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Hello, the Director gave a signal of a rebound today. The KOSDAQ 150 briefly hit -2.43% but closed up 1.84%, while the KOSPI 200 also fell 2.53% before rolling back up to a near-flat level with a 0.2% decline. This morning, around 9:30, I told our members that a strong rebound signal had emerged and that it was a good time to add to our positions for those who are currently stuck with index investments.
Since then, we have seen this positive pattern on the KOSPI 200 weekly chart. I emphasized that the line is very important, and the rebound signal appeared without breaking the line. Even if it drops further, it needs to hold this line. The KOSDAQ 150 also strongly lifted from the vicinity without breaking the previous low; this area is the zone where it received support and lifted strongly.
Regarding the secondary battery sector, EcoPro rose tremendously during the peak of the boom, only to get hit hard with a long upper wick. That was the time when it surged significantly following the announcement of the short-selling ban. The low point at that time... It is holding its ground. It is fortunate that a sign of a rebound has emerged.
While further rebounds are possible over the next two or three days, regarding the gap down, since gap levels can act as resistance anywhere in the vicinity, even if a rebound occurs, for those approaching with a swing trade, this is a point where you should liquidate your position. It is a disadvantage for swing traders.
I mentioned in the last video that I would enter Samsung Electronics as a swing trade, but it has broken out of the uptrend. It has temporarily formed a channel of the same width as the uptrend channel, and it has broken through the lower end of that channel and this important line. Therefore, I said that if it reaches the 66,000 won range, it would be a good entry point, and that I was waiting for the 66,000 won level.
Today, it fell to 66,600 won and then rolled back up, so I also made a purchase. Furthermore, despite the financial investment, economic crisis, and various negative talk, Samsung Electronics continues to show an upward trend like this. Even if it falls further from here, it is a point where it will rise three more times.
Even if it goes back down to 50,000 won, this 60,000 The price is in the 6,000 won range, so it is a very solid entry point. It is only when using 2x or 3x leverage that one feels uneasy; however, if you are estimating a one-fold increase in the index or looking at a stock like Samsung Electronics that consistently trends upward over the long term, you can enter this position and, even if you get stuck, just steadily accumulate shares.
It is a position that does not pose a significant burden. Even if the situation we fear occurs, if we leave it alone, it will return to this level. It is a position where you can make a profit and exit by buying more if it drops and bringing the price down to the upper limit. Anyway, in my case, I entered a buy position for swing trading, and if a rebound occurs from here, I plan to realize profits by selling in installments near the channel consultation area.
Moving on to the US market, the SXX is rebounding. In the last video, I mentioned that the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index must not break the annual 4,290 level. I said that if this line was revealed, it would be absolute chaos, and it has not been broken yet. When I mentioned this in the last video, I said there is still room for further decline, and even if it falls further, this level must be held.
I told you it would work, and although there was another big drop on Friday, we are currently seeing a rebound while the market remains within the critical zone. In addition, regarding the Nasdaq Backswing chart, I advised that it should not break out of the ascending channel, and there is still some room for decline within that channel.
While it would be best if the rebound occurred immediately without reaching this point, as I mentioned earlier while looking at past charts, I warned that if the market breaks out of the uptrend and this channel, we must prepare for a significant drop. Looking at past charts, we must prepare for a decline when the trend is broken.
Although it won't be exactly like 2008, if you look at the charts intermittently, you can see that a major drop follows when the uptrend is broken. Because of the large drop that occurs when the trend is broken, I am also keeping a close eye on these critical zones. For those who think the bear market has just begun, I previously mentioned during "Bear Market 1" that you could see significant profits simply by buying when the Stochastic indicator is in a "puddle." If, by any chance, this is the real start of the bear market, last August was the opportunity presented by the first puddle.
Compared to the bear market of 2022, things will be different. You can make significant profits simply by buying only when a positive trend appears. For those who view the market negatively, this is a viable strategy. If the US market had fallen as much as the global market, one could enter a buy order without hesitation.
However, looking at the NASDAQ monthly chart, the decline is minimal compared to the rise; it is only a minor fluctuation. Currently, the market is in chaos. The difference is enormous compared to the global market. If the US market had fallen as much as the global market, one would have entered with large amounts without hesitation, but that is also a very cautious drawback.
On this monthly chart, a candle close to a bearish upper wick could indicate a turning point for the downtrend. Although a rebound is currently occurring, it is weak. If it twists again and breaks out of this upward channel, and the Philadelphia Semiconductor also breaks out of this area, a situation that is truly unimaginable could unfold.
Therefore, we must be cautious in September and October, and with the presidential election approaching, there are too many factors to be wary of. Given the circumstances, I am also approaching this very cautiously. I will try growing it tonight as well, and I will come back if there are any significant changes. Thank you.
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