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hursday, October 8th. Here is the topic. The other side of the peak. I'll be discussing why this chart is dangerous . The chart you see in the background is the German Dax chart, but I also feel that the American Book index is a bit risky. The US and Japan have been doing very well with bears continuing, but since it fell today, I'll also look for further downtrends.
However, I also have the feeling that there are some risky charts on the other side, and that we need to keep an eye on them , so I'll be checking those charts. Please join us. Therefore, this channel provid, always with a gentle goal in mind . . Well, please subscribe to the "Gentl has fallen by 648 yen.
Unsurprisingly, profit-taking sales weighed heavily on the market due to the continued rise in interest rates and the strong recent gains. However, the impression that they managed to maintain 70,000 yen remains strong, and I think whether they can maintain 70,000 yen today will be a very important point .
Stocks that are currently declining are, proportionally speaking, the ones that are causing the most trouble. The TOPIX index is also falling. The Nikkei average saw a slightly higher rate of decline. The Gross 250 has also fallen by more than 1%. Looking at the top holdings in Kyoto, SoftBank Group and EPDC are among the top, but basically, I think that the reaction was that structural stocks were pressured by profit-taking sales.
However, Memoriesia, which was already weak, was sold off 4.46%, and I think that this is a separate issue and that the 10th class and other factors are also involved . Looking at the industry-specific rankings, I think there are very few sectors that are showing significant growth . Conversely, the biggest decliners were banks and private securities firms, which clearly shows that the selling was widespread .
Let's take a look at US stocks . As of 4:19 AM, all major indices are down, including Russell's . European stocks are also showing a noticeable, somewhat larger decline . Germany has also seen a decline of over 1%, and Italy has seen a larger decline of 2.5%. Checking the heatmap by industry reveals that more than half are experiencing a decline.
A 2.07% increase in capital gains in a declining sector is quite significant. Among the declines, the worsening chart performance, such as Caterpillar's 6.06% drop, is a cause for concern . Looking at Nastack 100, some, like Micron, are performing well, but proportionally there are more reds, and Socks was also in the negative.
If Nikkei futures are down 372 yen, it's highly likely they will start below 70,000 yen . The price of 01 Bigs, which is 158 yen, is stable. 15.09 A slight increase. long term interest rate. The market is still in positive territory at this time of day, but it seems to have calmed down a bit compared to a while ago .
The cause is rising. However, it must be 8890 or less . Gold is rising, while cryptocurrencies seem to have fallen sharply today. Let's take a look . I'll be discussing the reasons behind the decline in Japanese and US stocks, using two charts that indicate a dangerous situation . First, as always , let me check ed .
The reason the Dow started lower is because of rising interest rates . [Snorting] The advice was to sell tech stocks and volatile stocks . Long-term interest rates rose to 5.36% at 1:00 . Looking at the cooling chart, it has recovered to the same level as the previous day, but the highest point was 5.365, which means that very high levels tend to trigger selling pressure due to relative valuations .
For very strong stocks like Magnificent 7 , there was a lot of buying activity, but I think that the higher the price, the more people tend to notice the gap, and there was also some caution regarding FMC's pseudo-paper . Regarding the FMC technology, the announcement time was 27:00, which is 3:00 AM Japan time, but there wasn't much activity around 3:00 AM .
I don't think there were any major surprises . Let's take a look at the rankings by trading volume . Mike Technology is at the top of the list. It's been a while since we've seen SanDisk products listed together, which gave me that impression. The others were only slightly lower, but all of them were in the form of declines .
Looking at the micro chart , it seems there's still some distance to go from the high , and there are signs that the upside has been limited recently. The same can be said for SanDisk, which had broken through the mid-band, so it can be said that it was very weak compared to Nastax and the S&P 500, which were hitting new highs one after another.
However, even though the two stocks with the highest trading volume were rising, the SOCKS index was falling, right? Looking at other reaction stocks, this is the main area, but with the exception of Mike SanDisk, they are mostly red. As a result, the Socks Index also formed a key line, and along with the stabilization of interest rates, the chart shows a negative value of more than 1% .
Regarding Nastack, we were able to include the key points, but we weren't able to bring in the plus tickets . It's not that the chart itself is getting worse, but the fact that it couldn't get into positive territory suggests a certain weakness, and I think there's a strong sense of caution regarding further upward movement.
Among those, the chart that represents a risk for US stocks is the Russell 2000 Small Cap index . Today's closing price has hit a new low . This is the key line that will be affected, so the price will go up from here. While the intraday low is lower on this side, the discounted price is still hitting new lows , which intensifies concerns about further declines in this chart.
The Russell Index is said to be an index of 2,000 stocks that focus on small and mid-cap stocks , but it is said that small and mid-cap stocks better reflect the reality of the American economy, so it can be seen as a leading indicator . Even if we keep raising our expectations by focusing on a limited number of stocks like NASA and the S&P 500, if the reality in America is different, we may need to be wary of what might happen in the future .
Nikkei futures are down 359 yen . Today, the market is likely to start below the 70,000 yen mark . Yesterday, buying activity increased when the price reached 70,000 yen. The price managed to stay above 70,000 yen until the end, but if it falls below 70,000 yen, there's a possibility that selling pressure might take over .
Let's take a look at the ranking of sales by value. Yesterday, Advantest was the top stock by trading volume , but now, at roughly the same level, Memory Match is at the top again. However, memory has fallen by 4.46%, and is now trading below the 25-day moving average . Other reaction stocks, such as Nikkei Wall, were also performing very well, but the fact that it fell even more sharply when other stocks were sold off really makes you feel the weight of the supply and demand balance .
Also, the biggest drop yesterday was in Disco, which had been doing well, down 6.29%. The reason for this decline is different from the earnings announcement made the previous day, and it is due to preliminary figures for standalone sales and shipments . I think those are very good numbers, but there were no surprises, and it ended up being a rig-selling situation .
This pattern gives me a slightly unsettling feeling, doesn't it? If people feel that their stock price might fall even after reporting strong earnings, I think they'll become more cautious about earnings announcements. I'd like to check how the hourly wage has changed as a result of yesterday's decline, but the current credit ratio is 6.38 times .
This is October 2nd. So, looking at the date and time, on October 56th the credit ratio had fallen to around 4 times, but how did it change in yesterday's movements? Yes. Uh, I've displayed the Matsui app screen. Using the Matsui Hatsumin app allows you to receive and trade on the same day, and it's very timely, so it's convenient .
Please try using it if you'd like. The URL is in the description box. And as for yesterday, well, there has been an increase in dissolutions due to trust issues . And when we look at the total amount of money spent on the day of the credit dissolution, we can see that it is considerably more than what we expected for the day .
That's why the number has increased . The multiplier has risen to 9.98 times, and I think many people are quite conscious of the apparent credit ratio, but please be aware that the burden on recipients has also increased, and I think the risk of a deeper correction is on the rise. And what I was also concerned about today was the weakness of European stocks .
German stocks are down halfway, while French stocks are at their lowest level in six months. As you can see from the headline of this article, the situation is very weak, and I believe there are concerns about Europe, debt, and fiscal stability . Looking at the Dax chart, it seems to be close to Russell's, and when it hits its recent low, it confirms a downtrend again and continues to slide down .
While the Nikkei 225 index has just surpassed 70,000 yen and the S&P 500 has hit a new record high, creating an atmosphere of excitement in the stock market, small-cap stocks in the US are actually falling. Since European stocks are also falling , I think there's a possibility that concerns will suddenly intensify somewhere .
Let's keep a close eye on that . So, here's a summary of today's video . US stocks fell, triggered by rising interest rates, leading to early selling pressure . In the end, interest rates remained flat, and we reached the target level, but we couldn't bring them into positive territory . Even though Mike SanDisk, a stock with high trading volume, is rising, the SOCKS index is falling.
Many of the other stocks were in the red . I don't think the charts will worsen, according to the indices, but Russell was quite worried. Based on discounted prices, the price had also fallen below the recent low. If the Nikkei average continues to fall, there is a possibility that it could drop below 70,000 yen .
Yesterday, the market showed strong movement towards the 70,000 yen level during the day, so if it falls below that, it's a bit worrying in the short term. The person who remembers wrote that the chart had gotten worse and that attention should be paid to the changes in real estate stocks, and I think there was also talk that a major shareholder had sold, which would change the real estate stock ratio and cause the weight of the TOPIX to rise dramatically.
That's something to be careful about . Its market capitalization is still quite large, you know . [Snorting] Disco's stock price fell, and the fact that there were no surprises in the construction performance meant that the stock price would fall, which increased caution regarding future settlements, and that was the conclusion .
European stocks are also very weak. The German Dax is also in a downward trend if it falls below its recent low , and French stocks are also in a very weak state right now, so please be aware that it's difficult to know where the trigger point might be. Now let's check each index using the daily Bollinger Bands plus RSI .
Now let's check the closing value . Did it recover a little at the end ? The decline in N-Stack and similar stocks was limited, and Fang Plus is in positive territory. Sock Russell is over 1%. It seems the box hasn't been returned to its original position as much as it should have. Nikkei futures are down 386 yen, and it seems unavoidable that they will start with less than 7 contracts .
Now let's take a look at the chart for the Nikkei Stock Average . It ended with a drop of 648 yen . 70,035 yen. From a chart perspective, the Bollinger Jam +2 signatures matched up, so hopefully it can hold on here . If this is truly a band walk, I hope this upward trend continues . I'd really like to see them show some strength today, but I think they'll probably start below 70,000 yen.
I'd like to see if a key line can be drawn from there, or if it will exceed 70,000 yen again . Let's take a look at the topics. The TOPIX index closed at a low price, forming a bearish candlestick after an upward trend. From a chart perspective , a bearish candlestick with a long upper shadow at a high point looks bad.
Yes, I think there's a possibility that the correction will be prolonged , and we should carefully monitor how things move now that Bay Ab has fallen and recovered . Growth 250. This one also formed a large bearish candlestick with a 1.26% decline . Since it had already surpassed its recent high the day before , it won't collapse so easily.
We need to keep a close eye on whether this mid-band will act as support, and whether it can reverse course and rise again without breaking below R50, and monitor the situation carefully over the next few days . The New York group was down 0.66% , and it appears that the mid-band acted as resistance, resulting in a bearish candlestick.
If the price doesn't break below the recent low, then it's on our side. I think whether or not the price breaks below the recent low will be a very important point. The S&P 500 is up 0.22%. It definitely gives off a bottom-heavy feel. The downward extension and the key lines give it a shape that leaves the impression that it's not weak.
The same applies to Nastack . The chart has taken the form of a downward-extending key line , and if it had been a bearish candle today, I think it could be described as a top sign, like some kind of intoxicating charm. But because it has a key line, I think it's a chart that gives the impression of a bottom, and a sense of strength that it will move upward.
Let's take a look at Russell 2000 . This is definitely a point of concern, isn't it? The chart strongly suggests that the downward trend is continuing, as the closing price has broken below the recent low. When the pressure drops to -2σ, the level of caution increases. Lastly, socks. Regarding Socks, it's also showing key lines, and like S& P Nana Stack, it seems that these stocks are still in a bottoming-out phase, or at least continuing their upward trend .
However, the crucial point is whether the price will continue to fall from here, so let's take another look at the movements in the wilderness . yes. So today I used the Russell and European stocks, and the Dax, as chart examples to illustrate the dangers of the current market. However, I think there's a possibility that Italy and France might be in an even worse state.
While Russell and European stocks are n't charts that you'd normally see at a glance, this could be the trigger for a gradual decline, or it could also be the trigger for a sudden drop . I will be following that every day, so please stay tuned . Now, let me share some announcements with you today . A magazine that analyzes individual stocks .
I plan to publish a new article tomorrow morning . The system currently being analyzed is Cybersecurity Cloud. I would like to analyze some of the stocks that have attracted particular attention . If you're interested, please join me. schedule in this format, aiming for 7 AM, he technical analysis. Goodbye.
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