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2024년 주식시장 급등 후 12월 FOMC 점도표가 금리 인하 기대를 후퇴시키고 물가 전망을 상향해 위험자산(비트코인, 테슬라) 급락을 촉발했다고 분석. 점도표상 2025년 금리 전망이 약 50bp 높아졌고 2026년 물가 전망도 상향. 시장 breadth는 33%로 약세, 현재 약세 신호 우위. 연말 휴장기 거래량 감소로 변동성 확대 예상, 가족 시간 우선 권고. 아울러 OVTLYR 구독 할인 홍보.
다듬은 글
and while inflation may be you know cumulative around 20% is what they want to tell you that's not the real world that we're all living in welcome to the outlier trading room this is smart trading Made Simple this is where we save time make money and start winning with less risk together as a team and for those of you who don't know me my name is Christopher Ule I've twice been awarded top 100 people in finance I was mentored by five of the market Wizards the best traders of all time I've been successfully trading since 2009 but before we start trading let's get into the lesson of the day all right today's video is did Jerome Powell who like I just mentioned I got to hang out with a little bit earlier this year did Jerome Powell just pop the everything bubble the stock market crash Tesla stock Bitcoin just throw some keywords into there let's see what he has to say now I will say I don't know this channel this is Park parv Tate volan CFA I will tell you a CFA is exceptional difficult to get I never tried to because I know I know a lot of people cfas and they talk about how it basically ruined your life for two years St studying for it so I'm really hoping that this has some great content to go with it the Central Bank in the US may have just popped the everything bubble 2024 has been an exceptional year for investment assets prices for cryptocurrencies AI stocks Quantum Computing stocks homes and almost everything have increased substantially one fact they're fueling enthusi yeah including the market okay um let's do a quick measurement I saw it was up like roughly 30ish per for the year which is really huge right don't be jaded right this is not a normal market and when I say a normal market right um most markets don't look like a vertical or 45 degree slant over the course of an entire year so let's go to January 2nd which I totally missed my January 2nd Target hang tight real quick I I put that backward goes there we go January 2nd to today 26.480 in 2025 and in 2026 chairman Jerome Powell and the committee that sets monetary policy just changed those expectations dramatically the decrease in some asset prices was almost instant following the central bank's announcement some uh you know talking about the stock market selling off 3% which um I was talking to my parents this morning and you know they don't follow the market like I do and they're like oh did you hear the stock market crash and I'm like well I've been in cash for like you know three weeks now so it really didn't bother me but I can't necessarily say that a 25 basis point rate cut now caused a 3% selloff in the market when we've had basically an entire full percentage Point uh uh rate cut during the course of 2024 and we're up 26% something percent so I would not absolutely say that this is tied to the rate Cuts I think there's a lot more to it some of the froi parts of the market like cryptocurrencies and stocks with expensive valuations like Tesla took immediate hits I'm going to share with you what happened to Tesla I'm a Tesla car owner but I'm not a Tesla shares owner I mean how far did that go down let's be realistic here oh 11% it was a quick a big sell off there the details of what Central Bank just did that's causing the stock market to crash and what it could mean for stock market investors like yourself I want to thank the mle fool for sponsoring this video visit full that the Federal Reserve for the 10 best on December 18th 2024 the committee judges that the risk to achieving its employment and inflation goals are roughly imbalance the economic Outlook is uncertain and the committee is attentive to the risks to both sides of the Dual mandate so let me zoom out a little bit and explain what they mean by their dual mandate so the Federal Reserve their job is to keep unemployment low and keep inflation low and what they mean by low for inflation is roughly 2% and what they mean low for unemployment is somewhere in the range of three and a half to 5% the exact target for the unemployment rate is still not known for certain but somewhere in that range so they're balancing those two goals and it is a balancing act because if the central bank takes policy that helps grow the economy that's going to bring down inflation I'm sorry that's going to bring down unemployment but that's going to increase inflation when the economy is growing and overheating it increases inflation and so there's two sides of that if the Central Bank wants to control inflation the policies that it takes brings down economic activity and slows economic growth and increases job loss and increases unemployment but the FED has to balance that right because as an individual it's not good for you to have outof control inflation in fact right and still even on the opposite end of inflation right where inflation has peaked and it's come back down but it's still price is being 2% 3% or whatever higher than they were a year ago when they were 9% higher than the year before right so while they they have brought inflation down we still and that is technically called disinflation right I am hoping for and I know this is a slippery slope but I'm hoping for deflation where we can see prices going back to what they were just a few years ago I mean we are all aware enough to say Hey you know my my grocery bill is twice as much as it was before covid right we have seen that right and while inflation may be you know cumulative around 20% is what they want to tell you that's not the real world that we're all living in right I mean I've even been seeing gas prices come down lately that's great but how are we realistically going to get to a point where we're no longer in this cost of living crisis because we're all there everyone is there nobody can say I I dare you to find somebody to say I am better off today than I was four years ago I dare you to you're it's not going to happen right so the FED is trying to figure out how do people get back to that point where they feel like things are better than they were four years ago because that stimulates the economy right if you feel financially strained you're less likely to go spend money I would bet you that this Christmas season it's either going to be one of two ways right it can only go one of two ways it's going to be the most spent of all time because inflation's so high or it's going to be dramatically lower than years past because people have already burnt out their credit cards burnt out their savings and there's nothing left right I don't think you're going to see a marginal increase it's either going to be way higher because of inflation or way lower because people just have no credit card limit left in fact it might be the one thing that's the worst thing that can happen to an economy is out of control inflation that might be worse than increasing unemployment because the whole financial system will be at risk if inflation gets out of control and so the central bank has to balance those actions and up until today what the central bank had been seeing in 2024 is a persistently decreasing inflation and so they were able to shift their focus on the unemployment side of the equation because inflation was since we're talking inflation let's pull an inflation chart yeah that's what I'm talking about here right prices while they are up let's say 2.7% is what this number says here for November right that's 2.7% higher than it was the year before let's do a cumulative inflation chart I don't want that one chart um that's UK inflation hang on sorry US inflation chart since 2020 that's monthly here's cumulative that's what I wanted to see right that it it's it's it's a 45 degree angle up right cumulative inflation means that you know the per the percentage change period over period has slowed but overall prices are not coming down they're continuing to go up and that has been something you've heard me talk about it many times that has been driving me up a wall where people say we fixed everything everything's great you haven't fixed everything because prices are still elevated across all asset classes all all consumable Goods it feels like anytime you buy anything right whether it's like a coffee mug or um a a cheeseburger or your groceries or whatever right it feels like it's so much higher than it was just a few years ago because it is incre was decreasing they felt that they were confident in decreasing inflation and so they were lowering interest rates in fact they lowered interest rates at this meeting but what was more important than the decrease in interest rate in this meeting was the forecast for future decreases and they reduced the forecast for future decreases and they also told the market that they expect inflation will be much higher than they previously thought and that oh freaking that sucks that goes along the lines of what I had been reporting if you watched my inflation video a couple of weeks ago I highlighted that this is precisely what the Federal Reserve was going to do I told you all that a couple of weeks ago that inflation had been increasing and to make matters worse asset prices were getting in bubish as territory things like cryptocurrencies and some stocks like Tesla were getting extremely overvalued and so all of that enthusiasm fuels inflation because the people that are making money on those Investments are then going out and spending that money and that's overheating the economy and that's on top of the already accelerating inflation and so that's precisely what the Federal Reserve did here they cut interest rates by a quarter point but they signaled that they're not going to cut interest rates by as much as was previously expected next year and the year after that let me share with you those details so here's the policy projections from the Federal Reserve board members as of September 18th 2024 and at this date they were forecasting that I will say I'm actually enjoying this channel I feel like I'm learning a lot and I appreciate that he's got receipts McDonald's large fries 379 dude what didn't that used to be a dollar right what happened to the dollar menu McDonald's everything on the dollar menu is like $17 now that inflation core PC pce inflation would be 2.6% in 2024 2.2% in 2025 and 2% in 2026 that means that it's going towards its Target of 2% right that's the target for the Federal Reserve is to keep inflation at or very close to 2% they don't want zero because 0% inflation is also bad news for the economy I won't get into why that's the case that's a whole another video I will need to make but the Central Bank needs roughly 2% inflation so in September they had forecasted 2.6 2.2 and two for the next three years in today's release they updated that number from 2.6 to 2.8 and then 2.5 and 2.2 and they don't have the inflation rate coming down to 2% until 27 so a big increase in inflation expectations just from September to considering we're about to have the the largest basically sweeping change in Washington that possibly have ever have happened since George Washington we'll see right I I think those numbers um will change dramatically in the next 12 months next 24 months right but projecting something that's three years out uh I don't put put a lot of credence behind that December and part of that increase is undoubtedly the enthusiasm surrounding the elections in the United States which fueled asset price increases which fueled increasing spending from consumers and that led to Rising inflation in just these last couple of months inflation has accelerated and I shared with you I'll link that video at the end of this one of what I thought of the most recent inflation report all right so here I have the September numbers for what's called The Dot Plot this is what the Central Bank committee members pick out as their expected interest rate policy for the respective years and so you can see 2024 2025 and all of these dots are individual committee members voting on where they think interest rate should be at those respective times okay so take a look at here these are the expectations for 2024 where they expect interest rate policy to be and this is where they expected interest rate policy to be for 2025 and this was in the September meeting look at all these dots at around 3% and 3 and a half% look at all those dots around this point here okay I want you to keep this in mind because I'm going to switch to the latest figures from December and see how these have changed all right so now look at the updated numbers from the December policy meeting look at how all of those people who thought the committee members who thought 3% or three and a half% would be appropriate next year those have all but vanished only one Committee Member actually thinks interest rate should be at 3% or 3 and a half% next year the majority of committee members now think that 3.75 or 4% is the more appropriate interest rate for next year let me switch back here the majority of committee members previously thought 3% or three and a quarter percent now the majority of committee members think 3.75 or 4% is the more appropriate number so an increase of about 50 basis points of interest rates in 2025 expected well hang on it's not an increase it's it's less of a decrease right hang on let's not get confused here we're not increasing rates by 50 basis points it's not declining as much by 50 basis points okay just for clarification interest rates now this is their Dot Plot meaning that when they go to vote this is what they're going to vote for and the chairman of the central bank takes these into consideration the Chairman's vote is also included here so that means that interest rates are likely to be about 50 B points higher next year than initially expected and the same can be said for 2026 if you look at the Dot Plot for 2026 this is the updated number where the majority of committee members are expecting something in the range of about three and a half% and you can look at the previous numbers where committee members the majority of committee members were expecting something in the range of 2.75% as the majority of the committee members were voting on so big increases in interest rates expected and a 50 basis point increase for interest rates is a big move it's a huge move interest rates don't move by all that much all that frequently so a move of this magnitude has large implications you know I am surprised because you know a million years ago before my time really um I remember my parents told me that they bought their house in the 80s and it was like a 13 13 not 1.3 133% interest rate and I mean we didn't get anywhere close to that we were thousands and thousands of basis points away from uh hitting 133% as our high which makes me wonder if the economy is so dependent on low rates in order to keep inflation at 2% what does that mean if if we had if we had hit something like 10% the FED funds does that mean the economy would have crashed I don't know I'm just guessing here and you've already seen that almost instantaneously in some of the what I feel in my opinion were the most overvalued Assets in the market and that is Bitcoin and Tesla stock just as a proxy I use them as investor enthusiasm and excitement for asset prices you can see Tesla stock is down over 8% today following that announcement it was actually up on the day before the central bank Mikey Mike ask what influences the committee members on these percents so you know you've got your committee members all over the United States and most likely it's regional to what they think about um their Regional economy right what would their Regional economy be able to sustain um and so they plot that on the board to see where that fits amongst all the other votes I don't know that's more of a guess than anything um but I don't think that they vote blindly right I don't think it's it's like Survivor they take their vote they stick it in the idol and then the guy reads it out right in front of a tiki torch fire I don't think they vote like that um I think that it's it's probably a lot more political where it's like um you know all the members of Congress who are one political party all vote together I think it's a lot more like that uh but I don't know what goes into that that's a good question Dave says I remember my parents walking away from a deal for a new construction had to convert from a construction loan to a regular loan when rat shot up to 177% dude dude could you imagine like do you know how difficult it would be to sell a house if rates were 177% I mentioned this you know ages ago but my mortgage is at 3 and 58 and I got a 30-year mortgage I have no incentive ever to move right because if I move I for the same mortgage that I have now I would probably have half the size of the house right because I wouldn't have the same mortgage payment I I I'd have to double the mortgage payment for the same equivalency of house because of rates going up and if rates gone up 10 percentage points more than this dude it would be impossible to sell home like literally impossible you you would have to have a fire sale on homes right a home that may have been valued at a million dollars today probably would have to be sold for 350,000 or less right because it's like you know your mortgage gets exponentially more expensive as you add more interest rates to it so o 177% is crazy uh Johan L says I bought my first house in the Boston area my mortgage was 21% I refinanced a dozen times dude 21% it's like a credit card did you buy a credit card that's crazy talk 1989 I was out of diapers by then but I was a lot younger Bank announced these changes for interest rates and then Bitcoin is down 6% these two assets were almost on a straight path upward ever since the presidential elections in November in the United States Tesla for two reasons is having a decrease uh number one is that investor enthusiasm has calmed down because of higher interest rates that means that people looking to make an investment can now invest in a Ultra safe US Government Bond that's going to give them now now more interest return compared to a stock that's riskier and then secondly when people are buying a car they're usually financing that purchase and with interest rates higher they're going to be less interested in purchasing cars and that's going to be bad news for Tesla Tesla was already having to subsidize car buyers by giving them artificially as a Tesla owner I'm going to talk about that for a moment I at Thanksgiving have my first range anxiety moment ever and I know you've heard the story but some people haven't we were driving about 3 hours away uh my wife had packed so much stuff that we couldn't fit it on one car so she has Alexus SUV I have a Tesla Model y performance and um I was like okay we'll take two cars right me and the boys my two sons we'll sit in the Tesla and drive and then you can take your car because there's no room for any other humans in that car um so she's driving down the road following me and um we're it's in like a winter storm and the wind's blowing real hard the temperatur dropping in the 40 and what was on the app on the Tesla app said I get there with 30% battery I get in the car and the car computer is different than the Tesla app and it said I'd get there a 15% battery I'm like whatever no big deal and then I'm driving down the road and about an hour into the journey it says turn around go home and charge again because you're not going to make it and I'm like what you can't be serious and then like my my range estimate went from 15 to 11 to 7 to 4 and that's when it said turn around and try again and I called my wife and I'm like I'm like listen there are no super chargers where we're going here I'm going to need to draft off you so she pulled up in front of me and I drafted off her for the next two hours as a Tesla owner that was not a great experience not at all but because Elon is now becoming so politically influential I think he is going to and this is totally a conflict of interest don't get me wrong here but I think it is in his best interest monetarily speaking to put in the ear of Donald Trump make it a mandate I don't know how they're going to do this right this is just Chris theorizing here make it a mandate where every gas station has to remove one gas pump and put in one two-stall charger right and um it'll be a Tesla charger of course because that's the North American charging standard and so it'll it'll benefit him monetarily because every car that pulls in there he's going to get paid you know whatever to charge on a Tesla charger but if there is at least two Chargers at every single gas pump or every single gas station in the entire United States we no longer have range anxiety right and then if we no longer have range anxiety people are more likely to buy the electric cars which also helps him in the long run so big picture thinking here Chris is saying I think that is a very viable situation especially you could put solar panels on top of the uh all the awnings on the gas stations right now when you go charge a Tesla it's not the best experience it's really not because most of the time the Chargers are located on the Outer Banks of whatever station it is right and sometimes it's sketchy right sometimes it's super sketchy and a lot of times there's no light no trash cans there's no covering whatsoever I I think I've I think I've been to one charging station ever that was covered and while there may be some stations I went to a bues in Temple Texas that had 72 Chargers which was outrageous nobody needs 72 Chargers and then you go you know other s in the southern Oklahoma area was where I was going and there's not one for 100 miles in any direction it's like do we really need 72 here or could we take two of those and drop them over in southern Oklahoma so big picture move here right I have no control over this right but I think Elon will do something like that and then that will be like Gang Busters for Tesla stock price because why wouldn't it be if elon's incentivized and will basically make uh money on every time you charge and then more people realize oh it is super easy to uh drive a Tesla when you can just charge it anywhere right and it it really honestly driving around town is fantastic I just plug it in every night like I do my phone right and the next day it's good to go but on road trips not the best really not Dave says 21% is outrageous Dave says I already did that in Arizona for one of the northern counties when I was there started mandating electric chargers at stations and commercial buildings dude well thank you I appreciate that Randy maybe one day I'll get to use one of those Chargers hybrid is the ticket the new Hondas are embracing the self-charging electric car oh I didn't know about this I have to self-charging electric car that sounds brilliant we lower interest rates at 0% and then it was having to pay for that on the back end now that's going to be even more expensive for Tesla to implement as interest rates are going to be higher for 2025 and 2026 so for all those reasons I feel this might be just the tip of the iceberg here for these overvalued assets that's what I think this could mean for investors if you I mean I was already skeptical of some of these overvalued assets as you've heard me talk about extensively over the last several months especially for Tesla I've been talking about how I felt it was overvalued but now that risk is even heightened because the central bank has taken a more restrictive stance on the economy realizing that things were getting a little bit Bubblicious things were getting out of control too much enthusiasm in the market and when there's so much financial asset price appr iation that leads to inflation because investors take those gains and they go out into the economy and they make purchases with those right because when people feel more wealthy they're more likely to go out and buy things it's it I I think it's called The Wealth effect where like for example if your stock portfolio is down 20% on the year right you you probably aren't excited to go buy stuff but if your stock portfolio is up 20% on the year you're probably thinking you know what I'm doing really well right I am a financial genius and you go buy some more Stu stuff that is a real thing right you can look it up Google it gains and that leads to higher inflation so be careful out there did you know that over 90% of the people that watch my I gotta say okay this channel new Channel Park hang on let me make it bigger so you can see it parev Tate slovian CFA I'm gonna rank this channel a uh a 10 out of 10 and the reason being is that he didn't give us any fluff right he wasn't trying to say byy AMD stock it's at 52e close it's going to be the next big thing right no dude was all facts-based well well said came with receipts so 10 out of 10 I like that outlier approved on that so let's do our very last bit over here and say if that was useful to you share this with somebody who think you could use it and let's do our member highlight of the day in our very last weekly Winter Circle for oh wait a minute I clicked it too early our very last weekly Winner Circle for 2024 okay the weekly winner circle is so much fun because I'm going to give one of our members a $10 gift card to Amazon a last last one of the year um and all you have to do is post in our Discord and in the share your big wins section and the rules are super simple just post over there and you couldn't have won it last week and then you're entered to win so let's see how it went this week um let's see who won so it was a it was a two for last week I gave it to both MAA Wales and uh Mikey Mike trying to find that note here so I can keep up there we go okay so who has posted since then miraculus all right so he posted and MAA Wales made a huge gain on Walmart way to go Dave posted oh Michael Wales is not eligible but Dave is in fact let me start um pulling up the spreadsheet here so I'm going to put in uh oraculus I don't know if I spelled that right Dave let's see who else um Randy and Randy again Wes posted as as well and that's going to be it so one of you four gentlemen is going to win a $10 Amazon gift card and so I'm going to go to random.org and I'm going to put in I was verified as a human did you see that I only took like two seconds I'm so proud of myself I'm going to let it do a random number generator here right so this is one two three and four whoever the number comes up with is the weekly Winner Circle for the week and April will sent you a $10 Amazon gift card on Monday and this goes down in three two one number two that's Dave with the win again congratulations Dave Dave how many of these have you got now 64 at least Right congratulations to Dave you are the last weekly winner circle of the Year congrats to at Dave for winning this week's weekly Winners Circle and then I'm going put April will oh wait a minute that wrong April outlier there we go will send you the gift card on Monday a little treat for yourself directly from Santa Claus so uh we do that every single week so be sure to share your stories in the Discord and tell everybody you can about outlier right we are literally trying to take over the world and I know you're already subscribed do me a favor and hit the like button now let's get back to trading in the outlier trading room so I'm a partner with outlier and this is my style of trading but real quick what is outlier and how's it work it's the world's best AI stock trading assistant allows you to save time make money and start winning with less risk with a four-step process number one outlier monitors how investors are reacting to changing market conditions news price movements and the economy number two outlier determines if investors are acting irrationally fearful or greedy and by how much number three out gives buy and sell signals when those irrational behaviors reach an extreme and number four allowing you to get into the stock before the outlier move happens and my style of trading I call the golden ticket trading strategy it always starts with the market now let's go take a look at the market because it has changed a hell of a lot in the last couple days so we had this giant candle on December 18th selling off below everything right under the 5050 day yesterday if you want to think about it it it probably did cross uh yesterday with a 10 and 20 under the 50 but as of right now as of this moment we have the 10 under the 20 but price is over the 50 so this is kind of the No Man's Land you really want it to be 10 under the 20 price under the 50 or the opposite but in at the meantime it's kind of in between so if you are looking to put on shorts just be careful right the the trend is not the trend is changed I'll put it that way but I wouldn't say it's conclusive just yet but if we go into outlier um we have quite a lot of signals today right we have 27 New sell signals on the bare list with only two new sell signals on the bull list and mes was telling me that we should be having another update by the end of the year so if you check into outlier in the next couple weeks or so you're probably going to see some more enhancements coming through because as you guys know we are constantly constantly pushing updates to make this better taking a look at Market breadth you can see that the number of stocks um with buy signals that's the green line right there has been steadily falling and it's down to just 33% today so only 33% of the Market's bullish and actually let's go to the S&P 500 map I've been eyeballing this like a hawk let's look at the one month performance it's loading really slow Mikey Mike says nice Dave oh no did our stream crash again hang on is it everything working nice Dave okay okay okay okay thank you it's been a great year for everyone all right so going back to this right where's the money gone on the last month it is a sea of red with the exception of The Magnificent 7 and Walmart basically like it's really ugly the market is really really really ugly this is just in the last month and then you've got stocks because the market is um market cap weighted right and this map is also market cap weighted the bigger it is on the map the bigger the market cap it is um you can see some of these names like apple up 10% in a month Amazon 10% a month Google 8% a month meta 5% a month and Tesla up 26% a month these guys are holding up the market right if they go to zero over the course of the next month or so the Market's going to hurt hard and fast so just putting it out there I'm not very bullish on the market right now especially where it's at oh it's under the 50-day at this point so if it's under the 50-day let's do this let's do this let's go into the screener and's see I haven't run this yet so I literally have no idea uh go to the bearish screener I have literally no idea if anything's going to pull through so today's the 20th got a couple AC HC now listen here here's here's my footnote for the day I put this in the Discord and Mark echoed what I was saying right for those of you who are trading in the alongside in the trading room today is the day when I would start shorting but I want you to keep in mind if you do start shorting with the holidays next week and you can't monitor your positions like you normally would don't put any risk on in the market and I'm being so serious about this I'll never forget trying to trade on Black Friday walking around the mall with my family with my face stuck in my phone because I feel like I couldn't take a day off the market is always going to be there and new trades will come but that time with your family is precious don't waste it remember to enjoy the time with your family over the holidays most likely they're one of the driving factors to why you wanted to trade in the first place right then Mark said again if you can't mind your positions like you normally would don't put any risk on in the market new trades will come but that time with your family is precious and don't waste it so I'm going to leave it at that I'm not even going to pursue this any further what I'm going to tell you is if you decide to trade do so knowing that you've really got to pay attention to it because next week is a holiday week and the week after that's also another holiday week you may have heard of the Santa Claus rally right or the January effect right that may or may not transpire this year I would venture to say may not but one will thing one thing will happen is that the number of participants in the market is going to collapse okay let's say an example is that there may be a million traders who trade every day next two weeks both weeks there're may be 200,000 Traders maybe 100,000 Traders right if that happens volatility spikes right because the market has to move farther to find a buyer or find a seller if there's 10 times less participants that buyer can say I'm only going to buy it if it's way down here or that seller can say I'm only going to sell if it hits way up here and if you're the market participant and you need to move you're going to have to move higher or lower very fast more than you normally would to meet one of those prices in order to transact the uh transact the uh the trade right so keep that in mind is that volatility will most likely be elevated next week don't expect the Santa Claus rally right so many people man I can't tell you how many years went by when I was working in an office and people there's a Santa Claus rally coming this week there's no guarantee of that don't put your bets on it especially this year okay just putting that out there uh Dave asks I do have a question on the screener when bearish do you want a negative expectancy or still positive that is a great question Dave so I do want a positive expectancy still so that would be outlier signal return positive right um reason being is that outlier is built as a long only platform right and so I hear where you're coming from do you want a negative expectancy but in that case you're somewhat taking the data and while we are reversing the signals you're reversing the outcome that you want to see right so I would not look for negative expectancy I would still leave it as positive expectancy but I absolutely see um absolutely see your point there that's what I thought very cool so yeah trade at your own risk next week and this week honestly I would they don't I would say go enjoy your family right I can't tell you how many times how much stress that I've put on myself by trying to trade on vacation trying to trade at holidays when I didn't have to did I make any money maybe but what I do remember is not the money I made or money I lost what I do remember is the time commitment that I lost was the time that I wasn't spending with my family and enjoying myself with them that's why we trade right is to have more money in our pocket today than we did yesterday for not only us but for the people that we love right sorry to get sappy on you but it's the truth right so that's going to wrap it for today thank you so much for being an outlier it's going to wrap it for the year thank you so much for being an outlier we couldn't do this without you and we want to pay you back every single day by helping you save time make money and start winning with less risk together as a team now this deal ends at the end of the month at the end of the year saving 45% on the annual plan it's literally just 90 cents a day to get outlier for the whole of 2025 definitely think you should take that up let us know if you need anything over in the Discord I'll be around you can still chat in the Discord we'll still all be there um Mikey Mike says how do you screen for the 5% rule it will be built into the screener here um in this next update that mesh is doing in fact I'll show you where it's going to be over here it's going to be a 0 to 5% right where it says price change five days 0 to 5% meaning you know in the last days is it 5% up or down somewhere in between there that 10% range from you know neg 5 to plus 5% is it somewhere in the that range right because as of right now we have 5% or more but we don't have zero to five so it'll be right there um like I say in the next update which should come really really soon so thank you all again really appreciate the time to hang with you be sure you tell everybody about outli right especially to hit 2025 on the right foot and of course I know subscribe but hit the like button have a fantastic holiday a fantastic New Year I'll see you again on January 6th and you know what like I say always you can hit me up or anybody else up on the Discord and again from me to you personally thank you so much for uh being an outlier Merry Christmas and have have a happy New Year and we'll talk soon







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