저자: 미상 · 외국인
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결론: 영상은 비트코인 급등을 기관 OTC 매수와 소매 FOMO의 결합으로 보며, 단기 조정 가능성과 금 조작 가능성을 경고한다. 비트코인 가격 및 시장 상황: 비트코인이 약 19,700~19,800달러로 사상 최고가 근처에 도달했다고 언급. 발표자는 공포 없이 탐욕만 보인다고 진단했다. CME 갭: 1,300달러 규모의 CME 선물 갭이 아직 메워지지 않았고, 9,600달러 부근의 갭도 남아 있다고 지적. 역사적으로 갭은 대개 메워진다는 점을 근거로 든다. 기관 매수 구조: 기관은 시장에서 사지 않고 OTC에서 할인가(3~5%)로 대량 매수한 뒤 공개시장에서 매도할 수 있다고 주장. 기관이 시장가로 매수하는 것은 합리적이지 않다고 본다. 그레이스케일 보관 구조: 그레이스케일이 대량의 비트코인을 보관하며 고객은 실물을 사용할 수 없고 현금화 후 USD로 지급받는다는 점을 언급하며 기관 영향력을 강조. 채굴 설비 인수: 기관이 해시파워와 채굴 설비까지 사들이고 있으며, 채굴 난이도 급등을 근거로 제시. 금 시장 조작 및 비교: 금이 선물·OTC 시장에서 조작된다는 기사와 전문가 인터뷰를 인용. 2019년 금 ETF 매도 후 금 가격 하락 사례를 들어 비트코인도 선물 포지션으로 가격을 조종할 수 있다고 주장. 비트코인은 ETF가 없고 규제가 약하다는 점을 지적. 전망 및 리스크: 2만 달러 돌파는 가능성이 높으며 2만3,500~2만5,000달러 부근에서 FOMO 정점과 급락 가능성을 언급. 비트파이넥스 롱 포지션은 낙관적이지 않다고 본다. 과거 피터 시프 발언(금 시장 점유율 및 도박성 자금 유입론)을 인용. 출연자 전망: 발표자는 단기 2만 달러 돌파 및 2만3,500~2만5,000달러 과열 구간 이후 조정을 전망하며 신중한 거래를 당부.
다듬은 글
the definition of price discovery is what is someone willing to pay for something today we discovered something we discovered that people are willing to pay nearly twenty 000 goddamn dollars for one bitcoin for a bitcoin people are willing to pay 20 000 nearly 20 000 for bitcoin here's a question i have for you though which one of you okay watching right now went and bought bitcoin at nineteen thousand seven hundred dollars today i wanna know who buys bitcoin that high who buys bitcoin during a rally that's what i can't figure out who which one of you guys comment down below if you went bought bitcoin at nearly 20 000 and many right now are speculating that the the buying pressure we're seeing right now is coming from the institutions banks your gray scales fidelity digital assets your backs so on and so forth but there is something that people don't think about these institutions and banks do not have to buy on market they buy otc and i can promise you the otc mark right now is flourishing is doing well as a matter of fact they buy at such quantities right that they actually get a discount so they'll actually buy bitcoin out on an otc desk at a discount that's below market price that's how this works and then they sell on the open market it's that's how it works it's kind of it's kind of dirty and there's a reason why i'm bringing this up okay right now there's a pretty substantial cme gap that was left that has not yet been filled hell we still have a cme gap at 9 600.
there's a few things that we should talk about okay i'm going to show you some data okay because gold and bitcoin right now they are becoming one in the same as far as how banks and institutions trade them manage them and handle them how they handle their futures the etf was the one thing that we're missing in the bitcoin space but there's also one more thing missing regulation you see the bitcoin market does not have the same level of regulation as the gold market and as we can see gold is suffering right now while bitcoin is not i i'm going to show you something i'm going to show you some data today so make sure you watch this video at the very end and if you want to make sure you can really fully understand what i'm talking about what you need to do smash that like button now in all seriousness also hit that subscribe button as well it is december remember what happened last december youtube smash cryptocurrency channels so right now the news is price of bitcoin hits 19k hell i mean the price actually hit like 19783 but it's an all-time high we had an all-time high especially in the binance finance exchange there was an all-time high set there not sure if it counts for the entire market but it was done there but here's the thing there is no fear right now in the market we are seeing no fear we are seeing confidence we are seeing people get greedy we are seeing people who bash and destroy and cut their throats if you say anything negative about the price of bitcoin and the rally right now this right here is what warren buffett talks about when he says be greedy when the people are fearful and fearful when people are greedy i don't know if it's in the right order but that's what he said so my question to you right now okay everybody is greedy everyone's being super greedy we know this because somebody and there's a group of people out there one bought bitcoin at 19 783 okay somebody did that a group of people did that so there's greed out there where do you stand right now are you right now still greedy or are you fearful i'm really curious i want to kind of gauge what everyone's what everyone's feelings are because i'm gonna show you some stuff in today's video okay that it'll get you to think it's not gonna make you greedy or fearful but it'll probably get you to think and question the motives of what these institutions are doing right now now in this article they do point out something that people should be fearful about is the fact that there is a cme gap that does exist it's a thirteen hundred dollar cme futures gap now it's not at the price of thirteen hundred it's a thirteen hundred dollar gap in general it's this gap right here as you can see now we didn't fill this gap yet okay this gap is not entirely filled so there's still room for correction but people are still buying so they were disregarding some of the some of the indicators that tell us hey this is a point to where the price of bitcoin can pull back so our somebody is super confident that even if it fills this gap it's going to go back up hopefully they're right and of course people are still forgetting that there's a 9600 cme gap that is still open that has not yet been filled if history has been any indicator for bitcoin history has shown that that gap gets filled some point sometime that gap will get filled and something else that's very clear right now is not only are we seeing the price of bitcoin going up or not only are we seeing all-time highs with the price hash power is going through the roof now we know that grayscale is the largest holder of of bitcoin aside from satoshi right they have the largest holdings of bitcoin now what's unique about their holdings is you have to remember they they hold the bitcoin they're the custody right for their clients their clients never get that bitcoin their clients cannot use that bitcoin it stays within the custody of grayscale grayscale manages that bitcoin if a client says hey listen i want to buy that ferrari i need to get that new leadership there's a gulf stream i need to go buy what grayscale will do is cash out that bitcoin for them and send them usd okay there's a reason i'm pointing this out there's a reason i'm pointing this out but before we get into that it's important to realize we're seeing that mining difficulties going through the roof something else that we know is not only do institutions hold the largest portions of bitcoin they also are buying up hash power at astronomical amounts so not only are they buying the available supply that is out there we do know that institutions are also buying the supply chain itself the miners mining facilities and this is something that institutions and banks have also done with gold okay gold has also done this very same thing so the thought everyone should be having right now is okay we are entering all-time high territory we're entering that rally traders and fundamentalists have been saying that this rally has not been pushed by retail but mainly being pushed by banks something that doesn't sit right with that is the fact that banks buy otc the otc market is going really well they buy off market otc and see the incentives of buy otc are high there's a reason for that when you buy bitcoin otc you buy bitcoin at a discount it's true the more you buy the more of a discount you can get now there is a cap it's not like an endless discount there is a cap to that if you buy up to x amount of bitcoin you get up to x amount of discount and that discount could be three to five percent below what market price is so they're always front running you they're always ahead they don't have any rules that say they cannot sell on market though so if this bitcoin price rally right now okay is being fueled by by institutions it really doesn't make sense because there's no discount here they're buying bitcoin that just keeps getting more and more and more and more expensive whereas they can just go in there take a stack of 500 million dollars say hey i want to go ahead and buy bitcoin at the price level okay just because we're already here at 19 000 293 i want to get a three percent discount and then bam they buy all 500 million dollars worth of that bitcoin at that three percent discount at 19 200 some change the market never moves the bitcoin never got more expensive it's all done one transaction it's clean makes zero sense for these guys to go buy on market when they can get a discount so you really have to think about that i believe what we're seeing right now personally because of the fact that the otc market is where banks buy i do believe we are seeing fomo i do believe we're seeing people who already knew about bitcoin heard about bitcoin potentially saying you know what i'm gonna take a little bit of a dip oh my god i bought some bitcoin it went up just a little bit i'll buy a little bit more i think that's what we're seeing i think we're seeing a small retail push and with these small retail pushes this is where we see these institutions and whales sell into this buying pressure now i want to share with you something from may 20th of 2019 and the reason i'm actually sharing this with you okay because our favorite person in bitcoin i mean everybody's favorite person in bitcoin peter chef actually he's not anyone's favorite but he put a tweet out today and instead of just saying something just to say something i decided i was gonna do a little bit of research but he said bitcoin is not taking any market share away from gold that hype is just part of the pump so wells can dump the only market where bitcoin is taking share are for lottery tickets sports betting casino gaming penny stocks and some overpriced large cap momentum stocks he doesn't feel that we're they know gold is losing any market share uh he feels like right now what we're saying is the fact that you know bitcoin is it's just just pumping because it's all gambling money and people are dumping gold for it i thought to myself hmm i wonder i wonder if i can find any data aside from price aside from the gold price that could challenge that and yes if you go look at the gold price right we go look at the chart over here for price of gold it seems all bitcoins pumping gold is dumping is that an indicator that people are leaving gold for bitcoin it's not a very clear one but going back to this article i learned a few things and did some research off of this article yes gold is being manipulated but what to what extent and this right here is clips of various gold prices and various banks being caught manipulating gold and in this article talks about how the european commission has announced that there's been fraud in the foreign exchange and so on and so forth and all the different levels of manipulation that banks have over currencies and gold now this article also touches on bitcoin back in 2019 but i don't want to focus on that right now let's talk about gold and the terms fixing rigging manipulation and so on and so forth but right here this writer gets a chance to speak to someone from the gold antitrust action community his name is chris powell and the writer of this article asked him some very key questions to try to get a deep dive into gold manipulation and how it works and something that the first thing he said right here the very first freaking thing like is like come on this is we we are seeing this right now we know this music it's done largely in the futures market chris told me it's also done in the london over-the-counter market the mechanisms are gold swaps and leases between central banks and booleans and through the sell of futures contracts you see if you can afford to do so with bitcoin it doesn't take much to manipulate the price of bitcoin you could very easily go in there and long bitcoin and buy enough bitcoin to fulfill that long contract close that long and go short and then sell at that point for more profits it's not hard to manipulate it and here's the thing about the price of bitcoin here is the thing about our market we are not regulated at all we don't have a bitcoin anti-trust uh commission we don't have anyone supervising what's happening the price of bitcoin or how institutions are playing or how they're damaging the retailer we don't have any of that as long as you don't fall violate the rules of the sec okay you're pretty much in the clear with bitcoin and the sec hasn't laid out a whole lot of framework hasn't laid a whole lot of definitions hasn't laid out a whole lot of regulation as far as how the bitcoin market is traded or how it functions and you see something i want to point out okay in this paragraph right here we everyone is boastful and happy about the fact that grayscale owns and has so much bitcoin everyone's so happy that institutions are housing so much bitcoin now let me show you a gameplay that they did with gold and tell me what you think about this okay so um gada's laborn reported on this month uh march of this year as you can see in the chart below gold rally between november 2018 and february when it peaked at around 13 43 an ounce ordinarily you could expect you could expect inventory in the bullion pack spdr gold shares etf gld to continue to climb at least until then but that's not at all what happened three weeks before the price of gold peaked the holdings in the gld curiously began to fall and by march 4th the etf had lost approximately 57.8 metric tons and because the gld is the largest gold etf in the world its value stands at 30.2 billion as of this week such selling will naturally impact the price of gold sure enough the yellow metal soon fell below 1300.
bitcoin does not have an etf but bitcoin has a pretty robust futures market a very robust futures market and as the price of bitcoin continues to climb what is happening to our bitcoins futures market let's take a quick gander i guess you could say at bitfinex's btc usd longs they are not correlating with what is happening right now with the price of bitcoin hmm now don't forget we have more futures we actually have a futures called the cme and has demonstrated that level of power in december of 2017.
so it is very clear okay if it's very clear if you actually go take the time to go look at the bitfinex longs and shorts in correlation with the price it seems you could almost always predict where the price is a bitcoin is going to go almost always you can predict where it is going to go before it happens and it seems very apparent that the gold market is doing the same thing we behave the same way we are being played with the same way now do i think bitcoin will break twenty thousand dollars i actually do i think bitcoin is going to break twenty thousand dollars i i i personally think that we're going to set a new benchmark a new fomo benchmark all right on twenty five thousand dollars maybe twenty three five to twenty five thousand somewhere in between there i feel like we're gonna hit that and it's gonna create a stir it's gonna create a craze it's gonna be a thing that everyone's gonna be talking about and i feel like at that point at that point the shakeout's gonna happen at that point i feel like dreams are gonna get crushed and i feel though that twenty three five or twenty five thousand dollar all-time high and who knows it might be more who if it's the higher the higher the more emotional it becomes wherever that mark may be though it'll be a mark that everyone gets hungry for it'll be like everyone will say you'd be crazy not to buy bitcoin because bitcoin hit 23.5 or 25 000 it's gonna hit that again it's going to give the psychological needs for those degenerate gamblers to keep buying and keep hoping and the opium well it's as you guys can see how it is now it's pretty damn strong so listen there's opportunities right now there's a lot of opportunities to make money as you can see or the guys from bitfinex right now they're not real optimistic on their longs okay it doesn't look really great but it seems like in the past throughout the summer they were really optimistic and it seemed like they've been cashing out those longs i'm and i haven't even checked the shorts yet but i want you guys to do that on your own but there is money to be made in this market right now but you just can't get sucked in to what the sheep are doing but i really want to know if anyone out there did buy bitcoin at 19 800 roughly i really want to know all right so listen that's all i have for today let's see what happens guys trade carefully all right and look how gold and bitcoin they're doing the one they're acting the same they're acting the same millennium i'll get out of your hair now hope you guys enjoy your day peace out
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