저자: Ben · 외국인
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결론: 이 영상은 조엘 그린블랫의 최근 매수 종목 두 개(L3해리스 LHX, 퍼스트솔라 FSLR)를 소개하며 두 종목 모두 저평가 성장주로 관심 가치가 있다고 주장한다. [L3해리스(LHX)] - 그린블랫 평균 매수단가 약 183달러, 영상 시점 주가 약 188달러로 비슷한 수준. - 방산 및 우주 관련 사업(NASA 퍼서비어런스 화성 임무 장비 공급 언급)으로 성장 잠재력이 있다고 주장. - 매출 약 200억 달러, 최근 3년 연평균 성장률 약 43% 언급(자막상 수치 불명확). - 애널리스트 컨센서스 강력 매수 우위; 유동비율 1.37; P/FCF 16.4; P/E 14.2(S&P500 평균 약 25 대비 저평가); PEG 0.3. - DCF 적정가 약 287달러로 현재가 대비 약 34% 저평가라고 주장. 워런 버핏식 25% 안전마진 기준에 부합한다고 평가. [퍼스트솔라(FSLR)] - 그린블랫 평균 매수단가 약 86달러, 이전 매수가 약 66달러. 레이 달리오, 조지 소로스도 지분 보유 언급. - 카드뮴텔루라이드 박막 기술 및 수직계열화 제조를 경쟁우위로 제시하며 마진과 공급망 통제에 유리하다고 설명. - 직전 분기 실적 서프라이즈 141.67%, 최근 4분기 누적 서프라이즈 102% 언급; 공장 가동률 100% 이상 주장. - 매출 성장률 약 70% 언급. - 애널리스트 의견은 매도 6~7명 등 부정적 우위로 제시되며, 이를 레드플래그로 평가. - 발표 예정인 4분기 실적을 기다렸다가 변동성을 이용하는 전략을 제안. [주의] 영상은 투자 자문이 아니라고 고지하며, 개인 실적 기준 시점은 2021년 3월로 현재 시세와 다를 수 있음. [출연자 전망] 진행자는 두 종목을 관심종목(watch list)으로 추천하며, FSLR은 실적 발표 후 하락 가능성과 변동성 기회를 언급함.
다듬은 글
hey everyone ben here in this video i'm gonna dive into two recent buys by a legendary value investor his name is joel greenblatt and he has a warren buffett style of investing but more specifically on special situations he manages gotham asset management and over six billion dollars so i'm sure we can learn from his two recent buys which i think are undervalued stocks potentially with major growth potential so before we dive into that if you do find any value in these videos at all feel free to feel free to join if you turn that notification bell on you'll get notified when i release new videos and if you do want to know exactly which stocks i'm buying which stocks i'm selling and access my entire portfolio and join a thriving community as some of the finest people on the internet then feel free to check out that first link in the description below for the vip membership group and with that being said let's dive in right guys so diving into the latest trades now by joel greenblatt and we can see here he's purchased a lot of stock so i've got it up he's pitched around a hundred over the past couple of months and he's recently filed his sec filing his 30-f filing and that's why i can highlight his recent buys but the stocks i'm going to dive into are the stocks which haven't moved too much and i think are particularly interesting so the first we're going to dive into is this stock here called l3 harris technologies ticker symbol lhx this was a new buy and his average cost basis for the stock was approximately 183 dollars per share so you could make the assumption that 183 dollars per share joel greenblatt saw value in this stock and it's still at a similar price right now that's why i consider this particularly interesting what does elfree harris do well similar to boeing and lockheed martin alfree harris is a major defense contractor but they're a much smaller company and have major growth potential for example airland c space which i think could be particularly interesting cyber and the company was recently i don't know if you watched the news recently regarding the nasa mission so alfred harris innovation key to nasa mission the perseverance missions play alfred harris avionics sensors and transceivers are key components in the 2020 mars mission enabling unprecedented image and data capture as well as transmission to overhead orbiters now space has been big news recently and i can imagine a company like this being an ark invest space etf when that's finally released if you want some details on that i'll leave a link for a review i did of the space etf and my prediction of the top five stocks in that etf in the description below so let's dive into the numbers for elfree harris and why i think this could be particularly interesting for you guys so alfree harris here we're here on stockopedia so this is a stock research platform i use to analyze stocks and every stock on this platform is given a stock rank if you guys wish to check it out and see if it fits your investing style i've got an exclusive 25 percent off discount link this is only guys for the viewers of motivation to invest so that's you guys and i'll leave a link for it in the description below i personally find it very useful and as you see on this channel i tend to use it a lot um so diving straight into it here we can see the company is profitable which i've been covering so many spark stocks young growth stocks now it's time to look at some profitable companies but still have growth potential this company's revenue is around 20 billion dollars they've compounded that around 24.9 over the past few years and i think that's incredible generally i say a growth stock is one which is growing between 15 and 20 per year so over the past three years this company has grown at 43 compound annual growth rate over the past three years that's incredible so revenues forecast to increase as is net income as its earnings per share so the analyst consensus we've got people here from morgan stanley goldman sachs and many many more so one whole 14 by and six a strong buy for lhx current ratio so this is basically you're cashing your balance sheet versus the short short-term debt or liabilities of the business generally i look for around 1.5 to 2.
this has got 1.37 that's not too bad considering this company is a profitable cash flow positive company my ideal is always growth and value and this company seems to have both so price to free cash flow 16.4 price to earnings ratio because the profitable company 14.2 so price to earnings ratio average for the s p 500 is around 25 so you can see it's undervalued there price to earnings growth ratio so generally anything less than one is good this is 0.3 so the growth's looking good the value is looking good it also qualifies for the john neff value screen so this is a true value stock but could have growth potential in the space industry now the company's had a bad quarter recently and i think that's why we saw a stock decline but i also checked out the discounted cash flow calculation for this company to give you guys the fair value and potential buying points so the current price of this stock is 188 dollars per share the fair value according to the projections for the company is currently 287 dollars so it's currently 34 undervalued now when investing into a company warren buffett the famous legendary investor the greatest of all time he often looks for a 25 discount on a stocks fair value to give himself a margin of safety so this definitely fits his criteria a great value investor has invested into it it's in an interesting industry potential for growth they seem to have some very interesting high-end technology which nasa obviously enjoys so to me this could definitely be a potential buy of course of course guys this is not financial advice like all my videos please do your own due diligence and research on any stock i mentioned on this channel but for me this stock's got my seal of approval right onto stock number two now this one's extremely interesting also so this is solar stock and as you know the world is moving towards renewable energy at an even accelerated pace recently in the next five years solar capacity globally is expected to double so that's a major tailwind behind any solar company and this company is called first solar so if i dive into some details here of the recent buys of this company the ticker symbol for this is f s l r so some recent buys we've got joel greenblatt here again average price he paid was around 86 per share um he also purchased it previously around 66 dollars per share so that's when he purchased his main position there so to me that says around 66 could be potentially a good level for this stock also we've got ray dalio here who is the investment manager was the founder of the world's largest hedge fund bridgewater associates i believe so ray dalio also has shares in this stock which is very interesting and we have george soros who also bought this stock so quite a few major players who have shares in this company um so the company's competitive advantage it basically sells these modules and it says they have a differentiated cadmium telluride thin film technology with superior temperature coefficient and spectral response yielding an energy advantage in many climates now i do have a degree in electrical engineering but still i'm not an expert on exactly if that means this is actually better than many other competitors but it does seem quite interesting to put it on the presentation so we're going to assume it is their competitive advantage for now um while we do the rest of our research so what i do like about this company and this can be truly confirmed is the company is vertically integrated with their manufacturing process so the great thing with vertical integration is you basically handle every part of the process and that means you tend to have better margins and also control over your supply chain so so in the last reported quarter the company witnessed an earning surprise of 141.67 which is massive in the trailing four quarters in first solar delivered earning surprise of 102 so major growth this company's seen the company also seen capacity utilization at its factories of over a hundred percent so its factories are working at max capacity right now due to the high demand this company has so that also means better margins for the business due to economies of scale now this company does plan to release its earnings very soon that may already be out by the time this video goes out february 25th the fourth quarter results for this company are getting released so in the next couple of days probably by the time this video goes out most people tend to buy the rumor and sell the new so a lot of people tend to sell on earnings even if earnings are good so any earnings equal volatility so volatility can equal opportunity and that could be a potential opportunity to buy the stock obviously not financial advice again guys and yes 70 sales growth um over the last period which is incredible like i say a growth stock is anything over 20 in my book analyst consensus quite a few cells on here though this is quite interesting because very rarely do you see analysts putting cells because they tend to have a personal relationship with these companies so seven analysts here put sell six hole free buy two strong buy that's really one to watch and definitely i would wait for those earnings after seeing that red flag there so that's a potential red flag here balance sheets are strong 3.83 on the current ratio valuation's not too bad 2.62 price for sales and price to book 1.7 p e ratio 23.9 um so definitely very interesting stock i think this stock could fall further on earnings but also has a lot of growth but the analysts are a bit negative on it and that could mean volatility in the up and coming earnings so that's today's video guys i definitely recommend you put these two stocks on your watch list as potential buying opportunities if you did find any value in this video at all feel free to channel if you're new around here and you still unsubscribed feel free to join if you do want to know exactly which stocks i'm buying which trucks i'm selling access my entire portfolio and join a thriving community of some of the finest people on the internet then feel free to check out that first link in the description below for the vip membership group and with that being said thank you guys so much for watching i hope you all have an incredible ]
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