저자: Kent · 외국인
요약 보기
결론: 블랙록의 비트코인 ETF 추진과 다음 반감기 기대로 비트코인이 1~6개월 내 6만~10만 달러까지 오를 가능성이 크다는 주장. 블랙록 영향력: 블랙록이 S&P500의 약 80~85%를 통제한다고 주장하며, 기업 이사회 교체나 신용 평가까지 좌우할 수 있다고 봄. 비트코인 ETF: 블랙록이 비트코인 ETF를 신청했고 내년 또는 2024년 출시 가능성을 언급. ETF는 수탁·보안 부담 없이 투자하는 방식이라 수요를 늘릴 것으로 봄. 블랙록의 의도 우려: 블랙록이 비트코인 프로토콜을 작업증명(PoW)에서 지분증명(PoS)으로 바꾸는 등 변경할 수 있다고 우려하나, 2,100만 개 공급 한도는 바뀌기 어렵다고 봄. 반감기 효과: 다음 반감기(내년 초)로 채굴 보상이 절반이 되어 공급이 줄고, 과거 반감기 때마다 가격이 올랐다는 근거를 듦. 단기 가격: 바이낸스의 자체 토큰 지지를 위한 매도로 26,000달러대에서 25,000달러대로 하락했으나, 그 매도가 정리되면 빠르게 반등할 것으로 전망. 본인이 예상한 1만 후반대 하락은 아직 오지 않았다고 언급. 중기 목표: 6개월 내 6만~10만 달러 회복을 예상하며, 최대 10만 달러 이상도 가능하다고 봄. 과거 6만 달러 도달 이력을 근거로 듦. 리스크: 블랙록의 시장 통제력 우려, 프로토콜 변경 가능성, 에너지 소비 문제(일론 머스크의 결제 중단 언급), 과거 FTX 사태에 따른 보관 리스크를 언급. 통화정책 전망: 금리 인상·인하로 경기를 조절하는 방식은 한계가 있고, 디지털 화폐가 실시간 정밀 조절을 가능하게 할 것이라 주장. AI로 인한 실업 증가에 대응하기 위해 연준이 디지털 화폐를 도입할 것으로 전망하며, 이는 프라이버시 침해 우려도 있다고 언급. 기타: 영상 중반 이후 철도 소음과 로컬 이야기가 다수 포함되어 있으며, 투자 조언은 비트코인 중심으로 집중됨.
다듬은 글
okay how's everybody doing this evening yes my name is Kent the yes we are still here after the hurricane went through actually the tropical storm so everything is pretty much just the way it was the last time I shot a video here nothing got washed away and we didn't uh get lost in the store so tropical storms in Southern California just they don't they don't guess they just don't carry the weight that they do on the east coast and in Texas because the storm blew through here and actually I would think that another people may have lost some property or damaged some some buildings or something like that but by and large the moisture was probably a good thing for a lot of people too so anyway I want to talk tonight about the elephant in the room you know and the elephant in the room is a company by the name of an investment firm called BlackRock um I Heard the other day on somebody's video pretty I think it was Joe Rogan or even somebody he was interviewing where the guy said that BlackRock controls about 70 or actually 85 percent of the S P 500 that's a massive amount of equity S P 500 standard and Poor's companies and they control about 80 percent of that so that is really the elephant in the room so when you think that we have you know a president of the United States we have a congress we have a federal reserve and then you got one entity basically owning about 80 percent of the stock market 85 percent of the stock market who really is in control is it our politicians or is it BlackRock and there's a pretty good case to be made that it's probably BlackRock uh especially as far as the Federal Reserves can concern concerned so when BlackRock controls so much I think 10 trillion dollars in equity but under there under their control under their investment under their investment firm their investment Larry Fink he's the CEO of this I talked about him the other night when they control 11 trillion 10 trillion dollars and all this massive massive investment they have a lot of lot of influence on people's decisions on on companies I mean they can literally go to a company and and and remove the board if you don't follow the policies they like if you don't follow the environmental policies that uh you know BlackRock wants you to follow they could they could you know they could remove your your your your your score your score as far as your how they rank you is if you're able to get money credit or whatever all these things is controlled by basically one entity called BlackRock so the reason I'm talking about BlackRock because BlackRock has shown a huge interest in Bitcoin Larry Fink's been talking about first they didn't want to talk about Bitcoin got the low riders out tonight we got a train coming through I'm just gonna have to talk through the train that was the one good thing about the storm for the night that I when we did the storm I didn't have any trains go through because I shut down the track that night so yeah that's a good thing and one good thing about the storm outside of the fact that we brought some good moisture here to Southern California now you're listening to this video live I'm not editing this video did he did he did did he pull a horn like 25 30 times I mean once would have been sufficient if you pulled that horn one time everyone for the next mile and a half is going to hear it you don't have to blow it 20 times I mean it's like that is that's I mean we've got technology we've got internet we've got uh artificial intelligence but we still have this Antiquated big old piece of iron rolling down a track you know at God only knows what speed sometimes and a guy blowing his horn all the way through all this heavily congested area here in Southern California so enough of the Rat I know I make that round all the time but let me tell you when you're sitting here a mile from the or a block from the beach you know some of the most prized real estate in the world and you got this train running through here 10 times a day 15 times a day two o'clock in the morning three o'clock in the morning you kind of Wonder you know who's in control so we know who who's in control it's called BlackRock so anyway back to the BlackRock idea back BlackRock uh part of this video so Larry fought Larry I always want to call him Larry find I don't know why Larry Fink um he's shown a huge interest in Bitcoin and of course what they're what they're what they're proposing is an uh ETF what an ETF is is the way to invest in Bitcoin without actually holding the Bitcoin you can invest through an investment fund or through you know an investment you know you can you could they can have custody of your Bitcoin So when you buy your Bitcoin you don't have to have the custody in your own wallet uh or you don't have to control it or you don't have to take care of your private Keys a lot of things that keep people from buying Bitcoin because they're worried about it it's not like hey if I lose my money in the bank at least I know I got a little bit FDIC insurance I lose my money in Bitcoin because somebody hacked my wallet then I could be out of everything so that really is a big hurdle a big friction point for a lot of people to own Bitcoin and of course everybody knows you know when you lose it when a transaction gets done on bitcoin you can't undo it you can't go oh hey that that was a that was a bad deal there I want to get my money back and the guy who stole it is a crook and he's a criminal and they arrested him now where's my money so uh you found out with this guy the guy with the big fro always forget his name FTX I mean it sounds like they're not even going to do anything to that guy now from what I heard maybe they'll recharge him I don't know but anyway I think that was just a way to try to bring Bitcoin maybe when when when that didn't work out the FDX thing didn't work out now they're now they're going to try to do an ETF is they've applied for an ETF sounds like they're going to possibly have one next year or 2024.
and this is the main issue that concerns me is if BlackRock with 80 of the S P 500 under their control massive influence with the federal and trade the the federal um uh Federal Reserve massive control of the Federal Reserve massive control over politicians massive control over fed chairman massive control over everybody you know what are their intentions with Bitcoin um I mean obviously if they take a big stake in Bitcoin it's going to be good for them but you know when you're running Fiat currencies you can do whatever you want to do you just print as much currency as you want but with Bitcoin it's limited it's limited and it's limited to how much can be mined and the other thing that they're going to have a problem with Bitcoin is they're going to have problem with the energy I mean that's why Elon Musk musk jumped out of it because he he all of a sudden got an environmental interest that they're mining was causing too much energy energy so they decided hey we don't need to spend all this energy mining uh Bitcoin and making global warning worse so why don't we just go ahead and I'm not going to buy more Bitcoin and whatever so for that nice little brief run where we had a good run from like five thousand to sixty thousand because Elon Musk started buying along with a few other people a sailor and a few other people but then musk decided no I'm not going to take Bitcoin in payment for my cars because it's consuming energy and that's not good for the environment so maybe Larry Fink gets a hold of Bitcoin and decides that hey it's not working because of environmental issues with Bitcoin like I say they have so much power and influence that they can literally tell companies how to run their business so will they alter the way Bitcoin is run meaning they do something like take Bitcoin and and and possibly Turn part of Bitcoin or turn another a fork Bitcoin into um a proof of work instead of a a proof of stake instead of a proof of work could they do that I mean we don't know I mean this could be one of the things that they do I think they said that in the ETF they had to file do some filings and some of the filings that I did was that they could maybe uh change some of the the way Bitcoins run and of course Bitcoin is very very um it's held by people that really are very um they're very concerned very intent on making sure the Bitcoin protocol stays true so when a guy like Larry Fink comes in buys up 30 of the outstanding Bitcoin and they're decides to Fork it because of the energy environmental issues and and decides to make it into a a a a proof of stake concept and they do that how does that affect Bitcoin well who knows um I mean I always think Bitcoin is going to be something of of Interest value even if they Fork it I mean you will have do two Bitcoins you'll have the proof of work and you'll have the proof of stake uh I'm not an opinion if you have the proof of stake that the proof of work is going to go to go to hell I think the proof of work would still still be valuable simply be because of the fact that it is something that can't be you know the the supply can't be changed it's 21 million and it can't be changed I mean if you Fork it and make it into a proof of work or proof of stake and you start altering the supply well now it's no longer any longer Bitcoin it's only Bitcoin and name it's not Bitcoin in in True Value and what it what it represents so in that respect I don't think there's any way that they can take Bitcoin and make Bitcoin into uh proof of stake and just forget about the 21 million and the having and all this other stuff but the thing that I would say to you and this is this is the positive thing about what I'm saying tonight is that and I've been saying this for a while that we have a having coming up next year early next year and of course everybody knows what happens every four years Bitcoin miners rewards are cut in half which is actually kind of a way of keeping Bitcoin true by making it so there isn't an inflated amount of Bitcoin so it makes it so that you know it's it's not like the US dollar where they just print it out like you know it's just printed off like toilet paper I mean just there we go here's another roll of uh US Dollars going out another trillion dollars spent because uh we gotta we got to help Ukraine another trillion dollar spam because we got to do this and there could be a lot more spent here in the near future with things going on the way they are so there could be two Bitcoins in the future after the CTF but until we get to the having there's nothing going to happen with Bitcoin except for the fact that it's going to become more valuable because of the fact they're going to have a having coming up which means the rewards are cut in half which means Supply will be less the miners will be making less so in order for them to continue to mine the price has to go higher so you can bet and this has happened every time every time we've had a having with Bitcoin you can bet that the price goes higher so I would say in my humble opinion in my opinion alone nobody else is and that Bitcoin has a very good chance of doing well for the next few months in fact until probably the next part of the early part of next year so if there's a play out there right now if you're just the person looking to make a little bit of money a play on something that that could possibly turn into something really really good for you I would say buying Bitcoin right now at this price especially when it goes down I mean I thought it would go a little bit lower it's coming back a little bit it's back over 26 he's down to 25s I was expecting it to go into the high teens and the reason I was thinking it was going to go into the High Teens is because you know BlackRock is going to start acquiring positions uh they're going to want to do that but I guess the reason the Bitcoin went down is because the binance was selling it because they were trying to support their own token so you know once that kind of clears out I think the price could really rapidly increase and we could see Bitcoin well over a hundred thousand dollars in fact I think that's where Bitcoin ideally should be I mean it was up to 60 for a while and then it came back to 20.
and now I think that we're due to come back to 60 to 100 000 fairly quickly I would say within the next six months so if you're looking for that kind of return and you're willing to tolerate that kind of risk for something that we know that the largest most biggest conglomerates in the world are going to want to start doing then you've got a pretty good idea that Bitcoin is going to go up in price and you know that they're going to do this I put out a a an AI video last night about the fact that the feds are going to start dealing with inflation by a digital currency they're not going to continue to to um they're not going to continue to manipulate the the economy through interest rates us tightening interest rates or you know loosening interest rates by lowering interest rates of racing interest rates that just is not effective anymore in today's world the economy moves too quickly it's a digital economy the currency is analog it's it's old world way of looking at things the interest rate of raising and driving down interest rates and raising them up when things start to heat up as they like to say at the Fed so it's heating up we better raise interest rates or you know things are slowing down we might have a recession we better lower interest rates those that's just an ineffective way of working in today's world the things move at a quicker's pace than that if they had a digital currency they could actually with an open Ledger they could target areas that were slower by focusing on those areas with stimulus or doing something like that and having more Hands-On control and they're going to have to do that because as artificial intelligence starts to take away from the jobs and the economy starts to really suffer because of job loss through artificial intelligence the fed's going to have to have a way to come in and help out stimulate certain parts of the economy that needs stimulated because all of a sudden we have autonomous drivers all of a sudden we have um you know we have a lot of people that don't have a job because of artificial intelligence well the fed's going to have to come in and figure out a way to keep that all level and the way to do that is to have a digital currency so they can they can they can work with it digitally with an open Ledger and get real world real-time feedback so you know when something happens they've got an instant when they raise and lower interest rates that takes a long time to take effect in fact chairman Paoli always says that he says you know we have to do it and then we have to see how the economy reacts to it which is such a really ineffective and kind of outdated way of looking at things you know we have to we have to see how it plays out first and not knowing how how our actions like fact right now everybody's trying to second guess to see if they're going to raise interest rates right now and his thing was we're just gonna have to wait and see well they that that's because the they're they have an ineffective way of dealing with this inflation that we have like a massive inflation right now and the only thing they can do is slow down the economy of raising rates making it more expensive to get your hands on money so you won't go out and borrow money to make the prices if things go higher but at the same time they're spending millions and trillions of dollars and printing them up and you know trying to keep things going so the last thing the feds one is a stagnant or deflationary cycle so they're going to continue to print money and make things more expensive at the same time raising interest rates so it just isn't working out very well and they need a digital currency to figure this out it's going to a lot of people are afraid that's going to invade our privacy as far as what we do with our money how we spend it's going to be tracked in the open Ledger all this stuff but you know I'm sure there'll be some controls on how this is done but that's that's the only way it can work out they got to get out of this massive debt they got they're going to have to have some way to manage this economy they've got so much new technology coming aboard it's just going to be impossible to do it the way they've been doing it so anyway I appreciate you watching thank you
Comments 0