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what if traders what if investors and we have a fantastic trade someone is going completely bullish on Nvidia going full beast mode as the post says basically I think this individual bought it on the dip way back when we'll look at the chart in a second so NVIDIA has actually earnings coming out this Thursday after the close that is the 21st of May and this guy is already up substantially basically making a bet about $50,000 I'm looking at an overall return nearly a hundred and seventy percent and looking at nearly a hundred and thirteen thousand dollars already in profit he has bought multiple different calls again the screenshot doesn't go into when he bought them but we can make some estimations looking at the expiration of all the way from the start at the bottom he's looking at all the way from January to 2020 to think that's the year way out there he's buying the 470 call then we have some more that fall into the next month or so we have some in June in July with his bulk of his bet basically with 40 of them being in the month of July and he does have a fair stack of them lack of a better words 19 of these way out in 2022 he's making smaller bets here in the upfront months but these will move substantially if the quarter is good or bad up or down of course that being said is I hope is he getting out he didn't say very much in the post that is gonna be quite substantially bet dish definitely again Wall Street is best style I hope he's able to take some off the table at least take out what he invested in and maybe then a little bit more and if he wants to do a Yolo trade into this he can go ahead and do that but that being said that this is a fantastic return in just a short period of time and this gives you the total power of what the options could do if I need a little side note do you guys ever noticed that every person that posts on Wall Street bets their battery usage is completely terrible if they're always like sub 30 or sub 20 and some even have like the little red indication on being below 20 or 10% I always find that funny I always look at that there must be a thing behind people making Wall Street bet styles and low battery I wonder what the correlation is hmm I don't know that's a thought to ponder upon okay anyway start get let's get back to we're gonna slip this to the side and we're gonna be looking at the chart here in a second so again he bought 70 calls it isn't clarify when he bought them or so forth but it just shows the overall return on them again with earnings coming on Thursday as everyone knows earnings can be a complete coin flip and especially for Nvidia there's gonna be multiple different factors that we want to look at we're gonna look at GPU sales gpo sales to the cloud and then they acquired Mellotron X at the end of April I believe so that's gonna be we need to hear what they say about that and then of course we're gonna look at gross margin because that's a huge component within the GPU and the segments of that whether it fall into is constantly improving on the the gross margin so that's the fundamental things so looking at the chart here this is again this is just a daily chart and you can see here since the bottom of again of last March of this past March it has been going up like a rocket ship lack of a better words having a huge gap up from the bottom and just continue writing up to 21 exponential moving average again the 21 exponential moving average is a yellow line and that's what we use to kind of track a potential trend going up or down so and of course it has a huge gap up the last couple days and it's up just again nearly three percent today ten dollars today hitting again an all-time high again and this news right here I believe that was last Friday was due to some of the China related stuff on the trade deals oh so this is a what do you do here like again like we talked about this is gonna be a Wall Street bets I'll trade for the that individual but again if this was me and anyone who had reasonable conservative investing mindset would be taking majority of it by majority of you 90% of it off the table because that's a huge return he does a short period of time that being said if he's gonna do a complete Yolo which again doesn't talk about them discussion we can talk about some potential price targets that we're looking at here so first and foremost so we're gonna be looking at what is the expected move for that week so 2 plus or minus 30 bucks 30 bucks so that's quite substantial $30 again it's a $360 stock so basically we would put it up about 390 we'll put that here create a line there and then below again minus 30 is give you 330 which we are here at or below so this is basically the potential trading range for this week on earnings but again earnings can go this is just the one standard deviation move but this is the 68% I'll move of the bell curve so looking at this as a whole this could potentially go further out it could go easily to 425 again no one has to crystal ball earnings can be complete coin flip and who knows if Nvidia says oh we have a cure for a vaccine of some kind you just don't that's not likely for sure but through their awesome GPU powers they can find some wormhole and that wormhole leads them down a path and that path they open up a chest and that has the magic formula to cure all diseases I don't know they seems a little far out there maybe for some folks but you never know that being said let's get back into the charts of things again lo this is the bear case this is the bull case if everything goes great and fantastic we're looking at above 390 anything kind of goes sour negative they're probably gonna get guidance like most companies haven't but that being said if it goes bad there's some just they missed some numbers the revenue is not as strong as the Wall Street's want it and that could come down to the 330 level again even if it comes with a 330 level that's still a pretty high momentum stock between the 5 and the 8 expansion moving average on the daily chart this just shows you that is has been a huge rider of momentum because these are super fast momentum EMAS here if it comes down closer to the 21 which is around a price target work again I'm not in the stock what I would be comfortable starting to pick up unless they come out with super negative news things like that so if we go back to the wormhole example if they open up that wormhole but they brought back diseases to us that would be a bad scenario there I'll stop talking about wormholes anyways that being said looking for a potential heading for or adding a position for me would be around the 3 10 level potentially even lower to 290 I know the stock has run up so much and earnings really has to come through and I hope the best for NVIDIA I love their products I have a GPU that I'm recording this video on right now using their product really do enjoy their stuff ok so let's go ahead and dive into the options chain so let's look at this guy so he let's start with a very far-out one he bought basically was at the 17 he bought the 21 January 2022 and he bought the 470 call 470 call is basically you can see here there's a lot a lot of volume there it looks like other Wall Street bets folks bought this as well when they saw the post this post has been around for about six or seven hours so looking around $45 basically the guy bought it for around 41 when the picture was taken I don't know if that was again we don't know exactly when he bought this but that is a already a nice small profit in that sense being that far out you can see here on what the call options are trading that are in the money again so if it jumps to 390 we're talking about three or four percentages from what we're looking at that could be an easy large profit for him jumping these calls from easy from forty to forty five dollars easily to sixty to fifty-five dollars so making a pretty nice thirty to forty percent return on just on that and these are again 606 hundred twelve days out so he's got plenty of time for those to come to fruition and again if anything goes crazy we're not gonna talk about wormholes anymore but if that wormhole disco sour then we're gonna be looking at he bought some on the 17th of July all right here we go any bought three sixty so these are basically gonna be trading right at the money so these gonna be making substantially profit closer you are to the in the money or if you're closer sorry we're closer to the current stock price or being in the money or being above it or below it that you're gonna be getting a nice chunk of change for those calls and further out you can see like these options all way down here are not as highly priced due to their value of being that far away from the strike price that's how options work and lack of a better words so that being said again if the earnings call goes great and it goes to 390 like we they people are projecting this could easily jump up to fifty dollars or five thousand dollars an options contract so it's trading around three thousand dollars a contract now again if it goes the opposite direction we could be seeing this options contract cut in half and even more so trading it around 1200 to 1400 because that implied volatility it's gonna be shrinking down let's look because they see on they see on the May 22nd that's the week of earnings you see the implied volatility being super high due to the fact of an earnings event which creates volatility because usually stocks move the most four times a year around earnings unless there's some kind of news driven thing around it and then he has actually two more call spreads or call options within the 19th and 16th or no the 12th and this 19th sorry having just one here at 375 again this is still out of the money as well but still could be a nice chunk of change if the earnings goes his way then the last but not least we have the 455 call which is really far out for just being such being so close to what we're looking at here we're gonna be looking at the 455 basically here he bought it or was looking at his price again didn't know when he bought it at a dollar 28 again they're trading about little they're not the most liquid because the spreads pretty substantial to talk about nearly 50 cents or $50 between probably like 175 180 to try to get the mid price there but we're talking we're quite a far away's away from the being in the money or even being near the strike price and not giving too much time we're talking 24 days to try to get that 455 I think this is just a complete a bet in a yellow bet for him to see if a potentially if it hits the three ninety four hundred that these call options can easily 10x to easily seven to eight ten dollars per options contract well so we'll again we'll see we'll do an update potentially if the individual does post it after earnings would like to see what he decides to do were she we're not harmed sure most likely he cuz he does have a let's see how that trade plays out and how if he's able to be selling if he's getting out and things like that I think he might be sounding like it if he posted on Wall Street's bet that he's gonna be doing a yellow trade but my advice to him is to try to get take some of that money off the table to feed yourself a nice wormhole okay I'll stop talk about where holes guys thank you again so much for watching in the ongoing support here for the dyslexic investor stuff here I really do appreciate making these videos for you guys again if there's anything and you want to talk about want me to discuss more please put that in the comment section down below or wherever the hell they moved it if you are interested on joining the awesome fantastic dyslexic investor club discord you're more than welcome that's also in the description and if you want to take your membership and love for the channel a little bit further we also have a patreon page also down below where you can get support on ongoing stuff within the market watch lists and fun stuff like that and support the channel at the same time greatly appreciate that don't forget to hit the like and subscribe as well if you like this content again this is Ken from the dyslexic investor and I'll catch you guys on the flip side peace you
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