I expect we'll see a little bounce back in the short term but do not trade that until we break up through that 250 level all right let's move along to Apple now so Apple like most tech stocks has suffered over the last few months and we are in this downward Trend but there's a lot of volatility in the downward Trend just like on Tesla we are far below the trend line and that means we will likely bounce back up to the trend line so you can imagine that's we're in the sort of the 220 range and the trend lines at around 235 so there's a potential trade there when do you take that trade well it's a shortterm setup so we have to go to the one month 60-minute chart it could be the 30 minute 15-day doesn't matter and here I can see the trend line and I can see I'm far below it now on Friday at the close the stock broke through some resistance on this hourly chart and it did so from a rising bottom that means there's optimism building and therefore I think it's very likely that in the next week it will move up from where it is now 218 to somewhere around the 226 level now does that mean certainly it will move up absolutely not I want you to understand that I'm just giving you possible trades don't go out there and trade this with your own money unless you believe in it you've done your own due diligence I'm here to teach and show you some ideas that you can then look into further I do think that there's a good chance I'm going to say a 70% probability that we'll see that stock bounce back however when it gets to this trend line it's going to get stuck and likely it will pull back now if it pulls all the way back and goes to New lows well then the downward Trend continues If instead it pulls back builds a rising bottom and then breaks this downward trend line then we're starting a better recovery for now only a short-term trade in the long side longer term I do not like it let's do Nvidia now Nvidia if you've been following my videos for a while make sure you're subscribed to the stock scores YouTube channel because I'm doing this kind of analysis on a regular basis I put out sell recommendations on Nvidia a number of times in the last little while the stock has not done well even though it was a great stock for the last two years for the last 6 months eight months it's been pretty dead where's the trend line draw a line from the tops so start at the high draw it across what we call inflection points and there's your trend line we are again some distance below we were farther below down here and right here on this day you can see that we broke that downward Trend when we were heavily oversold because the distance to the trend line was far and that makes it likely that we'll see it move back up let's go look at the one month chart and we'll see when that happened so here on the one month chart there's that downward trend line there's the break of the downward trend line the build of a rising bottom and then a break up from a rising bottom so that was a short-term signal that Nvidia was going to recover but look it has not done so yet it has been stuck it has not broken through support so we're still okay but I think you want to now wait for this little downward trend line to be broken somewhere in that $120 range and then maybe it'll get a little bit of an upside move the problem is it doesn't have a lot of upside to the trend line because if I draw my trend line here where's my trend line somewhere around you know 128 so you're buying at 120 to trade it until 128 maybe it makes sense if you're trading the options or something but I wouldn't say that that's a great risk reward tradeoff because you know buying at say 123 or 121 even and having a stop in at support here at 114 the upside is not enough for the downside and so that's why I'm not super eager to be trading Nvidia looking at the long-term three-year chart you can see that the long longterm upward trend is way down here so it could still fall all the way to 90 the shorter term upward Trend that was broken that was our one of our signals to sell for a long-term sell and we're building falling tops so generally speaking outside of some short-term trades on a bounce I don't like Nvidia a whole lot all right last but not least is pltr and then I'm going to tell you about how you can learn more about how to do this I've got some free classes coming up but let's first talk about pltr this is an interesting one because this trend went parabolic see how I can draw a line that's kind of straight here and then over time the line gets steeper and steeper and goes absolutely to a curve when you get a break of a parabolic trend it's very likely that the stock will pull back to its linear trend line so if I was to draw a straight line across those bottoms that's my linear trend line I I started here and I drew it across this inflection point and then this one almost touched it and look at how it fell right down to that trend line and bounced that's very predictable this kind of thing happens all the time however when a trend goes parabolic it takes a long time for it to break that ceiling so do not expect that pltr is going to break through that 125 level anytime soon and really we're a long ways away from it now a short-term Trader could trade it from 90 to 125 what does that look like well let's take a look at the one month chart and here you can see we've had falling tops and they're giving away to Rising bottoms so this is pessimism and this is optimism we have resistance here at 90 and we just started to tickle through that on Friday so I think there's a pretty decent chance we're going to go up from here but if it starts to move down through 84 take the loss because that's your support zone so the trade is basically buying in the low 90s for a trade maybe up to 110 115 but if it fails and it moves down through 83 then jump ship now I said that there was some free classes coming up this is my website stocks scores.com go to the homepage so just punch in www.st scores.com a couple of things to register for first free Weekly Newsletter I send out an email every week only one no spam and this is where you can learn about the markets about trading ideas and so forth and that's all free make sure you register for that plus next week I am doing four free sessions these are one-hour classes the first one is how to read a stock chart we're going to elaborate on the things that I've talked about in this video on Wednesday I'm going to do a lesson on investing how to use my methods to be a better investor some of you may want to be a day Trader or a swing Trader that's what these sessions are all about on Thursday and then Saturday I'm going to do a session on my tools my algorithms all the things that I've built to give me and potentially you an edge in the market so these things are all free you just register at stocks scores.com and I hope that I'll see you at some of those events I hope you've enjoyed this video do me a favor if you have click the like button make sure you're subscribed to the YouTube channel and most importantly trade well
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