저자: VijayKedia관련분석 · 외국인
요약 보기
Atul Auto 주가 분석 영상. 결론: 기술적으로는 강세이나 펀더멘털이 약해 370 부근 분할매수 또는 3월 분기 실적 확인 후 판단이 유리하다는 입장. 기술적 분석: 삼각형 패턴 돌파 후 장대양봉과 거래량 증가, 목표가 450, 420~415 돌파 시 495까지 가능성 언급. 단기 3일 연속 급등으로 조정(눌림) 가능성 있어 370 부근 매수 제시. 사업 및 성장 요인: 3륜 오토릭샤 국내외 판매 확대, CNG·전기 등 파워트레인 다변화, 자동차금융(Khushboo Autofinance)을 통한 할부 지원, 생산능력 확대(2020년 9월 기준 연 10만대). 시장점유율은 2021년 6.99%에서 5.51%로 하락. 재무 평가: 시가총액 약 895억 루피 수준의 소형주. 매출 성장 둔화, 영업이익률 낮음, ROE 낮음, 최근 분기 순이익 감소(20억→1억 루피대), 영업현금흐름 마이너스 전환, 부채 약 210억 루피 언급. 주주 구조: 공개지분 48.87%, 비키야 증권 등 기관 보유 변동, Vijay Kedia 개인 PF 7.05% 보유. 국내 기관 지분 축소 언급. 리스크: 펀더멘털 취약, 주가 급등 후 차익실현 가능성, 3월 분기 실적 확인 필요. 결론: 단기 기술적 강세 인정하되 실적 확인 전 추격매수 자제, 370 부근 분할접근 및 Q4 FY23 실적 확인 후 재판단을 권고.
다듬은 글
Hello friends, welcome to your channel Investing and Trading. In this video, we will analyze a portfolio of investor Mr. Vijay Kedia in a big stock. He is a master in spotting. His investment in Sira Sanitary Ware, Sudarshan Chemical, Ramco System, Tejas Network has given fast returns, it has given more than 100% returns in 6 months.
We will analyze it in detail in this video. Apart from that, we will also analyze the potential of investing in the stock in this video. It has been shown in the video that it is a very small company worth Rs. 895 crores and it supplies auto rickshaws in the domestic and overseas market. It is a four-wheeler portfolio, basically auto rickshaws are also available, all this has happened a lot now.
First of all, let us see how much investment he has. We have already come. If we look at the public in it, the public holding is 48.87. The holding in it is 7.0 security. First of all, the share price of Atul Auto Share is increasing, we will first see that. People see the analysis view. Mr. Ravi Singh, Vice President and Fed Up Research, Sher India is saying that the stock price outlook is becoming healthy because of increasing its percentage penetration in AV and CNG segment.
It is penetrating very well in both the segments. This is one of the reasons. Secondly, increasing its credit tax is being given to the customers who are three-wheelers and are going to purchase autos. It is giving them credit and enabling them with loans etc. This is also a very good thing. Due to this, sales are also increasing very well.
Now we have found out the reason, this is the reason. Apart from this, they have maintained their presence in the foreign market as well, plus their distribution channel is also expanding. This is the real reason and according to the technicals, they are giving their justification that this is around 400-4007.
Now they are saying that if the close is above 415, then the price of 450 can also be seen. It is possible that they are saying so much bullish on the chart, when we take a look at the chart a little, what is the chart saying, this chart of Atul Auto Share is down, friends, it has gone up, according to the indicator, the D3 indicator is giving sir positional and if we look at the chart, it was 181 6 months ago, it was around here in October, now in March itself it became 47, it has given more than two times return, what is it now, then after a little profit booking, then it has broken the resistance very well and has gone up, it is creating around 460 right now, son, you will see these useless factors, the amount of transaction that has happened here is very much, if you look at it, all the three candles are very long, now that is why a lot has come from every angle, there is no story in it, this candle is also very good, therefore we can consider it and go ahead, the link here is this length, according to this we made the prediction You can go up to 494.70 or 495, so the analysis done on the charts is very good, technically S plus fundamentally everyone is giving a target of 450, it was closing above 420, according to our charts it can touch the price of 495 as well, but where to enter, they are saying around 470, around 370, brother, around this place and dips are being said because it has become very high in 3 consecutive days, hence it will come down to return, buying in this range and dip is very good, this profit booking is bound to happen, after this, doing 7 minutes around 370 is very good, they are saying that, now Million Dollar Costume, what is our view of the channel, after looking at a little fundamental view once, then we are commenting, let's look at the business model of Atul Auto Sir, it is concentrated in auto rickshaw.
In the domestic market, their portfolio of three-wheelers will be eight branded. Basically, it has various types like petrol, CNG, LPG, diesel, CNG, petrol and many other things. Therefore, in this combination, their diesel engine is supplied and the capacity expansion has been completed. In September 2020, they can supply 100,000 units and their capacity has also been increased very well.
Their growth from 2010 to 16 is very good at 20%. The market share is 6.99%. In 2021, it decreased a little and became 5.51%. And the rating was also slightly reduced in one region, this is also a reason, but this is a very good thing. In Khushboo Autofinance, their streak of 30% has now been increased to 100%.
And what is their result, the fund that the customer spends in purchasing an auto rickshaw? You can finance it, this Khushboo is doing it through autofinance, because of that their sales are also growing very well, basically this is it and they are also increasing their supply in this market, both of these are very good growth drivers, plus their capacity expansion has been completed, it has been done very well, this is also one of the reasons, now let us see their figures, the performance of the last few years, Atul Auto Limited market is crores, it is a very small company, it is even smaller than a small company, and that scene is negative and it is negative and from there everything is negative, it is not negative at all, last making and apps are also negative, profit growth is growing slowly, debt is also of 210 crores, due to being a small company, their scene is looking very good, first of all we have their train of 12 months, it is growing rapidly, now after this, from 625 to 67, in any period it may be 20096 It went to 315, after that it is improving to 458 as well and operating profit was again in the last, then it is bigger than very good, then it has become in the last, according to the training tournament, it is expected to be in profit, if you look at the net profit, it was 7 crores, from 7 crores it was reduced to 1 crore, after that it is a little bit consistently bigger, then these three years and if you look at their operating profit margin, it is not that good, the free day before yesterday, you are in mines, it has improved well, but apart from this, the sales growth is also not looking very good and the profit growth is okay as per the training tool math, the rest of the story is not that good, it has given a return of 102% only in the last warning, the return on equity is also not very good, let's look at the quarterly figures, between December 19 to December, it has increased from 119192 crores to 10033 crores, there was not much improvement in the period in between, just a little bit Net profit was cut from 20 crores and then went to the last, even now it is not the last till the last quarter, in this quarter there is a little 3.56% operating profit margin in December capital, first of all let's see it, after 54 crores it has been increased by ₹16 crores, it has become 210 crores, it is possible that they might be having some explanation, this is from investment also, I have not done that much, it happened very well till the period, after this that also got evaporated, now it is visible only for one crore, if we are not able to see the assets also a little and apart from this if we look at the cash flow, then cash from operating activity should have reduced, it has gone into negative, 52.70, now it is 0.45 and domestic institutions which were at one time 15.18, they were also giving, after reducing it, it has become almost 1.2 now, but its Kadhiya Security is 1.37 and your own Vijay PF is 7.05, this is big only in March, as of now The development that is visible in the quarter is also after creation, but they might have some inside information due to which they have increased their status a lot, this is also a reason, now I will tell my addition in our next slide, this is the chart of Atul Auto, technical experts are saying and here too it is very good, you can see it and the prediction is also very good, these people are giving a target of 450, if it crosses 420 or 415 then it will achieve that much, they are saying that now technically speaking, the technical looks good because this triangle pattern has given a break out, after giving the break out, the three candles have become very long with good volume and the time hi has given a record, so it looks very good from the look of it, everything is fine, but fundamentally speaking, whatever will happen as per the quarter in March, it will be better for us than doing Western Watch, now whatever the experts say, it will be better for us to do Congress in 370, by doing this we will do it.
The channel believes that we should wait till the March quarter comes, it will be better if we see a little about how they have done it because in the short time the police which is visible right now will come down due to which they are giving target to all the auto stocks and also whatever is visible a little after giving the pass but still the hope is less, the police will have done it a lot, hence it will be better if we do a little good on that, we are watching the Q3 results with me, we should wait till the results of Q423 come, after that we will update what to do, you must have liked this video a lot, if you like the video then like it, share it, subscribe to the channel, thanks for watching
Comments 0