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Updated2026-10-28 07:00:00

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Jim Cramer on playing the waiting game in the market

CNBC Television · 2026-05-19 · 유튜브 시청 62,990 · Board Views 7 · International

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. I don't want to make friends. I'm just trying to just save a little money here. My job is not just to entertain, but to put it all in context. So, call me 1-800-743-5262. Tweet me @JimCramer. We keep waiting. Waiting for the bombing to begin. Waiting for oil to stop going up. Waiting for the war to end.

Waiting for inflation to cool down. Waiting for interest rates to stop rising. Waiting for Kevin Warsh to take the reins of the Fed. Waiting for SpaceX and Anthropic and OpenAI to come public. Ah, it's too much waiting. But, do we have a choice? In the interim, you know what we do? We trade. That's right.

Trading is filled with vicious rotational behavior. Masked by seemingly sedate averages that all advancing 160 points today. S&P dipping .07% and the Nasdaq sinking .51%. Sometimes we buy hardware stocks and the goods that go into or help build data centers, like semiconductors, semiconductor equipment.

While we sell all kinds of software stocks. Sometimes we sell hardware stocks and buy those same software stocks that we threw away. We do more of the former than the latter. So, hardware's generally char- charging higher, while software generally dives lower. But, when we get a rotation and the losing software stocks power higher like they did today, they do so with a level of ferocity that makes you feel like the declines got to be over.

Of course, it feels that way every single time. Yet, the rotations never seem to last. Of course in any given day there are tons of other side shows. Healthcare, restaurants, and foods tend to trade up together as we saw today. Contractors, machinery, and builders trade down as we saw today, too. Then there's the 52-week low stocks, the pummeled.

They tend to be rally with the software contingent, damaged stocks that momentarily levitate. And then there's everything else. Why is it like this? How can there be such whippy behavior? Because, people, there is no conviction whatsoever. These stocks keep being whipped around thanks to various ETFs that treat stocks like playthings, even some of the largest stocks like Microsoft and like Nvidia.

I know it sounds ridiculous, but many of these stocks will go up or down on what we call nothing. Meaning small buys from ETF managers who with their orders just jar the whole market. So, what should you do during a rotation like we had today? Well, of course you can sit on your hands. But, here's something I like to do.

I'll introduce you to a way to make some money. You go to your machine that you use for stocks. You query it for the top 10 largest losers in the S&P. If you like any of them and you have strong balance sheets and good businesses or but these stocks are on sale nonetheless, then well, guess what? LET ME walk you through the process that I did today.

First, you need to decide whether you are a believer in the hardware thesis or the software thesis. The hardware thesis is all about the making of artificial intelligence, both training and inference. The software thesis is about companies like Salesforce, ServiceNow, Workday, and Adobe software and enterprise software, software as a service.

All beaten down stocks that trade together as part of a basket. The software stocks are wildly emotional traders. They've been trends for ages and are trying to bottom. But if you had bet on a bottom in these things so far, you've been crushed. Each time we get a day like today with the software stocks making giant moves, people are convinced that it's real.

They look at ServiceNow up over 8% on a buy recommendation from Bank of America and say it just has to be done going down. It's down 32% for the year for heaven's sake. Or they kick the tires of Salesforce, which is also down 32%. They think perhaps this two has bottomed because Bank of America actually started its research on Salesforce with a sell.

And it rallied 3% anyway. If it weren't for the centrifugal ETF force that took it up, I might say it's done going down, too. But I just don't know. I recognize it always feels compelling to bet on the underdog or might you might call them bottom feeders than to go for the otherwise winning stocks that just so happen to get hit very hard today.

But I want to buy winners on a momentary slide, not losers that may just be resting before the next decline. [snorts] So, I go down the list of stocks in the S&P 500 that are down the most and see if there's anything that kind of strikes my fancy. Incredibly, today's many of today's market's worst performers were indeed linked to the data center.

Corning Electronics, a material company used by chip makers, is down 5%. We own this one for the charitable trust. It's had a parabolic move even after this pullback. I think it's too expensive for the moment. Comfort Systems is a heating, ventilation, and air conditioning company with plenty of data center exposure, but it's a $1,854 stock that's nearly double year-to-date.

I'm not messing with that one. Western Digital down nearly 5%. It's a memory stock that trades at 46 times earnings. That seems too rich to me. The fairly similar Micron sells for less than 12 times earnings, and it seems compelling down 6% today. I've been waiting for Micron to come down. This may be the opportunity.

Buy buy buy! Next, there's Corning, another charitable trust company with a para- another parabolic move. It's got to come in more than just down 7%. The beat down is not enough to entice me to buy, or at least buy more of it. Sandisk, that stock's up more than 3,000% over the past 12 months. Even up here, it only trades at just 20 times this year's numbers.

But that may be too expensive versus Micron. Got to let it come down than today's 5% decline. She gave it again two prices nearly 50 times next year's earnings estimates. These are commodity companies. Vertiv had an amazing quarter, the best backlog of any of the data center stocks, but at 53 times earnings I got to say no thanks.

Follow this with Geron, which got blasted by a poor result on a metastatic melanoma cancer trial. I along with many others thought that this trial would succeed. You can't buy a drug stock that falls that much on the first day of the client. Most analysts seem to have keyed on this drug to recommend this stock.

It's damaged. There could be some more downgrades. So, what do you do? As someone who's always looking for bargains, I think Micron's the only possibility that hurt in that whole list. It's the hardware stock that can most easily turn itself around in the next move higher. I buy some right here and then wait for another say 2 to 3% decline to buy more.

That's how I get started. Bottom line, I just showed you how to use rotation to buy something not aggressively, but gingerly on the way down. As we wait for all the variables I talk about, especially the endless back and forth about the war and about the Strait of Hormuz and nuclear materials to play out.

We got to find out whether President Trump's inability to bend Iran to his will is ever going to end. Caleb in Texas, Caleb. Hey Jim, how are you doing? Hope you're having a terrific Tuesday. Uh well, it's kind of more of a Monday feel to it, frankly. But what's happening with you? Yeah, it's all right.

I mean, look, I time passes so quickly. Go. This is what I was thinking of right here, what I wanted to talk to you about and looking at my notes, this is why I said Tuesday. So, last Tuesday the FCC approved a purchase for this telecom company for them buying about 50 MHz of EchoStar's nationwide spectrum for roughly $23 billion to expand their 5G network.

Now, the project could require sustained capital and operating spends adding pressure already to the high debt load if returns are slow. But, the satellite coverage meaningful meaningfully could reduce dead zones and strengthen customer loyalty in rural and enterprising segments. And that company I'm talking about is AT&T.

Do you feel like it's a good time No, I I don't want to be an AT&T and I'll tell you I also I'm very concerned about rural I'm very worried about Starlink. I think Starlink is I also think Leo from Amazon. Both of those are going to be considerable competitors to the rural part of a company like AT&T.

But, thank you so much. I think you've got a good thesis, but I trump it with mine. I'm sorry. All right, you have to use rotation to your advantage. If you're going to just sit there and look at it, you got to think about what to do. Buy things slowly even gingerly until all the variables settle down.

Use wide scales. I'll be on Mad Money tonight. I'm sitting down with Intel's Lip Bu Tan in his first interview as CEO of this storied chip company. Don't miss my wide-ranging exclusive interview where we get into the turnaround of this American icon, the state of US chip manufacturing, how Intel's investing in America, and more. Oh god, you do not want to miss this interview. ? Head to madmoney.cnbc.com.

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