저자: AudaciousMoneyWitch · 외국인
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결론: 영상은 론 배런·데이비드 테퍼의 알리바바(BABA) 매수 사례를 근거로 중국 주식 저평가와 AI 수혜를 강조하며 BABA 매수 관점을 제시한다. 시장 배경: 1970년 이후 미국 증시는 약 34배, GDP는 약 33배 상승했다고 언급한다. 대주주 동향: 배런은 13F 보고서에서 BABA 지분을 약 20% 늘려 약 2.5억 달러를 보유한 것으로 소개한다. 테퍼는 약 4억 달러(포트폴리오의 약 7%, 5위 비중)를 BABA에 배치했다고 설명한다. 테퍼는 상위 25개 종목 중 22개의 비중을 늘렸고, 마이크로소프트·엔비디아·BABA 비중을 크게 확대했으며 테슬라는 매도했다. 중국 경기 관점: 마이클 배리의 중국 공매도와 중국 경기침체 우려를 언급하며, 진행자는 중국이 경제 전쟁과 헬리콥터 머니 등 선택지를 갖고 있고 장기적으로 성장이 가속될 것이라고 본다. 장기 성장 전망: 향후 50년간 연 7% 성장 시 자산이 35배가 되며 다우가 90만까지 간다는 장기 가정을 제시한다(장기 견해). BABA 투자 근거: AI 투자 확대, 500억 달러 이상 현금성 자산과 무부채, 매출 14% 성장, 창업자 주도 경영과 자사주 매입을 근거로 든다. 주가가 EPS 성장에 뒤처져 저평가라고 주장한다. 기술적 가격대: 120달러 저항선 돌파 시 125달러 이상이면 브레이크아웃으로 보고, 120달러 이하는 저평가 구간·100달러 이하는 안전마진으로 제시한다. 리스크/한계: 영상 내 명시적 리스크 논의는 거의 없으며, 중국 경기침체 확산 가능성은 언급되나 반박 위주로 다뤄진다. 출연자 전망: 진행자는 BABA를 장기 매수 관점으로 보며, 배런·테퍼의 매수를 근거로 든다.
다듬은 글
the stock market in this whole period of time with Terror attacks and inflation and wars and pandemics with all of that going on the stock market is up 34 times since 1970 when I began my career was a thousand minutes now 34 000 and the economy by the way in the whole period of time is also up uh it's up 33 times it's gone from 800 billion dollars of GDP to 26 and a quarter billion so despite all this stuff everyone talks about all day long and trying to figure out what's going to happen uh marks up 33 times who is Ron Baron and David Tepper why did they just buy a lot more Alibaba Baba stock in Q2 2023 we all know Michael burry has sold out of China because China is in a recession he is shorting the stock market he is betting the recession in China will shortly spread to the U.S I think China has the match to light the West on fire and every everyone thinks they are weak and vulnerable they are playing the long game and they stepped up the economic War at the beginning of 2020 they have the option to print helicopter money and we cannot now what I think his growth is now beginning to accelerate and over the next 50 years compared to the last 50 years I think that you're going to have faster growth than seven percent but assuming that you get the same seven percent that means that you're gonna have 35 times your money over the next 50 years which means that the Dow Jones which is now 34 000 will be nine hundred thousand breaking news China orders and Banks not to sell stocks Asian markets having a complete reversal now stocks are rallying selling has been banned isn't that surprisingly interesting in this video I will introduce to you two billionaire investors Ron Baron and David Tepper who recently bought a lot more Alibaba shares in Q2 they are betting a lot on AI I will find out why they love Alibaba stock so much I will explain it all right after this welcome back to the audacious money witch Channel where we talk about macro economy stock spawns and commodity markets if you like any of these topics you are intelligent that's why you're here and you know what to do and push my button if you like what you see in today's video because you're already a success it is done when you join the audacious money witch Club this video is brought to you by my website if you are a good boy go to audacious moneywitch dot Square Dot site to add more meaning into your life if you play your cards right and completely submit like my good boys do then I will take you under my wing author of best-selling books goddess Cheryl my good boys always get rewarded handsomely you are such a good boy you like hearing that don't you hmm you want to get into the bookstore you want it to be real you wanted to be true you want to join the audacious money witch Club don't you according to Forbes Ron Baron has a real-time net worth of five billion dollars he is the CEO of barren funds if he owns Tesla stock you probably know him in his latest 13f filings he bought 20 percent more Baba shares the Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba group he currently holds 250 million dollars in Alibaba stock David Tapper at Appaloosa management going big into Baba with a 400 million dollar position it represents seven percent of his portfolio the fifth largest position in his portfolio don't bet against Tepper this has been the most bullish 13f filing I've seen yet Tepper increased exposure in 22 of his top 25 positions he is betting big on artificial intelligence he increased stake of Microsoft by 300 percent Nvidia 500 percent Alibaba increased by over four thousand percent however he sold out of Tesla which is Ron Baron's biggest holding here are seven interesting facts that you might not know about this hedge fund Legend number one David Tepper was born on September 11 1957.
he graduated from the University of Pittsburgh with a degree in economics number two Tapper gained widespread recognition for his successful Investments during the 2008 financial crisis his hedge fund Appaloosa management made bold and profitable beds on distressed assets and financial institutions number three tamper is known for his philanthropic efforts number four jersey boy despite his immense success tamper is known for his down-to-earth demeanor reflecting his New Jersey roots number five in 2013 Tepper reportedly earned one of the highest annual salaries ever recorded by a hedge fund manager with earnings exceeding 3.5 billion dollars number six Tepper is known for his macro trading approach which involves making investment decisions based on broader economic Trends and market conditions he must think Chinese economy will make a comeback soon to more than quadruple his Alibaba stake number seven tepper's investment philosophy is characterized by a contrarian approach and a willingness to make bold and high conviction beds on undervalued assets which says a lot about Baba stock opportunity his net worth is 18.5 billion dollars billionaire money manager Ron Barron has overseen Decades of Stellar returns in large part because he is an optimist he has remained steadfastily bullish in his approach to long-term investing in stocks which have risen greatly since he started his fun 40 years ago the mutual fund manager he started with 10 million dollars under management in 1982 Barren Capital now oversees roughly 50 billion dollars in some 19 funds Baron has amassed a net worth of nearly 5 billion dollars thanks to his strong track record and long-term asset appreciation Baron is also famous among Wall Street fund managers for his annual investment conference which has featured entertainment from dozens of stars including Jerry Seinfeld Bon Jovi Chris Rock and Mariah Carey despite this year's Market turmoil Baron remains undeterred with the Buy and Hold investor still predicting massive Returns on some of his biggest bets a long time test level he has a staggering 45 percent of one of his largest funds invested in the electric vehicle maker stock even after shares have struggled this year down nearly 44 while Barron's investment in Tesla has reaped huge profits over the years 2022 has proved more difficult amid the broader Market sell-off still the baron Partners Fund boasts an annual average return of 28 percent and 22 percent over the last five and ten years respectively this is the story of Ron Baron I went to law school at night in Washington DC and worked in the patent office during the daytime as a patent Examiner I had all of these other jobs from bartender to Cabana Boy to make extra money I was 15 000 in debt with just five hundred dollars in cash living in my friend's basement in New Jersey and applying for a job as an analyst on Wall Street I couldn't get a job I was even applying for jobs as chauffeurs for people who worked on Wall Street I figured if I work for them I can impress them then maybe I can talk them into a job but nothing after around three months I talked my way into a job working as a research analyst for Janie Montgomery Scott I would go visit companies every week and then send out a research letter to salesmen who would pitch them to clients after a bad stock recommendation I got fired and started looking for a second job I called up Alan Abelson the editor of Barons and told him my story I went to talk to him and he offered me a job as a reporter but I said thanks very much but I've always wanted to be an investor he ended up recommending me for my next job which was also in research I then partnered with a friend from law school doing research that we sold to hedge funds for commissions by that time my net worth had gone from negative fifteen thousand dollars to 2 million dollars so in 1982 I started Baron Capital with 10 million dollars in assets under management the Ron Behrens investing strategy when I first got started it was about what a business was worth it was based on what I thought a business was worth and then buying it at a discount to that I bought a bunch of stocks like that most of them worked out fine but the ones that didn't were just terrible Investments and I couldn't get out of them so I said that doesn't sound like a very good idea what turned out to be a better idea was investing in great businesses with growth potential great people running them and a competitive Advantage I focused on sales growth as opposed to earnings per share growth it is always about learning how businesses make money I thought that was a big advantage that I had from my own experience because I saw how they worked and what made them successful or not I also learned about Warren Buffett and how he invested so I tried to do that he's more of a value investor though whereas I'm much more growth oriented the biggest mistake Baron made is that he wasted his time and didn't focus on Amazon in 1999 that was before the.com internet bubble why are these two billionaires invested more money in Baba simple internet was the last big thing the next big thing is A.I Alibaba is heavily investing into AI Baba stock is cheap over 50 billion dollars on the balance sheet with no debt a free cash flow machine it just grew Revenue by 14 year over year with multiple beats on an incredible recent earnings report founders-led company management is big on stock BuyBacks when the shares are undervalued and planning on continuing shares BuyBacks at current levels babish year price has been lagging Baba's increase in EPS but the market will not allow this to continue for too long when there is a large disconnect like this there is an opportunity in 2016 there was a similar disconnect but as always the market did revert back to the fair value and the stock price Rose increasing over a hundred percent Warren Buffett said most people get interested when everyone else is the time to get interested is when no one is you can buy what is popular and do well the resistant line at a hundred and twenty dollars a Baba stock is significant the price will always return to this mean value if price breaks above 125 dollars it will be a Breakout any price below 120 dollars is considered undervalued buying below a hundred dollars gives you a margin of safety there is nothing difficult about this the chart and its history will tell you everything it is your job to block out the noise
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