저자: Honeybee · 한국인
요약 보기
나스닥 선물이 일봉 과매도(RSI 20 수준)까지 밀렸으나 반등 다이버전스가 없어 추가 하락 가능성이 높다고 봄. 매수는 17,200~17,500 회복 후 또는 15,330 부근에서 재검토. 과거 매수한 SOXL 등은 손절/비중 조절 언급, 지수형 ETF 위주 접근과 분할 매수 강조. 추가 하락 시 15,330 근처 2차 매수 구간 제시.
다듬은 글
Nice to meet you, Cola. This is Honeybee. I will now brief you on the advantages of today's Nasdaq futures and share my thoughts on the matter . What you are seeing now is the daily chart of NASDAQ futures. If you look at Nasdaq futures, wow, you've lost your mind, right? It is showing tremendous movement.
The fact that the oversold level on the daily chart has reached 20 is truly unprecedented. If you look at this. This is the COVID-19 and 2022 Russia war, but the overselling is greater right now . We are currently at this point. 20. I will now look at the gold bar. In the pre-load briefing video on Friday, I think the position was probably around this level at that time, but based on NASA futures, when I looked at the exact angle, it was 17.200 and 17.500.
It's not 600, so I won't buy until I get here . I told you that if we reach this point, I would try to enter again every week for the first round . The Friday market ended just as it settled right here . So, I heard about buying Soksuri through a community post, and at that time, my average purchase price was 8.81.
It is the 8th. And I hadn't mentioned it before, but after seeing it hit here during trading, I also entered a buy position for TQ. I came here expecting a very effective rebound, but it broke through in one go. So, I feel that the downward force is very strong . Here, I think there is a high possibility of further decline.
Because, as you can see, with a decline of this magnitude, a candle showing a rebound like this should have appeared along with this divergence, but as you can see, it closed with a bearish candle . Therefore, based on my criteria, for a rebound to occur from here, a candle must appear that breaks this low point at least .
I believe that a rebound would only be possible when a bullish divergence forms, where the stock price lows go down and the indicator lows go up; however, there are currently no signs of divergence visible on the 4-hour chart. Looking at the two-hour chart, it seems to be trying to rise slightly from here, but for that to happen, it also needs to break its low .
In a unit of just about one hour. This is exactly the kind of candle I am looking for right now at a high timeframe . It shows a closing bullish candle with the lowest low point compared to the surrounding ones . At the same time, it would be even better if the RSI dropped to 30, indicating oversold conditions .
However, since the overall trend is bad, it rebounded a little and is coming back down. So, looking at the current Nasdaq futures and the candlestick chart, I believe there is a higher possibility of further decline. So, I set out with 1, 2, and 3 points here, but I do n't think I will see a buy here.
I don't think we'll see a buy opportunity here, so I'll look at the next buying zone around 15,330 . This is the second light of the Nasdaq . And it is also the area where it fell from its peak to the level of COVID. Oh, I'm really scared of making myself cry. If you're worried about falling even deeper, here it is.
Also, since the resistance previously acted as support, it is acceptable to approach a buy position after it surpasses 17,200 to 17,500. So, if the price reaches around 15,330 during today's trading session, I plan to make another purchase there. I will wait and see until then. I will explain it this way .
I will summarize. Okay, I broke through the first light of the gift in one go and have now reached the second support . However, the appearance of a meaningful bullish candle at this second support level, and the gradual decline with only bearish candles while renewing the low, is quite unfavorable.
Furthermore, since there is not even divergence, I am stating that I will not consider buying at this time and will observe the market until I come here. And if, during today's trading session, the candlestick somehow breaks the low point in the Bollinger Bands like this, holds here, and then a bullish candle breaks through the Bollinger Bands and rises, that is how it will turn out, and I am showing you the shape right now.
Remember this shape. If it shows this kind of pattern, or if a bullish divergence occurs in this way, I believe this becomes a zone where secondary buying is possible. So, I would like to say that I will not buy until this pattern appears or until it reaches 15,330. yes. Next, let's look at the secular world.
Soksess escaped from here all at once. Ah, actually, I violated my trading principles here as well. I clearly stated in the briefing video on the advantages of the Nasdaq that if the position were to break out like this, it should be cut, but instead, I received it. August 8th. yes. I am reflecting on this quite a bit .
I am reflecting on my actions. Now, in the case of the next Speed X, well, here it is approximately 170. This 170 has completely deviated from the light at the first stop. So, if my stomach is going to give a rebound here, you know . Then, I intend to sell the entire volume I cut off here, which is the volume I held earlier .
I think we need to approach NASDAQ futures a bit differently, because NASDAQ futures are index ETFs. Therefore, no matter how much the formation comes, even if I get stuck at the top of the fully grown part, as long as I ride the water better in the designated location, I can survive well. But aside from that, I don't know anything about the rest.
The semiconductor company [name] has a very good future for semiconductors. Even if it is considered a future growth engine, if the major companies within this ETF go into decline and a new, unscrupulous company suddenly appears to revitalize the stock market, this company will be left out . Aside from index ETFs, I don't really like dollar-cost averaging .
So, mugwort. Since a breakout has occurred here, our plan is to sell the entire quantity or a large amount if a rebound occurs. Anyway, I only went in 20% of the total quantity. Discernment of the inner cart. If this reaches here, I will sell a portion. And next, this is where we are looking for the real buying zone , everyone.
hmm. Here's the value. It went down to the 110s. You might say, "I'm in my 110s, isn't the distance from here to here too big, Pelvis?" but there really is nothing here . Well, I guess it can move dizzyingly sideways . You could draw a chart like this . However, in my opinion, since there is movement that is not a key point in the correction phase, I will omit this and look here.
So, since my mental state has dropped significantly compared to the past, I wonder, "Is this the point where I hit a home run every week in my life?" You might be thinking, "Do I have to borrow money from my overdraft account just to invest?" but I honestly don't think that is the right approach. Even if you are going to make a purchase, I don't think you should put it into an index ETF during a correction like this .
Everyone, I am going to speak quite strongly . I’m thinking of buying something to use on my YouTube channel now. Should I go all out ? However, I received that question from Tesla a while ago. Was it around this time at Tesla ? Oh, I just received a question like that back then. So I strongly discouraged it, but the situation is the same.
So, if it's not here, I won't see you for a while. If a chart is drawn internally and a very meaningful pattern appears that I would like to mention, I will tell you then . Also, without any divergence, the 2-hour chart is trending sideways, continuously lowering the lows. The same goes for the four-hour chart .
If you look at the daily chart as well, along with the RSI below it, there is no divergence. Everyone, there is absolutely no need to be impatient just because you missed the bottom . If you come down from here. As it came down, it ended up like this, so it turned out this way . Then, then you just need to grab it here .
If it turns out like this, the child's light angle gave the long-term light angle a fake Haas, then left and came back to step on it. If that happens, the basis for a rise will actually become stronger . That is why you do n't necessarily need to try to catch the bottom, everyone. And also. Now, this is just my opinion, but I'm buying at this point, this point, this point.
I believe that if I check my account around this time next year, everything I bought back then will definitely have turned into a profit . Ah, that is why I accumulated TQQ swing trading volume here and there as well . Because we do n't know the bottom. So, I will continuously hold onto my ticket inventory, and when I come here, I will buy more and continue doing so.
However, I would like to suggest that we be careful in this part . And please, there is no such thing as a perfect buying point in life. I really hope you all don't drink too much alcohol . The fact that it has dropped now could mean it is at its past peak. Or, if you're still feeling regretful that it might leave you, this is showing up at the top of Kiwoom's individual net buying rankings, right?
If this is trending on the weekly chart, I would tell you that is a good timing. Thank you for watching the long video today. If you found this helpful, please subscribe and leave a comment. thank you
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