저자: NoUpdate채널진행자—게스트TomLee는CNBC인터뷰인용 · 외국인
요약 보기
결론: 2018년 4월 중순 이후 비트코인이 세금 매도 압력 해소로 반등해 연말 약 1,900달러 수준까지 오를 것이라는 Tom Lee 전망을 소개하며, 진행자도 긍정적 견해를 밝힘. 비트코인 전망(Tom Lee 인용): 2018년 4월 중순부터 시장이 바닥을 다지고 반등, 상반기 중 2만 달러 회복, 7월경 신고가(1,900달러 언급) 및 연말 2,500달러 가능성 제시. 자막상 수치가 불명확해 목표가는 자동인식 오류 가능성 있음. 하락 원인 분석: 미국 시민의 2017년 암호화폐 매매 차익에 대한 세금 부담 약 250억 달러가 4월 세금 납부 기한 전까지 매도 압력으로 작용. 미국인들의 신용카드·대출 의존으로 현금 여력이 부족해 보유 코인을 매각한다고 설명. 거래소 매도 압력: 소규모 거래소들이 미국 소득세 대상이며 운영 자본을 비트코인 등 암호화폐로 보유하고 있어, 세금 납부를 위해 예치금 코인을 매도하고 있다는 분석. 이것이 최근 몇 달간 가격 하락의 원인이라고 설명. 기관 동향: 워싱턴 소재 투자사(자막상 'Sorus Fund Management' 표기, 블룸버그 보도 인용)가 내부 승인을 받아 가상화폐 거래를 준비 중이나 아직 투자 집행은 없음. 과거 워런 버핏류 투자 거물이 비트코인을 버블로 지목했으나, 진행자는 그 발언이 '통화가 아니다'라는 취지의 논리였다고 해석. 기타 뉴스: 독일 개발자가 만든 WordPress·Magento·PrestaShop용 무료 암호화폐 결제 플러그인 소개, 텔레그램 그룹 및 페이스북 홍보. 리스크/조건: 세금 매도 해소 후 재진입 가정이 핵심 조건이며, 기관 참여 여부와 거래소 매도 규모에 따라 달라짐. 진행자 전망: 긍정적(단, 근거는 Tom Lee 전망 인용 중심).
다듬은 글
Hello everyone, it's that time again! No Update is back, and there's a new video. Today's topic is very exciting because Tommy, a Wall Street analyst, has put forward an interesting theory about why the Bitcoin price, or even the entire cryptocurrency market, could shoot up again in mid-April. But before we get started, I'd like to remind you about our new Telegram group.
There you'll always find the latest news, even before the video is released. I always knew about the posts from the website, or sometimes when an interesting listing was announced on Bitcoin or another exchange. Then I knew to post it all there. I would definitely recommend joining this group or checking out the No Update Facebook page.
I also have the latest news there, and you can find the links in the description as usual. So, let's get started. We have some exciting news today, and we'll begin with something about Europe. A rather young developer—and I'll show you how much better his boat looks—has also been featured on his... The website has some photos of the team and the guys, who look very real, like they're 14, 15, or 16 years old.
And yes, that does n't stop them from developing great products these days. There are always some computer enthusiasts who are quite young. There was a report a couple of weeks ago about a 15-year-old or something who discovered a security vulnerability in the glacier, and I think this guy here isn't much older.
Unfortunately, his website isn't accessible at the time of the video. I do n't know why; maybe it's something to do with the server, something's not working properly or something. Too bad, but anyway, maybe if you see the video, you can check out this report here, and I'll definitely link to another website so I can take a closer look.
In any case, he's now developing something in Utah, and it's a plugin for many shop systems, like WordPress, Magento, and PrestaShop. As I said, he developed this system via YouTube, and it's a payment system for WordPress and other shops. And yes. Actually, it's not WordPress or e-commerce itself. It 's a WordPress plugin used for online shops, and so on.
For those who don't know, WordPress is very popular; most websites online run on WordPress, and yes, my website also runs on WordPress. That's why it's a big deal and a step forward for e-commerce and the entire cryptocurrency scene, because this integration into everyday life is incredibly important.
Perhaps some of you have a WordPress shop (like EA) and can imagine integrating EA payments. I would definitely be thrilled to report on whether it all worked as expected. I'm not running a shop myself, so I'm not going to try it out now; it would have been too complicated. Anyway, the plugin is free, and you can download it.
You'll find the link in this post, and the link to the post is in the description. It's really interesting what this guy has developed. I'm looking forward to it! Anyway, I'm super excited about this, and as I said, I hope that one of my viewers might be able to integrate this solution and then accept their payments.
Okay, let's jump to the next news item, which revolves around an investment guru, let's say. He's also a billionaire and just a few months ago declared cryptocurrencies and Bitcoin a bubble. Yes, it's often discussed whether this whole market is a bubble, and this billionaire also expressed this opinion.
Since his statement, which of course is n't related to this, the price has fallen by 41 percent. And this gentleman said, specifically at the World Economic Forum in Davos, that Bitcoin is not a currency because a currency should be a stable store of value, and a currency that can fluctuate by 24 percent in a single day cannot, for example, be used to pay wages because wages fall by 25 percent in a single day.
It's speculation based on a misunderstanding. He also explicitly states that it's a bubble, but you ca n't infer that from these quotes. I've also seen that somewhere here. In any case, this gentleman, or rather his investment company, which currently manages $26 billion in assets, has changed its mind.
As Bloomberg reported, Adam Fischer, who is responsible for macro investments at this so-called Sorus Fund Management investment firm in New York, obtained internal approval last month to trade in virtual currencies. Now, of course, the entire industry is expecting this company to get involved, to buy up cryptocurrency, and so on.
This is very interesting, as there has been much speculation about when the big companies will finally get involved and the money will finally flow into the market. Naturally, it is also hoped that this will lead to a market upswing and that we will break all-time highs again, and so on. I am really curious to see how this all plays out.
As Bloomberg reports, trading has not yet begun; the company has not yet invested any money in the market. I am definitely looking forward to when it happens and whether others feel the same way. Investment companies are jumping on the bandwagon and finally entering the market. Yes, but now we come to the most exciting news, and as I said, it revolves around Tom Liebs.
He was interviewed on CNBC. Here we can see the video again. How can I watch it again? It's almost 750 seconds long. But I'll definitely tell you everything that came up in that video, and it's super interesting because the analyst assumes that the market will regain its footing from mid-April and then experience another upswing.
He also assumes that Bitcoin will see $20,000 again by the end of the year, and that it will reach a new all-time high in July, rising to $1,900. And Tommy isn't just anyone; he's a very well-known Wall Street analyst, and that's what he said in this broadcast. In his opinion, there's a tax liability for US citizens on capital gains totaling...
25 billion US dollars, which will lead to a massive sell-off of Treptow currency by the tax deadline in mid-April. Yes, so we need to clarify this again. Recently, there has been a lot of speculation that US citizens have made a lot of profits or capital gains through investments in Kripp government and haven't yet paid taxes on them.
Yes, so everything that was withdrawn from the market in 2017 when the market exploded must now be taxed by mid-April. And he assumes that many do n't have the money right now because Americans like to live frugally. That means they use a lot of credit cards and so on, financing cars and houses, not as much as in Germany where things are a bit more conservative, where many only buy what they can afford.
In America, a lot is financed on credit, and he assumes that people who are still in Kripp have withdrawn their money to be able to pay these taxes, and so on. And he goes He assumes that from mid- April onwards, once this whole tax issue is resolved, people will re-enter the market and start buying again, and so on and so forth.
Furthermore, he says that there is selling pressure at the small-cap exchanges that are subject to US income tax. Many exchanges had a net income of more than one billion US dollars in January 2017 and hold their working capital in Bitcoin or EVI, not in dollars. This tax liability has to be met, and that's why the exchanges are selling their deposits, which are held in Bitcoin and many other cryptocurrencies.
He sees this as the connection to the price drop that has occurred in recent months: these small-cap exchanges are also selling their working capital, which they are paying out in US dollars at a snail's pace, and so on. That's why he said that this price event occurred. Yes, and in summary, he says that from mid-April onwards, Bitcoin will...
This tax day will just regain its footing, and Bitkom predicts that it will triple to $20,000 by mid-year and rise to $25 by year-end. For i4i, he sees a short-term price increase to $1,500, and by year-end, the price should then rise to $1,900, according to Lee. And yes, I'm definitely really excited; that makes me positive anyway.
I'm already positive, for sure, but this strengthens my view, I'd say. And that's all for today. I'd be happy if you give the video a thumbs up; yes, that always motivates me to keep going. Like this channel, folks. Otherwise, I'll say goodbye for today. Do n't forget to join the Telegate group. An update later, and bye.
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