저자: Roy&Sarah채널진행자 · 외국인
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첫 줄 결론: 빌 애크먼의 넷플릭스 손절 사례를 통해 투자 실패 시 빠른 손절과 자금 재배치의 중요성을 강조하는 영상. [사례 개요] 빌 애크먼(퍼싱 스퀘어 캐피털 매니지먼트)은 2004년 5,400만 달러 자본으로 투자회사를 설립했고, 초기 포트폴리오에는 웬디스, 나이키 등이 포함되었다고 설명. [넷플릭스 투자와 손절] 2022년 초 넷플릭스 주가가 하락한 시점을 활용해 매수했고, 약 3개월 만에 손실을 감수하고 전량 매도(손실 약 4억 달러, 영상 표현 기준). [손절 배경 근거] 2022년 1분기 구독자 약 20만 명 감소, 연간 영업이익률 20% 초반에서 19% 수준으로 하락, 러시아 사업 철수에 따른 수십만 명 구독자 이탈 언급. [넷플릭스 펀더멘털 평가] 2021년 실적은 전년 대비 최대 20% 성장 등 비교적 양호했다고 평가. 콘텐츠 측면에서 넷플릭스가 전 세계 인기 TV쇼 상위권을 차지한 사례를 언급. [향후 리스크 3가지] 1) 데이터 패키지 비용 상승 및 가정 내 브로드밴드 연결 증가에 따른 성장 전망 변화 2) 주요 지역 점유율이 포화되어 추가 시장점유율 확대 한계 3) 디즈니, 애플, 유튜브 등 경쟁 심화 [출연자 결론] 개별 투자 실패는 불가피하며, 빠른 손절로 자금을 더 매력적인 종목으로 옮기는 것이 중요하다고 강조. 손절 후 재진입 가능성도 열어둠. [종목 관련 직접 예측] 넷플릭스에 대한 향후 1~3개월 가격 방향 예측은 명시적으로 없음(과거 손절 사례 중심).
다듬은 글
Hello hello investor friends Wait again with this Rohis and this time I don't want to basham but I want to invite friends to learn from Bill Gates' cut loss when he held Netflix and Carlos 400 million dollars or more or less how much, Uncle, what's certain is 4960999617053 searched initially so this is similar to the same, yes, it could be the same as Asset Management and starting from 2004 when will explain this he had a capital of 54 million dollars he made an investment company called Versing Waxing Capital Management Yes and eh one of his portfolios Initially he was Wendy's, yes friends in that year, fast food restaurants like that, selling fried chicken, burgers, yes and others, worthy of a password like that as one of his initial portfolios, blackman in the investment world, his descendants only and long story short, his investment was Nike, very alone, right, and HAM today is four, more or less Rp.
20,000 million dollars, so the increase is very, very significant, it's a combination of, including when Versing Waxing management also got funds from my heart and others we lions we can add home investment this Blackmail is a big success huh And he made a new investment portfolio change by adding netflix to his portfolio Hi so Om before a company not let alone an investment company that if we ourselves individual retail investors want to add our portfolio we need analysis GTA SA usually see what analyst ho ho annual financial report culinary then 1portal to increase confidence and finally buy it yes buy and hold until a certain period or until the target is reached that's it and this ciblek Man has a crush yes he said he Annual Report Nia that he has had a crush on netload shares for quite a long time his friends for quite a long time and he finally decided to buy netflix shares in early 2022 they had the opportunity to get netflix at an attractive price because indeed At that time Samsam technology was going down and that moment was used by men's movements and of course vol management finally entered to acquire neetip shares and One of their reasons for buying netik he said kefir can be easily understood like that yeah they produce films that can be sold in the world wide lamp custom that is make it like that yeah and selling it is not difficult, maybe it is more towards cooperation with a country so that this reflex can enter, for example, in Indonesia, Netflix was not able to join one of the big providers at the beginning, but now Netflix can join Telkomsel, one of the big providers, right?
And that is one of Netflix's bags to be able to sell in a country, but more or less the business process is as long as the customer has internet, they can buy this grandmother's service and that is one of the capital businesses that is easy to understand and what is sold is also something that is now a necessity to make us because we need entertainment, watching GTA movies, we watch Netflix relaxing at home while being lazy, so one of the things that turns out that we are now, especially during the pandemic, we cannot go out of the house, whether we like it or not, we buy one of these services, I myself also use Netflix and soft fardhu, I am happy-happy, yes, by clicking, uniquely, friends, not long after praising Slamet Klik in the troublesome x-men table and management disputes decided to exit stop-loss from his shares, Klik with a total loss of 400 million dollars That's a pretty big loss, but it's quite surprising because it's only been three months, friends of Pegangsaan Netflix, he sometimes said to investors, "Oh, why are investors like Carlos, investors can't stand it?
Look at the red Porto, so what else are investors like? Carlos is a chameleon investor or trader, who sometimes has rumors like that, but we learn from here that the vaccine management is Kurnianto investment, long-term investment, but it's only been three months, Carlos's breath, what happened there, so from the exit A Letter, it looks like we, management, said that there was a shock that caused the future of net clips to be unpredictable, one of which was that they lost 200,000 subscribers in the first quarter of 2022, and Skylark Internet, friends, at the beginning of 2022, they experienced a decline in annual operating margin, from the original 20s, their creatures fell to 19, corsage, heard the decline wasn't that significant, but what's more interesting is that if we look at the report, if they are consolidated financial reports, we can see that actually in In 2021, their performance was not that bad, not that bad, in that they were still able to increase their year-on-year performance by up to 20% more, up to 20% more, and indeed at the end of the first quarter of 2020, they had a shock that caused their income to drop drastically, friends, and from the results of their financial report, this network seems to be an alarm to reveal Italy and Germany and it's really cool and they started to assess, it turns out there was a shock like this, what they meant was they lost 2/1000 subscribers, their income suddenly dropped drastically and actually it was also influenced by the conflict in Russia where Netspeak left Russia and they lost hundreds of thousands of subscribers and that certainly affected Netflix's performance in the first quarter of 2022 and even so, friends, for their own level in 2021, I think it was quite satisfactory, like a streaming TV show or streaming a cartoon film, Larva, a film in it, this is just a little comparison of how it was in 2021 if we talk about TV shows Netflix has 6 of the 10 most searched TV shows worldwide, while for movies they only contribute two and seen from Sinarmas, one of their kefir hearts is facing Disney and Norval here and Marvel where Marvel films are also one of the favorites and only the Popstar division is broadcast, which is what caused several Marshall series to stop since 2020.
Some of the programs are superhero files that are Martal to Disney World Star Well, the whistle clicks itself in the Quarterly report, namely they have already told you, there are three things that can affect the company's performance in 2022, the first is something that friends cannot control related to the increase in data package costs, then related to broadband connectivity in homes because it concerns the increasing number of Network customers who watch, namely every television is no longer via cellphone like before in the beginning So they now prefer to watch Netflix on television and the growth of connections in homes affects Epic's growth projections in the future, the second is they realize that they are already so dominant in some works that it is no longer possible to increase Market Share from that area, automatically they have to look for other Regions so that their income and customers will increase even more in the future, the third is related to increasingly tight competition.
Where there is Tsunade, Apple, YouTube, Disney World, all of them are direct competitors for Netflix in the streaming media business, so remember, you have to work hard to be able to provide offers or bargain for this better offer in order to retain their current customers. Finally, what can we learn from the cut loss taking acne for 400 million dollars there, click, we know the importance of managing your portfolio, friends.
So before they cattles their services, they first made a profit of 73 percent when they exited Sam Starbucks white and when they had to lose two percent of the total funds, for me, the loss is actually very reasonable and if they consider this to be an alarm for something that is difficult to fix in the near future, I think Blackman's decision is something that deserves to be appreciated, yes, the decision he took is certainly in accordance with the principles of management disputes.
Where they invest, they need a company that can be predicted clearly, its business model, its unique business, its growth, etc., while they consider the Republic to be a company that is difficult to predict with the challenges that are currently and what has been done recently is actually for protect his smoke because honestly friends not all investments will be successful it must be invested by friends in the investment there will be success there will be failure too yes if for example friends fail in investing in one stock you can get items from other stocks with a larger nominal and the conclusion of this video is there a cactus can be something good I think Yes that's right yes because of what Because as quickly as possible we detect investment failure we can move the money in other more attractive stocks this is one of my lessons also in the past 2 years because several times When I found Samyang good I ran out of allocation yes the location was not capable so when I was going to get profit the profit 3rd was not too big when compared to the total assets that I have yes secondly when we as investors are forced to exit it can indeed be a party Selection team Why of course exit Yes as previously said that the Republic is full of uncertainty related to the number of subscribers related to its business model he is related to future projections external disturbances and others as taken indeed that is maybe The best way is to exit yes maybe one day it will be implemented re-enter Naples who passed you because investors are like that, yes, we can adapt when it's time for detective action, when it's time for us to enter again, yes, we enter, it's okay, yes, it doesn't have to be anti, we're already family, have we ever wanted to buy that stock again, it's not like that, yes, and some are rude, if we can detect early changes in the company's fundamentals, it's better because we can cover losses or we don't get caught in deeper losses, I hope this video is useful for all my friends, if you like, subscribe, share, and we can discuss together in the comments column and silver instead of anything in the comments column, it's also really a video, Guys, blessing bye
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