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결론: 미국 증시 전반이 약세로 보여 엔비디아·AMD·테슬라·마이크론 모두 단기 하락 가능성을 열어두고 지지선 이탈 여부를 주시하라는 영상. [시장 전반] 주요 지수 ETF(SPY·QQQ·IWM)가 하락 중이며 이들이 계속 내리면 개별 종목도 함께 밀릴 것이라는 판단. 이번 주는 휴장이 낀 4일 주간이라 거래량이 줄면 일시 반등이 나올 수 있으나 아직 위험에서 벗어나지 않았다고 봄. [엔비디아] 주간 차트에서 최근 두 주를 삼킨 큰 음봉이 나와 하락 반전 신호로 해석. 주가가 20주선(약 222~232) 위에 있으나 이탈 시 50주선 부근(180~198)까지 열려 있다고 봄. 일봉 기준 200일선 194 부근이 하락 목표로 제시됨. 월봉 기준 추가 하락 시 약 147 부근도 거론. [AMD] 현재 저점 근처 박스권 하단(약 10달러 부근)에 있으며, 972 이탈 시 838, 이후 약 8달러 지지 가능성 언급. 박스권은 2016년 말 이후 반복된 구간. 단기 약세로 보고 숏 포지션이면 수익 보호를 권유. 본인은 무포지션으로 추가 하락 또는 상승 돌파를 기다린다고 밝힘. [테슬라] 주가 약 300달러 부근, 290~295 지지 확인이 중요. 이 구간이 무너지면 250 부근까지 열려 있고 시장이 더 빠지면 추가 하락도 가능. 주간 200주선 및 갭 메움 구간(240~316)과 맞물려 지지 근거가 여러 개라 단기 반등 가능성도 함께 언급. [마이크론] 일봉에서 하락 삼각형류 패턴 이탈 기대. 약 50~54 갭 메움 및 50달러 대 지지 확인 필요. 주간 장악형 음봉과 갭 메움 후 하락 마감이 약세 신호로 해석되며, 20주선 약 45~46달러가 1차 목표. 시장이 더 빠지면 40달러 부근까지 열림. 월봉 목표는 약 30~158(표기 불명확) 언급. [출연자 전망] 진행자는 전반적으로 단기 하락 쪽에 무게를 두며, 지수 지지 여부를 가장 중요한 체크포인트로 제시. 롱 포지션은 손절선을 타이트하게 두라고 권유.
다듬은 글
if you're an active trader looking for a new broker venom trading calm you won't be disappointed all right guys let's go right into NVIDIA we had 18 million on the day three point six seven percent down or eight dollars and eighty eight cents in the red we have this key trendline here from a from a from a channel we had back gosh it goes almost a year and a half or so so it was up got through it came right back in right to the bottom got through it came right back in almost at the bottom got through it again came back then we started a little bit of a channel here as well so up down up down video still fine guys a little bit of a weaker stance being below the 20 and the 50 ma but we're holding this trendline here in the 50% retrace if we do gap down on Monday have no idea if we're going to but if we do next big area is gonna be to 29 33 or this low pivot here from this candle then the next big area will be the six one eight retrace in the two 2338 area to 220 209 or this low pivot that cracks guys then we're most likely going to this low area and then the slope of it back in February when we're getting the beat down here at 2:04 14 we still have a gap filled down here as well as 199 11 and then on the daily chart guys we still have the 200 ma down here at 194 that will be target if the markets start to really give up the gains here so watch for that let's go to the weekly weekly you can see a little bit better and initially we have a little little bit of a chop Silas a consolidation above the mas looking pretty good but this little weekly candle here guys wiping out the last two weeks that's a pretty good reversal candle telling me possible lower prices to come but still above the twenty which is at two twenty two thirty two and ultimately just like the daily chart we're looking at the two hundred mas on the weekly we're gonna look at the fifty ma for target which would be one eighty to ninety eight so and that goes right with this pivot here at one eighty 102 so that little pivot back on twelve for up to seventeen or 2017 this could be a possible area again it will be a market trade if the markets start to fall this will come down with it if you look at the monthly on this chart still stretched price target would be about 147 2320 when this curls up like this guys it's just a matter of time before this one comes down it was the stock of the year everybody you know talking about it ai ai just be careful when you get straight up moves like this and now we're starting to stall out if the market keeps going down this will follow period so let's go back to the daily as long as it's staying above this line we're okay let's see what this week brings and then of course the Friday close is real important as well because Friday or that I should say Thursday this week we won't have a market on Friday like to see if we can hold this 20ma on the weekly 20ma and then the 223 area let's call it that and then the twenty mas at two twenty two thirty two so keep an eye on this one in the video right now it's okay Marc itself this one will continue down now invidia different story if you watch my videos we've been talking about this little bearish pattern here it was down sideways and you're still inside this big inside bar bearish pattern till you get above looking at above the 1385 we're still inside this bar big bear pattern chopping around we got below the mas we talked about this down a couple days sideways this is starting to set up we did close pretty much right at this low pivot at 1064 we're gonna see what happens on Monday we still have a gap filled down here at 10:29 and then of course double bottom at 10:00 and then the 971 but this is looking weak just like the markets guys everything's trading with the overall indexes the spy the Q's the IWM those keep going down these will keep going down unless some news comes out or maybe a buyout for AMD then you'll get maybe one update the markets continue to sell this thing will turn around and come right back in we're not out of the woods yet with the indexes with anything at this point guys this week coming up is big we have a four-day week with the holiday maybe we go if the volume disappears we could actually get a bit in these markets to watch for that so daily chart AMD this is your area next one to support will be the gap feel like I said but let's see let's see what happens guys it can a little bit ugly so four seven five o retraces and holding as well we have the fib from this low to that high this is the seven 500 this blue line at ten seventy four so let's see what happens next week do we get the bounce and doesn't retrace maybe back into the mas and then come right back down but if you're short from this area here pretty good trade couple bucks on a $10 stock I'd start protecting it just in case we get that buy the dip mentality but right now guys AMD looking a little bit weak if you are long just tighten the stops if you do crack below this 972 area you'll be going right down here to 838 and then and then possibly this high pivot here that's good support right around the 8 dollar area so let's keep an eye on this one and great trading vehicle that's all I can really say guys AMD I have no position in this one at this point I'm waiting for either lower prices or waiting for a higher prices to short this thing but right now we're at the lower end of this range where it's been in since late 2016 I mean pretty much up and down between 1550 5 and 10 bucks until one either breaks up or breaks down then we'll have to see where it goes but until it huh if it keeps holding these areas it's just gonna keep going up and down up and down so rate trading vehicle just like our next one test left we would say lower prices since this hit of this higher trendline for the last couple of weeks and this is what's happening guys were at 301 almost $300 even number let's go to the daily you can see a little bit cleaner so here we are just kind of like AMD just comes up comes down look at this channel boom up down this one is even better to 93 to 360 so you got a $70 move $70 move $70 move $70 move so until this channel breaks either it breaks down or breaks up this is the range you're gonna be in right now you're technically weak you're below the mas starting to sell off you get a couple big candles like this long red ones this is telling me lower prices unless spike ATS catches a big bit on Monday and we're 400 up these all should be higher so watch for that but you come into the to 92 to 95 area you break that I still believe we're gonna fill come the gap wouldn't Oh fill the gap fill the gap this is my area for the bike run to 40 to 50 area these lower pivots there's a little bit of a gap down here so what to see if the markets are really selling if they are then I'm gonna wait even for lower prices on Tesla Tesla and everything guys so consider weekly we can see a little bit cleaner on there the reason why I like this area down in there is the 200ma on the weekly that's a big area support you also have this lower trendline great support and you have the gap fill right here at the 240 316 so you have three reasons and even the 250 even number four reasons to step up on this play for a short-term bounce if the markets continue to dump if you have a 500 down day and this hit this area this most likely will not bounce unless the markets bounce the spy the IWM etc so that's the area I'm watching here guys we did write calls on this one too we already covered him for some nice money so right now we're just waiting we might write some puts if we get down here maybe for a day or so but we'll have to see how this thing reacts once it gets to this 295 to 292 area if this doesn't bounce we will be going down into the 250 area period so and if the markets dump we can even go lower so if you're in this long just tighten these stops as long as we're in this range guys we're not going anywhere again bottom of the Reince 293 top of the range you're looking at the 362 area so as long as it's still in there this is what it's gonna do but again just like AMD great trading vehicle even on the weekly you're back below the 50 in the tool and the 20 ma still above the 200 but it's looking weak guys markets aren't looking good look it up it's not all these stocks have the same same patterns where you got the big red candle on Friday everything's almost at the lows and just just be careful guys so the 20 ma is at 289 on the monthly that's usually target when these things are high-flying I still think we're gonna fill this gap and then come right down in here and this is the other reason guys you have the 50 ma and the monthly chart there's so many reasons to buy down here unless the markets are just bleeding then we're looking for than 180 down here and man if we really go down the markets we could be down to 142 Kai's that sounds we're not gonna look at that yet but just be careful in these markets you get a big red reversal candle reversal reversing this high monthly candle again we still have a little bit of time on this but if we could end up closing down in this range we just reversed this whole big green candle and that's not good all right let's look into mu mu staying strong who is down a little bit on Friday but you know it's holding these areas guys you know let's go daily chart you know after I mean that that was ugly like I have to admit we did fill the gap as well this is gotta hold guys daily chart 20 ma we talked about this down sideways bearish pattern at the top this is an inside bar bearish pattern it's got to get above this continue higher if it stays within this range this is setting up for lower prices we talked about it in my videos so boom boom would get that pattern starting to play out market sell definitely its gonna go lower we filled a gap here at 54 57 and we're holding this area here too as well so we're gonna have to see what happens from there let's stick a Fibonacci level in here see what's well gosh you know what I'm gonna take it from this pivot a little more short-term on em you guys yeah so we got a little more to go I think we're gonna fill this gap at 50 104 and then I think we're also gonna come down here at 6 1 8 we also have the 7500 with the 54:43 and then the big even number at the $50 area as well so we're gonna watch for that so right now guys looking a little bit weak it still mu they got some hype going on in this one so it continues to move up but that was uh that was a nice pattern and it played out this is the one thing I'm concerned with though on the weekly chart we had a full engulfing candle and we filled the gap and we closed lower that's telling me right there guys lower prices usually the 20ma will be the target at 45 95 if that gives it up and the markets are dumping we will be down here at $40 where this big retrace err or where this big consolidation area was this was an inside bar bearish pattern that failed straight up and I believe this thing's coming straight down so be really careful with this one guys it's a high-flyer look at the monthly monthly high-flying chart is at 30 158 that would be my price target but this will curl up let's just keep an eye on these markets come Monday let's see the volume on the spy if this continues lower you have your support levels gap-fill if these start to crack this one will be definitely going a lot lower you know just look at this move guys 37 to 64 that's just unhealthy it's got to go a little I don't I don't mind the percentage move it's just too fast too far guys if this thing you know took about seven eight nine months to go up like that it's it's still too fast too far but it's a little bit better than you know two three two months and almost 100% move it just can't it can't it can't hold those gains period guys especially with the markets selling all right guys that's it for these four keep an eye on the overall spy if the volume comes in next week on the spider then we should see more selling we do have a shortened week that could possibly save the markets and get a little bounce get everybody excited going into Good Friday but let's keep an eye on these markets keep an eye on Bali and for you Long's out there just tighten those stops
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