저자: Robert · 외국인
요약 보기
결론: 엔비디아 갭상승 후 강세 흐름을 이용한 장중 매매 복기이며, 방향 예측보다는 레벨·셋업 해설 중심이다. [영상 개요] 엔비디아(NVDA)가 200일 이평선 위로 갭상승했고 실적 이후 강한 프리마켓 흐름을 보였다. 강사는 당일 거래 결과를 3승 1본전으로 복기한다. [레벨 설정 방법] 일봉에서는 최근 바닥·고점과 피벗 구간을 우선 본다. 과거 1년 이전 레벨은 의미가 없다고 주장한다. 시간봉에서 가장 가까운 터치 지점을 찾고, 15분봉에서 장초 고점(165), 개장 후 저항 구간(160.35), 전일 고점 대비 시간봉 바닥 지지(171.50) 등을 확인한다. [셋업 복기] 개장 직후 프리마켓 고점을 돌파한 뒤 눌림 재테스트 후 지지 확인된 지점이 강한 매수 신호라고 설명한다. 이 지점에서 진입했다면 손절가를 두고 2:1 수익 구간을 노릴 수 있었다고 말했다. [주의 셋업] 오전 9시 45분 전후 슈팅스타와 이중 고점이 나왔지만 강한 종목은 숏이 어렵다고 경고한다. 상승 삼각형식 재테스트 후 롱으로 전환해 2:1에 청산했다. [진입 타이밍 교훈] 진입이 15센트 늦었을 때 손절폭은 그대로인데 목표가는 40센트 이상 더 멀어진다고 설명하며, 늦은 진입의 손익비 악화를 강조한다. [오후 매매] 오후 11시 15분경 장중 반전 신호를 노렸고 이후 하락 추세의 쌍망치 신호에서 롱 진입해 짧게 2:1 청산했다. 이후 추가 상승을 놓쳤다고 언급한다. [전망] 강사는 엔비디아의 단기 방향을 명시적으로 예측하지 않았다. 강한 종목 흐름이 지속되는 상황을 전제로 레벨 활용법을 설명한다. [리스크] 강한 종목에서는 눌림 매수가 빠르게 들어와 반전 숏이 손절되기 쉽다는 점을 경고한다.
다듬은 글
how's it going traders feeling a bit boxed in right now price actions closing in on me I'm one of the charts anyway it's today traded Nvidia it was really really clean good price action great predictability and high volume right so it is in play you can tell us in play and I want to use it as an opportunity to discuss some items so the first is intraday levels the importance of the daily chart but also the hourly chart and how that can become relevant on certain types of gaps next I want to talk about some setups that I saw ones I took ones that in take and then I'm gonna talk about the importance of having a good entry sometimes a late entry you can really really screw you over saw that today in one of my trades and then finally intraday levels when price forms a top or bottom support of resistance how that can become relevant later on in the day okay so NVIDIA gap up over the 200-day moving average that's a big move in a longer time frame right and it was obviously continuation from the earnings beat here on Friday which was kind of lackluster to be honest with you it faded then it caught a little bounce at around new and I believe we called the chat room I was kind of disappointed in that move but anyways we gapped up we continued and it was really strong pre market looked great so the first thing I did was I came to find levels right now when you gap up on the daily chart like this I personally believe that is there's no point in going further back then then this area then this area because we haven't cleared this and this right so if you're gonna go back and find levels from last year or last quarter and so I don't think it's relevant person that's my opinion what I do is I find areas that are recent right so I go to the left first off the daily chart this is a good area right where we had formed this bottom and this top from the daily chart this is a good pivot point that's a good pivot point and I doubt we would reach tier 179 so that was basically off the daily chart then I went to the hourly chart right so switch to the hourly chart and I go left I go left and try to find the first point where price was last touched this okay so what are we fine well we find a bunch of areas here right from late July let's zoom in here zoom it well that level from the daily chart actually just coincides with this wick so that's a good point there I liked I liked this I liked this right where the buyers had stepped up previously so now I have my areas now let's go take a look on the 15-minute chart in retrospect what do we have well we have high pre-market 165 that was this okay so that's relevant where do we bounce from at the open always we had the initial profit-taking right people obviously sold and then it got bought back up pretty damn quick right that happened here at 160 350 that one we got from the daily chart I believe right this area here that's where the buyer stepped up all right and then we had the high the day which was 171 right at the close one seventy one fifty that again came from the hourly chart which was this bottom dip by here right so that's how I like to use the hourly chart in conjunction with certain types of gaps if we had gaped over like this pivot or down here then obviously I'm looking for their back right but in this case I don't feel a need to go any further back I want to look at this cluster here okay enough about that let's talk about the different setups that we saw ok so right at the open this was so strong at the open we we dipped we bounced off that level that we found got over the high of pre-market and then we had this pullback this was a gift guys when something breaks resistance like that comes back to test and a holds that is a very very bullish indicator that that's Cryer resistance became support right so this was it would have been a good entry with a stop here off you go I missed that move I'd missed the this first bounce and this move is just it was the price action was just too crazy for me I think a lot of people never missed the move despite how clean it was and then we kind of get to this 9:45 area a lot of proper taking started happening right let's go take a look at the 2-minute chart here right we had a shooting star this is dangerous too short guys if the stock was sold strong that it's really tough to short off the signal this early on in the day I mean if you did on the pull-up you probably would've got a two to one before getting out here that's okay this was an ABCD type of trend continuation that was pretty good here right put your stop here along here to the one I think it was of this area and then we got this shooting star so double top I think someone in the room did call a double top and again it's really tough to short this stock what I was waiting for was I was waiting for a retest of this bwak area to go along basically right because sometimes a VC DS they don't always just do this off to the moon sometimes they will do this come back the test and then break out sometimes they'll do this and then each each retest is higher and higher well what do you what do you know that's an ascending triangle right this was just a classic retest and that's where I went long basically after I seen this candle this is a nice nice candle signifying indecision right so I took it long off this little two minute pullback here and I was out for two to one before the high of the day which is what I wanted to see because I was I did I was afraid I was going to do a triple type of maneuver but I was wrong there I got my two to one and bailed and then we get to I believe around 11:15 now this is I start looking for reversals at around 10:30 but on a really strong stocks you got to wait a little bit later just because everyone's buying these these dips right these pull backs are getting bought up pretty quickly so what did I see well I saw that on the 5-minute chart we had a shooting star well that's a that's a pretty good indicator that they're selling pressure right but if you shorter debt here you would have got stopped out right you got whipped out which is pretty kind of shitty but it came right back down so you have a double shooting star this is a double rejection right on the smaller time frame I bet that's probably a double top of some sort well no another two minute chart but what happened to me I got a late entry or not a late entry I got a bad entry is what it is I should have waited for this pull up in my entry was 168 85 my stop was 169 30 so my to Dewan was actually would have been down here at 168 that kind of stinks right it's a pretty far move to ask for if I had waited for this pull up here my entry would be 169 same stop and my two-to-one would have been here right so I was late by 15 cents and therefore I was looking for 40 more sense of a move right when you miss an entry like that it's not one-to-one it's not like I have to wait an extra 15 cent move no because your stop is further away right sit there and do the math if you if you miss an entry by 10 cents what are you gonna have to help how much further does the price need to go I incur you guys do the math on your own it's not just 10 cents or 20 cents right it's more than that anyways so once I saw that on the lower timeframe that we were holding here I had 160 840 I said to myself okay anyone who's shorter this is probably bantling now right they're hitting their tutor once that's where we see all this buying and there's obviously dip buyers as well right so I just bailed at breakeven here I said there's no point holding dontel high the day this was the move I missed the move right and then we pulled up again broke I the day and we did another double rejection a tweezer on the the 2-minute chart right a nice double shooting star this time I was smart I waited for the pull up got a great entry right below low of the day I think my stop was only on say 25 cents right and I got out 4 to 1 right before noon right before anyone went to kind of just went sideways and was kind of untradable really so that was our my my first three plays right two are here breakeven here and then two are here cool now I want to talk about intraday levels right so the importance of intraday levels I came back at the close well actually first to talk about this setup I didn't take I was telling a man about this it's not good when the room about this I wanted to short here this shooting star was nice right I wanted to see what was gonna happen I said I just tell people in Chatham let's see what happens in the next 12 minutes right so then it broke stall people out and then dumped again right that's a double rejection even though the candle doesn't look like that maybe on a 10-minute charter and I'm in a charter something it would be a double shooting star again right double rejection I wanted to short and put my stop here I would have caught a nice two to one but whatever I wasn't at the station I missed that and then I started seeing it coming back to the clothes here I started seeing it pulling back in a nice controlled manner not a hard dump or anything like that right and I ended up buying a downtrend basically right the moving averages were pointing down price was going lower and lower in lower lower I bought this downtrend what did I see well I saw double hammers okay double hammers that's a really good sign but normally when you're in a downtrend any type of pullback usually results in this right it's a reverse ABCD if you want to call it it's a continuation what did I see here that made me take it well let's talk about intraday level all right I drew this line here basically right across once look at the five-minute rock piler more clear I looked at any prior points where price bounced so I saw that this was a level area here right basically we want to merge these two tested here tested here so what's gonna happen parting a test here again right and I ended up being right there caught a pop out for two two one yeah within a matter of minutes but I missed a huge move right that this was the huge move look at this pop 50% retracement and then off into the clothes into the sunset very strong and is that's uh those are the four trades on NVIDIA three winners one breakeven hope you guys found that helpful but just take a look at and your abs I up the end I'm not gonna redo them thanks for watching
Comments 0