저자: RayDalio · 외국인
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결론: 레이 달리오는 비트코인에 대해 회의적이며, 금을 더 선호하고 자산 대부분을 비트코인에 두는 것은 권하지 않는다. 비트코인 평가: 비트코인은 다른 자산과 일관되게 움직이지 않고 분위기에 따라 등락하며, 규모는 마이크로소프트 시총의 약 30% 수준이라고 언급했다. 금 비교: 각국 중앙은행의 준비자산 순위는 달러, 유로, 금, 엔화 순이며 중앙은행들이 채권 대신 금을 사고 있다고 설명했다. 금은 시대를 초월해 보편적으로 존재해 왔다고 평가했다. 리스크: 비트코인은 80% 하락도 감수해야 하며, 변동성 때문에 보유 비중을 작게 가져가야 한다고 했다. 소유자와 거래 추적이 쉽고 정부의 선호를 받지 못한다는 점도 언급했다. 심리적 비용: 암호화폐 보유는 인지적 부담과 정신 건강에 대한 대가를 치르게 한다고 지적했다. 큰돈을 번 사람과 크게 잃은 사람을 모두 봐왔다고 말했다. 삶과 행복: 불안정한 시대에는 뉴스를 줄이고 자연 속에서 명상하며 기본적인 필요에 집중하라고 조언했다. 성공을 돈과 지위로 정의하는 것은 잘못이며, 소득이 일정 수준을 넘으면 행복과 상관관계가 낮다고 말했다. 커뮤니티 중요성: 행복과 장수에 가장 큰 영향을 주는 것은 공동체(가족, 친구)라고 강조했다. 결론적 메시지: 돈 자체보다 관계와 삶의 질에 가치를 두고, 경제 위기 뉴스에 과도하게 몰입하지 말라는 메시지다.
다듬은 글
one of the things that did occur you mentioned a Silicon Valley Bank there there was a big bump in terms of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies around about that time and it seemed like one of the first periods where people genuinely saw crypto as a store of value as a way to just I I need to put my money somewhere that I feel is safe and given the last 18 months of what's happened with crypto considering that as that's the place I'm going to store my Assets in order for it to be safe I think said quite a lot about how people sort of perceived the state of the dollar and the security of Banks and stuff at the moment what what's the role of Bitcoin or cryptocurrency in a the current economy in your in your eyes um I think um cryptocurrency or Bitcoin um doesn't move in a reliable way related to almost anything it uh you know moves up and down because of um this mood and that move and mood um and um unlike gold let's say I I would prefer gold than and I would prefer crypto for various reasons crypto um it it's very easy to track the owners and transactions in it it's not liked by the government um it's um it doesn't move in a way that's consistent with you know kind of any of the environments and it's a fairly and it's a small asset class um you know we talk a lot more about it but its size is about you know 30 percent of the size of Microsoft and Microsoft is one stock among many stocks so uh it's given uh probably a lot more attention um I don't know uh you know who who knows maybe you know there's some element of it I don't understand why people are more inclined to go to bitcoin than gold um if you look internationally um gold is uh for central banks the third highest Reserve asset first is dollars then Euros then gold then uh Japanese Yen um and Central Bankers are buying gold and they're not buying um bonds and um and so and it's you know Timeless and Universal it's been there so um but um you know um so I'm not I'm not a big fan of it as I've said before um you know having a little bit I have a little bit of it but if you have a little bit of it you have to um think about those things and you know like I said you know you have to be prepared for it to fall a lot you know if if it goes down 80 or something but that limits the amount that you can have in it so I don't know it's um I don't think a lot of Bitcoin I think what's interesting there is holding crypto essentially has a cognitive load on you using it as somewhere that you're using for investment as a store of value to just put assets that you've got it's almost there is a price that you pay because of the volatility but the price that you pay is with your own sanity with regards to that um which is something that I hadn't quite considered there are uh less sanity sapping uh forms of investment yeah that's a that's a good way to do you know what I mean I've seen so many people you know I've seen people get very rich and I've seen get people get very broke with it I have friends in both camps yeah so you know we've spoken about today this very quickly changing highly volatile environment that we're in whether that be socio-culturally politically globally locally financially where should people go in order to find um some solace in this given the fact that it is difficult it's difficult to exist in this world um go to go to places or spend time where there's not as much of this junk going on you know um I mean first of all I think recognize let's let's go to some of the basics um what do you really need um you know you need a bed to sleep in you need food to eat um um most depressions most people remain employed most wars most people don't get die or get in injured um uh so um you know let's put let's calm down and put all this in place bit let's be in places where there's um you know goodness and Harmony and Beauty you know maybe spend more time in nature or you know you go out there and um I'd like to meditate meditate is meditation has had a big effect on me so um yeah um don't get all stressed about it you know navigate it well um and you know enjoy life enjoy those things and I think that that's you know that I think that's most important what would you say to the people that say how am I expected to enjoy life when there's all of this chaos going on there's so many bad news stories and headlines and what about the financial collapse well um first of all if it's really having that impact on you don't get so hung up on the financial stories and you don't don't watch the television or something you know go out for a nice walk and in the nature like all that story you don't really need all that story Okay now what's going to happen to you like I say um you know don't get so hung up on expectations of having the most amount of money or whatever just you know think about it um like I say where will you lose where you live will you you know what matters you know uh your friends your family your um you know give a bed to a good bed to sleep in for adequate food right out into nature you know like uh my own view is sometimes you know like the most luxurious thing I can do is take a tent and be out in a beautiful spot you know um so um you know avoid it um you know no don't get stressed out you know understand it be prepared redefining success and what happiness means and what we should be aiming for in life I think is a a very worthwhile Pursuit right I'll tell you um this idea of success being measured in the amount of money and status you have is really screwed up um like if you think about money and and this is uh com shown in measures of happiness past the basic amount of money so that you don't have uh the misery there is no correlation between the level of money you have and the level of happiness you have lots of studies show that and the highest correlation is do you have a community and that's the highest source of um happiness and also it longevity it has a big effect on longevities stress and smoking more than stopping alcohol more than going to the gym and exercising right right and so uh and then you think like what is money for it has no intrinsic value it only has a value of what it buys and so um it has a limited marginal ability you benefit you you add more and more to it and you know like what are you gonna do okay so you're going to get a bigger house or a bigger car or what you know okay um and what does that really mean incrementally relative to spending time with friends and family and all of those things you know most of the good things in life are not expensive right um friends family uh nature sex anything you know it's not going to get better with more money right it's really better and so um it seems to me that um it then can become an obsession um and that's not healthy so I think it's you know by and large you handle it well and it's all going to be okay um it's all gonna be okay what's happening people if you enjoyed that then press here for a selection of the best clips from the 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