저자: Igor · 외국인
요약 보기
결론: 연말 랠리 과열 속 1월 조정을 대비해 S&P500·나스닥100 풋 또는 풋스프레드 매수를 권하는 영상. 거시지표: 주간 실업수당 청구건수는 예상 22만건 대비 22.2만건으로 큰 변화 없음, 중립적 수치로 판단. 아마존 실적·홀리데이 시즌: 아마존이 홀리데이 판매 기록 경신과 프라임 배송 증가를 밝힘. 에코닷·알렉사 스크린 제품이 잘 팔렸고 룸바(아이로봇)가 베스트셀러로 언급됨. 아이로봇은 약 44~45달러 저점 이후 반등 중이며 관세 인하 시 수혜 가능성 언급(주가 50.94달러 수준). 보잉: 737 맥스 관련 직원 우려 문서를 제때 공개하지 않은 문제로 압박 예상되나, 최저점 인식으로 하방 제한 기대. 풋 매수보다는 주의 요망. 월마트: 아마존 호실적의 온라인 경쟁 수혜 가능성 언급. 바이오(BA? 아님 Biohaven 등 제약): 제약사가 알러젠을 인수한 것으로 언급, 차트상 상승 돌파 임박으로 긍정적 평가. 원유·에너지: 수요 대비 원유 재고 감소로 유가 상승 여지 언급. 쉐브론(배당 약 5%)과 엑슨모빌(약 5%)을 안정적 에너지주로 제시, 옥시덴털(OXY)도 긍정적 평가. 시장 전망: S&P500과 나스닥100은 과매수(RSI 과열) 상태. 세금 목적 매도가 1월 나타날 것으로 보고 조정 대비 현금 확보 필요. 반도체는 연말 큰 상승 후 조정 대기 권고. 실행 전략: SPY, QQQ 풋 또는 1월 만기 풋스프레드 매수로 소폭 조정 대비. 단기 조정 가능성 강조. 리스크: 연말 산타랠리 지속 가능성, 과열 구간에서도 상승 추세 유지 가능성 존재.
다듬은 글
hi guys this Igor and today is December 26 2009 teen and here's what's happening in markets by the way happy holidays to everyone here's what's happening in the markets unemployment numbers came out at 8:30 today and they were expecting 220,000 and the number was 222,000 not a big increase in unemployment so it's gonna be a benign number it's a weekly unemployment number so nothing nothing on that front ok so Amazon came out was their holiday sales and they said that they really broke all records on holiday sales and prime deliveries increased I don't know how many times twice a lot of people try it Prime I think 5 5 5 million more people to try to prime and I actually like Amazon stuff here it didn't it didn't really participate in a huge rally on a stock market this year so it could be an interesting pickup actually stock or Kohl's I usually play calls because that is very very expensive for that as well so the interesting part about Amazon that they said they mentioned some items that solved well this season especially Eco dot that's there Alexa product that basically with was the screen they also mentioned some toys lol toil so something like that but the interesting mentioned was about iRobot they said that IRA but Roomba was one of their best sellers so I Robert iRobot is the stock that been struggling lately especially this year but it's been coming up a little bit and it could be an interesting place at the very bottom pretty much I mean the bottom was like around 44 or 45 dollars by the straining it's not the very expensive stock it's trading at $50 $50 94 cents as of last Tuesday close and it could be making a move here so especially considering the fact that maybe the tariffs are coming down at tariffs are killing them and this could be an interesting stock to play because Amazon mentioned them on on their report so I would really consider this of course I have to say I have to mention boring because again they said that they they have discovered the documents about their employees worrying about the problems with Mac's 737 and they didn't disclose disclose them in time so this stock will be under pressure but I don't expect too much pull back because a lot of people think that Boeing is at the bottom that all the good bad news are out and again this is duopoly so it's only Boeing and Airbus so a lot of people are picking up stuck here so I think it will be under pressure a little bit but not that much okay so if you're thinking or playing puts or short be careful because there is a lot of support for the stock for some reason I mean the reason is that people think it's the bottom pretty much okay so another stuff that I will be watching today is Andy again and these are pre market but as you can see it's overbought and it's it's a tough buy here at least for me so the MD probably will be up at this session but I think the semiconductors are going to pull back a little bit in new year as the whole market so I will be very careful to to buy stocks in general especially semiconductors that were had a huge run at especially at the end of 2019 I would be very careful to buy them here so let them come down a little bit okay so Amazon report goes would very well for Walmart who also have has a huge online presence and I think the stock could be trading up as well I also like continue to like a be happy is good pharmaceutical company who just acquired allergen and they are a generic drug maker as you can see the chart looks good to me I mean it's basically like a bull flag trade trending here it's about to break out on to the top the Magda is about to cross here so I like up to here but in terms of oil oil straight ready higher the the inventories that were reported on Wednesday crude inventories were lower so I'm considering to play some oil major oil stocks like Chevron who is the Chevron is yielding 5% and the chart looks pretty good to me I mean actually Chevron is using 4% Exxon is wielding 5% so it's it's a steady oil stock so if you were planning to invest in oil in oil industry and without risking too much money I think Chevron is good here also Exxon is good at this point I think it's it's been an underperforming this year but was the Euro 5 percent and a lot of project is in a lot of countries like Ghana it could be an interesting play also I like oxy because I'll see spin has been killed and it's a decent stock it's it's a decent company and I think you could play up and play an up movement a little bit and the last two picks are S&P 500 and cubic you because S&P 500 is very overbought here so and QQ as well as here as you can see it here it's very overbought RSI is very horrible so I think the Christmas table is still intact but a lot of people are waiting as far as I know are waiting for the new year for it and to have to sell some stocks for the tax purposes they're not selling it right now but it will be some selling in January so I'd like to raise some cash or prepare for some pullback in January so I'm interested to play SP s py and qdq puts or put spreads are more likely that's I'm gonna play I'm gonna buy some puts press and QQ spread put spreads for January to prepare myself for a little pullback okay that's the wrap for today and I'll see you tomorrow
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