저자: DanIves · 외국인
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2025년 기술주 25% 상승 전망. AI 투자 사이클은 2막 초입이며 엔터프라이즈 AI 사용 사례 확대로 소프트웨어 수혜 기대. 팔란티어를 Salesforce/Oracle급 성장주로 보고 주가 대비 고평가 논란에도 3자리 주가 가능성 언급. 엔비디아 옵션 매매 흐름을 근거로 단기 횡보/하락 해석 소개. M&A 증가와 기술주 로테이션(엔비디아·메타·마이크로소프트·애플 → 아마존·테슬라·구글) 제시.
다듬은 글
we know we'll be concentrating on technology in 2025 so let's also look at that according to our next speaker the I Revolution Will Propel the industry's growth by 25% in the coming year among his top choices are palan Microsoft Tesla and Nvidia he is analyst Dan IES of webbish Securities for the last time this year Dan oh welcome I apologize for your absence I I I can say with some degree of confidence that throughout 2024 you were the most frequent guest on CNBC we are very grateful for that and even more so for the fact that you have been correct for the most part it wasn't this year Dan but you'll be mistaken eventually given your continued extreme optimism about so many different Tech Brands why don't you predict that it will be next year no I really appreciate that being on you know for the entire year has been awesome it's all about supporting investors during this revolution in my opinion and we believe that we're just in the second inning of a nine ining game and the multiplier is the subject of all we observe from all of our expenditures I still think that tech stocks will be up 25% into next year because for every dollar invested on Godfather a on those chips there is a $810 multiplier across the rest of tech additionally this a party lasts till 4:00 a.m.
yet it is only 100: p.m. you've been saying it for for a while right we might have been shifted an hour later I believe along the way I'm not certain it is presently 10 p.m. having begun at 900 p.m. well 10:00 at night for instance Dan there is a question about whether or non investors will begin to demand a tangible return on all of the Investments that have been made including the hundreds of billions that will have been made and will be invested by the hyperscalers in the upcoming year will that demand be made in fulfill build in your opinion you see the great question has been that the debacle at Val Panter in my opinion marked the beginning of that turning moment because if you look at palan it was the first use case in which we began to see these things unfold throughout the organization then Salesforce what we witnessed from Benny off over that final quarter was a significant moment in fact I believe that the key will be software I believe that all of the use cases are growing we talking to businesses about five times as many use cases for implementing I and those use cases have increased even in the past six months and when everything unfolds I believe that will be crucial look during the next three years $2 trillion will be spent on ad capital projects it will be difficult to fight that I understand which is why I keep saying that the Bears can find AI in the spreadsheets these businesses must perform but they have already done so now the Focus will shift to the remaining tech for this reason we listed the top 10 plays We Believe will emerge in AI in 2025 colaner and Salesforce are in your opinion the two greatest software plays when it comes to Enterprise a in particular which software businesses in your opinion have the most promise for artificial intelligence you'd have to be a little more skeptical of adobe's capabilities in my opinion I believe that there is still a great deal of Promise as you can see I believe IBM has had a great deal of success but who are the ones demonstrating it in my opinion Panter is it it's Salesforce it's BD I believe snowflake is here I believe elastic is experiencing a significant growth Renaissance Additionally you will witness a surge in mergers and Acquisitions throughout the technology sector under Lena Khan's leadership at the FTC these major tech companies will continue to grow in size and strength and and as the strong gets stronger I believe it will be a major theme that emerges throughout 2025 Dan please explain why given that Panter is trading at 50 time sales and that insiders have been selling hundreds of millions of dollars worth of stock in the last six weeks I shouldn't be worried if I own any of it additionally it has gone vertical and they continue to try to boost it by entering new markets for a corporation that is admittedly well positioned and appears to have devolved into a sort of cult it simply feels like a highly promotional scenario yes Mike this is undoubtedly a bull bear dispute that heed bull bear argument about palter has nearly reached the level of Tesla look in my opinion it's more important to consider the current trade price than the upcoming year in my opinion palan has the potential to become the next Salesforce or Oracle this is a name that rises much higher from here if that's true and I think it is as they demonstrate these kinds of Enterprise use cases I believe that's why you need to concentrate on AIP in your discussion and is it possible that this will eventually account for 30 to 40% of this total revenue that I believe is the secret however I try not to be sucked into some of the commotion despite being a senior citizen Panter haters detest ah is a teenager as a stock since I only pay attention to all of our conversations additionally I believe that this stock has the ability to reach three digits or higher unusual option activity from Nvidia we're going to discuss it once more today I believe however they were purchasing the January 140 strike calls there yesterday they purchased thousands of those I think they purchased about 50,000 although the stock is down around 2% today it has still risen more than 17% this year however I believe someone believes that ah some profits will be capped there are only roughly 10 days left before this expires because it was released within the weekly cycle on January 10 Traders sold more over 50,000 call verticals on this one they purchased 50,000 of the 149 strike calls short after selling the 50 141 strike calls thus a short call vertical to the upside that is $8 wide on average they received a credit of roughly $148 for this call vertical that was $8 broad over the course of the following week and a half that raises the break Heaven point at which they begin to lose money to $142.48 that is almost 6% more than the share price as of right now therefore someone believes that the stock will continue to consolidate or even decline although this has been the Magnificent 7's worst performer thus far in December someone is trying this however they maintain their risk definition so they are aware of their exact possible losses even if the price rises above $149 as you can see they made $148 cents on more than 50,000 of those Nvidia call verticals that's our opinion then what will occur the following year will these massive tech stocks continue to do this we certainly do but we need to take a different approach to this we therefore support I however what are the derivatives of AI what are the second and third order derivatives of artificial intelligence then because most clients are unable to construct it on their own the second order ones are looking at software businesses that are utilizing a it will be something they want to eat as a result businesses such as Salesforce Adobe service now Nvidia Panter and Oracle are intriguing as you will be examining their service Revenue in Greater detail than previously consequently a magnificent seven rotation is the other crucial component moving out of Nvidia meta Microsoft and Apple and into Amazon Tesla and Google will be your course of action for the remainder of the year if you're scared to enter all seven is that your recommendation yes without a doubt if you're considering that that's a different game though because I'm in all seven of The Magnificent Seven however we're also examining IPO markets which will be fascinating there are numerous IPOs on the tech side in the near future on the data break side it is visible Discord is visible Clara stripe is visible chime they will also have a significant impact on the fintech sector therefore into 2025 people will still desire to play that game another thing to consider is that mergers and Acquisitions will be more common and many of these AI firms will only be able to expand by gaining greater scale and data sets Additionally you will see the m and a gain for potential Acquisitions from major AI entities all right so that play is also intriguing even if M and A is predicted to increase large Tech may be dealing with some of the same issues from a future Trump government so if if you get into M and at look you you have to wonder if some of these huge top Tech businesses are actually going to be able to get bigger when it comes to mergers and Acquisitions where would you concentrate where would you expect to find opportunities for deals and and and perhaps some space for some of these stocks to rise there's an intriguing development though either you don't get to play at scale or your market capitalization is a trillion dollars additionally a few businesses are sitting at roughly $500 billion in the past the bodc coms and oracles expanded through acquisition
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