저자: AirplaneJane · 외국인
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하락 추세 전환 가능성을 보며 나스닥·러셀2000 등 지수는 단기 약세 관점이나, 나스닥은 상향 추세선 돌파 후 강세 전환 여지를 언급. 지수 및 기술적 분석: 러셀2000은 상승 삼각형 지지선 붕괴 후 약세 흐름, 나스닥은 하향 추세선 돌파 후 강세로 전환된 것으로 설명. S&P 등 전반적 시장은 FOMC 이후 변동성 확대. 대마(캐나다 마리화나) 관련: HMLS ETF는 하향 추세선 돌파 전까지 약세 관점 유지, 팅리(Tilray)는 150 달러 돌파 여부가 관건이라고 언급. 개별 관심 종목(롱 워치리스트): IRMD, SBR, HIIQ, VRTX, 갭 메움 가능성 있는 종목 등 저유통주 위주로 지지·저항 가격대 제시, 상승 시 빠른 움직임 가능성 강조. 숏 워치리스트: 페이스북은 개인정보 이슈와 임원 매도 이후 추가 하락 가능성, 테슬라는 머스크 관련 SEC 리스크로 하락 지속 가능성 언급, 스냅챗은 하향 추세 지속 관점, 인터내셔널페이퍼는 52주 신저가 근처에서 추가 하락 가능성 제시. 출연자 리스크 언급: 발언자는 개인 의견이며 시리즈7 자격은 과거 것이라 현재 유효하지 않다고 고지, 각자 실사와 리스크 관리 필요 강조. 마무리: 저유통주 변동성 높아 진입 시 리스크 관리 필수.
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hello everyone welcome to October where the leaves are changing follows in the air we're going to go apple picking next week with the girls I'm very very excited about that also up here in Canada October 8th is Thanksgiving so that's gonna be a big day for us here and it's also Columbus Day so I did set up a little discount if you use ocean if you want to sign up for the wash 2 lists get 20% off for your first year or your first month and going my last post was about cannabis sector right now and I'll probably be doing a post following up about the FOMC and the rates and reactions there you know it was expected so we'll go ahead and we'll get into the indexes here so the you know the FOMC meeting was right here on a Wednesday so it definitely had reaction throughout the day and it really you know impacted the market with the volatility that we had so a lot of people were trading the fix everything like that but you can see this is the new trend line that I drew on the daily for downward trend I had one back here too until it broke and then it broke up so we have this prior high here of 291 71 it did break it here ran up for two days but it seems like it can't hold above it in fact it looks I don't know how to I don't know how to draw a head and shoulders on here but it looks to me like little head and shoulders you know there's the shoulder the head and then the shoulder as well so we shall see what this week brings you know if it can close down below below here to 89 I think we're definitely more in a bearish trend coming forward it seems like I don't know feels like was fall and everything changing you know the trade wars are still going on things aren't settled with Canada not that that's gonna super impact the market but they said they wanted to have everything done by October 1st with NAFTA so that could definitely put a kink in the system everything going on with Cavanaugh you know the political climate has definitely impacted a bit you know this past week has been downward trend we also saw Tesla have news and Facebook have news so you know until we can break this upward trend line still feeling bearish on it down to this upward trend line right here going into Nasdaq into the index so right here I had this nice resistance right here and a downward trend line on the daily well sure enough look it broke above tested it start it down on that down upward trend line and just broke above it and it has been strong ever since so let's go ahead we'll draw another whoops not late a straight line we'll go we'll draw another trendline and see if it can break out again so here's that new trend line we'll go ahead and we'll get rid of this one move so we've got this upward ascending triangle here to look at it and on the Russell Russell I'd had this triangle right here these two you know resistance and support line sure enough broke down here it tested it as resistance again pretty much held below it then it had two days above and boom look at that broken down so that was pretty strong resistant slash support once that support was broken and it was trying to test it for a couple days had the two days up and then BOOM Wednesday big red day down secondary red day down and look it's testing that for EMI and really loving these a forty four eight and fifteen EMAS also if you guys know you've read my blog post about pot I do have this list up here of different pot stocks and H MLS is a pot ETF from Canada so if we pull that one up you can see I'm still feeling bearish until this overall ETF will change and break this up downward trend line you know once it breaks out it does have a lot of CGC and Aurora in it till array as well which tilray just has sort of kind of a mind of its own but I think it needs to go ahead and break that 150 level for it really to be in the upward swing otherwise it looks you know like we these two massive red days and this looks like it's gonna be holding his resistance to me 150 if it breaks that then I think it might be more of a bullish move but it I think it will definitely test it and let's go ahead and get into the watchlist for the week as always guys these are my personal opinion so please try it at your own risk I did have my series 7 back in 2000 but it is not current so please do your own due diligence and trade proper risk management first on the long list we have IR MD pull it out to the 15-minute chart so I have resistance of 3750 support of 3675 and it does have 4.6 million in the float short flip volume of sixty eight point one three and like I said pull it out of the year it's breaking out on the yearly highs and lifetime highs for the company so definitely keep it on watch we also don't see SBR and I actually have to find out the float because see SBR and VRTX did not have the stock float on short squeeze so I like to go the Wall Street Journal okay so four point eight million on see SBR and again breaking out 52-week highs it does look like it's parabolic you know it might pull back I'd say if it pulls back maybe a better entry around sixteen down here but on the 15-minute chart we did have the upward trend all day broke out the prior high continued on up and it looks like it's testing this prior high as support so that I'd use that is our support line 1737 and resistance of seventeen ninety it did have forty eight point five three percent short float volume and we have h i looks at me stage III q with 9.1 million in the float and fifty four point nine with set short clip volume from friday so we had massive run-up and then it sort of just trickled down and ended up in the middle of the range for the day so I look at 60s support and sixty to eighty five the high or sixty to ninety the high of the year which is also high of the lifetime for hii Q and it has had massive moves in the past so you can see everywhere here look at how to here as a break boom broke from 53 up to 62 had it back here 35 and it's up almost double from back here so definitely keep it on watch it has 9 point 1 million on the float like I said so it can move fairly quickly just like Toure tilray has I think what is it 17 point six million on the float this is less than that so if the volume piles into it then it can definitely move next one is VRTX I hear my nugget is waking up from her nap I have this one you can see prior time where I had it for breakout sure enough it broke out from 172 now it's a potential support of 192 43 resistance of 193 78 and the float for it this one feet are 18 X oh I gotta be quick guys Andrea little ones are not happy 254 million in the stock float and so it does have 50% short float volume from Friday last but not least we have a potential gap fill here setting up it's starting to fill the gap broke above so I would use this as prior support the prior high support so 21 20 resistance of 20 135 and it looks like it could keep on fill this gap right here and continue on upwards motion it did break out you know we might have this trendline might provide resistance as well if it comes up here so maybe 20 175 for potential exit if it if it finds resistance right there and then getting into the shorts for the week we all know Facebook had their secondary breach again back here was Cambridge analytical boom dropped down well on Tuesday they found out they had that issue this was the prior downward trend line ran up broke out from it ran up for two days interesting on Wednesday their general counsel sold with their form for that was filed and on Thursday Sherri Sandberg the CEO sold off over 7 million in value of stock so down work day on Friday and it looks like it could potentially fall further down from there I do have a support of 160 250 really down here you know the low of the day and a person total resistance of 164 44 that after-hours high also Tesla had awful news with musk so I look at support of 267 excuse me resistance of 267 o to support of 260 97 and this every time musk opens his mouth basically is if stock reacts so now the SEC has basically said hey you're not allowed to be a CEO of a publicly traded company because everything you do your tweets back here oh yeah I found funding yeah boom nope didn't find funding mmm and then oh yeah I'm talking to the bank's whoo okay no SEC says no you didn't actually have it boom so watch for this put for potential continuation downward and maybe a you know a slow crawl down that does have 129 million on the float Facebook has 2.3 billion then we have SL MP I would look for support of 1430 resistance of 1450 basically this one has had massive downward movement it looks like it has potential move down to the 1380 area for further support and then if that breaks down on to 13 area so keep that one on watch it does have thirty five point seven million in the flow we also have international paper so international paper I would look for resistance of 49 50 support of 49 we're looking at new 52 week low if we back it out to five years you can see it's right how to support level so it could potentially break down further if it does break that I would look for the 46 level and then on down to 43 or 44 area right down here an international paper lists have four hundred and two million in the flow we also have snapchat snapchat has not been doing well and say I've got this on the weekly chart here nice downward trend line until this downward trend line gets broken on the daily I would say this is definitely gonna continue in this downward motion you know I would say resistance of 850 and support of 841 we need to look at the 15-minute chart really really did not look good on Friday so we had massive down bounce up pullback so I look for that support of this after-hours area of 850 you know if you wanted to pull it up even further if you want to go short 865 as potential risk getting into the potential long swings I did look at a bunch of low floats that are in the same sort of motion has snap so they've had that downward trend line that I drew on the weekly chart alright so I created that downward trend line on the weekly chart and looking for that to really be broken strong with some volume so this one has some upward movement to it it has been curling the EMAs are starting to curl we just had the four EMA curl over the 8 so it could be in that rotation for upward movement but it does need some stronger volume behind it we'll look at on the yearly you can see it's had downward trend and it could quickly run up just like it ran down 1 2 3 4 4 days from 1250 down to 9 or almost you know 40% value we could see that run-up happen as well with the shorts that might potentially get squeezed on it so CB Zi is one of those we had of FL WS as well you can see I drew it up these on the weekly chart right so it went up came it tested that level and then it broke down below and now that's become a support excuse me a resistance trendline so once this resistance trendline is broken with volume again it needs to have that volume behind it it could easily run up we also have C AC same scenario downward trend line but it needs to find that breakout and SC open as well so SC o n downward trend line and what's really cool if we actually look at this back on a five-year chart look at that that trend line acted as support for a long time so it kept out coming down testing it sort of hovering around it hovering around it bouncing around it bouncing around it and then they had the split tested it but drop below it and now it's become a resistance line so it does need to break out on the daily and it's starting to have volume looks like it wanted to test it there on Friday but this one I have to look and see what the float is on it because I think it's 5 million and it could very quickly run it is a semiconductor up 2.8 million so these are all on the longer-term watch list but I'm going to you know one thing I absolutely love about trading view is you can easily okay just set an alert it's good until October 30th for 30 days if it crosses up above this trendline I'm gonna get an alert an SMS message it's gonna let me know that I'm watching this stock Hey look it just broke above look at the chart does it have the volume same thing with trade ideas you can set the alerts really well look at that staff too so staff has had this downward motion we have this support with 195 it's starting to have upward movement and it could easily run up you've seen it does have large days where it runs up like crazy and then it pulls back and it's been using this area pretty much as around support you know maybe even down here for 179 so if you do get in make sure that you use proper risk management be slower floats as well as always guys if you like my content please go ahead and like and subscribe carpe profit and have a great beginning
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