저자: 짐크레이머 · 외국인
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결론: 코로나 확산에도 증시가 오르는 건 필수 소비·온라인 유통 등 '좋은 주식'과 투기적 종목이 함께 움직이기 때문이며, 투기주는 복권처럼 승자는 소수다. 시장 상황: 신규 확진이 4만명 이상으로 급증했지만 다우는 소폭 상승, 나스닥은 0.95% 상승해 사상 최고 마감했다. 정부 대응과 시민 방역 해이를 비판하며 경제 전체에는 나쁘다고 진단했다. 좋은 주식(블루칩) 흐름: 페덱스는 분기 실적 호조와 택배 물량 급증으로 12% 상승했고, 집콕 경제 수혜로 아마존(119포인트), 쇼피파이(67포인트), 이베이·어도비·세일즈포스·서비스나우·넷플릭스 등을 거론했다. 화이자는 코로나 백신 임상에서 면역 반응이 확인돼 3% 이상 상승했다. 테슬라: 하루 약 40포인트 상승, 시가총액 2,070억 달러로 도요타를 넘어섰으며 자동차보다 기술기업으로 봐야 설명이 된다고 했다. 이미 8, 50포인트 전에 추천했던 만큼 수익 실현을 권했다. 페이스북: 광고 불매 확산 속에 저커버그가 불매 단체와 직접 만나고 제3자 검증을 도입하겠다고 밝혀 주가가 4% 이상 올랐다. 투기주: 워크호스(기업 가치 대비 극소 유통주식, 거래량 폭증 후 우려), 토터스 어퀴지션(SPAC으로 전기트럭 기업 헬리온 인수 추진, 하루 80% 폭락), 니콜라 등 전기트럭 테마주의 과열을 경고했다. 주가가 수배 뛰었다가 급락하는 패턴을 반복해 위험하다고 봤다. 백신 테마주: VBI 백신, 시박 사트르(트럼프 행정부 '워프 스피드' 프로젝트 참여, 연초 대비 약 100% 상승), 이노비오(하루 26% 급락) 등을 언급했다. 화이자가 백신 경쟁에서 선두로 나서자 소형 백신주는 타격을 받았다. 소수만 승자가 될 것이라고 봤다. 리스크: 소형 투기주는 거래량과 유통물량이 적어 변동성이 크며, 장기 전망에 대한 확신은 제시되지 않았다. 출연자 본인은 블루칩(펀더멘털 중심)은 장기 수익 가능, 투기주는 복권·룰렛 같다는 입장이다.
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moment summer and I promise to help you find it that money starts now hey I'm Kramer welcome to mayor Bunny welcome to Kramer akka I'd be what's the difference between a speculative stock and a blue-chip stock in the age of kovat the whole markets being upended by the pandemic the lines they are shifting formerly rock-solid companies now on dangerous footing formerly speculative outfits have become titans of emerging industries sometimes though it's pretty hard to tell the difference that's exactly the day with Dow the cloudy 78 points hasn't be advancing point 5 opposite but most importantly the Nasdaq with a record close of 0.95% allow me to explain through the prism of today's action if you want to understand this market the single most important fact is that new kovat cases are exploding they're back above 40,000 yesterday somewhere between 44,000 and record-breaking 48,000 depending on your source and it really didn't matter to the averages so why the heck didn't the stock market go into a tailspin our country has hands down the worst responds to this pandemic of any nation on earth with a few notable exceptions like Rhode Island every level of government has dropped the ball and it's not just the government we keep dropping the ball of citizens too with our flippant approach to wearing mass and social distancing we just don't believe some don't believe that this matters hey listen we don't have a lot of weapons against the virus let's use what we can do pandemics out of control after sacrificing so much to bend the curve this virus it's going to exponential again and our politicians are paralyzed because they don't want to go back in the lockdown the knowing they make it illegal to go outside without a mask what are you gonna do you have to rest the president this is a terrible situation for our country is it it's really bad for the economy as a whole but incredibly that doesn't mean it's better for the stock market and this is mad money think of the stock market like a casino for a moment unless you already do when Kovach cases spike people don't cash in their chips and go home do they no they go where the action is they go where the hot tables are the hot slots the Hot Wheels they follow that first FedEx urged 12% today it's a good place to start this is a hot table industry of Ernie's mrs.
FedEx finally delivered a blow out quarter last night because of kovat somebody's got to deliver all these packages ground services up 25% year over year thanks to e-commerce u.s. residential volumes increased by study Simmons seventy percent I mean the ripples are you chur just on this one call you can buy Amazon which is up 119 points how about Kramer favorite Shopify up 67 points crap site Etsy other e-commerce facilitators Adobe which com vastly Salesforce mostly stocks from between four to six percent although laggers like fastly Adobe and Salesforce only rally one to two percent Wow is this Frank speculation actually no no with those numbers from FedEx everything related their e-commerce in the stay at home economy can war ServiceNow octave CrowdStrike coop RingCentral you name it Netflix tack on another 30 points a video games quote fire - why not second hotter right area well we got some great news from Pfizer they're conducting human trials for the Cova vaccine and so far everyone in the study has immunity there's just 24 people why is a serious no hype kind of company and the vaccine data sent that stock up more than three percent if we can get a vaccine sooner than expected that's used for vast swaths of the economy although it's terrible for the smaller vaccine place which is why they got it this rated FedEx and Pfizer blue chips that spurred all sorts of high-flying stops to become even more expensive and with good reason what else how can I talk about Tesla it's a company I love rallied almost 40 points today this is now a two hundred seven billion dollar business larger than Toyota largest car company on earth Tesla would make 40,000 cars so it makes ten million but the action tests it makes perfect sense if you view it as a technology company rather than our automaker if you want to book some profit on this one by the way which I recommended eight in fifty points ago feel free how about Facebook lately a bunch of consumer packaged goods companies have pulled their ads because they don't want their products associated with hate speech today though Mark Zuckerberg said he's gonna meet directly with you organizations leading the boycott and more important I think he's bringing in a third party to engage the company's commitment to doing the right thing bingo stock rallied more than four percent all these companies of compelling stories if the stock market's of casino these high quality winners are like the blackjack tables the games of skill not games a pure chance you do the work you said in fundamentals stay disciplined and you can make money over the long term however there are also the super speculative names that feel more like the roulette table or maybe you know what they actually feel more like the scratch off lottery tickets there are some preordained winners and lots of losers let me give you some examples you know what why don't we call the pick-6 cuz these are all classic a lot of stocks there are tons of single digit names popular say on Robin Hood I can't mention them on air why you're tiny but even the larger ones I find them worrisome first there's workhorse workhorse is a bit of a show horse if you ask me this is a technology company it's focused on providing drone integrated electric vehicles for the last mile delivery of cloud-based real-time telematics monitoring well if that sounds impending when you just think electric trucks does what courts make buddy socks up five over seven for the year it's got a tiny float 73 millions here 73 and it created 123 million seriously that's insane mother to go and one or two million shares might change hands in a given day today was 124 million yes to be 165 million the day force 120 not 129 million when I see workforce up for another 10% today much much of the game after the bell I say makes me nervous but hey it could double I mean let those double cut in half hey scratch off remember second there's Neil and I oh I feel selfish I nice Tesla though there are track records a lot less than president years up almost a hundred percent for the year and while the company actually has revenues still losing boatloads of money Goldman Sachs like it I think third how about tortoise Acme it's where the second engine core oh yeah okay though this stock actually ended up losing 80 percent today but only after an insane move over the past few days Taurus is a special-purpose acquisition vehicle SPAC that's in the process of acquiring Helion that's another electric truck play they make powertrain solutions tortoise acquisition was worth a lot more than air there's more $10 before the hilly and new soon to 34 before pulling back to 25 today regular viewers know I'm gonna worry about these Red Hots pack deals but you know what give me a big pop right out of the gate then come back to earth you know Twitter's kinda reminds me of them before Nikola that's another smack play they got to do the electric truck space you notice a common pattern you're credibly speculum nickels got lots of truck orders but as yet solos at ruck stop 12 I've 2% actually considered a good Sun finally got a couple of vaccines there's BPI vaccines this is another one that got hit today because Pfizer is now leading in the race for Cobra vaccine vbi actually has a tiny bit of revenue even though it's burning cash I got to tell you I don't like the early stage code of that scene place it's the only room for one winner here really so the whole groups high-risk one that's one I do believe that there'll be a couple winners but the father's maybe my favorite boxart yeah it's another vaccine developer they make oral flu vaccines sivak Sartre was picked up to be in Trump's whoops speed Kovac 19 project and now the stocks up but I don't know what 20 100 percent this year the darn thing just triples his hand they got hit Artie yeah because you don't wanna be the next inovio when an OB is down 26 percent in one day you don't want to be it you know a Novak sir there are plenty of others just like these sips everyone's hunting for the next Tesla or the next endo via or at least a novio before today some of them are king for day others just seemed like mistakes the bottom line there's the same part of market where high quality stocks war because they've been improved the stay-at-home economy think about all that FedEx pin action then there's the crazy part of the market that's driven by rampant speculation and that's a very different and ultimately some would say likely ill-fated story but may they're having a good time over there don't miss a second of madmen k es cnbc.com you
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