저자: 미상 · 외국인
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결론: 영상은 AAPL·FB·GOOGL·NFLX·TSLA·GPRO 등 2017년 8월 실적 발표 전후 차트를 기술적 분석하며, 대부분 단기 조정 또는 지지선 반등 시나리오를 제시한다. GoPro(GPRO): 실적 갭업 후 하락했고 $8~8.5 구간(과거 저점·상승추세선·50일선 겹침)이 핵심 지지. 이 구간 반등 여부를 주시하라는 입장이며, 신규 숏은 지지선 근처라 비추천. 섬 반전(island reversal) 패턴을 언급하나 단독으로는 숏 근거 부족. Netflix(NFLX): 166~167 지지에서 4일 연속 반등, RSI 23으로 과매도. 171 이상 종가 시 178 갭 메움 가능성, 거래량 동반 필요(약 1,000만 주). 20일선 이탈 시 하락, 158·148이 추가 지지. Tesla(TSLA): 단기 하락추세(저점 낮아짐)와 갭업 지지 이탈이 나타나 하락 추정. 320~325 갭 메움 목표(현재가 약 10달러 아래), 343~344 저항 부근 숏 전략 언급. Google(GOOGL): 갭다운 후 거래량 동반 하락, 20일선 아래. 851 지지 반등 관찰, 928 이상 종가 시 반등 가능성. 종가가 지지 이탈하면 893까지 하락 목표. Facebook(FB): 상승 채널 상단 이탈 여부가 관건. 172 이상 종가 시 불 플래그 상방 돌파, 165 이탈 시 155 방향 하락 가능. 실적 후 매도 압력이 크지 않아 상승 지속 가능성도 열어둠. Apple(AAPL): 154 지지가 핵심. 154 근처가 저위험 롱 진입점이며, 종가 기준 154 이탈 시 방어적 태도 전환. 150 이하 종가는 피해야 할 수준으로 언급. 출연자 전망: 전반적으로 기술적 지표 기반 중립~단기 조정 관점, 특정 방향 단정은 피하고 조건부 시나리오 제시.
다듬은 글
elp lay some profitable trade ideas based off of this video itself 're signed put currently the first one that here now this is quite the bearish action here we've gapped up on earnings on some heavy volume and you can see we've headed lower ever since them I believe really just the purpose of this is to come up here fill this gap that we had to fill you can see we broke over some resistance right there so this is also a false breakout as well as we broke below that support but now we're already halfway through this move I do think it's gonna head even lower but in my opinion this is not an area to be really initiating new shorts as we're coming into some support so we've got some support based off of these previous highs around 8:40 to $8 I think that if you're looking for a bounce on GoPro this is the area that GoPro needs to bounce on anywhere between $8 and 850 we've got an uptrend line there's low bounce bounce here writing it's there we also have the trendline that we broke over here there's a touch there's a touch there's a touch and that would be a retest of it over here we've also got the 50-day moving average right around 850 right now so a lot of levels lining up here around for GoPro this is also near the all-time lows for GoPro so it hasn't really broken below this before obviously it is very bearish stock for a very long time so just because it hasn't gone lower doesn't mean it can't head lower than that but it is a level of support so you definitely want to be watching around this 8 dollar level to a 54 go belt a couple things I want to point out here we have a bit of an island reversal pattern here and again I'm not huge on patterns okay in their exact you know technical terms and how they work but this is an island reversal pattern here and what makes it an island reversal pattern is we have a gap up here right there and then we have a basing right there and then we have a gap down right here so this is the island right there so that is definitely something that you want to be aware of that alone to me is not enough to you know just short this stock okay it's not enough but it's something that just makes you say okay I'm gonna watch that the next thing is right here we've got some support right where we're at right around 166 167 based off of these previous highs right there but you can see we're clearly reacting to this level the last 1 2 3 4 days has all bounced off of this level also lines up with the 50-day moving average as well so you want to if you're bullish on Netflix you want to have this level hold and we've got RSI all the way down at 23 which is pretty and for stock that is relatively pretty bullish here for the last two years pretty much you can see that every time it gets into that oversold range right here it's gotten some nice bounces so if we can get a close over about 171 that's going to send us up to this gap fill at about 178 if that happens I'd like to see it happen with above-average volume so if we can get you know maybe 10 million shares which would be about 40% I'm sorry not 40% about 50% more than what we saw today 6.5 million shares then we can see some nice upside up to that gap fill and retest of that 20 days simple moving average if it breaks below that 20 the 50-day simple moving average we're going to head lower got a little support at 158 and then at 148 is an even bigger support next morning to take a look at is Tesla and Tesla you can see here what I see here being made is we've got a high here and then a lower high right here so we can draw a little short-term downtrend right there so on a short-term downtrend obviously we're in a longer term uptrend but we did make that lower high right there not only do we make that lower high but we did so with some volume here breaking below the support so not only that we're broke below the gap up support right here and this is the reaction to earnings looked like it was going to head higher but did not back below the support more than likely is gonna head lower targeting near about the gap fill right here at least for Tesla and that gap goes right around 3:20 650 so 3:20 650 it's about 10 bucks from where we're at if we do head higher about 343 344 there's going to be a level of resistance you can short against to get that gap fill right there on Tesla next one we'll look at Google and Google is right here against a very key support level all right we've got this gap up here on Google and you can clearly see we came down and bounced off of that support and see right here would bounce off and right here but you can see the bounces are getting a shallower you can see right here the balance we got a really nice bounce right here you can see we bounced but only a few bucks off that level and I don't really see you know you normally when you want to see some kind of a balance you want to see MACD or something like that giving you some kind of a signal you haven't gotten that just yet so it doesn't mean we're going to break through just means it has to prove itself so if we get some kind of a higher volume a candle that closes above this previous candles high so nine twenty eight twenty five higher volume I want to see at least more than this volume right here so more than 1.7 million shares if we get that kind of an action closing over that previous candles high then I think you can get a nice little bounce so just keep in mind we've got a lot of volume coming out of this stock if you look here big gap down right there on huge volume the following few days saw some big volume right there see this day a lot of volume coming out of the stock going back here these red days all with some heavy volume so a lot of volume leaving this stock we're also lso below the 20-day moving average so got a lot of work to do here for Google and if we do end up closing below that support that target would be 893 so even would be that target and if we do close below there in my opinion it's going to be a really swift move down to that level as far as support levels we've got pretty nice support or 851 for GoPro so if we do head lower that'll be a nice bounce tone on I'm sorry did I say GoPro and then I'm in Google so the next thing trend line here that is kept Facebook kind of in check the whole move up obviously this is not bearish okay this is just kind of an angle that in a channel that Facebook has been going up against and when you get angles like this okay when you get upper channel lines like this and it gets a throw over out of that out of that channel and then it breaks back below that usually leads to a pretty swift move downward okay so as it stands right now this could totally be a bull flap okay bull flag trading sideways type pattern right here against this support okay totally could happen all right so that's one option bull flag in order to confirm that bull flag we would want to close over about 172 so they'll close over 172 and then we could see a nice breakout on Facebook conversely on the other side if we get a close below this support so here's that previous resistance right there you can see we bounced off of it a couple of times so if we get a close below about 165 then we're gonna see a little bit of a break down here on Facebook down to this 155 level and could head lower but you know there's a very bullish stock and this is the nearest support so that's going to be that conservative target based off of the previous resistance there there there there we finally broke it broke over that level right here and yeah so we haven't really seen much selling pressure just yet on Facebook so what I mean by that you don't see any huge red days with some big red volume okay so we don't have that just yet so it's holding up really nicely so it could very well be a bull flag and we'll just head higher from here definitely possible so you have to be open-minded to all the possibilities here on Facebook I want to point out this is the gap up here on heavy volume right there in response to earnings that's foolish we broke over previous all-time highs making a new all-time high we're still still sitting up here near or above these previous all-time highs over here so we've got this support about 150 for that level should get a bounce if we end up closing below 154 that's when you want to potentially get worried or not worried but looking for some potential downside as it stands right now it's holding up really well we've got those hammer right here you're totally see a bounce and it is bullish here as long as we hold above 154 so this is a low risk entry at 154 on the long side if we close below 154 that's when I want to get defensive on this stock so it should not close below 150 for 154 to me is that main level on Apple that you want to be focusing on right her enjoyed that and learn a thing or two sign up now in weekly basis it
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