저자: 미상 · 외국인
요약 보기
Nifty 25,000 부근에서 1년 수익률 약 2.5%로 박스권 횡보 중이라고 진단. FII는 대량 매도, DII는 매수로 맞서는 구도이며 달러 강세로 원화 약세가 FII 매도 배경이라고 설명. 시장이 방향성 없이 지루한 구간이라 투자자 이탈 우려가 크다고 봄. 고점·저점을 맞추려 하지 말고 시장 사이클을 이해하며 장기 투자하라는 메시지. 트럼프 정책 불확실성도 언급하나 방향 예측은 하지 않음.
다듬은 글
I heartily welcome you all to Stock Market Classes. So friends, let's start the video here. If we talk about the market here, see, it is above 25,000 but the thing here is that it has not given any special returns. At the most, if we talk about one year, then a return of 2.5% has been generated here.
There is a lot of boring type of market that you get to see here. So what is understood from here, that is, by looking at the market side, is that the market is stuck in the same range here. So, if we talk about it right now, there is only one situation that has formed in the market: Bull vs. Bear. So, if we talk about Bear vs.
Bull, or Bull vs. Bear, then who has held the bear position here, and who has held the bull position here, so if we talk about it here, then the bear position, according to the data of FI and DI, who has done it here according to the data of FI and DI, so see, as much as the bear position is holding the bear position here, brother, here FI is holding FI, okay, and if we look at it, then the DI here is working as per the saying because see, here in huge quantity, FI is selling here, but if we look at it, then the DI here is buying and buying here, so right now, this is what we can understand by combining all this.
It is that whoever is playing the role of beer, whoever is playing the role of beer here, he is doing FI only. But what is the DI here that is working for the bull. So what is in Bull's favor is that he is buying here. So these types of things are visible in the market right now because the market is not going anywhere right now.
Stuck here in the same circle. If you look at the overall market, whenever there is even a little buying here, then how much is 340 crores, 120 crores, then there is not much buying from the FI side here. But look at the selling here, 5000 crore, 10614 crore, 10858 crore, 3600 crore, so it is like this that brother, for selling here, he is selling a huge amount here, but for buying, he is not buying any particularly big amount here, so due to this, the role of BR is playing full here, FI and DI here, brother, are forgetting and working here, so continuously DI here is buying, keeps on buying, so the hand of FI DI has become very strong in the Indian market here because related to this, see, many people are investing in mutual funds here.
So, whatever money is coming here related to mutual funds, brother, DI is investing it here. So according to this, the hold of DI has become very strong here in the Indian market. But overall, it is seen that no special returns are visible in the market here. Look guys, this is what you get to see. Only 2% return is available.
After all, the market here is stuck within the same range. So because of this, why is the market continuously selling here in a boring manner ? So the reason behind this is there, the reason is clearly visible here. So because of this, FI is always selling here. So first of all I'm doing concrete here.
Everyone here knows everyone here here. So look, everyone here knows that the dollar is currently gaining strength here. So the dollar is becoming very strong here and due to this our IAR which is the Indian Rupee is becoming weak here. So due to this, FI is continuously selling here. So until the dollar does not decrease here, then friends, in this type of market, the work here is quite boring.
So due to this thing, the market here is looking very boring, that look, the market is either going to move fast here or else the market is going to come down here. So look here, it is stuck between the two. Neither is there any extreme rise here nor is there any extreme fall here. So whatever it is, the market is currently running in the same range here.
So because of this, it is a boring type in the market. So due to this, a doubt is arising in the minds of many people here that what should they do in the market right now? Exactly here, what is looking boring here, so because of this, a lot of it has just been cooked here. So related to this, the discussion going on here is that when will good times come in the market.
So look at the popular question being asked here, how long will this boring phase of the market continue? So it is neutrally cooked here. Ok? Trump has come. So because of this we cannot say this here. After his arrival, the market here also showed a good boom. Whatever his attitude is towards the matter, that attitude is getting reflected.
So due to this, basically how long will this thing continue here? Look at this, if we accept this thing here, then we will accept that actually how long will this thing last here ? So see what is there in the market for this type of thing to work, there are five Chakravyuha in the market here. So first you will have to understand these five Chakravyuha in the market.
So what is the maze here in the market ? So look, the market here is running a little bit here. Then suddenly he runs here extremely. Then there is a slight decline in the market here. Then the market here falls extremely. And right now the market is running in such a way that neither is it flat here nor is the market going up here nor is it going down here.
So believe me, believe this thing here that actually this is running flat right now. So this is the most boring type right now. Maximum people right now are of this type that maximum people here in the market will think of quitting right now. See, when there is a boom in the market here, then there is no question of anyone quitting here.
When there is an extreme boom in the market here, then no one will quit here. When the market falls here, when the market falls here, then the market is fine here, even if there is an extreme fall in the market, then what will you think here? Will think about buying something. But the market that is running here right now is that everything is running on concentration here.
Maximum, the market is available to see here in the same range. So as I said here, like five Chakravyuh, see these five Chakravyuh which remain here in the market. So, we are not talking about today here. Even today, this can be seen here. You will get to see it further and later also you will get to see these five things here.
So what I mean to say is that without seeing or knowing the meaning of these five Chakravyuha of the market, you people should not invest money here in the market. So all my things are available to see here in the market. So this is what you have to digest here. So here is one more thing friends, what is there to learn here in the market ?
If you are investing in shares in the share market here, then if not today then tomorrow, if not the day after tomorrow, then you will have to face this time here. There is a very practical thing here. So look, it is not like this that the market will always keep running here and you will keep buying here and it is also not like this that the market will always keep falling here and will become zero.
So this will not happen either. So first of all, there is a learning point here that it is not like the time is right now. It may happen here in the future too. It may happen after 5 years or even after 10 years. So these are the things that keep repeating here again and again in the market. So, the new thing is not like this.
So this is the point that you people should know here. So, if we talk about the most important question that is coming to everyone's mind here, then see what should we do here right now? So see, right now the market here is running in a bearing type of trend. So let's exit the market right here. Then when the market here gets cleared, when it comes within a range here, when there is a rise from here, then we will enter the market here.
So see, this type of thing does not happen here, brother, if you are thinking like this then it will never happen here. Look, the market is saying, look, I know the top here and I know the bottom here. So sell here at the top and buy here at the bottom. So what you mean to say here is that this is what happened here.
So here we will buy at the bottom and sell at the top. So practically this thing is not possible to happen here. So it is not at all. You people know this thing very well here. So if you find this here, I also know the top here. I know the bottom, now the top will have to be sold here and the bottom will be bought here and money will be made here in the share market.
So by saying this it happened that yes, money was made here in the share market. Practically this much is not possible here. So all of you here know this. If we talk about top bottom here, then how many people were there here, so during Covid, see how many people were there here, when the market had fallen here during Covid, then when the market was recovering here, around 10,000, when Nifty was going near 10,000 here, even then what were the people here thinking that let's go, the market can fall further from here.
If it can come for Rs 45000 then I will buy it here. But here exactly what happened was that after Rs 10,000, the market here gained so much momentum that no one could understand anything. So brother, look at this type of thing, you people cannot predict the perfect time here as to what level the market will come down to and after what level the market will recover and from there the market will give returns.
So you people cannot predict the perfect situation here. Here, during the time of Covid, I had seen very well the top and bottom, so when the market recovered here, then how many people had said here that this is fake, that it will not sustain here, then the market will come down here, it will come to 4-5000, so see here, after this the market which ran here, directly went to 18000, what is the market here, that is not understood, so what is the purpose of my saying that see, it is difficult to find the exact top and bottom here and if you think of finding and investing here, then you will never get a chance here, so you people should keep this thing in mind here.
So see, Warren Buffett, One Baft Sir also teaches this thing here. So see, if we talk about big investors here, if we talk about big investors here, then see, when the market falls here or the market gets sold on the side here. So then do the big investors exit the market here? So he does not exit here.
So here we want only one thing that the market brothers should run here every day and keep investing money in the market every day. So practically it is very difficult for this thing to happen here. Ok? So see, here in this type of market, all the big investors here always try to invest in this type of market because see, when the market goes down or when the market gets stuck at one place, then at that time all the big investors here think of literally entering the market here and when the market goes up from here, then from there they think of booking profit and it is not like that the big investor here, that is, if this type of market happens, then the big investor does not suffer any loss here.
Even big investors suffer losses here. Like you can see Vijay Kedia Sir, Rakesh Jhunjhun Sir, they also suffered losses of up to Rs 400-50000 crores in the market here. But what did he do here? He exited the market. But I have never exited the market here. What's more, they tried to capture the market here and buy as much as possible.
I mean, look, if you people ask me now when will the market time come? The market will come into perfect trend here. We will enter the market only after the market gets settled here. So if you think like this then brother, you will never be able to enter the market here. We are getting to learn that right now the market is down here, so let's exit here right now.
When the market here becomes normal. As long as Covid becomes normal here, we will enter here. So if you think about this type of seizure, then after that the market here went up to 22,000 after 10,000. So till today, no one has been able to analyze the market so perfectly that where will the bottom of the market be formed and where will the top be formed.
So whoever is thinking here that when the time comes, he will enter the market. So till now no one here in the market has been able to make time nor has been able to enter here and the third question which is coming in everyone's mind and the question is also valid here. So look here, ever since Trump came here, ever since Trump came here, there has been trouble in the market here.
If we talk about Trump's good tenure here, then he took oath here on 28th January 2025. So will the market continue like this for the next 4 years ? See, if we say it like this then it is the same thing again. So no one knows exactly what will happen here in the next four years. So if we talk about Trump's attitude here for the next 4 years, then no one knows exactly what type of attitude will prevail here in the next 4 years.
So but everything here depends on whom. So it is up to this person that the market here is currently dependent on this person that the market here will now depend on this person as to which direction the market has to go or not. So, if we talk about our government and our government policies, then the way the work is going on here, everything here is seen to be getting disturbed.
Including here that the American public is also seen getting troubled here. So what is the point of saying friends? So what was the point of saying here that Trump is also of this type, so no one knows yet what will be Trump's attitude here for the next 4 years, so coming to the market, that uncertainty has been created here, so yes, this much can be said here that whether Trump remains, Trump may remain or not, so this much can be said here, so see, whether Trump remains or not, his behavior may be good or bad, so even more terrible days are seen in the market here.
Even worse days have been seen in the market here. There is nothing here right now. So if we see the lower circuit here at the index level, then we have to always remember the golden don here. So anything can happen here. So the market never ends here. The market does not end here. So, if you check the market here, you will see that the market had reached 25 here also.
But what happened in the market after that? Look, the market here was flat. See what the market was like at one time ? So you guys keep the market point here. Look, at one time here the index was around 1000. But what did you do after that here on the market? slowly slowly slowly slowly went up. Ok?
So how much damage will happen here, how much will happen. So always here golden done, you people have to remember that the market never ends here. The market here never ends. So see, the market was here at one time also. It was around 1000. Then what did the market do here at one time because gradually it ultimately went up here.
So Trump's beaver here will be fine, whether he stays or not, Trump will not stay, he will do something different here or not, so in the coming time, exactly what will happen here, it is difficult for anyone to predict here, so like here in the market, if you people invest here, then you people should always remember the golden doss of the market here, so what is the market always in the long term, that is, it will give you good returns here, you people should keep this thing in mind here very well, and these four-five which are the Chakravyuh of the market here, without knowing these market Chakravyuh, if you remain in the long term in the market, then see, there will be ups and downs in the market, but there comes a time when in 6 months the market will go from here to here, but you will not be able to hold on here, so this is the thing that you people will have to understand here and stay in the market, what will happen here at which time, no one knows who says here I know both the bottom and the top of the market.
I can tell you this from my heart that no one here knows the top and bottom of the market. So friends, here I have tried to present before you all the important things. If you find the video innovative, you can like, share and comment on this video here. So friends, let's end the video here.
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