저자: ChristopherTerry · 외국인
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결론: 비트코인은 2만달러 부근 과열 이후 조정 중이며, 단기적으로 50% 되돌림(약 1만 2천 달러 부근) 지지 여부를 지켜봐야 한다는 입장. 시장 분위기: 주변 모든 사람이 비트코인 이야기를 하는 것은 전문가가 빠져나가고 개인이 유입되는 과열 신호로 해석. 기술적 분석: 피보나치 기준 최근 상승 스윙(약 8천→2만 달러)의 38% 되돌림을 이미 하회했고, 50% 라인(약 1만 2천 6백 달러)이 핵심 지지. 50% 이탈 시 0.618(약 1만 달러 부근)까지 깊은 조정 가능성. 시나리오: 50% 위에서 버티면 재상승 가능성, 아래로 밀리면 1만~1만 1천 달러 구간이 중요 지지. 다만 강세장 종료를 단정하지는 않음. 리스크: 최근 20% 이상 하락 구간에서 신규 투자자들이 손실을 보며 심리적 매도 압력이 커질 수 있음. 트레이딩 관점: 장기 보유보다 레인지 구간의 스윙 매매가 수익 기회가 많다고 주장. 외환 등 다른 시장도 병행 권고. 출연자 전망: 장기 상승 가능성은 열어두되 단기는 신중한 관망 권고. 홍보 성격으로 자사 교육 및 크립토 분석 도구 출시 예고.
다듬은 글
everyone this is Christopher Terry CEO of imarketslive I haven't been on the video here for about eight nine days I was doing some traveling in which I did not have a great reception I'm back in the US and I've been watching Bitcoin everybody's been watching Bitcoin my former dog walker has been asking me about Bitcoin the pilot on the and the stewardesses were talking about Bitcoin on the plane everywhere you go everybody is talking about Bitcoin alright so you know when everybody's talking about it that's when the big players are kind of doing something else it's the same in the markets when the markets are going through a depressive state that the media is all over how negative something is that's the time the professionals come in and buy so as you see here the bigger players look like they're just selling out right and the question is what and where and what's the next play where support where is this where is that so when looking at treating and where you put your swing levels where you pull your Fibonacci levels and everybody likes to use Fibonacci levels I like to use them everybody does but where do you pull them from do you pull them from here do you pull them from here you take zero up to 20,000 and take half okay so just as a default here it's where that last swing up came from see that that last rally right here that's where that took off that's your main level to watch in terms of Fibonacci okay and it's already surpassed a thirty eight percent which was here and where you have a large run-up you can expect a large swing down okay and from there we start to fill out a range what you had here okay this was and steady up steady up steady up and then once this started taking off you had a climactic move it's and yes okay the market went from where is it eight thousand to twenty thousand it's a climactic move everybody was in it everywhere body was buying and where everybody started buying the professionals the bigger players started selling it out because it got a bit extended so therefore you have in that swing back to the back back down the one thing you don't want to do is get caught up in the hype all right it's very easy to get caught up in hype all right like I said might form a dog walker messages me what do I think about Bitcoin what do I think I think you should continue to do something else and not worry about Bitcoin at twenty thousand being honest with you listening to people no matter where I'm going I'm hearing it and that's just signs that the professionals are now attracting alright the little the big lights are attracting the little fleas they're all like flies all coming around the light and they wanna see what's going on and they want a piece of it I'm reading in articles that people are market you in their houses and this and that and throwing money into it so these are the people right here that was doing that and right now they are stuck up here okay does that mean they're gonna be in trouble no but right now the market needs to come off call it a Christmas holiday call it a Christmas rally I know in the stock market they have what's called the Christmas rally where typically the last two weeks of the year or running into Christmas you have that run that Christmas run and then it starts to fill out me personally this market has come off as a 13-4 out of twenty thousand it's like thirty percent all right that's thirty percent the market has dipped down that's not a very big positive for something to dip down thirty percent that's a lot so you do want to be cautious in terms of being very high P what you want to be is more on the technical aspects so you see this low right here this is a 12-7 is also a 50% line okay 50% mine is a very very big number in the trading arena 50% half this came from Gangan made a big deal about the 50% line Fibonacci levels halves in squares and all that other stuff if you want to get really into the old ancient sacred geometry but 50% is a big deal but more important ok more important is this this low right there ok that low right there so should the market push below it you may get a snapback above it the other thing you want to look at also is what's called a 6 1 8 retracement this is called fee ok there's two types there's let me type this out here not even sure if I can how I can type with this alright there's 1.618 and then there's 6 1 8 ok and it's called fee or fie whatever you want not pi right ok this is fee ok so there's big and then you have little thing alright 6 1 8 is used in extensions which means that there's a high-low extends up 1.618 then you had 6 1 8 which is the retracement side and that's what you have right here ok that's a huge number in the markets so when I look at retracements ok when I look at retracements 50% determines is this going to be a shallow retracement or is it going to be a deeper retracement below 50% alright so the difference is if it's gonna be a shallow retracement then this can extend it to new highs ok great but and this is also coming down very fast that's actually not the best type of thing you want to see all right this is a very very large extended move down the other thing if extends past the 50% down to a six one eight reactions back up ten not tend not to go to new highs because this is a deeper for tradesmen 50% is that line in the sand keep a note of that line in the sand pushes back up tend to put into lower height and then a higher low and then a lower high and then a higher low where eventually create what's called this equilibrium or what is called a trading range where eventually you'll have another large move up I'm not saying that the bull run is over I'm not saying that this is gonna go down or go to skyrocket I'm just telling you based on my experience over the past 20 years they're typically when you have such a large run-up and such a fast move down it tends to do this and form what's called a training range or come to an equilibrium area before it starts to expand either up or down okay and since this is in a bullish market ted's say that eventually this can go higher but you also have to withstand these swings we know people have bought the market here okay they brought the market here with the hype and even here they bought it think of how you feel you're a new investor new person they get him because their cousin Ned right so hey man you gotta buy some Bitcoin and they block the coin right here it went up to break into their friends everybody gets in and now the markets here 20% sleep put $10,000 now they're down two thousand and now they're mad at their cousin for getting them involved in a bad investment I told you that bitcoins no good so on and so forth and what did I do they want to sell more so you have to look at human psychology human just the characteristics is how people think alright most people that are coming into the markets now are not big in the big players they are the smaller employers the bigger players were already in the markets okay these are the guys they're ready in the markets these are the guys that were pushing up those are the bigger players the smaller players that are ones appear then and now it's called trapped okay so you just have to look at human psychology and on the you know and how people react to money think about it alright so I want you just to stay on the side of caution and not get caught in the hype now if you want to look at areas of interest okay right here is important and right here is important so let's look at those levels all right so mark the levels down twelve thousand six hundred and ten thousand nine eleven thousand okay real real important areas as you could see this by here despite your okay let's just identify them right there and right there it's very very important but when you're doing Fibonacci you pull from here now what I tend to do also in a normally traded market is I pull from there I also pull from the prior lows alright I do that but it's not needed in this case what's needed is to watch again the large move up and the large move down a lot of people are trapped up here thinking this is the buy this is the buy this is the buy and I see people on the Internet all right posting that you know time to buy again again just be cautious these moves here these moves here or retracements in a trend this is hype and this is trapping people yes it can go up alright so even if it stayed here and did this okay it would not be that that out of unexpected all right but I do expect a range to fill out we got the holidays and just you know let's let's all consider the fact and what I've been thinking been talking so the leaders were talking to Jason and Alex and all these other leaders is the fact that if you're in the markets right now and in the crypto currencies you're gonna have to learn to trade them not look at them as one big giant investment and hold like this okay I saw this market back in 1999-2000 with the stock market made fortunes okay and people and that made fortunes with this the real fortunes are gonna come from this let me show you alright so yeah the big move up great they went up from five thousand twenty fifteen thousand okay all right great you know fifteen thousand fifteen thousand points it went up right that if you bought here but the big plays come from gone from twenty thousand down to twelve thousand up to 19,000 down to thirteen thousand up to eighteen down to fourteen and before you know it all right over this swinging period actually adds up to more than this whole move put together this is where traders take advantage and create wealth most of the time the markets stay in ranges as we know from Forex and from stocks and other markets markets state and ranges there's more money in a range than there are in one big giant swing because you don't know how far a market can go right so when you're looking at the markets in terms of creating profitability as a trader ranges tend to give you the most profitability and there's that's that five percent of the time when they expand if you're ready in the market and many times a lot of people or not they expand without you and you're waiting for the next trend most of the money is made in range filled markets I'd rather make money in a range filled markets because you have this type of action always all right very very good markets to play what I'm saying is look mentally to start shifting gears in going forward in the Bitcoin market and look at this more of a trading game which leads me to the next thing I markets live myself Jason our traders are educators we're going to be coming out with several crypto currency traders we're looking at some really phenomenal things we have the harmonic scanner for doing for crypto we're ready I read put that on Instagram we have our web analyzer does crypto I'm doing some other stuff with the developer on that we're gonna have swiped trades later on probably after the first quarter of the year releasing right into our Vegas event so which is swiped rates for the coin so we have a lot of crypto stuff coming but don't just focus on crypto don't just focus on the buy side focus on the trading side capturing swing swing high swing lows also don't abandon Forex Forex has been around forever it will be around forever Kryptos a new market it's not the only thing but yet there's a lot of attention on it and us being professionals I markets live you as traders you always want to have the best of the best so my job was not to sit and tell you every day it's going to go up gonna go up now that the markets making some serious noise now we've got to really pay attention to it of where the next swings are or that we're watching as I said here lying in the sand at the 50% and that's from the bottom of the swing before the market exploded here 50% line in sand past that you're looking down at at 6 1 8 big big big numbers to watch levels to watch I'll catch up to you on Sunday night and I'll give my analysis going forward rock and roll guys girls have yourself an amazing amazing holiday weekend Christopher Terry over
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