저자: 미상 · 외국인
요약 보기
결론: 테슬라 2018년 1분기 실적발표를 앞두고 모델3 생산량, 현금 소진, 이사회 의장 분리 이슈로 주가 하방 압력이 크다는 진행자 관점. 모델3 생산: 2018년 3월까지 주당 2,500대 생산 목표였으나 실제 2,000대 초반에 그쳐, 주당 5,000대 목표까지는 예상보다 멀다는 주장. 주문 및 주가: 모델3 선주문 40만 대 이후 주가가 사상 최고 389.61달러까지 올랐지만, 52주 고점 대비 23% 하락. 생산 속도가 낙관론의 핵심 전제였다고 지적. 자동화 논란: 머스크가 과도한 자동화 의존을 인정했다는 점을 언급하며, 노동 없이 고마진 생산이 가능하다는 전제가 흔들린다고 분석. 현금 및 부채: 2017년 말 현금성 자산 34억 달러, 현금 소진 속도가 빠르고 추가 조달 시 주식 희석 또는 고금리 부채 부담이 우려됨. 솔라시티 인수로 인한 독성 부채도 언급. 지배구조: 주요 주주가 머스크의 이사회 의장직 분리를 요구하는 제안을 냈고, 회사는 반대 입장. 6월 주주총회가 격렬해질 것이라는 전망. 주가 흐름: 최근 30일간 18.8% 상승한 점은 작은 긍정 요인이나, 전반적으로 회사가 성장 초기 단계를 지나 실적 검증 단계에 들어섰다고 평가. 출연자 전망: 실적발표에서 머스크가 명확한 답을 내놓지 못하면 TSLA 주가가 타격을 받을 수 있다고 봄. 단기 방향은 하락 쪽에 무게.
다듬은 글
I stock calm / car block and Tesla nasdaq:tsla will announce its quarterly earnings after the closing bell on May 2nd two hours later the tesla q1 earnings call will start from expecting hostility and frayed nerves so bring the popcorn investors are finally pushing back against Tesla in its notorious chief executive Elon Musk who runs the company like his personal vision board musk is both the CEO and the chairman of the board of directors he's also a big shareholder with more than 20 million shares of TSLA stock registered to him personally and another 150 thousand 500 registered to his brother Kimball Musk Elon Musk has unquestioned Authority that's not a bad thing necessarily this TLAs one-man rule worked well at the start when musk was busy making electric cars look sexy it took his visionary talent unbound by the next quarter's earnings to make the Tesla Model S a reality but we've come a long way since then Tesla is a real automaker now with real demand and real expectations it can't afford to tilt that windmills anymore and since analysts are worried about the company's ability to execute its vision you can expect them to put busk in the hot seat during Wednesday's earnings call below are three issues we expect to hear about will Tesla deliver on model 3 production numbers this lit promised to build 2500 Model 3 units per week by the end of March 2018 that didn't happen the company barely made it past 2000 units suggesting that the road to 5,000 cars per week is longer than we expected we're still Elon Musk gave us that expectation it didn't drop from the sky he made bold claims about the model 3 because it was Tesla's first mass production car and it needed to penetrate the mainstream automobile market Musk's marketing savvy paid off Tesla racked up four hundred thousand pre-orders immediately after customers had a chance to nab the comparatively cheap $35,000 model three investors took this news and ran with it driving the TSLA stock price as high as three hundred eighty nine dollars and 61 cents understand the optimism it's not every day that you see half a million people put deposits on cars they won't take possession off for another two years of course you were bullish on Tesla stock heck I was bullish on Tesla everyone was bullish on Tesla however the TSLA stock prices down 23% from its 52-week high because it hasn't delivered enough of those pre-orders and guess what Tesla's ability to make these cars quickly enough was always an important caveat in my optimism chart courtesy of stockcharts.com must gave a Mia culpa last month saying he relied on too much automation well ok but where does that leave investors this--liz stock was built on the idea that traditional labor didn't matter that making cars could become a high margin business what is left when you removed that assumption that's what I expect analysts to ask during the Tesla q1 earnings call will Tesla run out of cash this lays on shaky financial ground it continues to burn cash extremely fast even though it doesn't have too many sources of funding left the company could always issue more TSLA stock but doing so would dilute the value of existing shares the see rotating investors who've stuck with the company through crisis after crisis as bad as that would be it's probably better than issuing more debt this lien Hara today ton of toxic debt during its acquisition of SolarCity Corp meaning that it shouldn't take on more loans particularly in this rising interest rate environment Tesla had three point four billion dollars in cash and equivalents at the end of 2017 I would grill must over this cash pile how long will it last will you need to raise more where will you get it if analysts don't ask those questions during the Tesla q1 earnings call investors should be upset bullion musk stepped down from his chairman role this lays in its first ever leadership dispute a major investor wants Elon Musk to give up his slot as chair of the board of directors to an independent director source shareholder proposal on board chairman independence u.s.
securities intend to fight it which means that Tesla's shareholder meeting in June is going to get 'spicy there could be a good analysts take on a positive note TSLA stock arrives at this earnings report date on an upward trend it rose 18.8% in the last 30 days it's a tiny silver lining but that's where the optimism ends at the end of the day Tesla is in rough shape that's the bottom line try not to let the sheer brilliance of Tesla's early accomplishments blind you the company is now at a different stage of its life cycle we're not at the point where excuses stop mattering so Elon Musk better have some good answers during the Tesla q1 earnings call otherwise the TSLA stock price forecast could take a beating
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