저자: 미상 · 외국인
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S&P500·나스닥100이 주요 이동평균선 위에서 상승 추세를 유지 중이며, 414 저항 돌파 지속 시 417·421 방향으로 상승 가능성을 제시. 비트코인은 20일선 지지 테스트 중으로 28,000 이탈 여부 확인 필요. 테슬라는 183 지지 이탈로 하락 가능성을 언급. 엔비디아는 274 돌파 확인 후 282.5·300 목표. 시장 전반은 강세 추세를 유지하며 약세 베팅은 시기상조라는 입장. 근거는 이동평균선 배열, 지지·저항 수준 및 갭 메우기 목표가.
다듬은 글
today we had another exciting day of going absolutely nowhere as the market braces for big Tech earnings py was down point zero two percent so we went absolutely nowhere but looking at the price action we're still getting two consecutive closes over that critical resistance at 414 and price action is still above all the moving averages so do not become one of those complacent bears that thinks the market is topping out wait for Price action to prove it because right now we have bullish price and a bullish Trend keep in mind you manage your risk right here at spy 411 which from today's close is not even one percent lower so you have very little risk to stay bullish in a bull Trend it's only those trying to call a top that think spy can't get into the 420s that are taking unnecessary risk unless you want to manage your risk from this previous daily high at 417 which is complete really fine but on a break above that level you need to be open to the possibility of spy going to close the gap at 421 so this is really as simple as is a bull Trend until it's not and we're going to let the pricey action do all the Talking above 414 we likely go to 417 and then 421 and our critical supports are 411 and 40 five percent so we went absolutely nowhere and yet again pricey action is still above all the moving averages in a bull Trend just like spy there's a good chance we're going higher to close the gap at 322 and hit that double bottom price Target at 327 while we are above the critical support down here which is the breakout zone between 311 and 313.
manage a risk from that critical support because if we break below it we're likely going to fill the Gap at 308. it's a bull Trend until it's not so wait for Price action to tell us it's not and right now price action is still telling us it is in the Dow Jones we were down 0.24 today with the pricey action still closing above all the moving averages and now we have the 20 simple moving average crossing over the 50 EMA so we officially have the football Trend the fives above the 13 the 13's above the 20 the 20s above the 50 and the 50s above the 200 and they're all positively sloping manager risk at critical support at 334 in the next upside price Target is likely going to be 346.
on the Russell 2000 iwm ETF we were up 0.13 today and we're still closing below this negatively sloping 50 EMA so that's going to be strong resistance right around 179 and this Gap closed right around 181.28 the bull breakout isn't until we start closing above 181 so wait for confirmation or if you're long 76 to about 173.
on the arcade ETF we were down about 0.08 percent today and we are still closing below lose above 40.5 critical support remains 37 and 36. on the vix we were down 2.32 today as the vix makes another daily lower low when the vix is now trading near 16 which are levels we typically do not see if we're in a bear market so the vix is continuing to tell us we're likely entering a bull market on bitcoin we're currently down 4.2 percent as Bitcoin is pulling back to test the rising 20 daily moving average of support which is our breakout Zone above 28 to 29 000.
this could be a retest before we go higher or Bitcoin could be trying to roll over but wait for confirmation that it's rolling over on the close below 28 000. if we bounce off the rising 20 daily moving average our next upside price Target will be 31 800. on Google stock we were down point three one percent today and Google did get the second Dana row closing down below the 20 daily moving average so you need to be cautious here and manage your risk right around this support zone between 100 and 102.
below that we likely come back down towards the breakout at 95 but we have upward gaps to fill out 106.84 and just below 110. so I do think there's a very good chance we are going to balance and close those gaps before earnings on Amazon stock we're up 1.96 percent today and Amazon had a very bullish candle with a bullish engulfing candle that also broke above the critical resistance at 104 so it does look like Amazon is getting ready to run to go hit our upside price targets at 107 and just below 109.
those are targets we will likely hit before earnings and this is a bullish breakout with very little resistance above the breakout so stay bullish as long as we're above 102 and 104. on Microsoft stock we were up point zero three percent today and intraday we did closed back over all the moving averages with the price action yet again but we have not yet broken above the critical resistance at 290.
we need to break above 290 to get to the price Target at the gap for the 296 and critical downside support remains 283 and then below that we're looking for Gap fills at 281 and 276. on Nvidia stock we're up 0.95 today as this stock continues to burn the Bears trying to call it top and we're now getting another confirmation of a breakout and close above 274.
above here we likely at the price Target at 282.5 and if we start clearing above that we're likely going straight to 300. on a break below 274 we do have a gap of 270 and critical support remains this zone between 262 and 264. on Tesla stock we were down 2.02 percent today as Tesla did gap down below this critical support at 183 and it did open a gap to fill above just above 183.
so as you can tell this is a loss of a critical support Zone which means we're likely going down to the next critical support Zone at 173 and then 167 and if we lose all of that support then we will be looking for that Gap fill Zone at 146. we're not getting bullish until we get back over 190 and it's as simple as that on Apple stock we're at 0.7 percent today as Apple has another bullish engulfing daily candle and very close to our price circuit at 169 and then the Gap fill out 171 so this remains a bullish Trend as long as Apple continues to close above 163 and the breakout Zone at 165.
on the financials we are 0.24 with a second day in a row back over the 50 EMA and likely pushing higher towards the 200 daily moving average next the Industrials were down point zero eight percent today with a continuation of building up this bull Trend we just simply need to break that resistance just above 101.
the healthcare sector was up 0.31 today failing to break back over 134 so that's going to remain resistance until we can close back above it but we are .35 percent today but it's continuing to look bullish the longer we continue to close Above This Gap fill zone between 84 to 85. so jumping back over to the S P 500 while these are very flat and boring days nothing has changed in the bull Trend in the price action and the trend are still bullish we hav moving averages and we still have a bull Trend so if you're waiting to get bearish on this Market you have no confirmation that the market is losing the bull Trend be very cautious trying to call a top there's a lot of bear sentiment out there and there's a lot of complacent pairs who have been continuing to call for the vix to spike and the market to roll over and die however the Market continues to go higher follow the market follow the price and follow the trend and you will have a much simpler time trading this Market if you want to come trade with other pricey action Traders and get access to all of my internet Bank trailer which is an algorithm driven trade alert service that will send you all of your buy and seller stri]
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