Billionaire Ray Dalio Warns Trump Tariff Policies Could Trigger

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Ray Dalio는 NBC Meet the Press에서 트럼프 관세 정책이 잘못 다뤄질 경우 일반적 경기침체보다 심각한 위기가 올 수 있다고 경고했다. 1930년대와 유사한 국면이며 글로벌 통화시스템 붕괴 우려를 제기했다. 고부채, 지정학 긴장, 공격적 관세가 취약 요인으로 꼽혔고, 중국의 미국 부채 노출을 우려했다. 2008년 위기를 예측했던 그는 부채 기반 자산 분산과 금·비트코인을 위기 헤지 수단으로 언급해 왔다. 다만 이 자막은 예측 가격 방향을 명시하지 않는다.

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01. Billionaire Ray Dalio warns Trump tariff policies could trigger crisis worse than recession. Trade tariffs. Dalio warned of a breakdown in the global monetary system, comparing today's turmoil to the economic and geopolitical instability of the 1930s. Last updated April 14th 2025 crypto reporter Shaolini Nagarajin crypto reporter Shaolini Nagarajin About author Shaolini is a crypto reporter who provides in-depth reports on daily developments and regulatory shifts in the cryptocurrency sector.

02. Author profile share copied last updated April 14th, 2025 at 10 col2 GMT + 3. Why trust Krypton? Krypton has covered the cryptocurrency industry topics since 2017, aiming to provide informative insights to our readers. Our journalists and analysts have extensive experience in market analysis and blockchain technologies.

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04. Read more about Crypton. Bridgewwater Associates founder Ray Dalio has warned that the US may face a crisis more severe than a recession if President Donald Trump does not manage tariffs and broader economic policies with caution. Speaking on NBC's Meet the Press on Sunday, Dalio said the economy is at a critical juncture.

05. I think that right now we are at a decision-making point and very close to a recession. He said, "And I'm worried about something worse than a recession if this isn't handled well." The billionaire hedge fund manager responded to a question about whether Trump's return to aggressive tariffs could push the US economy into a downturn.

06. Dio pointed to what he called a breakdown in the global monetary system and drew comparisons to the 1930s, a period marked by economic depression, rising nationalism, and global instability. We are having profound changes in our domestic order and we're having profound changes in the world order. Such times are very much like the 1930s, he said.

07. Tariff escalation and debt exposure leave US economy vulnerable, Dalio cautions. He pointed to the convergence of high debt levels, geopolitical tensions, and aggressive tariff use as destabilizing factors. In particular, Dalio has expressed concern over mounting US debt and the heavy exposure of foreign creditors, including China, to that debt.

08. Trump recently raised tariffs on Chinese imports to 145%. citing concerns over unfair trade practices and lack of market reciprocity. A universal 10% baseline tariff on most foreign goods, excluding those from USMCA partners, took effect on April 5th. Just days later, Trump announced a 90-day pause on elevated tariffs for most countries except China, rolling them back to the 10% rate to allow time for trade negotiations.

09. Dalio warned that the way these issues are handled could lead to outcomes far worse than a typical economic contraction. How that's handled could produce something that is much worse than a recession. He said investor veteran sees echoes of 2008, but warns today's crisis may run deeper. He also cautioned that internal political conflict, weakening trust in money, and rising international tensions could worsen the global fallout.

10. That is not the normal democracy as we know it. He said, referring to political risks at home. In recent commentary, Dalio said a systemic economic breakdown is already underway. He pointed to current market volatility as a clear warning sign. Dio, who correctly anticipated the 2008 financial crisis, has consistently advised investors to diversify away from debt-based assets.

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