저자: JimCramer · 외국인
요약 보기
3분기 수익률 상위주(Applovin, Western Digital, Warner Bros Discovery, Corning, Teradyne, Robinhood, Intel, Invesco 등)를 점검하며 연말까지 랠리 지속 가능성을 언급. 제약주 반등 기대, 하위주 중 Chipotle는 반등 후보로 꼽음. 마이크론은 장기 보유 권고, Max Lebanon 관련 종목은 좋은 보유 종목이라 평가하되 추세 추종을 강조.
다듬은 글
[y I'm trying to teach, trying to educate you about stocks. can tell an awful lot about a market by looking at the winners and losers of a quarter that was just put to bed. Right now, the news of the day is all about that government shutdown and its implications. But to me, the shutdown may not be all that meaningful to the stocks you own.
So, I want to use tonight to give you a snapshot of the market. And while past performances may not repeat themselves, I can tell you that the winners of the third quarter are often bought in the fourth quarter by money managers who want to show their clients that they own the right stocks. Hey, look, I know when I was a money manager, I did precisely this.
So, I I am sure others are doing it now, too, because they tend to be the right stocks. Today was a bit of a counter trend day. The drug stocks managed to get a lift as the president forced them to lower prices on some drugs, but not to the point where the earnings will be hurt. So you have a rare rally in pharma that helped lead the averages.
Dow gaining 43 points, S&P advancing.34%, NASDAQ climbing 42%. The drug stocks may have more room to run. We're going to discuss that group later in the show. Last quarter's winners though were anything but healthcare. The best performing S&P 500 stock from the third quarter is one that seems unstoppable and that stock is Apploven.
This stock's a quandry because it's far from a household name. Apploven is a mobile technology company that helps app developers make money by selling advertising space within their apps. The stock rallied 105% in the third quarter alone. It's been an extraordinary performer that remains relatively unknown because it's not consumerf facing.
We just don't see it. I would not bet against this apploving stock even it's been the target of short sellers who have been run over by the buyers and I think it's going to stay that way. The second best performer is Western Digital up almost 88% for the quarter. It's in data storage along with Seagate Tech in fourth place up nearly 64%.
Now we know this market craves data center plays like the more familiar Micron up big now well above where reported but few companies are pure plays on storage than Western Digital and Seagate. These companies have been around the block you know a quarter century ago I ran a hedge fund and I always thought Western Digital was a terrific undervalued company that would one day get credit for it excellent technology I actually took a 5% position in the business but it it never really did much.
It's good to see the market giving the stock its due even if it's 30 years too late for me. The third winner is Warner Brothers Discovery, which had been a longtime underperformer, but it came alive this quarter past, rallying over 70%. Thanks first to an improved balance sheet and a better box office, and then of course to takeover chatter.
We've heard it could be getting a big bid from the fifth best performer, Paramount Sky Dance. David Zazz, the CEO of Warner Brothers Discovery, has been tempted to unlock value by separating the Warner Brothers Studio and HBO Max streaming platform from the Discovery global television assets. A takeover bid would frontr run that change.
We haven't seen one develop yet, but I wouldn't be surprised if there's a big auction for Warren Bros. Discovery if Paramount makes its move. Paramount's run by David Ellson. He's the son of the second richest man in the world, Larry Ellison, founder of Oracle. I think you combine the two entertainment companies, create an unrivaled studio business, and maybe that spin off the rest in another business itself, which I don't know, could combine with another legacy TV companies out there.
When you reach number six of the best performers this quarter, you get to a company that I've had my eye on for the Charle Trust, and that company is Corning. This is the finest glass maker in the world. I recently spent a nice chunk of time with Wendle Weeks. He's the CEO at this Harsburg, Kentucky facility that we went to where they make the cover glass for your iPhone and Apple Watch.
The Apple contract matters tremendously. But you know what's driving things right now? The stock's trading on the fiber optic glass. That's the best way to move information around in a data center. Glass doesn't burn so hot, so it's an ideal conductor. I think it's almost a foregone conclusion that one day Corning will replace the copper inside the immense clusters of semiconductors Nvidia product in the data center.
That would solve some of the heat problems and it's why Corning stock rallied 56% in the quarter. Next, Pterodine, another old line tech company. This one makes test and measurement equipment for the semiconductor industry among a host of others. Terodine's always been an incredibly well-run company and it's been a spawning ground for some incredible execs.
Stock was up 53% for the quarter. Number eight, Robin Hood. This has been a relentless performer in 2025. It pulled uh away from the pack by becoming the young person's brokerage house. I wrote How to Make Money in Any Market, which came out yesterday, largely to help the boomers and their children handle the ongoing $100 trillion wealth transfer from one generation to the next.
I don't know. My work says that neither group really seems to know how to handle the handoff, so it was worth it to do this. Robin Hood's been the most forward in its appeal to those who want to own pretty much anything, especially crypto. While other firms turned up their noses at crypto, Robin Hood made this class of assets a central portion of its business.
So smart. They may have created lifelong affinity from that. You can only congratulate them for a job well done. That app itself may be a chief selling point for the younger generation at this point. No wonder it rallied almost 53% for the third quarter. It's been a remarkable performer. Then there's an amazing comeback story in the list and it's the story of Intel.
Here's a company where fortunes are changing on the fly thanks to a phenomenal new CEO, Lip Boutan. He's a legendary semiconductor investor and the man who turned around the wayward Cadence Design Systems. Under his reign, the stock appreciated some 3,200% over a 13-year period. When he came in, he realized that Intel was even worse off than anyone thought.
So, what did he do? He did the right thing. Decided first to fix the balance sheet. Managed to wrangle $ 8.9 billion from the federal government in return for 10% stake. He also raised $2 billion from Soft Bank and $5 billion from Nvidia where Jensen Wong is an old friend. He saw real potential despite the fact that at one point Nvidia, well, Intel tried to put Nvidia out of business.
Even as the fruits of all this money are so elusive, the stock still rallied almost 50% last quarter. Finally, there's a stock that makes a ton of sense given how well the market's doing, and that's Invesco. It's a money management firm with a stock that's up 45% for the quarter. The only surprise I saw in this list is by omission.
Many asset managers should have been on the top here, but it's a tech that dominated and a lot of the asset managers, well, let's just say they didn't really understand how great this market is. And how about the biggest losers for the quarter? As I scrutinize the list, I see a couple that could make a comeback.
Chipotle is the best of these losers, having been hammered relentlessly like many other restaurant chains. The current numbers are indeed nothing to write home about. But this company has a habit of bouncing back after management gets it right. Down 30% last quarter, Chipotle seems like a decent reversal candidate.
Unfortunately, the others seem too impaired to stick my neck out for even as they're household names that could make a comeback. I don't want to invest in managed care, though, or cable or used cars or Invisalign braces. Here's the bottom line. I learned a long time ago, don't fight the tape. If you want to embrace the tape, I think the third quarter's winners are a terrific place to be.
I'm betting most of these can keep rallying through the end of the year, but the biggest gains may indeed have already been made. Let's go to Greg in New Jersey. Greg. Booyah. Jim, thank you for what you do. I love Mad Money Watch every night. A thank you. And also, I'm a club member. Uh, but most importantly, congratulations on the new book.
I can't wait to Oh, thank you. And thank you at PayPal yesterday. Here we go. Self promotion. Good. Good. Uh, my question, uh, I'm a long-term holder and have been purchasing incremental shares of ticker symbol MU. Is it time for me to sell Micron? No, please. We just went through a huge battle of selling in Micron.
I talked to Sanjre Moroce. I thought it was an absolutely terrific quarter. I think this got sucks got $200 written all over it. This is just a great buy and hold. People keep trading in and out of it. You know what they miss, Greg? They miss all the games. You haven't. Stick with it. Let's go to Andy in Idaho where Michael's from.
Andy, Jim, thank you for taking my call. It's an honor. Of course. Thank You've spoken highly of the stock and the CEO and on a few occasions recently uh you said it was going to go much higher uh very soon. It got hammered last week and started off a little shaky this week and it's starting to make me a bit nervous.
I wanted to know what you thought about the price action and why you think I should be buying this dip, holding tight or running for the hills from a firm. Okay. I think first of all, let's just discuss this is Max Lebanon's baby. Okay. I've had Max on a number of times. I have dealt with him a number of times.
He is about as smart as anyone I have ever met and he's certainly the smartest in this group. I know there's a lot of people gunning for him. They think that he can't possibly continue the progress. His uh defaults are are minimal. He's a genius. Uh is he the most fun guy to party with? I don't know.
I don't I wouldn't I wouldn't know. But I'll tell you something. Is it is he a good stock to own? And the answer is absolutely yes. But I learned a long time ago to never fight the tape. And if you want to embrace it right now, then I think these winners from the third quarter actually represent a pretty good place to start on Mad Tonight.
Jill, talk about a place to start. Put a blowout quarter last week. So why has stock sold off since then? Something wrong? I'm digging into the story with the company CEO. Then is Nike's turnaround going according to plan or does the company need a new pair of kicks before it can start running higher?
I'm breaking down its latest results. And this IBM market is showing no signs of slowing down. Tonight, I'll run through the public debut of a power provider that did incredibly well today called Fermy to see if you can give your portfolio a boost. .
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